Luke Swain

Guest · 55-58-2 on settled picks

Record
55-58-2
Cash %
48.7%
Net units
-1.11u
ROI
-1.0%
Beat the close
76.3%
the line moved with the pick in 45 of 59 moves (30 flat excluded)
Avg CLV
+0.36 pts
vs the closing line · spreads, totals & props (82)
At closing prices
-6.6u
vs -4.4u at the quoted numbers · 73 re-gradeable picks

Bankroll

Last 10: 5-5 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 39 settled days
-50+5Oct '222023Apr '23Jul '23Oct '232024Rolling ROI · last 50 picks-3%-1.11u
-50+5Oct '22Apr '23Oct '23Rolling ROI · last 50 picks-3%-1u

Where the picks cash

record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)
LeaguespreadpropfuturesmoneylineparlayAll
NFL41-39-2%4-8-27%3-3+79%4-3+6%0-152-54-1%
NBA0-23-2+33%3-4-5%

Picks

115 total
Status
Sport
Market
NFL spread
lost
Ravens +4 closed +3 · CLV +1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2024-01-05 ·

“I'm on the Ravens as well”

BAL 10, PIT 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin -7 vs line +4; busts.

NFL spread
won
Titans +4 closed +3.5 · CLV +0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2024-01-05 ·

“so a plus four that is totally fine if you didn't get the five and a half”

TEN 28, JAX 20 — Tennessee Titans margin +8 vs line +4; covers.

NFL spread
won
Giants +5 closed +5 · CLV 0
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2024-01-05 ·

“So I'll take the Giants at plus five.”

NYG 27, PHI 10 — New York Giants margin +17 vs line +5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Dolphins +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 17 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-29 ·

“I'm going to go with the Dolphins right now, again, three and a half at the Ravens on Sunday.”

BAL 56, MIA 19 — Miami Dolphins margin -37 vs line +3.5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Panthers +6.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +3
Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 17 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-29 ·

“So I'm going to go with the Panthers right now at plus six and a half”

JAX 26, CAR 0 — Carolina Panthers margin -26 vs line +6.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Broncos -3.5 closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos — NFL Week 17 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-29 ·

“So I take the Broncos weighing three”

DEN 16, LAC 9 — Denver Broncos margin +7 vs line -3.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Bills -1.5 closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills — NFL Week 15 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-15 ·

“I'm going to go with the Bills playing two to the Cowboys at home on Sunday afternoon, which two, one and a half money line, any of them work as long as it's under three.”

BUF 31, DAL 10 — Buffalo Bills margin +21 vs line -1.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Packers -3.5 closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 15 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-15 ·

“Yep I with uh the bundle on this one as well And really like the three is what I wanted And I actually um flipped back forth with this one from another pick but came to terms with three and a half being totally fine”

GB 20, TB 34 — Green Bay Packers margin -14 vs line -3.5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Jaguars +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 15 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-15 ·

“I'm going to go with the Jags getting three and a half hosting the Ravens on Sunday night”

JAX 7, BAL 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -16 vs line +3.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Bears +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-08 ·

“I'm gonna go with the Bears getting three and a half hosting the Lions at home”

CHI 28, DET 13 — Chicago Bears margin +15 vs line +3.5; covers.

NFL prop
won
Jake Browning to throw an interception (-105)
Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-08 ·

“I'm going to take Jake Browning for an interception at minus 105.”

Jake Browning threw an INT (18-24, 275 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT) in Bengals' 34-14 win over Colts. (1 INT)

NFL spread
won
Bills +1.5 closed +2 · CLV -0.5
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-08 ·

“I'm going to go with Buffalo right now, plus one and a half.”

KC 17, BUF 20 — Buffalo Bills margin +3 vs line +1.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Broncos +2.5 closed +3 · CLV -0.5
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-12-08 ·

“I'm going to go with the Broncos plus two and a half”

LAC 7, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin +17 vs line +2.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Lions -7.5 closed -8.5 · CLV +1
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions — Thanksgiving, NFL Week 12 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-22 ·

“yeah so I'm gonna go with the Lions laying seven and a half hosting the Packers as the first game [4:25] on Thanksgiving”

DET 22, GB 29 — Detroit Lions margin -7 vs line -7.5; busts.

NFL parlay
lost
Lions ML + Cowboys ML + 49ers ML + Dolphins ML parlay (+130)
Thanksgiving moneyline parlay — Lions, Cowboys, 49ers, Dolphins, NFL Week 12 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-22 ·
  • Lions ML closed -410 · CLV +5¢ lost
  • Cowboys ML closed -835 · CLV +35¢ won
  • 49ers ML closed -335 · CLV -15¢ won
  • Dolphins ML closed -480 · CLV 0¢ won

“And then I think a money line parlay with the Lions, Cowboys, Niners, [6:09] and Dolphins is also, like, an okay thing to do.”

Parlay busts: Lions ML — lost; Cowboys ML — won; 49ers ML — won; Dolphins ML — won.

NFL spread
won
49ers -7 closed -7 · CLV 0
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — Thanksgiving, NFL Week 12 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-22 ·

“So I'll take the Niners playing seven at the Seahawks [13:04] because I really just don't see a lot of scenarios that the Seahawks can cover.”

SEA 13, SF 31 — San Francisco 49ers margin +18 vs line -7; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Chargers +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers — Sunday Night Football, NFL Week 12 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-22 ·

“I'll take the [28:53] Chargers plus three and a half.”

LAC 10, BAL 20 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -10 vs line +3.5; busts.

NFL spread
push
Cardinals +5 closed +5.5 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans — Week 11 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-17 ·

“I'm going to go with the Cardinals plus five at the Texans, which this one really is.”

HOU 21, ARI 16 — Arizona Cardinals margin -5 vs line +5; pushes.

NFL spread
won
Rams +1 closed -1.5 · CLV +2.5
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams — Week 11 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-17 ·

“i'm going to go with the rams which currently are plus one hosting the seahawks”

LAR 17, SEA 16 — Los Angeles Rams margin +1 vs line +1; covers.

NFL moneyline
won
Browns ML (-115) closed -132 · CLV +17¢
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — Week 11 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-17 ·

“i'm gonna go with the [28:47] browns currently i would say money line which is probably minus 115 really this this is just one”

CLE 13, PIT 10 — Cleveland Browns won; moneyline covers.

NFL spread
lost
Seahawks -6 closed -6 · CLV 0
Washington Commanders at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 10 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-10 ·

“So Seahawks minus six, minus six and a half, either.”

SEA 29, WSH 26 — Seattle Seahawks margin +3 vs line -6; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Titans +1.5 closed +2.5 · CLV -1
Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 10 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-10 ·

“I'm going to go with the Titans, who are right now plus one and a half at the Bucs”

TB 20, TEN 6 — Tennessee Titans margin -14 vs line +1.5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Saints -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 10 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-10 ·

“I'm going to go with the Saints laying two and a half.”

MIN 27, NO 19 — New Orleans Saints margin -8 vs line -2.5; busts.

NFL moneyline
won
Chiefs ML closed -750 · CLV +535¢
Chiefs vs Dolphins — NFL Week 9 (Germany) · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-03 ·

“So I'll take Mahomes and this Chiefs defense on a neutral at under a field goal.”

KC 21, MIA 14 — Kansas City Chiefs won; moneyline covers.

NFL spread
lost
Panthers +2.5 closed +2 · CLV +0.5
Colts vs Panthers — NFL Week 9 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-03 ·

“So Panthers plus two and a half, try and get a three, of course, obviously. But two and a half is fine.”

CAR 13, IND 27 — Carolina Panthers margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Vikings +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1
Vikings vs Falcons — NFL Week 9 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-11-03 ·

“So Vikings plus four and a half.”

ATL 28, MIN 31 — Minnesota Vikings margin +3 vs line +4.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Panthers +3 closed +3.25 · CLV -0.2
Texans at Panthers — NFL Week 8 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-27 ·

“I'm going to go with the Panthers plus three at home hosting the Texans”

CAR 15, HOU 13 — Carolina Panthers margin +2 vs line +3; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Rams +6 closed +7 · CLV -1
Rams at Cowboys — NFL Week 8 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-27 ·

“I'm going to go with Rams plus six at the Cowboys”

DAL 43, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin -23 vs line +6; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Falcons -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Falcons at Titans — NFL Week 8 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-27 ·

“so Titans minus two and a half going”

TEN 28, ATL 23 — Atlanta Falcons margin -5 vs line -2.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Seahawks -7.5 closed -9.5 · CLV +2
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 7 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-20 ·

“Yeah I going to go with the Seahawks as well minus seven and a half”

SEA 20, ARI 10 — Seattle Seahawks margin +10 vs line -7.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Lions +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 7 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-20 ·

“i gonna go with the lions plus three at baltimore”

BAL 38, DET 6 — Detroit Lions margin -32 vs line +3; busts.

NFL spread
won
Eagles -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 7 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-20 ·

“i'm gonna go with the eagles minus two and a [28:32] half hosting the dolphins on sunday night football”

PHI 31, MIA 17 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +14 vs line -2.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Colts +4 closed +4 · CLV 0
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 6 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-13 ·

“Yeah, I'm going to go with the Colts as well.”

JAX 37, IND 20 — Indianapolis Colts margin -17 vs line +4; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Patriots +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 6 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-13 ·

“But this is it. [20:14] Pats plus three.”

LV 21, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin -4 vs line +3; busts.

NFL spread
won
Vikings -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 6 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-10-13 ·

“I'm going to go Vikings minus 2.5 at the Bears,”

CHI 13, MIN 19 — Minnesota Vikings margin +6 vs line -2.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Bengals -3 closed -3 · CLV 0
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 2 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-09-15 ·

“my first pick is going to be the Bengals laying three, hosting the Ravens.”

CIN 24, BAL 27 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -3 vs line -3; busts.

NFL moneyline
won
Falcons ML (-118) closed -152 · CLV +34¢
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 2 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-09-15 ·

“this one's going to be the Falcons money line. [15:12] Right now, it is, I believe, minus 118.”

ATL 25, GB 24 — Atlanta Falcons won; moneyline covers.

NFL spread
won
Steelers +2.5 closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 2 MNF · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-09-15 ·

“We're going to go with the Steelers as a two and a half point underdog hosting the Browns on Monday night football”

PIT 26, CLE 22 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +4 vs line +2.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Seahawks -5.5 closed -4.5 · CLV -1
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-09-08 ·

“That is my only favorite that I'll be giving out on this podcast, but”

SEA 13, LAR 30 — Seattle Seahawks margin -17 vs line -5.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Packers +1.5 closed +1 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — NFL Week 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-09-08 ·

“so i'm going to go with the packers plus one and a half at the bears”

CHI 20, GB 38 — Green Bay Packers margin +18 vs line +1.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Steelers +2.5 closed +1 · CLV +1.5
San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-09-08 ·

“Yeah, so I'm going to go with Pittsburgh as well, and it does feel like a lot of people”

PIT 7, SF 30 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -23 vs line +2.5; busts.

NBA futures
won
Anthony Black under 8.5 draft position (-300)
2023 NBA Draft — Anthony Black draft position · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-21 ·

“which the Black under 8.5 and Grady Dick over 10.5, [23:07] I think are the two best parlay legs of these over-unders right now.”

Anthony Black was selected 6th overall by the Orlando Magic in the 2023 NBA Draft on June 22, 2023, settling the under 8.5 draft position (NBA.com). (Picked 6th overall)

NBA futures
won
Grady Dick over 10.5 draft position (-300)
2023 NBA Draft — Grady Dick draft position · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-21 ·

“and I've used both of those on multiple parlays myself.”

Gradey Dick was selected 13th overall by the Toronto Raptors in the 2023 NBA Draft on June 22, 2023, settling the over 10.5 draft position (NBA.com). (Picked 13th overall)

NBA futures
lost
Jordan Walsh to be drafted in the first round (+400) · FanDuel
2023 NBA Draft — Jordan Walsh to be a first round pick · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-21 ·

“Walsh I would still play at four to one five to one six whatever it is It a good one”

Jordan Walsh was selected 38th overall (second round) by the Boston Celtics in the 2023 NBA Draft on June 22, 2023, and was not a first-round pick (NBA.com / Yahoo Sports). (Picked 38th overall (2nd round))

NBA futures
won
Anthony Black to be drafted 6th overall (+300)
2023 NBA Draft — Anthony Black to be picked 6th · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-21 ·

“i'm gonna go with to be picked sixth anthony black which i think is like plus 300 right [49:07] now”

Anthony Black was selected exactly 6th overall by the Orlando Magic in the 2023 NBA Draft on June 22, 2023 (NBA.com / CBS Sports). (Picked 6th overall)

NBA prop
lost
Keontae George drafted before Jordan Hawkins (+155)
2023 NBA Draft — Keontae George drafted before Jordan Hawkins · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-21 ·

“drafted before Jordan Hawkins, which Keontae is plus 155 right now, which if Jordan Hawkins was [50:06] plus 155, I'd be giving out Jordan Hawkins. So this is like a true value bet”

Jordan Hawkins was picked 14th and Keyonte George was picked 16th in the 2023 NBA Draft on June 22, 2023; Hawkins was drafted before George, so the bet on George before Hawkins lost (NBA.com). (Hawkins pick 14, George pick 16)

NBA futures
lost
Andre Jackson to be drafted in the first round (+500)
2023 NBA Draft — Andre Jackson to be a first round pick · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-21 ·

“I would say like Andre Jackson I think he's five to one right now [46:53] which he was after that Denver trade came out”

Andre Jackson Jr. was selected 36th overall (second round) and traded to the Milwaukee Bucks; he was not a first-round pick in the 2023 NBA Draft (Basketball-Reference). (Picked 36th overall (2nd round))

NBA prop
lost
Jarace Walker to be drafted before Ausar Thompson (+150)
2023 NBA Draft · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-06-12 ·

“And Jairus to go before Osser, which I think it's plus 150 right now. It was like plus 180 at one point last week.”

Ausar Thompson was drafted 5th by the Detroit Pistons and Jarace Walker was drafted 8th by the Indiana Pacers (via Washington); Walker did not go before Thompson in the 2023 NBA Draft (NBA.com). (Thompson pick 5, Walker pick 8)

NFL futures
won
Eagles first pick to be defensive line (+175) · FanDuel
2023 NFL Draft — Round 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-26 ·

“i'm going to go with eagles defensive line um at plus”

Philadelphia Eagles selected DT Jalen Carter (Georgia) with the 9th overall pick, a defensive tackle/defensive lineman, as their first pick of the 2023 NFL Draft (Philadelphia Eagles official site).

NFL futures
won
Bengals first pick to be defensive line (+350)
2023 NFL Draft — Round 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-26 ·

“So my second one I going to go with Bengals defensive line which I believe right now is plus 350”

Cincinnati Bengals selected DE Myles Murphy (Clemson) with the 28th overall pick, a defensive end/defensive lineman, as their first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft (WCPO Cincinnati).

NFL futures
won
Buccaneers first pick to be defensive line (+250) · FanDuel
2023 NFL Draft — Round 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-26 ·

“My next one is going to be Bucks defensive line first position,”

Tampa Bay Buccaneers selected DT Calijah Kancey (Pittsburgh) with the 19th overall pick, a defensive tackle/defensive lineman, as their first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft (Pro Football Network).

NFL futures
lost
Rams first pick to be wide receiver (+850)
2023 NFL Draft — Round 2 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-26 ·

“And it was a spur of the moment pick that I'll be taking when we get off.”

Los Angeles Rams selected G Steve Avila (TCU) with the 36th overall pick (Round 2) — not a wide receiver — as their first selection in the 2023 NFL Draft (Turf Show Times).

NFL futures
lost
Dolphins first pick to be tight end (+430) · FanDuel
2023 NFL Draft — Round 2 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-26 ·

“first edition i'm going to go with tight end at plus 4 30 and this is one where i was reading”

Miami Dolphins selected CB Cam Smith (South Carolina) with the 51st overall pick (Round 2) — not a tight end — as their first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft (The Phinsider).

NFL futures
lost
Jackson Smith-Njigba to Green Bay Packers (pick 13) (+600)
2023 NFL Draft — Jackson Smith-Njigba first pick slot · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-24 ·

“I immediately bet JSN which at the time was plus 600 now it's plus 470”

Jaxon Smith-Njigba was drafted No. 20 overall by the Seattle Seahawks, not by Green Bay at pick 13. (JSN drafted #20 overall by Seattle Seahawks)

NFL prop
lost
Tyree Wilson first defensive player drafted (+300)
2023 NFL Draft — first defensive player drafted · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-19 ·

“Tyree [15:10] Wilson, first defensive player taken, I think he's going to be like plus 300 right now is definitely [15:15] worth a bet.”

Will Anderson Jr. (DE, Alabama) was selected 3rd overall by Houston, making him the first defensive player drafted — not Tyree Wilson, who went 7th to the Raiders (ESPN).

NFL prop
lost
Bills first position drafted: defensive line (+500)
2023 NFL Draft — Buffalo Bills first-round pick position · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-19 ·

“so bills [44:52] defensive line plus 500”

Buffalo Bills traded up to pick 25 and selected tight end Dalton Kincaid (Utah), not a defensive lineman, as their first-round pick (Buffalo Bills official site).

NFL prop
won
Vikings first drafted player wide receiver (+200)
2023 NFL Draft — Vikings first pick position · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-12 ·

“One that has caught my attention was Vikings positional odds wide receiver. [50:47] It's nothing too fun. It's plus 200.”

The Vikings' first pick was wide receiver Jordan Addison from USC, selected No. 23 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft, per NFL.com.

NFL prop
lost
Philadelphia Eagles to draft an offensive lineman (first pick position) (+400)
2023 NFL Draft — Philadelphia Eagles first pick to be an offensive lineman · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-06 ·

“The one I do like, which I took a little bit of it, but Eagles to go offensive line is one that I'm starting to feel really strongly about, which I think it was plus 500 a couple days ago. It's come down a little at, like, plus 400, but [28:38] I do think Skronski at 10 if he's there”

Philadelphia's first 2023 pick was defensive tackle Jalen Carter at No. 9, not an offensive lineman.

NFL prop
lost
Eagles first drafted player offensive line (+400) · FanDuel
2023 NFL Draft — Eagles first pick position · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-04-05 ·

“where the one I do like at its current odds are Eagles position to be drafted first, [45:53] which is on Fandle. It's on all the books. And I very much like offensive line at plus 400,”

The Eagles' first pick was Jalen Carter (defensive tackle, No. 9 overall), not an offensive lineman; their first OL selection came in round 3 (Tyler Steen, pick 65), per ESPN draft tracker.

NFL prop
won
Dallas Goedert over 49.5 receiving yards (-110) · FanDuel
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles — Super Bowl LVII · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-02-09 ·

“so i'm gonna go with dallas good air over 49 and a half receiving yards”

PHI 35, KC 38 — Dallas Goedert: 60 receiving_yards vs over 49.5; covers. (Dallas Goedert: 60 receiving_yards)

NFL prop
lost
Over 2.5 individual Eagles to score a touchdown (-120) · FanDuel
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles — Super Bowl LVII · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-02-09 ·

“individual Eagles players to score a touchdown at over two and a half,”

Only 2 individual Eagles players scored touchdowns in Super Bowl LVII (Jalen Hurts 3 rush TDs, AJ Brown 1 rec TD), falling under the 2.5 line, per Eagles game recap (philadelphiaeagles.com).

NFL prop
lost
Patrick Mahomes over 292.5 passing yards · FanDuel
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles — Super Bowl LVII · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-02-09 ·

“third one is going to be patrick mahomes over 292 and a half yards passing”

PHI 35, KC 38 — Patrick Mahomes: 182 passing_yards vs over 292.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 182 passing_yards)

NFL spread
won
Eagles -2.5 closed -2.75 · CLV +0.3
San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles — NFC Championship · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-27 ·

“which is going to lead me to Eagles laying two and a half at home”

PHI 31, SF 7 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +24 vs line -2.5; covers.

NFL prop
lost
A.J. Brown over 78.5 receiving yards
San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles — NFC Championship · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-27 ·

“i'm going to go with aj brown over 78 and a half yards receiving”

PHI 31, SF 7 — A.J. Brown: 28 receiving_yards vs over 78.5; busts. (A.J. Brown: 28 receiving_yards)

NFL moneyline
lost
Bengals +1 ML closed +112 · CLV -7¢
Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs — AFC Championship · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-27 ·

“and there is this Bengals team that are defying all odds and I am totally sold on them”

KC 23, CIN 20 — Cincinnati Bengals lost; moneyline busts.

NFL spread
lost
Cowboys +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Divisional Round · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-19 ·

“the first one, I'm going to go with the Cowboys plus three and a half at the Niners on Sunday.”

SF 19, DAL 12 — Dallas Cowboys margin -7 vs line +3.5; busts.

NFL prop
lost
Devonta Smith over 62.5 receiving yards
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Divisional Round · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-19 ·

“My next one will be a side, but this one's going to be Devontae Smith over 62.5 receiving yards, which he's gone over this number in six straight games.”

PHI 38, NYG 7 — DeVonta Smith: 61 receiving_yards vs over 62.5; busts. (DeVonta Smith: 61 receiving_yards)

NFL spread
lost
Bills -5 closed -5.5 · CLV +0.5
Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Divisional Round · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-19 ·

“so this one's scary but i'm gonna go with the bills minus five hosting the bangles as well”

BUF 10, CIN 27 — Buffalo Bills margin -17 vs line -5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Chargers -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Wild Card · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-13 ·

“So my first one going to be the Chargers as well which right now I believe they laying two two and a half”

JAX 31, LAC 30 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -1 vs line -2.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Giants +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Wild Card · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-13 ·

“My second one is going to be Giants plus three.”

MIN 24, NYG 31 — New York Giants margin +7 vs line +3; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Buccaneers +2.5 closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Wild Card Monday Night Football · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-13 ·

“i'm going to go with the buccaneers plus two and a half right now”

TB 14, DAL 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -17 vs line +2.5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Browns +2.5 closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-06 ·

“I'm going to go with the Browns getting two and a half at Pittsburgh on [17:42] Sunday.”

PIT 28, CLE 14 — Cleveland Browns margin -14 vs line +2.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Rams +6.5 closed +5.5 · CLV +1
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-06 ·

“So my second one is probably gonna be my favorite one of the weekend, [26:28] which is going to be Rams plus six and a half at the Seahawks.”

SEA 19, LAR 16 — Los Angeles Rams margin -3 vs line +6.5; covers.

NFL moneyline
lost
Rams ML (+230) closed +210 · CLV +20¢
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-06 ·

“take that you're not willing to then take the rams plus 230 on the money line [29:11] oh obviously yeah cool i'm already in on that”

SEA 19, LAR 16 — Los Angeles Rams lost; moneyline busts.

NFL spread
won
Commanders +7 closed +7.5 · CLV -0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders — Week 18 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2023-01-06 ·

“So my final one's going to be the Commanders plus seven hosting, [37:17] hosting i believe the cowboys correct um where commanders plus seven”

WSH 26, DAL 6 — Washington Commanders margin +20 vs line +7; covers.

NFL spread
won
49ers -7 closed -6.5 · CLV -0.5
Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 16 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-23 ·

“So I'll take the Niners minus seven.”

SF 37, WSH 20 — San Francisco 49ers margin +17 vs line -7; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Eagles +5.5 closed +4.5 · CLV +1
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys — NFL Week 16 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-23 ·

“so my second one is going to be Eagles, [8:26] which right now sits at plus five and a half going to the Cowboys.”

DAL 40, PHI 34 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -6 vs line +5.5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Dolphins -3.5 closed -3.5 · CLV 0
Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 16 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-23 ·

“so my final one is going to be dolphins [26:53] like three and a half hosting the packers”

MIA 20, GB 26 — Miami Dolphins margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Colts +4.5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 15 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-16 ·

“my first one is going to be Colts plus four and a half at the Vikings on Saturday”

MIN 39, IND 36 — Indianapolis Colts margin -3 vs line +4.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Jets +1 (Pick'em) · FanDuel closed -1.5 · CLV +2.5
Detroit Lions at New York Jets — NFL Week 15 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-16 ·

“i'm gonna go with the jets plus one right now in fanduel hosting the [19:42] lines”

NYJ 17, DET 20 — New York Jets margin -3 vs line +1; busts.

NFL spread
won
Jaguars +4.5 closed +4 · CLV +0.5
Dallas Cowboys at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 15 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-16 ·

“my last one going to be Jags plus four and a half hosting the Cowboys”

JAX 40, DAL 34 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +6 vs line +4.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Lions -1.5 closed -2 · CLV +0.5
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-09 ·

“So my first one is I'm going to go with the Detroit Lions minus one and a half hosting the Minnesota Vikings.”

DET 34, MIN 23 — Detroit Lions margin +11 vs line -1.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Browns +6.5 closed +4 · CLV +2.5
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-09 ·

“So my second one is going to be Browns plus six and a half at the Cincinnati Bengals”

CIN 23, CLE 10 — Cleveland Browns margin -13 vs line +6.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Jaguars +4 closed +3.5 · CLV +0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 14 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-09 ·

“So my last one's going to be Jags plus four at the Titans.”

TEN 22, JAX 36 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin +14 vs line +4; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Jets +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 13 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-02 ·

“first one's gonna be Jets plus three at the [8:23] Vikings”

MIN 27, NYJ 22 — New York Jets margin -5 vs line +3; busts.

NFL spread
won
Steelers PK 0 closed -1 · CLV +1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons — NFL Week 13 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-02 ·

“so my second one's gonna be steelers a pick them at atlanta”

ATL 16, PIT 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +3 vs line +0; covers.

NFL moneyline
lost
Chiefs ML (-130) closed -145 · CLV +15¢
Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 13 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-12-02 ·

“So my last one is going to be the Chiefs money line”

CIN 27, KC 24 — Kansas City Chiefs lost; moneyline busts.

NFL spread
won
Colts +7 closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 11 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-11-18 ·

“So my first one is going to be shut your eyes and take the Colts plus seven, [14:35] where right now at FanDuel, it's six and a half.”

IND 16, PHI 17 — Indianapolis Colts margin -1 vs line +7; covers.

NFL moneyline
won
Cowboys ML (-124) closed -130 · CLV +6¢
Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 11 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-11-18 ·

“so my first one's [20:46] gonna be cowboys money line which right now it is minus 124”

MIN 3, DAL 40 — Dallas Cowboys won; moneyline covers.

NFL spread
lost
Steelers +4 closed +3.5 · CLV +0.5
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 11 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-11-18 ·

“I'm going to be on the Steelers plus four as well.”

PIT 30, CIN 37 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin -7 vs line +4; busts.

NFL spread
lost
49ers -7 closed -7.5 · CLV +0.5
Los Angeles Chargers at San Francisco 49ers — Week 10 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-11-11 ·

“So my first one's going to be the Niners as a seven-point favorite [11:47] hosting the Chargers on Sunday Night Football,”

SF 22, LAC 16 — San Francisco 49ers margin +6 vs line -7; busts.

NFL spread
won
Packers +5 closed +3.5 · CLV +1.5
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers — Week 10 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-11-11 ·

“So my second one is going to be Packers as a five point dog at home hosting the Cowboys.”

GB 31, DAL 28 — Green Bay Packers margin +3 vs line +5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Steelers +1.5 closed -1 · CLV +2.5
New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers — Week 10 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-11-11 ·

“i'm gonna go with the steelers as [26:50] well plus one and a half underdog”

PIT 20, NO 10 — Pittsburgh Steelers margin +10 vs line +1.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Cardinals +3.5 closed +4 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings — Week 8 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-27 ·

“Vikings are overrated. I'll take [12:13] the Cardinals plus three and a half.”

MIN 34, ARI 26 — Arizona Cardinals margin -8 vs line +3.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Panthers +4 closed +4 · CLV 0
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons — Week 8 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-27 ·

“so my second one to give you the panthers plus four going to atlanta”

ATL 37, CAR 34 — Carolina Panthers margin -3 vs line +4; covers.

NFL spread
won
Patriots -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at New York Jets — Week 8 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-27 ·

“the Patriots minus two, two and a half at the Jets.”

NYJ 17, NE 22 — New England Patriots margin +5 vs line -2.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Jaguars -3 closed -3 · CLV 0
New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars — NFL Week 7 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-20 ·

“I'll take the Jags minus three.”

JAX 17, NYG 23 — Jacksonville Jaguars margin -6 vs line -3; busts.

NFL spread
won
Bengals -6.5 closed -6.5 · CLV 0
Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL Week 7 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-20 ·

“I just going to take a bangles team against a Falcons team That was a nine and a half point underdog against the bucks not too long ago And there now a six and a half point underdog at Bengals I take Bengals minus six and a half”

CIN 35, ATL 17 — Cincinnati Bengals margin +18 vs line -6.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Commanders +4.5 closed +4 · CLV +0.5
Green Bay Packers at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 7 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-20 ·

“So my last one's going to be the Commanders. I think right now it's plus four and a half, which yes, who are hosting the Packers at home.”

WSH 23, GB 21 — Washington Commanders margin +2 vs line +4.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Bills -2.5 · FanDuel closed -2.5 · CLV 0
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 6 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-13 ·

“my first one is going to be Bills minus two and a half at Kansas City at four o'clock on Sunday,”

KC 20, BUF 24 — Buffalo Bills margin +4 vs line -2.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Cardinals -3 closed -2.5 · CLV -0.5
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 6 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-13 ·

“I'd rather fade the Seahawks defense in a, I guess you could say make right spot for a Cardinals team”

SEA 19, ARI 9 — Arizona Cardinals margin -10 vs line -3; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Browns -2.5 closed -2.5 · CLV 0
New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns — NFL Week 6 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-13 ·

“So I'll take the Browns minus two and a half and fading a Patriots team coming off a win”

CLE 15, NE 38 — Cleveland Browns margin -23 vs line -2.5; busts.

NFL spread
won
Patriots -3 closed -3 · CLV 0
Detroit Lions at New England Patriots — NFL Week 5 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-07 ·

“So my first one, I'm going to go with the Patriots minus three,”

NE 29, DET 0 — New England Patriots margin +29 vs line -3; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Ravens -3 closed -3 · CLV 0
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 5 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-07 ·

“So my second one is going to be Ravens minus 3 on Sunday Night Football against the Bengals.”

BAL 19, CIN 17 — Baltimore Ravens margin +2 vs line -3; busts.

NFL spread
won
Saints -5.5 closed -5.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 5 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-10-07 ·

“it's i'm gonna go against brandon here and go saints minus five and a half let's go”

NO 39, SEA 32 — New Orleans Saints margin +7 vs line -5.5; covers.

NFL spread
push
Ravens +3 closed +3 · CLV 0
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 4 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-30 ·

“I'll just take the Ravens plus three easy money.”

BAL 20, BUF 23 — Baltimore Ravens margin -3 vs line +3; pushes.

NFL spread
lost
Broncos +2.5 closed +2.5 · CLV 0
Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL Week 4 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-30 ·

“i'm gonna go with [16:17] the Broncos plus two and a half.”

LV 32, DEN 23 — Denver Broncos margin -9 vs line +2.5; busts.

NFL spread
lost
Buccaneers -1 closed -2 · CLV +1
Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 4 Sunday Night Football · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-30 ·

“my last one is going to be the Tampa Bay Bucks minus one currently on [23:11] Sunday night football”

TB 31, KC 41 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers margin -10 vs line -1; busts.

NFL prop
won
Mike Evans anytime TD
Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — NFL Week 4 Sunday Night Football · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-30 ·

“bonus bet, take Mike Evans anytime TD, whatever the odds are, just bet it.”

Chiefs won 41-31. Mike Evans caught two receiving TDs from Tom Brady (13-yard and 1-yard TD receptions), settling this anytime TD prop as a winner. Source: https://www.buccaneers.com/video/tom-brady-mike-evans-touchdown-2-bucs-chiefs-week-4-big-play-2022

NFL spread
won
Patriots -2.5 closed -3 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers — NFL Week 2 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-16 ·

“so i'm going to take the patriots minus two this opened”

PIT 14, NE 17 — New England Patriots margin +3 vs line -2.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
49ers -8.5 closed -8.5 · CLV 0
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers — NFL Week 2 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-16 ·

“Yeah so my second one is going to be Niners minus eight and a half who are hosting the Seahawks coming off of that emotional game”

SF 27, SEA 7 — San Francisco 49ers margin +20 vs line -8.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Packers -9.5 closed -10 · CLV +0.5
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 2 Sunday Night Football · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-16 ·

“going to be the Packers as well. Minus nine and a half, minus 10 for all of the reasons Brandon”

GB 27, CHI 10 — Green Bay Packers margin +17 vs line -9.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Browns +1.5 closed +1.5 · CLV 0
Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers — NFL Week 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-09 ·

“So my first one's going to be Browns plus one and a half, [7:51] which to me is just the wrong team's favorite.”

CAR 24, CLE 26 — Cleveland Browns margin +2 vs line +1.5; covers.

NFL spread
won
Giants +5.5 closed +5.5 · CLV 0
New York Giants at Tennessee Titans — NFL Week 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-09 ·

“Giants plus five and a half. This is definitely one that I might wait a little until like Sunday”

TEN 20, NYG 21 — New York Giants margin +1 vs line +5.5; covers.

NFL spread
lost
Patriots +3.5 closed +3 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins — NFL Week 1 · The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast, 2022-09-09 ·

“when I look at this line where they're three and a half point dogs at Miami, it's [18:57] just a disrespect.”

MIA 20, NE 7 — New England Patriots margin -13 vs line +3.5; busts.

← All personalities