lost
Johnny Juzang Under 18.5 Points
“Johnny Juzang under 18 and a half points.”
Gonzaga's official box score records Johnny Juzang at 29 points against Gonzaga, over 18.5 rather than under. (Johnny Juzang 29 points)
Matt Cox
Analyst · 2-2-1 on settled picks
Record
2-2-1
Cash %
50.0%
Net units
-0.18u
ROI
-4.5%
CLV evidence: 4 of 4 supported standalone picks have a pregame quote
4 have calculable CLV from a stated line or price. Headline rates use 0 non-flat moves with audited evidence within 15 minutes of the start; 0 primary flat observations are excluded from the beat rate.
Quote timing: 0 within 15 minutes · 0 15–60 minutes · 0 older than 60 minutes · 4 unverified. Counts include captured quotes without numeric CLV. Parlays and prediction markets are separate. Coverage and missing evidence.
Bankroll
Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 5 settled daysPicks
5 total lost
Baylor -26 pregame -25.5 · CLV -0.5 · timing unverified
“I like Baylor minus 26.”
BAY 79, HART 55 — NCAA Tournament results show Baylor beat Hartford 79-55, so Baylor failed to cover -26.
won
Manhattan +10.5 pregame +8 · CLV +2.5 · timing unverified
“Give me Manhattan at 10.5.”
SIE 64, MAN 56 — Manhattan Athletics records Siena's 64-56 win, leaving Manhattan within +10.5.
push
Old Dominion +7 pregame +6.5 · CLV +0.5 · timing unverified
“Are they a great shooting team? No, but they're better than 27%. Against UAB, a team that likes to pack it in when they get back in the half court, I think they'll knock down some shots. There's some value here on the Monarchs. I love it at plus seven. I still like it at plus six, plus six and a half. Yep, I completely agree here.”
UAB 76, ODU 69 — Old Dominion Athletics records UAB's 76-69 win, exactly matching Old Dominion +7 for a push.
won
UC San Diego +2.5 pregame +2.5 · CLV 0 · timing unverified
“I'm headed out west for my best bet. We're talking about the UC San Diego Tritons catching two and a half at the opener here, hosting UC Davis.”
UC San Diego beat UC Davis 89-69, so UC San Diego +2.5 covered.