Guest · 5-1 on settled picks
4 have calculable CLV from a stated line or price. Headline rates use 1 non-flat moves with audited evidence within 15 minutes of the start; 1 primary flat observations are excluded from the beat rate.
Quote timing: 2 within 15 minutes · 0 15–60 minutes · 0 older than 60 minutes · 2 unverified. Counts include captured quotes without numeric CLV. Parlays and prediction markets are separate. Coverage and missing evidence.
“I'm also going to stick with one of the teams for this show, Wisconsin-Notre Dame Sunday night. Oh, yeah. I'm staying away from that point spread, even though I think Notre Dame is going to wax them. I'm going with the over 46.5 points at minus 112. And that is Nuno's best bet of the day.”
ND 41, WIS 13 — Combined 54; over 46.5 covers.
“Donovan Mitchell over 30 plus points at plus one 91 at draft Kings. This has to be a Donovan Mitchell game. He has to say, I'm the leader. I'm the best player on this team on the court. I'm going to will my team to a victory.”
DET 107, CLE 97 — Donovan Mitchell scored 31 points for Cleveland in a 107-97 loss to Detroit in East Semifinals Game 2; 30+ points covers (ESPN box score). (Donovan Mitchell: 31 points)
“We're going to go to the Wolves-Spurs game and give me the Wolves at plus 9.5, and that minus 105 at DraftKings”
SA 133, MIN 95 — Spurs beat Timberwolves 133-95 in West Semifinals Game 2; Minnesota lost by 38, busting the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“And I'm going to take James Harden over 20 points at minus 101.”
DET 111, CLE 101 — James Harden scored 22 points (6-15 FG, 9-9 FT) for Cleveland in a 111-101 loss to Detroit in East Semifinals Game 1; over 20 points covers (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 22 points)
“But in honor of Canty not being here, I'm gonna do a Javonte. This is a Nuno can't lose. The Magic plus nine and a half tonight against the Pistons at minus one zero two. So you bet $10. You win, $19.80.”
DET 116, ORL 109 — Pistons beat Magic 116-109 in Game 5; Orlando lost by 7, covering the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“We're gonna go across the pond, a little EFL Cup. Oh. Preston versus Wrexham, a f, AFC. Taking Wrexham to win, they're plus two eighty, so a $100 would win you $2.80.”
Wrexham 3, Preston North End 2 — Wrexham AFC beat Preston North End 3-2 in the Carabao Cup (EFL Cup) second round on Aug 26, 2025, with Kieffer Moore scoring a stoppage-time winner; Wrexham moneyline cashes (ESPN scoreboard).