Sports Radio Host · 16-34 on settled picks
| League | futures | prop | spread | moneyline | total | parlay | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 2-4-36% | 1-5-68% | 3-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | — | 7-11-17% |
| NFL | 2-5-20% | — | 0-5-100% | 0-2 | 2-0 | — | 4-12-36% |
| MLB | — | 2-3-25% | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — | 4-6-24% |
“[2:11:59] I'm betting the Capitals tonight. [2:12:01] I know Nick is on the Capitals. [2:12:02] He was with us last segment. [2:12:04] Small bet for me as well,”
CAR 2, WSH 1 — Hurricanes beat Capitals 2-1 in OT on May 6, 2025 (East 2nd Round Game 1); the Capitals moneyline pick lost (ESPN).
“[2:13:53] Small bet for me. [2:13:54] I like the Oilers in this one tonight.”
EDM 4, VGK 2 — Oilers beat Golden Knights 4-2 on May 6, 2025 (West 2nd Round Game 1); the Oilers moneyline pick won (ESPN).
“[1:09:21] or 19th best defense this year, [1:09:23] which coupled with what Bryce Young was able to do last year offensively [1:09:26] and the rise that he had, I am betting on Bryce Young, man. [1:09:30] I know it's scary. [1:09:31] You would have slapped the taste out of my mouth if I said that last year. [1:09:33] But now it doesn't seem so crazy. And look, they're in the NFC South, right? [1:09:38] It's the weakest division of all. [1:09:40] I think too many people are still kind of high on what the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are at this stage. [1:09:45] I know they've won the division the last couple of years here. [1:09:48] And Baker Mayfield and that offense with Mike Evans and Godwin, they're bringing him back. [1:09:53] But like I think Tampa Bay is due for some regression this year. [1:09:57] The Saints are probably going to be horrendous. [1:09:59] and Atlanta I love Michael Penix love me some Penix God but they still got a lot to do I know [1:10:05] they had the two first round draft picks with the edge rushers I still need to see a lot more from [1:10:09] that Atlanta defense and you know consistency from the offense to really believe in Atlanta [1:10:14] so I think the Panthers could win the NFC South and even then if they don't I could see this team [1:10:20] winning nine games maybe even 10 and possibly sneaking in with a wild card spot here but yes [1:10:25] The Panthers at more than plus 250 odds to make the playoffs. [1:10:29] That's who I am. [1:10:30] That's who I'm backing this year. [1:10:32] I love it. [1:10:32] They're plus 270 over at BetMGM, the Carolina Panthers, to make the playoffs. [1:10:36] I think if you like that bet, like why not also bet a little Dave Canales coach of the year?”
The Panthers finished 8-9, won the NFC South via a three-way tiebreaker, and made the playoffs (lost the Wild Card round to the Rams 34-31); the Panthers-to-make-playoffs futures pick won (Wikipedia, 2025 Carolina Panthers season).
“[1:12:56] Yeah, I'm sticking in the NFC. [1:12:58] I'm going to the West. [1:12:59] And just like you and I are kind of lockstep in thinking that the Buccaneers are going to fall off this year. [1:13:04] I think the Rams are about to fall off. [1:13:06] So the Rams to miss the playoffs, which, yeah. [1:13:09] I think the last time I checked out was plus 140. [1:13:14] I know that their win total is right around nine and a half games. [1:13:18] Last time I checked as well. [1:13:20] So, look, I just I think the conversation that we had around Matthew Stafford this offseason, [1:13:25] the Rams kind of floating him out there as like, hey, why don't you see what you can get? [1:13:30] If you want to maybe look at a new contract here, if you want to try to get yourself into some trade rumors, [1:13:34] go see what your value is, see what you can get. [1:13:36] And Matthew Stafford did that. [1:13:38] And it was like, all right, are the New York Giants going to trade for him? [1:13:40] Are the Las Vegas Raiders going to trade for him? [1:13:42] And I think Matthew Stafford realized that his best chance of ever winning another title or even getting back to the playoffs is by staying with the L.A. Rams. [1:13:50] But I think the Rams were almost kind of like, hey, we can have you back. [1:13:56] We also wouldn't mind moving on. [1:13:58] And I think the Rams were ready to take Jackson Dart at 26 before the Giants jumped him and took him at 25. [1:14:03] And then you saw the Rams trade out of the first round, which I thought was a dumb idea. [1:14:07] Like you should have had something to pivot to. [1:14:09] you're you know for all those years less need f them picks right but like no no no you need a [1:14:14] first round pick right you needed a first round pick this year because how many more years are [1:14:18] you going to have with this core with Matthew Stafford they got rid of Cooper Cup and they [1:14:22] brought in another aging receiver in Devante Adams who he's still good not nearly what he used to be [1:14:28] and I think there's just a lot of backing and betting that Huka Nakua is going to continue to [1:14:32] rise up and be a top receiver in football and then even with their first draft pick they took You had an offensive line that was in shambles last year You had a very young defense that I think overachieved and they went with another tight end They went with Terrence Ferguson [1:14:47] I just don't understand the draft from the L.A. Rams this year, [1:14:51] and I just mostly think that Stafford is going to fall off. [1:14:54] He's going to look a lot older. [1:14:57] He's going to look like a 37-year-old that, yes, [1:14:59] played great in the postseason last year, [1:15:01] nearly led them back in the snow in Philadelphia, [1:15:03] but I just think that there is regression coming from Matthew Stafford. [1:15:08] I think there's regression coming for that Rams defense, [1:15:10] which offset how young they were last year by being able to generate a lot of turnovers. [1:15:14] I'm just not a big believer, and we've kind of done this song and dance with it. [1:15:17] Is Sean McVay going to retire? Is he not going to retire? [1:15:20] I think this might be the year that finally pushes Sean McVay out the door into retirement here. [1:15:26] I am betting against the Rams to make the playoffs. [1:15:29] Wow. I mean, these are harsh words here, Pat.”
The Rams finished 12-5, made the playoffs, and reached the NFC Championship Game (lost to Seattle 31-27); the Rams-to-miss-playoffs futures pick lost (Wikipedia, 2025 Los Angeles Rams season).
“[1:08:33] Now, that's very interesting that you said that because I like Brock Purdy, [1:08:37] and that's a guy that I'd be willing to bet on for MVP at plus 1600.”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award; Brock Purdy was not among the five finalists (ESPN; Wikipedia: NFL Honors).
“[1:17:34] I like it at plus 1600. [1:17:36] I'm probably going to throw a couple bucks on it. [1:17:37] My favorite pick, the only other MVP award that I'm going to play before the season starts is going to be Joe Burrow,”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award over fellow finalist Joe Burrow (Wikipedia: NFL Honors).
“[1:18:10] Like I saw it, and I'm like, ooh, I'm almost certainly going to bet this. [1:18:15] And I'm probably going to put a decent chunk of change on it. [1:18:19] The New England Patriots to start 0-5. [1:18:23] How about that? [1:18:24] Under the NFL season specials bets, team season specials, [1:18:28] where you can find all their win totals to make or miss the playoffs, all that. [1:18:31] If I had to ask you, and you can look at the schedule. [1:18:35] You don't have to look at the schedule if you want. [1:18:38] As I ask you this question here, [1:18:39] what do you think the odds are on the New England Patriots to start 0-5, [1:18:44] which is, again, offered by BetMGM? [1:18:48] At Cincinnati, home for Seattle, at the Jets, at the 49ers, [1:18:54] back home against Miami. [1:18:57] That's a tough five-game stretch. [1:18:59] I'm going to say, assuming Vegas may be down a bit on Seattle, [1:19:04] although I don't know that that's entirely true. [1:19:07] I'm going to say Patriots to go 0-5 is plus 175. [1:19:17] Yeah, now go ahead and double that, and that's where you're at, at plus 350. [1:19:24] And to me, that's a joke. [1:19:27] To me, that is a bet that I am going to jump all over”
New England beat Cincinnati 16-10 in Week 1 and went 1-4 over their first five games of 2024, not 0-5 (ESPN schedule).
“[2:11:28] And he's got an aggressive, passing-minded head coach now. [2:11:31] And he's got no Derrick Henry. [2:11:33] All those factors combined, I feel like this line that BetMGM is giving us at 3465, 3,465 yards, doesn't take into account all those factors that I gave to you.”
Will Levis passed for 2,091 yards in the 2024 regular season, well under the 3,465-yard line (NFL.com). (Will Levis: 2,091 passing yards)
“[2:54:05] I'm glad you mentioned that because I literally, [2:54:07] that was my next bet. [2:54:08] I promise you that was my next bet. [2:54:10] Either whether you got it at eight or eight and a half, [2:54:12] I'm taking the over with the Orioles and the Mets”
BAL 9, NYM 5 — Baltimore beat New York 9-5 on Aug 20, 2024; combined 14 runs covers the over 8 (ESPN box score).
“[2:54:40] Last bet for me, by the way, Luis Heal over five and a half strikeouts against the Cleveland Guardians. [2:54:46] That's a plus money on Ben MGM, plus 105.”
CLE 9, NYY 5 — Luis Gil recorded 3 strikeouts over 3.0 innings as Cleveland beat New York 9-5 on Aug 20, 2024, missing the over 5.5 strikeouts (ESPN box score). (Luis Gil: 3 strikeouts)
“[1:26:36] Manning Chargers quote-unquote fans in that building in LA so I I still love that bet for you [1:26:42] and I love that bet for myself week one Raiders plus four and a half and a little bit on the money [1:26:49] line as well.”
LAC 22, LV 10 — Chargers beat Raiders 22-10 in Week 1; Raiders lost by 12, missing the +4.5 cover (ESPN).
“[1:26:42] and I love that bet for myself week one Raiders plus four and a half and a little bit on the money [1:26:49] line as well.”
LAC 22, LV 10 — Raiders lost 22-10 to the Chargers in Week 1; moneyline busts (ESPN).
“My my big underdog bet I think for week one is going to [1:27:01] be the Titans plus four and a half and on the money line as well”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Bears beat Titans 24-17 in Week 1; Titans lost by 7, missing the +4.5 cover (ESPN).
“[1:26:54] really opened your eyes so far in week one? My my big underdog bet I think for week one is going to [1:27:01] be the Titans plus four and a half and on the money line as well”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Titans lost 24-17 to the Bears in Week 1; moneyline busts (ESPN).
“[2:17:47] So you're getting that very, very close to even money. [2:17:50] And I think at worst, Tiafoe takes a set in this one. [2:17:53] But I also, I think he goes ahead and he wins the match as a plus 260 dog.”
Sinner def. Tiafoe 7-6, 6-2 — Jannik Sinner beat Frances Tiafoe 7-6(4), 6-2 in the 2024 Cincinnati Open final; Tiafoe's moneyline busts (ATP Tour).
“[2:17:32] you find Tiafoe versus center, and you go to handicaps where it says set spread. [2:17:37] Francis Tiafoe plus one and a half. [2:17:39] That means my man, our guy, Big Foe, has to win one set. [2:17:43] Best of three, he's got to win one set. [2:17:45] That is minus 110 right now.”
Sinner def. Tiafoe 7-6, 6-2 — Tiafoe lost the Cincinnati final to Sinner in straight sets, 7-6(4), 6-2, missing the +1.5 sets cover (ATP Tour).
“[2:52:50] And with that, I will give you best bet number one for me, [2:52:54] and that is David Peterson under 16.5 outs. [2:52:57] you're drinking a little bit of juice with this one minus 150, [2:53:00] but I think it's fair.”
NYM 4, BAL 3 — David Peterson pitched 7.0 innings (21 outs) with 8 strikeouts as the Mets beat the Orioles 4-3 on Aug 19, 2024, well over the 16.5-outs line (ESPN box score). (David Peterson: 7.0 IP (21 outs), 8 strikeouts)
“[2:55:01] And then lastly, not just because his last name is Boyle, [2:55:04] but I'm getting Joe Boyle over five and a half K's, [2:55:07] and I'm getting it at minus 110 on BetMGM.”
OAK 3, TB 0 — Joe Boyle recorded 6 strikeouts over 6.0 innings as Oakland beat Tampa Bay 3-0 on Aug 19, 2024, covering the over 5.5 strikeouts (ESPN box score). (Joe Boyle: 6 strikeouts)
“[2:49:13] So everybody is riding on that under tonight. [2:49:15] No matter what number you got it at, I got it at 35 and a half. [2:49:19] That's my play. [2:49:19] That's my best bet.”
PHI 14, NE 13 — Eagles beat Patriots 14-13 (combined 27); under 35.5 covers.
“[2:50:06] honest I also took a little alternate under as well here Rob Brown which you can do on BetMGM [2:50:10] under 30 and a half at the time that I got it was plus 170.”
PHI 14, NE 13 — Eagles beat Patriots 14-13 (combined 27); alternate under 30.5 covers.
“[35:23] Possibly. But I'm going to go ahead and bet. No, I'm going to go ahead and bet. No. So I'm [35:28] going to go ahead and take the A's and I'm going to take their team total over three and a half [35:33] runs, which is plus money, plus 105 on BetMGM. Give me the A's over three and a half runs.”
1-9 — Oakland scored just 1 run in a 9-1 loss at the Mets, under the 3.5-run team total (ESPN box score).
“[35:40] And also, after they shellacked their former teammate, Paul Blackburn, yesterday, [35:45] go ahead and give me the A's on the money line as well. A little sprinkle on the money line at [35:49] plus 170.”
1-9 — Oakland lost 9-1 to the Mets on August 14, 2024; A's moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[37:40] walked twice last night, he still racked up two hits. And the game before that, he racked up two [37:46] hits in an RBI while getting walked. So I'm taking Aaron Judge over two and a half, hits, runs, RBIs. [37:53] That's minus 120 on BetMGM.”
10-2 — Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with a home run for 2 hits, 2 runs, and 3 RBI (7 combined) in the Yankees' 10-2 win, clearing the 2.5 line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Judge: 2 hits, 2 runs, 3 RBI)
“[42:36] in Cincinnati. Big second tier tournament behind the Grand Slams. I'm going to a little favorite [42:41] parlay here. Jordan Thompson on the money line and Daniil Medvedev on the money line. You parlay [42:47] those two, you get minus 116 odds. I think they both get the job done tonight.”
Thompson beat Humbert in three sets, but Medvedev lost to Lehecka 7-6(2), 6-4, so the Thompson-Medvedev moneyline parlay busts (ATP Tour).
“[27:43] So I think just those reasons alone plays into the fact that I like over 18 and a half passing touchdowns.”
Jayden Daniels threw 25 passing touchdowns in his 2024 rookie regular season, clearing the 18.5 line (ESPN player stats). (25 passing TDs)
“[2:35] I am going with a four point dog as well on the road in week one. I love the Titans plus four [2:43] going up against the Chicago Bears.”
CHI 24, TEN 17 — Bears beat Titans 24-17; Tennessee lost by 7, missing the +4 cover (ESPN box score).
“[10:33] I like the Dolphins, minus three and a half going up against the Jaguars.”
MIA 20, JAX 17 — Dolphins beat Jaguars 20-17 on a walk-off field goal; Miami's 3-point margin fell short of the -3.5 line (ESPN box score).
“[2:17:41] Because I'm ready to hammer 16 and a half for the good old US of A.”
98-87 — The United States beat France 98-87 in the Paris Olympics gold-medal game, winning by 11 points, short of covering -16.5 (ESPN).
“[2:19:59] I'll start. [2:20:00] I said it before. [2:20:01] I was leaning that way. [2:20:03] And now I'm locking it in. [2:20:04] The Atlanta Falcons minus three.”
20-13 — Miami beat Atlanta 20-13 in the preseason game; the Falcons lost outright and their -3 spread busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:25:18] So give me under 8.5. [2:25:20] half it was at one point now I'm seeing a flat eight and you know what I'm still gonna take it [2:25:25] under eight on bet MGM Mets and the Mariners”
6-0 — Seattle shut out New York 6-0; the combined 6 runs stayed under the total of 8 (ESPN recap).
“[1:53:11] Buzelas, Matas Buzelis, whatever, Buzelas from the Chicago Bulls. [1:53:15] Plus 900. [1:53:17] He's the fourth choice on the board, the 11th overall pick in the draft. [1:53:20] double digit points in four of the Bulls five summer league games Tyler what about Buzelas and [1:53:25] his price at plus 900 yeah so this is this we talked about this in the mock draft like this is [1:53:31] one of my guys from before the season I like him a ton just because he already we already have a [1:53:35] year of him playing in the pros he played in the G League night last year he didn't go to college [1:53:39] so he asked him and Ron Holland have a full year of playing against professionals playing time might [1:53:44] be an issue but I think he's going to be a lot better than what we've seen early on and if the [1:53:48] Chicago Bulls like end up just like selling some of these guys off like if Zach Levine goes that's [1:53:53] going to open up a ton of shots for Matis Buscellas I think he's like Reed Shepard we wait and see but [1:53:59] like the talent is all there for him to have I think a monster rookie season and we've seen him [1:54:03] against pros already which I think is huge and some of these guys we haven't seen so at least [1:54:06] we know his game kind of translates to the NBA I think he's phenomenal I think he's going to be [1:54:10] really good for years for the Chicago Bulls wait and see on Matis Buscellas right now yeah I agree [1:54:16] disagree. Yeah, no, I agree. I'm probably going to jump in and throw 10 bucks on him to win rookie [1:54:21] of the year. Not my favorite pick, but one of them probably second or third favorite pick. But [1:54:27] you know, again, I like what Tyler said. If the Bulls decide to sell off, I think they are well [1:54:31] on their way to doing that. We saw DeMar DeRozan already go to the Kings. I think they are going to [1:54:35] try desperately to get Zach Levine and that 40 plus million dollars a year the hell off their [1:54:41] books. And then finally, if they really want to commit to a rebuild, I think there's a chance they [1:54:45] trade Nikola Vucevic by the trade deadline. I know Boozelis is not a five. He's traditionally a [1:54:50] four, but at six foot nine, he could potentially play the five if they go small ball lineup. So I [1:54:56] think the chances that the Bulls really go full rebuild is high. And even then, I think when he's [1:55:02] on the floor, he's going to be a beneficiary of some really good passing from Josh Giddey, [1:55:08] who they got in the trade for Alex Caruso. I think they want Giddey to probably score as much, [1:55:13] if not less than he did in OKC, which wasn't a whole hell of a lot. [1:55:17] And then the fact that Kobe White is going to draw double teams and triple teams [1:55:21] and the best defenders on the other team each and every time, [1:55:24] I think that just will open up more space on the floor for Boozellis, [1:55:27] who's a good rim cutter, who's a good slasher. [1:55:29] I think he's got a really, really high upside. [1:55:32] And again, given where the Bulls are at, which is borderline full out rebuild, [1:55:36] tear it down, I think he's got a decent shot to win rookie of the year. [1:55:39] I'm putting $10 on him this year.”
Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 Kia NBA Rookie of the Year award; Matas Buzelis was not the winner (NBA.com). (NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“[2:00:11] And then I'm also putting $10 on Donovan Klingon as well. [2:00:14] This is mostly a fade of DeAndre Ayton, who is a stiff, who I think Portland might trade this year anyway, [2:00:19] which would then open up the way for Donovan Clingan to play a ton of minutes.”
Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 Kia NBA Rookie of the Year award; Donovan Clingan was not the winner (NBA.com). (NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“[13:49] And Nick, I know we're going to talk baseball later. [13:51] I'm just letting you know now, I've got a big ticket Yankees money line tonight. [13:54] I did get a boost on a different book, so I did shop around to get a nice little boost to get the Yankees to plus money.”
NYY 2, NYM 3 — The Mets beat the Yankees 3-2 on July 23, 2024; the Yankees moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“[2:50:27] spot. The Mets did not get back until 5 [2:50:29] 30 in the morning. So [2:50:30] a little sleepy, tired eyes. The Yankees did [2:50:33] a day game yesterday against the Rays. They [2:50:35] smacked them 9-1. They're home again. [2:50:37] I'm taking the Yanks on the run line at plus [2:50:38] 120.”
NYY 2, NYM 3 — The Yankees lost to the Mets 3-2, a margin of -1, falling short of -1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Stephon Castle is a guy that we saw do it for UConn, so I would say he's close to NBA ready, and he's going to be playing with Wembenyama, so you know the assist numbers are going to be through the roof.”
Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year award (92 of 100 first-place votes). (2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“anything stand out to you? You think a guy that's worth a bet? Oh, that's a tough one to put my finger on. Yeah, I don't know if I can definitively give you one there because you got a lot of guys that are very, very unproven. You know, we look up and down the line. Stephon Castle is a guy that we saw do it for UConn, so I would say he's close to NBA ready, and he's going to be playing with Wembenyama, so you know the assist numbers are going to be through the roof. Edie went very, very high at nine. So he's got a chance to be a star alongside John Morant in Memphis. I would say those two guys, it would probably be my best bet.”
Stephon Castle won the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year award, not Zach Edey, so the Edey futures bet lost. (2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“Just like you said they had those game two performances against Miami against Cleveland So I think this is a good storm tonight for the Pacers All right So that uh that the side you on tonight We drop the dope ass beat here Grant and uh getting into some more picks but a reminder from our friends at bed MGM to play our free to play bed MGM swing for the fences promotion for a chance to win daily prizes. You can play as the batter, pick an area of the strike zone, get a single double triple home run or fly out reward types include parlay boost tokens, odds boost tokens, short game parlay boost tokens, bonus spins, and bonus bets. All right, so Pat is rolling with Indy plus seven and a half tonight. Pat, we're in commercial break, and I talked myself into a bet.”
BOS 105, IND 102 — Celtics beat Pacers 105-102 in Game 4, so Indiana's +7.5 spread covered by a 3-point loss (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, so I am indeed rolling with Indy plus seven and a half. And I like the over again. You know, it's gone over all three times, 222 and a half tonight. These teams haven't shot the ball, you know, extremely well in all three games. And it's gone over 225, 236, those last two. And even in game one regulation, there was 27 less points minus the finals. I think that matches up my quick math is 224. So I think even in regulation, it would have gone over all three times. So I do like the over here. I think, like I said before in the show, if you missed any of it, use the Odyssey app and you can use the rewind function to listen back to previous parts of the show. I said, whereas a defensive minded team, like, you know, you expect a scrappy, gritty, gutsy defensive effort, maybe a lower scoring game with their season on the line as they try to win a game four. I think the Pacers, you know, their version of that is just playing faster, playing more high up tempo, playing more high octane offense. And for your first quarter bet, PJ, I hope that Rick Carlisle starts TJ McConnell over Ben Shepard tonight. I hope that's the change that he makes because Ben Shepard did absolutely nothing starting last game, did nothing all game long. No business being in that starting lineup. Let TJ McConnell go to work right away with Nembhard when they were on the floor together. That's when they were at their best. So hopefully Rick Carlisle makes a change that would help you and I. I like the over 222 and a half. I like the Pacers plus seven and a half.”
BOS 105, IND 102 — Celtics beat Pacers 105-102 in Game 4 (207 combined points), under the 222.5 total (ESPN box score).
“I like the Pacers plus seven and a half. The one player prop I like is you're going with the one big man, Siakam. I'm going with the other, Myles Turner over 17 and a half. He's gone over two out of the three games so far. He's a guy that I think is going to be aggressive and he can shoot the threes. Obviously, he proved that throughout this postseason, throughout his last couple of years as a player. And I just think he has no problem taking it to the rack, getting this crowd fired up. And I think you can expect a big first half out of Myles Turner. Really quickly, I'm going to put $5 on Derrick White double-double at plus 9.50 on BetMGM.”
Myles Turner scored 8 points in Game 4, under the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (Turner: 8 points)
“Really quickly, I'm going to put $5 on Derrick White double-double at plus 9.50 on BetMGM. I was saying before, you know, again, going with my thinking that Boston might have the propensity to kind of just ease their way into this game. They don't really care if they sweep them because they're super confident they can win at home in game five. I think this is a game where, you know, Derrick White's kind of struggled in this series. Maybe Jason Tatum and Jalen Brown just say, hey, why don't you play make, man? Why don't you go ahead and be the guy tonight for us? And I think you get a big game out of Derrick White, and you get 10 assists to go along with that. He had nine assists in game one. He's had six and seven in the last two. Ideally, he's going to get 10 assists as part of a double-double. I think he can easily get there tonight. Not easily, but I think he can. Plus 950, I like that. I'll put five bucks on it. All right, very nice.”
Derrick White finished Game 4 with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, falling short of a double-double (ESPN box score). (White: 16 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists)
“I am taking the Knicks money line, plus 125, BetMGM.”
Knicks 118-115 — New York beat Philadelphia 118-115 in Game 6; Knicks moneyline won (ESPN box score).
“Deuce McBride for the Knicks over nine and a half points.”
Miles McBride scored 3 points in Game 6 vs Philadelphia, under 9.5 (ESPN box score). (McBride: 3 points)
“Give me campaign over three and a half points.”
Cameron Payne scored 6 points in Game 6 vs Philadelphia, clearing 3.5 (ESPN box score). (Payne: 6 points)
“I think this series price is sorely mispriced here. That's my favorite bet of the entire first round of the NBA playoffs. Mark, I know you said you mentioned you like taking it. I think we're kind of lockstep, which now kind of scares me that I am part and parcel of a Sixers fan. But the Knicks, you know, BetMGM, you don't get the best price. I shopped around DraftKings minus 105. The Knicks are actually considered the underdog. They're not plus money, but the Sixers are actually priced higher than the Knicks on DraftKings. So I like the Knicks minus 105 as the series winner.”
New York beat Philadelphia 4-2 in the East First Round, satisfying the Knicks-series-winner market at -105 (ESPN game recap). (Knicks won series 4-2)
“I'm sprinkling the Knicks minus one and a half games at plus 210.”
NYK 111, PHI 104 — New York beat Philadelphia 111-104 in Game 1 on April 20, 2024, covering Knicks -1.5 games (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I think I mentioned this with you guys as well when we were kind of when we had the Mavs and the Clippers locked in. I said, you know, I've got I'm throwing a dart from a mile away here at this one. This just feels like these two teams are evenly matched. I said I like it to go seven. I think that MGM has seven games at plus 220 right now. I was kind of hoping to get a little bit higher. So the Mavs, Mavericks to win in seven at plus 700 on BetMGM. That's a bet that I like for that series. You know, again, I just think these two teams are going to go back and forth with each other.”
Dallas beat the Clippers 4-2, not the exact 4-3 result needed for this series-score prop (ESPN game recap). (Mavericks won series 4-2)
“And I think right now, you know, shopping around as well, Nuggets, Lakers, over five and a half games, minus 140. Sure. I'll take the Lakers to win two games in this series. I'm taking that. Absolutely. Wow. I was going to go with maybe it goes five games, but six. That's interesting. Okay.”
Denver beat the Lakers 4-1, so the series ended in 5 games, under the 5.5-games line (ESPN game recap). (Series length: 5 games)
“the Cavs are two and a half point favorites I think they win the game I'll lay the two and a half points Mark”
CLE 129, IND 120 — Cleveland beat Indiana 129-120 on 2024-04-12, a 9-point margin that covers the Cavaliers' -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“So I'm going DiVincenzo over three and a half threes”
NYK 111, BKN 107 — Donte DiVincenzo made 2 of 8 three-pointers as the Knicks beat the Nets 111-107 on 2024-04-12, under the 3.5 made-threes line (ESPN box score). (Donte DiVincenzo: 2 made threes (2-8 3PT))
“I'm going Noah Clowney double double plus 225 I think it's good value”
NYK 111, BKN 107 — Noah Clowney finished with 9 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 assists as the Knicks beat the Nets 111-107 on 2024-04-12, not a double-double (ESPN box score). (Noah Clowney: 9 pts / 5 reb / 2 ast)