Notre Dame Fighting Irish under 10.5 wins
“[1:37:52] And that kind of goes to another theme, which is just about everybody but Georgia
[1:37:56] and Ohio State at 10.5, go under because all it takes is two losses.
[1:38:01] You get that one, especially early on if you're the Irish,
[1:38:03] it's probably the better play that maybe they might drop one the other way.”
Notre Dame went 11-1 in the 2024 regular season, finishing above the 10.5 win total (ESPN). (Notre Dame regular season: 11-1)
Oregon Ducks under 10.5 wins
“[1:40:42] And, again, when you're looking at 10-1⁄2, all you need is two,
[1:40:45] and there's your under.
[1:40:47] So there's a loss coming in there somewhere,
[1:40:49] And there's enough 50-50 games elsewhere in there where, hey, if Dylan Gabriel gets hurt, if something goes wrong, all you're looking for is two losses and a much better conference.
[1:40:58] I think you go the under on Oregon on this.”
Oregon finished the 2024 regular season 12-0, well above the 10.5 win total (ESPN). (Oregon regular season: 12-0)
New Mexico Lobos over 2.5 wins
“[1:41:27] Two teams that have win totals of two and a half. New Mexico, Kent State, Temple.
[1:41:32] Either you want to hit on the one you love most or a little bit on all three of them.
[1:41:36] Why should we be rooting for those little mid-major schools to notch three wins or more this year?
[1:41:43] I'm talking to people who should know this already.
[1:41:47] You know, New Mexico versus New Mexico state money is just as good as Alabama versus LSU money.
[1:41:53] However you got to get there, hey, money, this is all business at this point.
[1:41:57] But the point being that I always, when it comes to win totals, especially in college football,
[1:42:01] I always like the two extremes.
[1:42:03] I always kind of, if you ever get a win total of 11, go under, because most likely at worst you're going to push,
[1:42:09] because there's always a loss in there somewhere.
[1:42:12] That's why I like the 10.5 unders, mostly except for Georgia and Ohio State.
[1:42:16] And the same thing goes on the upside.
[1:42:18] Because all these teams, even the worst of the worst teams in the FBS side of college football,
[1:42:23] they've got a base of one or two wins in there somewhere.
[1:42:26] All you need is a weird day somehow, and there's your three wins.
[1:42:30] So if you're looking at Temple at 2.5 wins, it's not a lot on there that you're going to love.
[1:42:35] I mean, they could win at UConn.
[1:42:36] They could win at Tulsa.
[1:42:38] They don't have a bunch of just absolute easy layups.
[1:42:41] But they do have a decent enough team where they could possibly get to three wins or more.
[1:42:46] I'm a little more bullish on New Mexico.”
New Mexico went 5-7 in 2024, clearing the 2.5 win total (ESPN). (New Mexico regular season: 5-7)
Memphis Tigers to make the College Football Playoff (+600) · BetMGM
“[1:44:04] Which one do you like?
[1:44:05] Boise State again.
[1:44:05] I like Memphis a little bit more than Boise State.
[1:44:08] Memphis.
[1:44:09] Okay.
[1:44:10] All right.
[1:44:10] Memphis to make the college football playoff.
[1:44:12] Pete, appreciate it.
[1:44:13] Great job as always.
[1:44:14] People check out, and that's plus 600 at BetMGM, Memphis,
[1:44:18] to make the college football playoff.”
Memphis was left out of the 12-team CFP field announced Dec. 8, 2024; Oregon, Georgia, Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Tennessee, Indiana, Boise State, SMU, Alabama and Arizona State made the field (ESPN).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -20
“Like maybe Notre Dame is that much better than Navy. I think they're 20-point favorites right now. Yeah, take Notre Dame.”
42-3 — Notre Dame beat Navy 42-3 in Dublin, a 39-point margin that covers the -20 spread (ESPN box score).