Sports Radio Host · 9-22 on settled picks
| League | futures | prop | parlay | other | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 3-12-62% | 5-3+19% | 0-4 | 0-3 | 8-22-49% |
“walker kessler's been taking threes and actually hitting them so that's around plus 140 on bet mgm when i bet that for over half a three”
PHX 118, UTA 96 — Walker Kessler went 0-for-0 on three-pointers as the Suns beat the Jazz 118-96 (ESPN box score); over 0.5 threes made loses. (Walker Kessler 0 three-pointers made (0-0, 29 min))
“Denver over Atlanta was around 400 to one.”
The San Antonio Spurs won the West and the New York Knicks won the East in the 2026 NBA playoffs (Wikipedia); neither Denver nor Atlanta won their conference, so the parlay loses. (2026 conference champions: Spurs (West), Knicks (East))
“you're in Denver over Orlando, 100 to one.”
The San Antonio Spurs won the West and the New York Knicks won the East in the 2026 NBA playoffs (Wikipedia); neither Denver nor Orlando won their conference, so the parlay loses. (2026 conference champions: Spurs (West), Knicks (East))
“Cleveland and the Knicks were around the 70, 80 mark.”
The San Antonio Spurs won the West and the New York Knicks won the East in the 2026 NBA playoffs (Wikipedia); neither Denver nor Cleveland won their conference, so the parlay loses. (2026 conference champions: Spurs (West), Knicks (East))
“Cleveland and the Knicks were around the 70, 80 mark.”
The San Antonio Spurs, not Denver, won the 2026 Western Conference (Wikipedia); even though New York did win the East, Denver's leg fails so the parlay loses. (2026 conference champions: Spurs (West), Knicks (East))
“Also, just went into Denver by themselves.”
The San Antonio Spurs, not Denver, won the 2026 Western Conference, defeating Oklahoma City in the Conference Finals (Wikipedia). (2026 Western Conference champion: Spurs)
“I got it at 12 a while back.”
The New York Knicks swept the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals (Wikipedia); Atlanta did not reach the Conference Finals. (2026 Eastern Conference Finals: Knicks swept Cavaliers)
“[1:32:19] first betting thought after we heard the news about Wemby? I wish it had gone to win total, [1:32:26] but it did go to defensive player of the year. And my first move was, oh God, who else do I have? [1:32:33] because you make bets throughout the year. [1:32:37] And of course, we all track all of our stuff. [1:32:39] If you're trying to especially kind of portfolio this, [1:32:43] you definitely have to keep track of everything. [1:32:45] And I was very happy that I have some Jaren Jackson Jr., [1:32:49] some Evan Mobley at long numbers, [1:32:51] or much longer, obviously, than they are now. [1:32:54] So I felt covered in that regard [1:32:55] and was just interested to see [1:32:57] what was going to happen from Oklahoma City [1:32:59] because you knew someone was going to come up, [1:33:02] whether it was Lou Dort or SGA or J-Dub. [1:33:05] And it seems like with a lot of the market, it's like, okay, probably Dort, [1:33:10] but the other guys aren't too far behind in case there's any splash, [1:33:13] anything splash-wise that happens. [1:33:15] Like, I got a little bit of Dort on top of that because I think he'll be the one. [1:33:19] Even though SGA gets the stocks more, like, [1:33:23] their defense is predicated on the perimeter, [1:33:26] and that's really been a key for them. [1:33:29] So if you're telling the narrative, [1:33:31] if we're already going with narrative of maybe not the best individual case, [1:33:34] but the best team defense, you can lean into narrative even more. [1:33:37] And he's the guy that is your on-ball dude for the top offensive players on other teams. [1:33:42] So I think even though he might not have a statistical profile from your counting stats perspective, [1:33:47] I think he's the one that would probably get the most look from Oklahoma City, [1:33:51] especially with SGA already seemingly having a stranglehold on MVP.”
Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) was named the 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year, not Jaren Jackson Jr. (Wikipedia NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award page).
“[1:32:19] first betting thought after we heard the news about Wemby? I wish it had gone to win total, [1:32:26] but it did go to defensive player of the year. And my first move was, oh God, who else do I have? [1:32:33] because you make bets throughout the year. [1:32:37] And of course, we all track all of our stuff. [1:32:39] If you're trying to especially kind of portfolio this, [1:32:43] you definitely have to keep track of everything. [1:32:45] And I was very happy that I have some Jaren Jackson Jr., [1:32:49] some Evan Mobley at long numbers, [1:32:51] or much longer, obviously, than they are now. [1:32:54] So I felt covered in that regard [1:32:55] and was just interested to see [1:32:57] what was going to happen from Oklahoma City [1:32:59] because you knew someone was going to come up, [1:33:02] whether it was Lou Dort or SGA or J-Dub. [1:33:05] And it seems like with a lot of the market, it's like, okay, probably Dort, [1:33:10] but the other guys aren't too far behind in case there's any splash, [1:33:13] anything splash-wise that happens. [1:33:15] Like, I got a little bit of Dort on top of that because I think he'll be the one. [1:33:19] Even though SGA gets the stocks more, like, [1:33:23] their defense is predicated on the perimeter, [1:33:26] and that's really been a key for them. [1:33:29] So if you're telling the narrative, [1:33:31] if we're already going with narrative of maybe not the best individual case, [1:33:34] but the best team defense, you can lean into narrative even more. [1:33:37] And he's the guy that is your on-ball dude for the top offensive players on other teams. [1:33:42] So I think even though he might not have a statistical profile from your counting stats perspective, [1:33:47] I think he's the one that would probably get the most look from Oklahoma City, [1:33:51] especially with SGA already seemingly having a stranglehold on MVP.”
Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) was named the 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year (Wikipedia NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award page).
“[1:32:54] So I felt covered in that regard [1:32:55] and was just interested to see [1:32:57] what was going to happen from Oklahoma City [1:32:59] because you knew someone was going to come up, [1:33:02] whether it was Lou Dort or SGA or J-Dub. [1:33:05] And it seems like with a lot of the market, it's like, okay, probably Dort, [1:33:10] but the other guys aren't too far behind in case there's any splash, [1:33:13] anything splash-wise that happens. [1:33:15] Like, I got a little bit of Dort on top of that because I think he'll be the one.”
Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) was named the 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year, not Luguentz Dort (Wikipedia NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award page).
“[1:35:14] when Binyama sees an ending injury. Yeah, I'm fascinated on how this affects Castle, [1:35:20] just because it's just how many guards can the Spurs play at once as part of the problem, [1:35:25] but when in the role he's in right now, Castle pretty much just gets to run things more or less [1:35:32] and dictate terms, so it's going to be a balance of what happens to his efficiency with [1:35:39] conceivably more volume. [1:35:42] And, you know, can he be out there with, like, [1:35:46] are there matchups where you can play, [1:35:49] like, I don't know if you could ever play Vassell at the four [1:35:51] in, like, crazy small lineups. [1:35:53] Because the thing is, too, it's like, okay, [1:35:55] Charles Bassey's back in the lineup tonight, which helps. [1:35:59] But, like, I just don't... [1:36:01] I think he's the rightful favorite. [1:36:04] And, like, I've got plenty of him, so I'm happy with that. [1:36:08] but I just really don't know what it ends up being. [1:36:11] Like, what's going to get picked into his case if someone else emerges? [1:36:17] Is it going to be his lack of efficiency? [1:36:19] He's going to have numbers. [1:36:20] Like, I don't think the rebounding is going to keep up. [1:36:22] Like, last night, he had 10 boards on 10 rebounding chances. [1:36:25] So, like, you're not going to do that. [1:36:28] You're probably going to be closer to, like, 50% [1:36:29] in terms of converting rebounding chances into actual rebounds. [1:36:34] So, like, that's probably not going to keep up. [1:36:37] but I think he's the rightful favorite. [1:36:39] I think he's got every chance to be able to keep this going. [1:36:43] So as long as his efficiency doesn't totally tank down the stretch, [1:36:46] as he maybe gets a little more attention on him as well, [1:36:49] I think he's really good there for rookie of the year.”
Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) was named the 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year (Wikipedia NBA Rookie of the Year Award page).
“[1:41:34] and i really like denver especially at the price of plus 550 i get okc's the best team in the west [1:41:39] arguably all the nba their defense is fantastic but to me this is priced like a team that's been [1:41:44] there you know a team that's been to the finals a team that's won championships and it's kind of [1:41:48] just all projection off of obviously how they looked last year how they were playing up to this [1:41:53] season I mean Denver's won nine in a row they still have the best player in the world do you [1:41:58] think the gap between those two teams is as big as the odds are saying or do you like the value [1:42:02] on Denver at plus 550 I do like Denver I do want to see them a little bit now with Westbrook back [1:42:10] because that's the thing is like they went on this win streak when you had Westbrook out and [1:42:17] Gordon out initially, then Westbrook, then MPJ, then Gordon comes back a little bit. [1:42:23] Like, now you've got everybody. [1:42:25] So how is that rotation going to shake out? [1:42:28] I like that Christian Brown is staying in the starting lineup, and that Malone is working [1:42:32] the rotation, at least from the one-game sample that we have, of still getting Westbrook minutes [1:42:36] with Jokic, because Westbrook with Jokic, good. [1:42:40] Westbrook without Jokic, really bad. [1:42:43] And, like, I understand that's the way for a lot of players, because Jokic is incredible, [1:42:46] but I think really for him with his specific skill set, [1:42:50] he needs as much time with Jokic as possible, [1:42:52] but I also don't think it's beneficial to have him with the starters. [1:42:55] So I do want to see that. [1:42:57] I really do think Oklahoma City is that good, [1:43:01] but I also do like the price on Denver. [1:43:03] So as long as nothing catastrophic happens to Denver, I do like them. [1:43:07] I have a little bit of them at a longer price. [1:43:10] I think this is, if Denver goes any lower than this,”
The Oklahoma City Thunder, not the Denver Nuggets, won the 2025 Western Conference and went on to win the NBA Finals over Indiana (Wikipedia 2025 NBA Finals page).
“more gross one from uh from that point in time so yes the charlotte hornets over just because you look at what their starting lineup is if they get any relative health like with lamello you have brandon miller and you know grant williams was good for them and then if mark williams can play this year. They actually did add a little bit of depth, and we're talking relatively for like bottom end teams in the East. So 29 and a half wins considering how many other teams are tanking. And even though their new front office has said like they're more open to truly tanking, I think their roster's a little bit better than like Brooklyn's going to be horrific. Washington's going to be bad. Detroit's going to be bad. The Bulls are worse. The Hawks are meh. so like what are you looking at in the bottom of the east when you're looking at even like the ninth spot on down there's not a whole lot there so there could just be a couple cheap wins there and they probably have maybe one of the better starting lineups of that group so i think if they can get any sort of health luck like getting the 30 wins probably isn't that much of a stretch for that so i like them actually i like detroit over like get any sort of competent coaching”
The Charlotte Hornets finished the 2024-25 regular season 19-63, well below the 29.5 win total. (Charlotte Hornets: 19-63)
“that so i like them actually i like detroit over like get any sort of competent coaching they have more guys to be able to put together competent lineups around cade cunningham like it's open 22 and a half it's already up to 24 and a half i think minus 110 pretty much everywhere uh i like that i don't think they're going to be good but like 20 if you told me 27 28 wins for them i think that's very feasible in that regard uh the clippers under 41 and a half”
The Detroit Pistons finished the 2024-25 regular season 44-38, above the 24.5 win total. (Detroit Pistons: 44-38)
“28 wins for them i think that's very feasible in that regard uh the clippers under 41 and a half just because Kawhi's got to be managed, and then what else do you really have outside of that? And a lot of people are saying it, so I'm very worried about it, but Memphis over, just figuring health.”
The Los Angeles Clippers finished the 2024-25 regular season 50-32, above the 41.5 win total, so the under lost. (Los Angeles Clippers: 50-32)
“with one of the favorites. So I've looked at, Bub Carrington's looked very good for Washington in summer league and Washington wants to be bad so he even if he doesn't start the year starting he might just get a ton of minutes as a tank commander put up some numbers and he actually looks like he has a decent amount of feel in the pick and roll he wants to set guys up like that's been there's some of the mic'd up stuff where he's like listen you're a guy who's going to want your shots I'm going to get you your shots so he's not just going to be chucking so I think he's interesting if you think the the barrier for entry is lower than maybe rob dillingham in minnesota is going to have a possibility as someone who doesn't maybe get as many minutes but can fill a role that's desperately needed on a good team and maybe terrence shannon jr kind of in the same idea for minnesota just an older dude who probably has a much lower ceiling than a lot of people but if there's a role to fill he's a guy who's who's older got the body for the nba at least as right now and he can maybe hit a shot here and there he can fill a role and he's at like 80 to one carrington i found at 40 to one kind of off market so i i took a stab at both of those when i'm in generally in most markets right now i'm not going to play favorites in pretty much anything i'm looking for those long shots that just seem a little bit off that odds just got posted throwing”
San Antonio's Stephon Castle won 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year over Zaccharie Risacher and Jaylen Wells; Bub Carrington did not win. (NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“is going to have a possibility as someone who doesn't maybe get as many minutes but can fill a role that's desperately needed on a good team and maybe terrence shannon jr kind of in the same idea for minnesota just an older dude who probably has a much lower ceiling than a lot of people but if there's a role to fill he's a guy who's who's older got the body for the nba at least as right now and he can maybe hit a shot here and there he can fill a role and he's at like 80 to one carrington i found at 40 to one kind of off market so i i took a stab at both of those when i'm in generally in most markets right now i'm not going to play favorites in pretty much anything i'm looking for those long shots that just seem a little bit off that odds just got posted throwing”
San Antonio's Stephon Castle won 2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year; Terrence Shannon Jr. did not win. (NBA Rookie of the Year: Stephon Castle)
“really good. Jalen Johnson may have like the Tyrese Maxey type case this year where he's just going to have a bigger role. He might get a little bit better, but the numbers could really explode early. And some books don't even have him listed. I got him at 100 to 1. You can get him at like 40 or 50 to 1 still right now. He's the number two offensive option on the Hawks. Hawks aren't good, but this isn't an award where you really need to be on a great team so i like the option for jalen johnson and in the east where you can get an all-star spot if you're really if you really take a step up i think he's a guy that makes a whole lot of sense for uh for most improved”
Atlanta's Dyson Daniels won 2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player over Cade Cunningham and Ivica Zubac; Jalen Johnson did not win. (NBA Most Improved Player: Dyson Daniels)
“desire to bet him the only way I'm willing to bet him is something that's more of a season or a series-long bet, and it's him to have two threes in every game of the series at 6-1. I think that's interesting because there's too much juice on the one-and-a-half-four game one to bet it specifically, but I think they're probably going to ramp up his minutes a little bit. But the thing is,”
Porzingis made 2 threes in Game 1, 4 in Game 2, did not play Game 3 (injury), 4 in Game 4, and 0 in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals — he did not hit 2+ threes in every game (ESPN box scores). (Porzingis 3PM by game: 2, 4, DNP, 4, 0)
“was very close was last series I thought Brown lead the series in scoring Tatum was likely to win MVP and it ended up being Tatum one point scored by two points and Brown wins MVP by one vote so considering how close that got by the end of it in terms of stats and or really just I and it took everything for Brown to like to have a one vote win I think Tatum's gonna win MVP if they play well enough to win the series but I do like Jaylen Brown again for most points in the series I do think the focus is still going to be on Tatum and for him to lead the series I think the best number I saw was uh 1300 for most points in the series for Jaylen Brown so I do think that's going”
Luka Doncic outscored Jaylen Brown across the 2024 NBA Finals, 146 points to 104, so Brown did not lead the series in scoring (ESPN box scores). (Series points: Doncic 146, Brown 104)
“In game one, as I mentioned with the Wings, I think Josh Green's going to play a fair amount. His points prop is three and a half, and it's plus money. So that's one where it's just a flyer. I want to take him at three and a half. If I see those minutes are going to be pretty consistent, maybe his alts go down, but I saw a 10-plus at seven to one. so that just takes having hot shooting for one game I think that's worth maybe a partial unit”
107-89 — Josh Green did not play in NBA Finals Game 1 (DNP-Coach's Decision) as Boston beat Dallas 107-89, so his points prop over 3.5 busts (ESPN box score). (Green: DNP-Coach's Decision, 0 points)
“more threes I think his minutes are going to be consistent and he had nine attempts in both games against Boston this year only one of those was after the trade deadline so there's an asterisk there but I do like uh PJ Washington to hit two threes in every game of the series where he gets a lot of attempts 10 to 1 who wins the NBA finals Rick and then how many games”
P.J. Washington made 0, 1, 3, 2, and 0 threes across the five 2024 NBA Finals games — he did not hit 2+ threes in every game (ESPN box scores). (Washington 3PM by game: 0, 1, 3, 2, 0)
“The one thing I feel great about is that I bet Northwest Division to win the title at like plus 290 or 3 before the playoffs started.”
The Boston Celtics, of the Atlantic Division, won the 2024 NBA championship, not a Northwest Division team (Wikipedia, 2024 NBA playoffs). (Champion: Boston Celtics (Atlantic Division))
“In the middle of game one, seeing how that was going, I bet Minnesota to win the West at 5-1.”
The Dallas Mavericks defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves 4-1 to win the 2024 Western Conference finals (Wikipedia, 2024 NBA playoffs). (Mavericks won West finals 4-1)
“zion over 26 and a half points”
PHX 124, NO 111 — Zion Williamson scored 30 points in the Suns' 124-111 win over the Pelicans on April 1, 2024, covering the over 26.5 (ESPN box score). (Zion Williamson: 30 points)
“Markelle Fultz, 10 plus points. You can get a good number on that around three to one last I checked.”
ORL 104, POR 103 — Markelle Fultz scored 0 points (0-6 FG) as the Magic beat the Trail Blazers 104-103 on April 1, 2024, missing the 10+ points line (ESPN box score). (Markelle Fultz: 0 points)
“And Bogdan Bogdanovich over 19 and a half points.”
ATL 113, CHI 101 — Bogdan Bogdanovic scored 20 points as the Hawks beat the Bulls 113-101 on April 1, 2024, covering the over 19.5 (ESPN box score). (Bogdan Bogdanovic: 20 points)
“max to win the triple crown there a pole fastest lap when the race is at a plus number plus 175”
Max Verstappen took pole, set the fastest lap, and won the 2024 Japanese Grand Prix on April 7, 2024, completing the triple crown, per Formula1.com's race report.
“Chet Holmgren over one and a half threes is around minus 110.”
126-119 — Chet Holmgren made 2 of 3 three-pointers as the Thunder beat the Mavericks 126-119 on March 14, 2024, clearing the over 1.5 threes line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 2 threes)
“Jalen Green over five and a half boards.”
135-119 — Jalen Green had 8 rebounds (with a season-high 37 points) as the Rockets beat the Wizards 135-119 on March 14, 2024, clearing the over 5.5 rebounds line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Green: 8 rebounds)
“Alex Caruso over four and a half assists.”
126-111 — Alex Caruso had 6 assists as the Clippers beat the Bulls 126-111 on March 14, 2024, clearing the over 4.5 assists line (ESPN box score). (Alex Caruso: 6 assists)