Fill-in Host · 22-38 on settled picks
| League | futures | spread | moneyline | prop | total | parlay | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 12-23-2% | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | — | — | 12-25-8% |
| MLB | 1-4+30% | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | — | 4-8+13% |
| CFB | 2-3+118% | 1-0 | — | — | — | — | 3-3+114% |
| WNBA | — | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | — | 1-0 | 3-2+15% |
“[7:41] And I bet the Mets, I think it was mid-June, [7:46] and they were about to make the – I just bet them to make the playoffs. [7:49] Nothing crazy, but to make the playoffs. [7:50] And at the time it was, I believe I got at a plus 550.”
New York finished 89-73 and clinched an NL Wild Card berth, reaching the 2024 MLB playoffs. (New York Mets: 89-73, NL Wild Card)
“[20:25] So, again, I think we're both on the board of Atlanta Falcons minus 120 to win the division. [20:30] I think that's a pretty good look.”
Tampa Bay went 10-7 and won the 2024 NFC South; Atlanta finished 8-9, in second place. (Atlanta Falcons: 8-9; NFC South champion: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7))
“[39:35] I don't even see an eight and a half. [39:37] Like, that's not even an option for them. [39:39] So over nine and a half is plus 280. [39:42] Would you go over or under nine and a half? [39:46] Oh, I got to go under. [39:48] I think I say this every year, but every year I'm like, [39:51] this is the year where Tomlin's not going to be able to get it done. [39:54] And they end up getting it done. [39:55] They find a way to, like, scrape and get some wins and even get into the [39:58] playoffs sometimes. [39:59] But I just don't see it with this team, man. [40:02] Like, I don't think – is Russell Wilson a better quarterback than Kenny Pickett? [40:06] Absolutely. [40:07] In every sense of quarterbacking. [40:09] Like, there's not an area where Russell Wilson doesn't give them more of an advantage. [40:14] But I don't know if it's a big enough advantage that it's going to really separate them from other teams. [40:19] Like, yes, you know, Wilson's going to be a good veteran. [40:22] He's going to get the ball where it needs to go. [40:24] But, again, he's not elusive in the pocket anymore. [40:27] uh he's like quirky i i'm curious about how the chemistry is going to work with the team [40:33] you know i'm trying to be nice about it but i just think that you know i don't look at him as [40:38] like a top quarterback anymore so i don't think they really addressed the position the way they [40:43] needed to if they went out brought in kirk cousins that's a different story but they didn't it's [40:46] it's russell wilson and it's not an offense that is dynamic or full playmakers pickets can take top [40:53] off defense but you know outside of that like it's you know they went they drafted a kid from [40:58] michigan i think roman wilson so they have some good possession guys which kind of fits what [41:04] wilson wants to do but that just makes me wonder to your point sean if it is this offense that [41:10] isn't really explosive enough and it's just kind of a little bit uh you know bland like we've seen [41:15] stealers offenses in the past do they add fields just to bring another level of athleticism and [41:22] that rushing dynamic to it because they lack the explosive plays, [41:27] which are everything in the NFL. [41:28] You have to have explosive plays to win. [41:31] Yeah, but think about this, all right? [41:34] They had nine wins last year with their quarterback situation. [41:38] So you don't think Russell Wilson is good enough or Justin Fields, [41:42] whoever is out there, good enough to get you one game, two games, right? [41:46] Like Russell Wilson didn't have as bad a year as they tried to portray it. [41:50] He had last year. [41:51] Only 3,000 yards, but he had 26 touchdowns, eight interceptions, 98 quarterback rating. [41:56] Like he had a solid year for what they're going to ask him. [41:59] So if he brings that same year over to the Pittsburgh Steelers and that defense, don't forget that defense is everything. [42:05] And they got two running backs, two horses back there that can get you yards and get you touchdowns. [42:10] So all you have to do is play action pass. [42:12] So to me, I'm definitely going with them to get 11 wins.”
Pittsburgh finished the 2024 season 10-7, clearing the over 9.5 win total. (Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7)
“[43:23] Listen, I would go as far as say is I'll take plus 164 for them to make the playoffs.”
Pittsburgh went 10-7 and qualified for the 2024 NFL playoffs as a wild card. (Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7, AFC wild card)
“[54:41] See, I'm going to go the opposite with you. I got the 49ers over 11 and a half plus 108.”
San Francisco finished 6-11 in 2024, well under the 11.5 win total. (San Francisco 49ers: 6-11)
“[59:26] But the other team I'll go to in the same vein as the 49ers is the Kansas City [59:30] Chiefs at 11 and a half at minus one 18. And again, [59:32] And I know, whenever it's a minus number, it's not big wins. [59:36] But to me, these are guarantees bets. [59:39] Kansas City Chiefs, Andy Reid, like I said with 49ers, [59:42] Every year. Again, I know I said there has to be a step back at some point because you're not winning three Super Bowls in a row. [59:48] Well, actually, they could, but it's hard to do so. It's Andy Reid. He's win 12 every year. [59:55] This is guaranteed bet to me. Why would this be the even number? [59:58] Give me Andy Reid and 12 wins every freaking time. So to me, that's another bet, even though it's minus. I'm taking it.”
Kansas City finished 15-2, clearing the 11.5 win total. (Kansas City Chiefs: 15-2)
“[1:00:28] betting over 11 the last one before we get to uh the break the chargers at eight and a half [1:00:33] Jim Harbaugh, his first year with the 49ers was 13 wins. [1:00:37] They had like six wins the year before that. [1:00:40] He wins everywhere. [1:00:41] I'm picking them to go over eight and a half.”
Los Angeles finished 11-6, clearing the 8.5 win total. (Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6)
“[1:18:55] I'm betting them to make the playoffs, Mark. [1:18:58] I'm betting them to make the playoffs.”
Colorado missed the 2024 College Football Playoff, finishing 9-4 and losing the Alamo Bowl 36-14 to BYU. (Colorado: 9-4, Alamo Bowl L 14-36 vs BYU, not in CFP)
“[1:48:01] Because for me, Pat Mahomes, like, I'm on the thing [1:48:04] where I bet Pat Mahomes every year for everything. [1:48:07] even if i don't believe he'll win i feel like if i if he plays for 20 years and i've been on pat [1:48:13] mahomes every year to win a super bowl and win an mvp i'm gonna come out with a lot of freaking [1:48:17] money even if i lose 12 times he's still gonna win six seven of them things and that'll be enough”
Josh Allen won the 2024 AP NFL MVP award; Patrick Mahomes did not win. (2024 AP NFL MVP: Josh Allen)
“[1:54:13] if you're looking for that defensive player of the year award you have to be able to show some [1:54:17] type of tangible impact that that player had on his team's season i think aiden hutchinson could [1:54:23] do that for detroit yeah i mean i yeah it's funny because it's all pass rushers you know i mean i [1:54:31] wish i wish i can i'm gonna try to get some love outside of the pass rushers i think michael [1:54:36] parsons is a guy who's going to eventually win it one year like i think he's the like maybe the [1:54:41] most gifted individual out of those guys and i know tj watt is tj watt but at the same time [1:54:46] michael parsons has been a pass rusher for what two years now you know what to be like it's not [1:54:51] like he's been a pass rusher all his life so i feel like he's so gifted and he has that lawrence [1:54:56] taylor effect that eventually he's going to win one but i'm gonna get some love outside of that [1:54:59] kyle hamilton i'm looking at two guys kyle hamilton and fred warner both at 40 to 1 both [1:55:07] who are going to be anchors to defenses that are going to be in the top five. Now, again, [1:55:11] they won't have these sexy numbers of getting 22 sacks, right? But they're going to lead top five [1:55:16] defenses, top five defenses to being great, going to the playoffs and potentially winning 11 or 12 [1:55:22] games. And they are going to have some of the other numbers like Kyle Hamilton. If he puts up [1:55:27] a season where he has, okay, eight interceptions, six sacks, four forced fumbles, four fumble [1:55:34] recoveries along with being a top five defense i think he'll have the possibility like a safety can [1:55:40] get those type of numbers the same thing with fred warner if fred warner can get him 100 100 [1:55:44] something tackles along with six sacks along with six interceptions four formal recoveries one of [1:55:50] those type of numbers because i think they were sort of in the conversation last year but they [1:55:55] didn't have gaudy numbers meanwhile tj watt had gaudy numbers if if the pass rushers don't get [1:56:00] gaudy numbers we're going to be looking at somebody else like no one has a 18 to 20 sack [1:56:05] season we're going to look to somebody else and i hope that would be kyle hamilton and fred warner [1:56:09] so i'm gonna give them a little love at 40 to 1 yeah i like hamilton i mean that's that's a real”
Patrick Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; Kyle Hamilton did not win. (2024 AP DPOY: Patrick Surtain II)
“[1:53:03] Let's go to Defensive Player of the Year. [1:53:05] Micah Parsons leads the way at plus 550. [1:53:08] TJ Watt, I mean, I don't know how you go against that guy. [1:53:11] He's plus 650. [1:53:12] Miles Garrett, plus 650. [1:53:13] Is there anybody that you're looking at in that Defensive Player of the Year race? [1:53:18] that's tough. You know, I'm trying to think maybe like a Max Crosby, [1:53:22] like someone that could kind of jump out. [1:53:25] It's not in that top three because it feels like every year we go into the [1:53:28] season that it's, it is those three, right. It's, you know, Parsons, [1:53:32] it's Watt, it's Garrett, you know, who else can kind of jump, [1:53:36] jump up and make a difference. I, you know, I think Crosby, [1:53:39] they bring Pearson. I don't think the Raiders are going to be any good this year. [1:53:42] I don't think they got a quarterback, but defense could be good with Pearson. [1:53:48] there and you know and and you know Crosby could feast so that could be that type of individual [1:53:53] effort you know if they're able to win a lot of games you know because defense is making some [1:53:58] plays then you know maybe maybe he can get some recognition there but maybe Aiden Hutchinson [1:54:05] you know the Detroit defense like I said Detroit's going to win a lot of games this year again I [1:54:09] think they're going to be a high profile team that's the thing that you want to look for right [1:54:13] if you're looking for that defensive player of the year award you have to be able to show some [1:54:17] type of tangible impact that that player had on his team's season i think aiden hutchinson could [1:54:23] do that for detroit yeah i mean i yeah it's funny because it's all pass rushers you know i mean i [1:54:31] wish i wish i can i'm gonna try to get some love outside of the pass rushers i think michael [1:54:36] parsons is a guy who's going to eventually win it one year like i think he's the like maybe the [1:54:41] most gifted individual out of those guys and i know tj watt is tj watt but at the same time [1:54:46] michael parsons has been a pass rusher for what two years now you know what to be like it's not [1:54:51] like he's been a pass rusher all his life so i feel like he's so gifted and he has that lawrence [1:54:56] taylor effect that eventually he's going to win one but i'm gonna get some love outside of that [1:54:59] kyle hamilton i'm looking at two guys kyle hamilton and fred warner both at 40 to 1 both [1:55:07] who are going to be anchors to defenses that are going to be in the top five. Now, again, [1:55:11] they won't have these sexy numbers of getting 22 sacks, right? But they're going to lead top five [1:55:16] defenses, top five defenses to being great, going to the playoffs and potentially winning 11 or 12 [1:55:22] games. And they are going to have some of the other numbers like Kyle Hamilton. If he puts up [1:55:27] a season where he has, okay, eight interceptions, six sacks, four forced fumbles, four fumble [1:55:34] recoveries along with being a top five defense i think he'll have the possibility like a safety can [1:55:40] get those type of numbers the same thing with fred warner if fred warner can get him 100 100 [1:55:44] something tackles along with six sacks along with six interceptions four formal recoveries one of [1:55:50] those type of numbers because i think they were sort of in the conversation last year but they [1:55:55] didn't have gaudy numbers meanwhile tj watt had gaudy numbers if if the pass rushers don't get [1:56:00] gaudy numbers we're going to be looking at somebody else like no one has a 18 to 20 sack [1:56:05] season we're going to look to somebody else and i hope that would be kyle hamilton and fred warner [1:56:09] so i'm gonna give them a little love at 40 to 1 yeah i like hamilton i mean that's that's a real”
Patrick Surtain II won the 2024 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award; Fred Warner did not win. (2024 AP DPOY: Patrick Surtain II)
“[1:56:55] i'm all in on jim harbaugh all and it's weird because i went to penn state so i'm not supposed [1:57:01] to be all in on jim harbaugh but i am all in on jim harbaugh wherever he goes i know he's 10 to 1”
Kevin O'Connell won the 2024 AP NFL Coach of the Year award; Jim Harbaugh did not win. (2024 AP Coach of the Year: Kevin O'Connell)
“[2:12:06] yeah i'm hoping so because i had some money on him doing some things and maybe winning a winning [2:12:12] an mvp and my money is went down the drain on betting on julio so i hope i hope he gets back [2:12:19] to it uh we only got about 90 seconds left let me ask you real quick the yankees”
Aaron Judge won the 2024 AL MVP award unanimously; Julio Rodriguez did not win. (2024 AL MVP: Aaron Judge)
“[2:21:34] I'm not mad at that all. [2:21:35] same again he had a little stretch where he's injured last year which is why he didn't have [2:21:39] ridiculous numbers but when he healthy on the field he gonna have those ridiculous numbers i throw CeeDee Lamb out there for 10 to 1”
Saquon Barkley won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award; CeeDee Lamb did not win. (2024 AP OPOY: Saquon Barkley)
“[2:27:18] I got a surprise pick because I don't think... [2:27:22] Again, I know it always goes quarterback. [2:27:24] Do you know who I'm picking to be the Offensive Rookie of the Year and I'm throwing some money to her? [2:27:28] Keon Coleman, wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills.”
Jayden Daniels won the 2024 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award; Keon Coleman did not win. (2024 AP OROY: Jayden Daniels)
“[2:57:32] I'm going to do a couple of things on the Mets Braves game. [2:57:35] Mets Braves, [2:57:36] again, [2:57:37] great pitching sales, [2:57:38] sales, [2:57:38] Severino, [2:57:39] the over under seven and a half. [2:57:41] I'm going to go under.”
3-2 — New York beat Atlanta 3-2 in 10 innings, a combined 5 runs, under the 7.5 total.
“[2:57:43] It smells like a tight game, so I'm going to go under on that. [2:57:46] And also, I'm going to have Francisco Lindor get an RBI. [2:57:49] It's plus 225.”
Francisco Lindor drove in 2 runs on a third-inning home run. (Francisco Lindor: 1-for-4, HR, 2 RBI)
“I think the offense is going to be even more explosive with Patrick Mahomes throwing up big numbers. So, Patty Mahomes is the one that I'm betting on first and foremost, but that doesn't mean you can't have multiple bets, right?”
Josh Allen won the 2024 NFL AP MVP award, so the Patrick Mahomes futures bet lost. (2024 NFL MVP: Josh Allen)
“right like if you that's seven out of 20 that means you would have been way way way way way way up so i'm going to bet the kansas city chief to win the super bowl because i think he's going to have a brady like run so even if he loses that's fine i'll bet them to win again next year i'm going to do the same with the mvp i think at this point every year we're looking for a reason not to give it to him right even his down years are mvp's type numbers and now you're telling me okay, all right, I know they have a lot of legal problems and a lot of legal issues, but all right, they got a nice, fast wide receiver out of the draft, Xavier Worthy.”
The Philadelphia Eagles beat the Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX, so the Chiefs futures bet lost. (Super Bowl LIX: Eagles 40, Chiefs 22)
“Right? right? So the other guy, I think he's dropped kind of far as far as Justin Herbert. I know he was top, I believe three last year. I'm going to be honest with you. I love Jim Harbaugh and I'm a Penn State guy. Okay. I'm a Penn State guy. So I'm not supposed to love Jim Harbaugh. I love Jim Harbaugh and what he does and the coaching job that he does. And I think Justin Herbert has a pure raw talent to do a lot of things, different things in this league. So Jim Harbaugh wins wherever he goes, and I mean immediately. Immediately. He goes to Michigan, wins immediately 10 games, eventually wins a championship, takes him a little bit long. When he was with the San Francisco 49ers, the 49ers looked like a crap franchise. The 80s and 90s were a long way gone. But soon as he got that job, NFC championship game. So I think he'll do the same with San Diego, and I get it. I understand they're in the same division with Pat Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, but I think even if they don't win the division, this is going to be an 11-12 win team, and we'll put Justin Herbert back on the mat to be a top three MVP candidate. So I like Justin Herbert again. Numbers-wise, 4,800 yards, 30 touchdowns,”
Josh Allen won the 2024 NFL AP MVP award, so the Justin Herbert futures bet lost. (2024 NFL MVP: Josh Allen)
“11 and a half. It is the minus money to the over at minus 120. When is when was the Kansas City Chiefs ever 11 and a half? What is it? When are they ever just 12 wins? right like this you can bet on them going 14 and 3 13 and 4 every year like that to me that's a gimme as long as Patrick Mahomes stays healthy if you have Pat Mahomes you have Andy Reid that's going to be over that's going to be an over so I think a lot of these a lot of these that I look at are are aren't good enough I think the Pittsburgh Steelers and I know they're in the toughest”
The Kansas City Chiefs finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing over 11.5 wins. (Chiefs 2024 regular season: 15-2)
“are are aren't good enough I think the Pittsburgh Steelers and I know they're in the toughest division I know a lot of people aren't going to bet on them but I think seven and a half I think if they have adequate quarterback play you can guarantee that 500 footballs right they're going to get you nine and eight they're going to get you eight and eight now to have them at seven and a half when they upgraded their quarterback position to me that's easy money right based on my tomlin and what was give him that seven and a half is is easy they're going to get to 500 they have a whether it's russell wilson or justin fields they have a better quarterback situation than they did last year and they still have that defense.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing over 7.5 wins. (Steelers 2024 regular season: 10-7)
“I'm also picking it over on the San Francisco 49ers at 11.5.”
The San Francisco 49ers finished the 2024 regular season 6-11, well under 11.5 wins. (49ers 2024 regular season: 6-11)
“Chicago, eight and a half and minus 165 to the over with Caleb Williams at the helm. You and I have both said we're not as bullish on Caleb Williams as a lot of other cappers seem to be. My question for you is, Sean Bell, are you out on Caleb Williams enough that you would pull the trigger on a plus 140 at under eight and a half wins? uh yes okay i hey stroud i think i think first of all everyone nowadays expects players to come in and quarterbacks to come in and win right away special like you know usually it's hey i gotta learn for a year i gotta learn for two years i gotta develop i don't think caleb williams is a talent that's gonna come in and right away raise a team to play off levels if you're talking about eight and a half you're talking about you're talking about not like jim moore playoffs playoffs like that's what you're talking about uh with with eight and a half victories right so if you're talking about nine you're talking about sneaking in as a wild card and i don't and i know the bears have so much talent but caleb has to learn a lot they got a new coordinator too people got to learn each other i i thought caleb williams had trouble playing within the system in usc by that is all his plays his special plays were background plays backyard plays. I'm going to run around and get it done. When a team forced them to stay in the pocket and deliver a pass and anticipate, I thought he struggled to do that at USC. That doesn't mean he can't learn to do that and can't get better to do that because I think he probably can. But when you come in the NFL, if you don't have that right away, like CJ Stroud had that right away. If you don't have that right away, you're going to struggle in year one. Like Kyler Murray. I think Caleb Williams is a bigger version of Kyler Murray, but Kyler Murray is more athletic. Had trouble reading things and had to learn and develop. And so I think Chicago is going to be under despite all that offensive talent.”
The Chicago Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, staying under 8.5 wins. (Bears 2024 regular season: 5-12)
“And I said earlier today with the WNBA, I like the aces to win and like the fever to win. I like that's what Asia Wilson to give you a 20 point double, double, double. I think she's going to give you 20 and 10. You always know she's going to get you over 20. The 10 rebounds part, sometimes, sometimes not. But I think she's going to give that to you. I also like Caitlin Clark to get over 16 and a half points. And I like Aliyah Boston to get over 17 and a half points. I like it.”
IND 91, ATL 79 — Aliyah Boston scored 10 points as the Fever beat the Dream 91-79, missing her over 17.5 points prop. (Aliyah Boston: 10 points)
“I also like Caitlin Clark to get over 16 and a half points.”
IND 91, ATL 79 — Caitlin Clark scored 16 points as the Fever beat the Dream 91-79, just missing her over 16.5 points prop. (Caitlin Clark: 16 points)
“And I said earlier today with the WNBA, I like the aces to win and like the fever to win. I like that's what Asia Wilson to give you a 20 point double, double, double. I think she's going to give you 20 and 10. You always know she's going to get you over 20. The 10 rebounds part, sometimes, sometimes not. But I think she's going to give that to you. I also like Caitlin Clark to get over 16 and a half points. And I like Aliyah Boston to get over 17 and a half points. I like it.”
LV 85, CON 74 — The Las Vegas Aces beat the Connecticut Sun 85-74, so the Aces moneyline won.
“And I said earlier today with the WNBA, I like the aces to win and like the fever to win. I like that's what Asia Wilson to give you a 20 point double, double, double. I think she's going to give you 20 and 10. You always know she's going to get you over 20. The 10 rebounds part, sometimes, sometimes not. But I think she's going to give that to you. I also like Caitlin Clark to get over 16 and a half points. And I like Aliyah Boston to get over 17 and a half points. I like it.”
IND 91, ATL 79 — The Indiana Fever beat the Atlanta Dream 91-79, so the Fever moneyline won.
“I like that's what Asia Wilson to give you a 20 point double, double, double. I think she's going to give you 20 and 10. You always know she's going to get you over 20. The 10 rebounds part, sometimes, sometimes not.”
A'ja Wilson had 26 points and 16 rebounds as the Aces beat the Sun 85-74, clearing both the 20-plus points and 10-plus rebounds parlay legs. (A'ja Wilson: 26 points, 16 rebounds)
“Well, listen, at least, well, they're playing the Diamondbacks and Tywhon Walker is on the mound. Tywon Walker is going to give up runs That's just the fact of the matter Tywon Walker has been the weak link When it comes to the Phillies lineup He's coming back from injury But even coming back from injury He wasn't that good last year I know he got a lot of wins But his ERA wasn't that good And it's the same this year So I'd like the Diamondbacks to win that game And the over-under is 10 I'm going over 10 Minus 105 for these two teams In their total I just think, again, with Taiwan walk on the mound, there's going to be a lot of run scores and they're going to have to outscore each other in order to get some dubs.”
ARI 5, PHI 4 — The Arizona Diamondbacks beat the Philadelphia Phillies 5-4, so the Diamondbacks moneyline won.
“Tywon Walker is going to give up runs That's just the fact of the matter Tywon Walker has been the weak link When it comes to the Phillies lineup He's coming back from injury But even coming back from injury He wasn't that good last year I know he got a lot of wins But his ERA wasn't that good And it's the same this year So I'd like the Diamondbacks to win that game And the over-under is 10 I'm going over 10 Minus 105 for these two teams In their total I just think, again, with Taiwan walk on the mound, there's going to be a lot of run scores and they're going to have to outscore each other in order to get some dubs.”
ARI 5, PHI 4 — Arizona beat Philadelphia 5-4, a combined 9 runs, under the total of 10.
“So I betting for Baltimore Ravens will win Plus 110 at Tampa tomorrow night 7 o kickoff”
TB 26, BAL 20 — Buccaneers beat Ravens 26-20 (ESPN box score); Ravens moneyline busts.
“Yeah, I'm picking a 49ers even with seven and a half.”
LAC 23, SF 12 — Chargers beat 49ers 23-12 (ESPN box score); 49ers lost outright, so -7.5 spread busts.
“yeah I'm going with Bosa also”
Myles Garrett won the 2023 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award at NFL Honors, beating T.J. Watt 165-140 in voting points; Nick Bosa did not win (ESPN). (AP Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett (165 pts) over T.J. Watt (140 pts))
“I'm going with Lamar.”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award with 49 of 50 first-place votes (ESPN). (AP Most Valuable Player: Lamar Jackson, 49 of 50 first-place votes)
“I actually going to go Anthony Richardson You like him better than Stroud”
C.J. Stroud won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 48 of 50 first-place votes (246 points) over Puka Nacua (154 points); Anthony Richardson did not win (ESPN). (AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: C.J. Stroud, 246 pts (48 first-place votes) over Puka Nacua, 154 pts)
“So for that, I'm going to say Saquon. Also because I think Saquon just has more to prove.”
Christian McCaffrey led the NFL with 1,459 rushing yards in the 2023 regular season; Saquon Barkley did not lead the league (NFL.com official stats). (2023 rushing leader: Christian McCaffrey, 1,459 yards)
“i'm going chargers only because i know what dallas is”
25-22 — The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers 25-22 in overtime in Super Bowl LVIII on Feb 11, 2024; the Los Angeles Chargers were not in the game and did not win the title (ESPN).
“To me, that's one of the easiest bets I'm going to make is Wisconsin plus 125 to win that division.”
Iowa clinched the 2023 Big Ten West Division title outright with a 13-10 win at Nebraska and represented the West in the Big Ten Championship Game; Wisconsin did not win the division (Big Ten official site). (2023 Big Ten West champion: Iowa (clinched via 13-10 win at Nebraska))
“right away it's just some margins northern dame navy minus 20 and a half that's just looking at this with a uh a total of 49 we have a 21 point spread i mean i kind of feel like just mathematically you have to take the under talk If you're only expecting 49 points and a 21 like I just maybe the way to go is under Just okay so no one's going to score If it's a 21 point spread that means it's literally going to be 21-nothing Like that's what we're expecting here I guess like I I guess under is the only way to play if like one team is expected not to score That's what we're looking at that's 35 to 10 northern day i don't like that's that's that's my expectation i'm gonna pick the under but i'm actually gonna take the spread”
42-3 — Notre Dame beat Navy 42-3 in Dublin; margin of 39 easily covers Notre Dame -20.5 (ESPN box score).
“Yeah, I can't. Again, 20-1, of course. to me it's almost obvious with how dominant he's going to be”
LSU's Jayden Daniels won the 2023 Heisman Trophy; Marvin Harrison Jr. finished fourth with 352 points (20 first-place votes). (Jayden Daniels 1st (2,029 pts); Marvin Harrison Jr. 4th (352 pts))
“okay okay um i'm going michigan i said it before and i'm consistent with I think J.J. McCarthy is going to come back and be much better. I appreciated your reasoning last week because it's the team with something to prove that also has returning guys. Returning guys, unlike a lot of these other teams in Georgia, are losing quarterbacks and things of that nature. J.J., again, Michigan, loses last year in a semifinals game. I thought they actually were the better team, but J.J. was absolutely sloppy and didn't get done. He's returning. He's going to be a lot better. He's going to be a Heisman contender. I don't think he's going to come close to winning it, but he'll be in the conversation. And I think Michigan just all around is a good is just so good. Again, I believe this is Jimmy Harbaugh's last year. I think he's like, we're going to go win a championship or at least get to a championship game. And then I'm going to be an NFL coach because that's where I want to be. But I'm going to leave Michigan with this. So that's, you know, again, they're eight to one.”
34-13 — Michigan defeated Washington 34-13 to win the 2023-24 CFP National Championship on 2024-01-08.
“Mariners to win the conference is not a bad bet at 800.”
TEX 11, HOU 4 — The Texas Rangers, not the Mariners, won the 2023 AL pennant, beating the Astros 11-4 in ALCS Game 7 on 2023-10-23; Seattle missed the playoffs entirely.
“If you feel like the Mariners are going to continue what they're doing, at plus 275, why? For me, I would jump in on those odds and say, why not? That's a good bet.”
The Houston Astros, not the Mariners, won the 2023 AL West on the final day of the regular season via a season-series tiebreaker over Texas after both finished 90-72; Seattle did not win the division.
“I'm going Mets over Angels Even with the 1.5, it's minus 1.5 Mets Plus 140 I'm going with the Mets on that”
LAA 3, NYM 1 — Los Angeles Angels beat New York Mets 3-1 on 2023-08-25 (Mets lost outright), so Mets -1.5 busted (ESPN box score).
“I bet the Cardinals one and a half minus 165 to actually win the game and cover.”
PHI 7, STL 2 — Phillies beat Cardinals 7-2 on 2023-08-25, a 5-run margin that Cardinals +1.5 could not cover (ESPN box score).
“Colorado Rockies in Baltimore. Oh, in Baltimore. Again, one and a half, minus 115 is what it is overall. But I like the Baltimore Orioles in that game.”
BAL 5, COL 4 — Baltimore Orioles beat Colorado Rockies 5-4 on 2023-08-25, a 1-run margin that fell short of the -1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Texas right now, they're over under nine and a half. I would go over.”
Texas closed the 2023 regular season 11-1 after beating Texas Tech on Nov 24, exceeding the 9.5-win over. (Texas 2023 regular season: 11-1)
“So with that said let look at these teams let let look at the teams about what they might actually look like in a regular season let start with the jets they you hard knocks got a little bit of a hard knocks curse and the team that's on our knocks never really does anything right but they got the hard knock curse they got now they got a rod coming in there and rogers they have high expectation their win total ain't that high it's nine and a half that's a nine and a half win total 16 to 1 to win the super bowl 10 to 1 to win the afc plus 250 to win the afc east i believe they're second um when it comes to possibility of winning the afc east what are you thinking about their team and where they can be and where they can land man it's nine and a half i think is a pretty big number for them just because of the division which they can be competitive in but there are more established teams ahead of them and they the beginning of their schedule is not easy now we've seen uh aaron rogers last few years you know when he tells everyone to relax he's saying that because he tends to get off to a little bit of a slow start now maybe that was the coaching maybe that was the rest of the team around him figuring stuff out but it's it's not as if he was playing at an mvp level and then everyone else caught up to him like he needed that time to kind of get going as well now he's coming into a new offense coming into a new team new situation i can see them starting like one in five like just looking at their schedule two and four something like that but i do think they could gel together and end up being like a 9 10 win by the team by the end of the year that's still right on that win total well there's they were seven and ten so you think adding rogers is a three three win different i do i considering it's it's not just adding rogers it's adding rogers in place of zach wilson and mike white like it's not just okay well we're gonna swap out okay we're gonna swap out one pretty good quarterback for another pretty good it's swapping out maybe the worst quarterback in the league and a decent enough backup for a guy who is coming off like he did just win back-to-back MVPs. That wasn't that long ago. It's not out of the realm of possibility he's still closer to that than even what we saw last year out of Rodgers. I think they could win 9-10 games. It's right on that win total, but I really need to see how this goes early for them. Again, that's pretty accurate for me. 10-7, again, they're going to come in with a good defense. They had a good defense last year. It should continue to be that. Robert Salyle, one thing he does well is defense. He had the number one defense in the league when he was with the San Francisco 49ers. So that defense should be humming, right? You come in and you got some good young talent when it comes to the wide receiver position with Aaron Rodgers. Now, it may take a little while for them to gel, but if Aaron Rodgers is, even if he's the middle, right? Let's take two seasons ago when you MVP and last season. Even if he finds himself in the middle, that should be a good team, a team that should win 10 wins. The worry that we have is the fact that the afc seems like you're you're in you're in for historic battle every freaking well that's the thing is right now just looking at the division and the jets might could win it like it not out of the realm of possibility they win the division if that defense is everything we think it has the potential to be If Aaron Rodgers is a lot closer to MVP Rodgers if their young playmakers continue to take steps it definitely possible But you look at it and go, all right, well, the Bills and Dolphins are better. And it's not like the Dolphins aren't without their questions. We've talked about it. Tua could just not play. He could get sacked on the first play, and that's the sea of Tua. That could happen. but the Dolphins and Bills are the better teams in the division and New England's a tough out it's I don't think they're gonna win I don't think they're gonna be a good team but they're gonna be tough to beat every week I would say remind you again their schedule ain't that tough if you really could look at this after the bye it's much easier they got the Patriots twice they got the Broncos who were a mess the year before that they got the the Raiders they got the Falcons They have the Texans. They have the Washington Commanders. Cleveland Browns, we don't really know. We think they should be better based on Deshaun Watson returning to form. But it's not like the Jets have some, you know, crazy schedule or crazy amount of difficulty. They play a lot of solid teams, but it's not like they play the heavyweights. It's the first six. It's the first six games for me because they have a week seven bye, and then after that it does get considerably easier. but just Buffalo at Dallas, New England, KC at Denver. It's hard to – I know. I know what you feel about Denver. It is hard to go into that altitude and play. I'm thinking they're going to be a lot better than they were last year when they were a laughingstock, the Broncos. I just think they're set for a bounce-back year with Peyton, and then they play the Eagles, then they have the bye. I'm looking at 1-5, 2-4 from those first six games probably. I don't think it's out of it. I think they could beat New England. Maybe they can go to Denver and win. We'll say Aaron Rodgers, one start at mile high didn't go so well for him. Threw for like 77 yards. So now that was the Von Miller Super Bowl defense. But still, like 77 yards is really freaking bad. Maybe there's something to that altitude. They're not facing the same Broncos team. I know you're trying to hype up them Broncos. I know you're on the side of the Broncos being decent. I don't think the Broncos are winning the Super Bowl. That ain't the same team. I'm just saying it's hard to go into that altitude. You don't really know what they're going to be this year. It's Sean Payton. Maybe there's some sort of bounty going on. Who's to say? But I just – they could win that game. But still, Denver, Dallas, KC, and Philly are all better than the Jets. That's four of your first six. Yeah. But, again, I named a lot in the back half. Washington, Cleveland, and Falcons. I think they get to 9 or 10 even if they start 1 and 4 or 1 and 5. So you're teetering. 9 and a half and you're not willing to commit. You're not willing to commit on over 100. That's like the exact number. That's exactly what it looks like. 9 and a half can't be exact. Come on. It's exactly what I believe about them. They are a 9 to 10 win team. I don't know what they're going to be. Come on, Bill. Come on, Bill. I need you to commit. It's the difference of going to Denver and winning or not. I need you to commit. Before we take this. Oh, okay. He went under. I'm going over. I'm going with a 10-win team. Slightly over, but over.”
7-10 — The New York Jets finished the 2023 regular season 7-10, well under the over 9.5 win total (ESPN team schedule/results).
“So with that said it is the Kansas City Chiefs winning the Super Bowl that is that is the first future I'm going to go with again that may be they're the favorite right now plus 600.”
25-22 — The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers 25-22 in overtime to win Super Bowl LVIII (ESPN box score).
“Nolan Smith, defensive rookie year. It's 20-1.”
Texans DE Will Anderson Jr. won the AP 2023 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award; Nolan Smith did not win (NFL.com award announcement). (NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year: Will Anderson Jr.)
“All right, my final and fourth draft pick, the 49ers win the NFC plus 400.”
49ers 34, Lions 31 — San Francisco defeated Detroit 34-31 in the NFC Championship Game on January 28, 2024 to win the NFC.
“If I was to pick a team and this is crazy I going to die I going to die on this hill because I picked this team I placed a bet for this team to win a World Series before the season started They been disappointing me this entire season But I'm going to continue to ride with them until the wheels fall off, and that's the San Diego Padres.”
The Texas Rangers won the 2023 World Series, defeating the Arizona Diamondbacks 4-1; the San Diego Padres went 82-80 and missed the playoffs entirely. (2023 World Series champion: Texas Rangers (def. Diamondbacks 4-1))
“now i love it to be like okay they're gonna win over 11 and a half i'm going to take that bet”
The 49ers finished the 2023 regular season 12-5, clearing the 11.5 win total. (San Francisco 49ers: 12-5)
“I told you I'm picking Pat to win MVP and I'm picking Pat to win the Super Bowl every year for the rest of his career.”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award; Patrick Mahomes did not. (2023 AP MVP: Lamar Jackson)
“So I'm picking Pat Mahomes, but the other guy I would put a little flyer on is Justin Herbert at 9-1.”
Lamar Jackson won the 2023 AP NFL Most Valuable Player award; Justin Herbert did not. (2023 AP MVP: Lamar Jackson)
“I'm going Michael Parsons. I'm going Chalk and Chalk, going the favorite. 25 Quentin Williams is at. Excuse me, 25-1. A little Penn State love. again i went to penn state for undergrad plus 650 he's a favorite michael parsons”
Myles Garrett won the 2023 AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year award, edging T.J. Watt 165-140 in voting; Micah Parsons did not win. (2023 AP DPOY: Myles Garrett)
“it's hard not to go with bryce young right now yeah i'm picking bryce”
C.J. Stroud won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award with 246 points; Bryce Young did not win. (2023 AP OROY: C.J. Stroud)
“the other guy i'm going with is brian branch at 20 to one”
Texans DE Will Anderson Jr. won the 2023 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award (151 points), not Brian Branch (NFL.com). (2023 AP DROY: Will Anderson Jr.)
“I'm going Christian McCaffrey, dog. To me, a whole year with that. To me, I expect him to be the first guy in a while to have a thousand yard rushes and a thousand yard receiving. Like that's how, like you saw what it was with the 49ers when he got there. you were like oh my goodness like this is best weapon in the league type of stuff with Kyle Shanahan running a show and the game we say oh they're they have a healthy quarterback that can gain managed and distribute I like Christian McCaffrey all the way to win this thing at 16 one”
49ers RB Christian McCaffrey won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award, beating Tyreek Hill 222-139 in voting (NFL.com). (2023 AP OPOY: Christian McCaffrey)