Will Brinson

“Like, is this a bet that you really like? Are you going to bet Drake Maye plus 155 here, or do you want to wait a little longer for more information? I think, so what are we, today we got what, how many more Mondays do we have before the. One more. One more Monday before the NFL draft, right? Because obviously this Monday, well, we have two more Mondays. Am I insane? That could be insane. Yes. Yeah, yeah, yeah, one more Monday. It'll be the 22nd, right. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. So, I mean, I think the way to handle it, The point I'm getting at, one, it's interesting that, like, Peter King no longer is writing because he was one of those big influential mock drafts that would come out on a Monday before the NFL draft that would move the markets. And so, you know, two, I mean, he's known John Sterling, of course. Two, you have, you know, like, you'll get some nuggets from, like, the Albert Breer column as well. And there'll be stuff that floats out there. But I think if this is drifting this way, I have no problem taking Drake Maye at plus money. I don't think it's a given that Washington is going to go with Jay Daniels. I think what is the basis here for the – like Washington is going to take Jay Daniels. Is it he's kind of like Kyler Murray and they have Cliff Kingsbury? That feels like the most – it's very specious logic at best, especially when you consider that Drake Maye is extremely mobile, that Drake Maye can throw on the run and that Drake Maye is built to me much more like a sustainable NFL quarterback than Jaden Daniels, who is not exactly a big bodied guy. And I understand he's really fast and can avoid tackles and is an incredible athlete and won the Heisman and all that. But I think Drake Maye is a better athlete as a quarterback prospect than Jaden Daniels is for the modern NFL. So just like your opinion is like if you were Adam Peters, you're Dan Quinn, you would rather have Drake Maye than Jaden Daniels. Yeah, I have Drake Maye rated higher than Jaden Daniels. I think on that board, you can see him, of course, if you're watching on Stadium or on YouTube. No, but just because you were asking like why Jaden Daniels. Yeah, what's good?”

Drake Maye was selected third overall by the New England Patriots in the 2024 NFL Draft, not second (ESPN draft results). (Drake Maye: pick 3)

“or third overall. I think it would be shocking if he didn't, right? You could – I mean, maybe – I'll be honest. I don't think that Malik Nabors' number is that crazy to bet on at 80-1. I don't think he goes third overall, but we've heard this very clear drumbeat that there are teams around the league who like Nabors better than Marvin Harrison. I'm sure Pete Prisker talked about it with you on Thursday of last week because Pete makes that point a lot, that teams like neighbors above Harrison. 80-1. They go third overall. Now, I don't think the Patriots are going to sit there and take a wide receiver. I think they're much more likely to trade out of the pick if they don't take a quarterback. And I do believe that Bob Kraft and Jonathan Kraft want to get this quarterback for this new coaching staff and really jam it in Belichick's face a little bit more because they believe the quarterbacks will be good and Jerob Mayo will make this all work. if they do that like they want to get the credit for the dynasty you saw that with the apple the apple show right and so i think you're going to see you see more of that by them attempting to draft a quarterback plus your third when's the last time you're up here you want to get the qb um yeah i would take jayden daniels here at plus 250 i think but that is a that is in large part with my contrarian stance that i think drake may go second overall all right so but you'll but you're going to have Daniels as the third pick. I will have Daniels as the third pick tomorrow, I believe. I don't think I'll, I think I'll have McCarthy leapfrogging Daniels.”

Jayden Daniels was selected second overall by the Washington Commanders in the 2024 NFL Draft, not third (ESPN draft results). (Jayden Daniels: pick 2)

“a world where Jane Daniels goes to JJ McCarthy goes three. And suddenly the Cardinals decide to stick where they are and take Marvin Harrison. And then the Vikings straight up for Drake Maye at fifth overall from a betting perspective i don't think that's that that outlandish and 18 to 1 is a reasonable price for that i agree for may to be is that that is that there's no way that that's right that may is to be is 18 to 1 to be the overall pick no i let me um yeah i want to i want to check this here because i see it on the screen it's possible that i may have like looked at this in cry this may be my mistake stand by here may is yay 15 to 1 that that's yeah that's a wild price for drake that I actually really agree with you on that. And I could see that because I think off of what Baldy said last week and what Pete said last week, I think it's going to go as follows. Right now, and I reserve the right to change my mind, like as soon as next hour because this is all really fluid. Caleb Williams, Jaden Daniels, J.J. McCarthy, Marvin Harrison, Drake Maye. I actually think that's going to be the top five, and May's a huge price to be the fifth overall pick in the draft. We'll hear in for Ken Barkley on the Beck UL Network on this Monday. will please continue. Here's the logic, too, for that. I like May, but when you do a mock draft and when you bet on the draft, you don't need to get married into what you love and what you think. I don't have to hammer Drake Maye plus 155 just because I like him better than Jay Daniels if what I'm hearing is that Jay Daniels is going to go second overall. So to that extent, the May, the 15-1, 18-1, whatever it is, you go fifth overall. The Vikings or the Giants, Raiders, Broncos, I think it's a tough tough sell for the Vikings, the Raiders, and the Broncos to trade up to number four with the Cardinals because the Cardinals are going to want a future first. And you are getting the fourth best quarterback in a draft. And it doesn't often work where when you go up and just grab the fourth guy, like whoever's left over, we'll take that guy. Then it works out great for you. Now, if you can go up to the fifth overall pick and do it. So in other words, what I'm saying is it's very plausible that the Cardinals do not get what they want in return, that Arizona isn't willing to move down to 11 because at 11, neighbors, Marvin Harrison and Roman Dunze may all be gone. And in that situation, the Cardinals stay put, take Marvin Harrison fourth overall, and then you have a situation where the Chargers are saying, look, we want some picks to move down, but we don't need a future first or even a future second. We'll do it for those two picks you got at 11-23 Minnesota because we know we need to reload this roster. They do it for that, and Minnesota can come up. By the way, Minnesota hired Josh McCown, who was Drake Maye's quarterback coach in high school at – I think it was Charlotte Latin where he played, somewhere in Charlotte, some private school in Charlotte. And so there's a connection there. I don't think it's outlandish to suggest that Drake Maye could go fifth overall, and at anything 15-1 or better, I think that's a pretty good bet. All right.”

Drake Maye was selected third overall by the New England Patriots in the 2024 NFL Draft, not fifth (ESPN draft results). (Drake Maye: pick 3)

“But like Dallas Turner, it feels like everyone's got Dallas Turner going to the Atlanta Falcons. Turner plus 320, though, in the betting market. So the betting market, a little less sure that Turner will be the pick. The betting market does agree that it looks like the Falcons will be the first team to use a pick on the defensive side of the ball because all defensive players are like the top of the top of the list to be drafted eighth overall. Dallas Turner plus 320. Latu from UCLA plus 500. Jared Burse from Florida State at six. Quenya Mitchell from Toledo, the corner plus 750. Terry and Arnold from Alabama at 10 to one. What are you going to do tomorrow, Will, with your mock draft on the Atlanta Falcons Probably go Turner if I haven staying put I tell you what kind of interesting there Did you see the Mike Florio story on the Falcons and the Vikings No So he floated this, and it's probably a long shot, but I think Atlanta would probably sign up for it if they had to right now. As part of the Kirk Cousins tampering investigation, remember last year with the Jonathan Gannon tampering thing, on the night of the draft, the NFL announced that the Cardinals and Eagles were flipping third-round picks because of the tampering situation. If you're the Atlanta Falcons and the NFL calls you and says, we're going to either take away a third-round pick or a second-round pick, let's say. We're going to take away your second-round pick for tampering with Kirk Cousins, or you can trade a pick with the Vikings, eighth overall for 11th overall. Vikings hit the eighth-overall pick. Falcons move down to eight. Wouldn't you sign immediately for the swap of the first-round picks versus losing a second-round pick if you're the Falcons? Well, I guess the thought there would be, like, let's say the Falcons have, like, maybe they have one defensive player that they really like. Maybe the Bears take one at nine. The Jets are likely not taking a defensive player. I guess it's possible, but they took Will McDonald last year. So I think it's either, like, Lineman or Adunze or Brock Bowers, depending on how things shake out. So, I mean, yeah, like, I don't hate that thought because they would still get, like, a really good defensive player that's high on their board, I'm sure, with the 11th pick. So maybe. If you're the Falcons, you just don't want to lose a second or third round pick. Like, I'd rather move three spots down in the first round than lose a second or third round pick. You're talking about like a premium top 100 player in a really good draft. Assuming you're going to get punished in that tampering thing. Now, maybe it's possible they just haven't switched third round picks. I don't think the Vikings have a third round pick. So, like, I don't know. It's a little tricky. I just think that's kind of interesting. That's why McCarthy, I think, is 9-1 to go eighth overall. In the event that that happened, the books – I think some of that is like steam from that rumor and McCarthy, you know, the Vikings sitting at nine and taking McCarthy. um yeah i'm taking dallas turner i think he's he's pretty clearly the best defensive player in this draft sounds good i'm not grinding the film to know whether that's the case or not but i feel like that's what everyone thinks uh you had the bears will in your last mock taking jared verse”

Dallas Turner was selected 17th overall by the Minnesota Vikings in the 2024 NFL Draft, not eighth (ESPN draft results). (Dallas Turner: pick 17)

“Man, I'm pretty inclined to suggest that any time someone rolls out to tank for a better seed, that karma is going to come back and bite him. Like, I feel like when you do that to your locker room, you are telling your locker room that we don't think we're good enough to win an NBA title a certain way. That we need to like you basically saying I think it a loser mentality right I mean if you a loser Baring a trash with what the Knicks did Like the Knicks were like we don care We'll take on the Sixers. And maybe it comes back to bite them. So look, like if the Cavs win this series and like the Heat beat the Celtics or something and the Cavs get the Heat on the set, maybe we'll look at Cleveland and say you're geniuses. But it did seem to be like the coward's way out yesterday by the Cavs. Correct. I think it's a loser's way out. It's a loser's mentality. And when you operate like that, I don't know. It's just a bad message to your locker room. It's a bad message to your team. It's like you're telling a guy like Donovan. I mean, you're telling guys like you can't – like we don't know if we can win this pathway, so we're going to try and tank to get there. So I'll give you the magic plus 155. They got players. Yeah, they do. Just like maybe. And Trista was saying she liked Orlando a little bit also. Physically, they have basketball players. Like they do have basketball players. And they are a really physical team, to be fair, also. I like Orlando a lot, and in the right matchup, I think I might have liked Orlando.”

Cleveland defeated Orlando 4-3 in the first round, closing it out 106-94 in Game 7; Orlando did not win the series (ESPN). (Cavaliers won series 4-3)

“We can carry it over to the other side, Will, on the Suns and the Wolves. Yeah, I mean, we talked about Tristan before. Anthony Edwards hadn't played well against the Suns I think he had a lot more experience in terms of you know, big game experience on the Phoenix side of things I'll take Phoenix in the series and in this game one I think if you want to bet Phoenix in the series in case you think they win, you better get it now because the price obviously shoots way up if they win on the road in game one but we've seen this sort of thing too where, you know, you let it's like, it reminds me of when the Jets and the Bengals, the Bengals laid down under Marvin Lewis and let the Jets beat them in week 16 and the Jets, then they get the Jets in the playoffs and the Jets roll them. It's like the worst thing you can do is get absolutely steamrolled by somebody. You're reeling, you fall down to the three seed, and now you've got to play the team that steamrolled you. You let them into the playoffs up against you. I hate when that happens. I like Phoenix here. And we have that, by the way, in a play-in game tomorrow night with the Lakers and the Pelicans, with the Pels as a short favorite. On the other side, we'll give you our bets for those games,”

Minnesota swept Phoenix 4-0 in the first round, closing it out 122-116 in Game 4; Phoenix did not win the series (ESPN). (Timberwolves won series 4-0)

• Los Angeles Lakers moneyline
• Golden State Warriors moneyline

“But that money line parlay you mentioned earlier, Lakers and Warriors pays out plus 221. I'll take the favorites. I'll lay the points to the Warriors. I will take the Lakers money line. They're on Moneyline Parlay, there's puppies. Yeah. Like the over in the Golden State gig too. I will definitely have a Lakers-Warriors Moneyline Parlay for tomorrow. But I will say, the more Golden State gets bet out, like I like Golden State to win like a close game. I don't know that I would lay like three with the Warriors. I think two and a half is the last number I'd consider laying with Golden State at three. I actually think I'd consider taking the points with Sacramento. But I don't think the Kings will win. I just think I have enough respect for Sacramento that I think the game will be close. But Lakers-Warriors-Moneyline Parlay is how I'll choose to play it coming up on Tuesday night. All right, we'll give you our baseball plays for tonight in a second.”

The Lakers beat New Orleans 110-106, but Golden State lost to Sacramento 118-94, so the two-leg moneyline parlay lost (ESPN box scores). (Lakers 110-106 Pelicans; Kings 118-94 Warriors)

“Western play-in. We have the Lakers and the Pelicans in game number one tomorrow night. Pelicans about a one-point home favorite, basically picked the winner, 223.5 the total. And we have the Warriors almost out to a three-point road favorite tomorrow night against Sacramento. It's a juiced 2.5, 223.5 the total there as well. Plays for you, Will, for Tuesday night's Western Conference play-in. Yeah, I think I'm probably on board with what we talked about earlier, where you get to give me the superstars with the experience, the single game situation where you just come in, you elevate your game, and you put your team in a much, much better position to try and make a run. I want those guys. And I realize that every NBA team has superstars. The Pelicans have superstars. Underrated superstars, maybe. The Kings have underrated superstars. Like, is De'Aaron Fox a superstar? Like a national household name? Maybe, kind of. I think he's really, I don't know, I think he's like a superstar in the way like Steph Curry is a superstar. But yeah, I think he's like a really good player. No, I think the answer to your question Yeah, exactly. So give me the household names to sort of elevate it here. And I realize that's a little chalky and maybe dangerous. I kind of like the over in that Warriors-Kings game. I think you see a ton of points with Fox and Sabonis. Obviously, Golden State is not as explosive as they maybe have been in years past. But that money line parlay you mentioned earlier, Lakers and Warriors pays out plus 221. I'll take the favorites. I'll lay the points to the Warriors. I will take the Lakers money line. They're on Moneyline Parlay, there's puppies. Yeah. Like the over in the Golden State gig too. I will definitely have a Lakers-Warriors Moneyline Parlay for tomorrow. But I will say, the more Golden State gets bet out,”

SAC 118, GSW 94 — Sacramento beat Golden State 118-94; the two teams combined for 212 points, below the 223.5 total (ESPN box score).

• Kansas City Royals team total over 6.5
• Milwaukee Brewers team total over 6.5

“only do it watching the tech show uh i'm gonna go with an aggressive baseball parlay based off the fade the White Sox, fade Joe Musgrave opportunity here. This is a 12-1 baseball parlay. We're going to go with the Kansas City Royals team total over 6.5, Milwaukee Brewers team total over 6.5. It pays out 12-1. There's a bashing of two bad situations by the other team. Seven runs each, 12-1. Probably not going to hit just for funsies there as well. This is how much we hate Joe Musgrave on the show.”

Kansas City scored 2 runs (beating the White Sox 2-0) and Milwaukee scored 3 runs (losing to San Diego 7-3), so neither leg cleared the 6.5 team-total line (ESPN box scores). (Royals 2; Brewers 3)

“Mike Vrabel as a dog is a covering machine. So give me the Titans plus three.”

CLE 27-3 TEN — Browns beat Titans 27-3 on 9/24/2023; Titans lost outright by 24, well outside the +3 line (ESPN box score).

“CeeDee Lamb, who looks like a live 35-1 right now for Offensive Player of the Year. I'll take that all day.”

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey won the 2023 AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award, beating Tyreek Hill 39-7 in first-place votes; CeeDee Lamb did not win (NFL.com). (AP Offensive Player of the Year: Christian McCaffrey)