Josh Allen over 31.5 rushing yards · DraftKings closed +33.5 · CLV +2 · ≤15 min
“Let's take a closer look at it by going coast-to-coast with DraftKings, which is now live in all 50 states. Hawk, I've got some props for you tonight. Josh Allen's rushing number is 31.5 yards. Do you go over or under? I'm going to go over. I know that the front seven for the Lions is stout, but I do believe that they're going to have to change their strategy because of what he showed in week one going down the field. They're going to be so occupied with that that he's going to get out the pocket and get yards on the ground.”
Josh Allen rushed for 69 yards, exceeding 31.5. (Josh Allen: 69 rushing yards)
Jared Goff over 268.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +258.5 · CLV -10 · ≤15 min
“Jared Goff, meanwhile, on the other side, 268.5 passing yards is the total. Which way do you go? Going over there as well. I think they're working out some kinks offensively. Listen, they got it done last week and did what it took. But I think J-Mo could have played a better game in week one. I think he corrects that in week two, and it's a big passing day for Jared Goff.”
BUF 41, DET 31 — Jared Goff: 327 passing_yards vs over 268.5; covers. (Jared Goff: 327 passing_yards)
Jahmyr Gibbs over 125.5 rushing plus receiving yards · DraftKings
“And then finally, Jameer Gibbs, who was the number one pick in a lot of people's fantasy draft. Yeah. 125 and a half total yards, rushing plus receiving. Which way do we go? Gibbs, man, he looked like a bell cow in week one. After a while, he started wearing down the Lions defense. I'm going over because I think he's going to have a huge year. I think he's going to be this season's offensive player of the year.”
Jahmyr Gibbs had 52 rushing yards and 61 receiving yards, a combined 113, below over 125.5. (Jahmyr Gibbs: 52 rushing + 61 receiving = 113 yards)
Matthew Stafford over 265.5 passing yards · DraftKings
“Let's go coast to coast with DraftKings, which is now live in all 50 states. Hawk, let's look at some of the props from tonight's game. We have the Rams and we have the 49ers in Melbourne. Let's start with Matthew Stafford. 265 and a half passing yards is his total. You going over or under? I'm going to go over. I think Matt Stafford is going to have a big game.”
San Francisco27,Los AngelesRams7 — Matthew Stafford threw155 yards, below265.5. Full-game passing prop: receipt first-year reference describes Davante Adams experience, not a first-period betting restriction; derivative router false positive reviewed manually. (Matthew Stafford: 15/25,155 passing yards)
Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns · DraftKings
“Brock Purdy on the other side. One and a half passing touchdowns is his number, Hawk. Do we go over or under? I know this is going to sound crazy. I'm going to go over here as well.”
San Francisco 27, Los Angeles Rams 7 — Brock Purdy threw three touchdown passes, exceeding the stated 1.5 threshold. (Brock Purdy: 3 passing TD)
Myles Garrett under 0.75 sacks · DraftKings
“All right, and then finally, Miles Garrett in his first look in a Rams uniform. .75 sacks is his total. You can get a half a sack in the NFL. It's an interesting number to look at, but it does make sense if you think about it. I thought it said 75. 75 sacks wouldn't even be a crazy line. Certainly 7.5. Against Trent Williams? Yeah. Would be out of the question. .75 is the number. I'm going to go less. He's going to get a half sack. But I do think the 49ers will have a plan against Myles Garrett to slow him down. And like I said, Brock Purdy is going to get the ball out of his hands very quickly and kind of help neutralize him a little bit.”
San Francisco 27, Los Angeles Rams 7 — Myles Garrett participated in his Rams debut; the Rams recorded zero sacks. His individual zero is below the explicitly stated 0.75 threshold. Participation corroborated by Rams postgame account, not inferred from an absent box-score row. (Myles Garrett: 0 sacks; Rams team: 0 sacks)
Drake Maye over 30 rushing yards · DraftKings pregame +30.5 · CLV +0.5 · timing unverified
“All right, Hawk, let's do Hitting the Mark.
It's brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook.
Some props we're looking at this weekend.
Give me something on Drake Maye.
Give me 30-plus rushing yards for Drake Maye.
Listen, over the last two games, he's taken 10 sacks.
I expect him to be really really cautious back there and take off when the opportunity presents itself Also look at what Josh Allen did against this defense a week ago rushing for 66 yards I think Drake Maye get it done on the ground”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Drake Maye ran for 65 yards in New England's 10-7 AFC Championship win over Denver (Jan 25, 2026), clearing the 30-yard rushing prop. (Drake Maye 65 rushing yards)
Jarrett Stidham over 190 passing yards · DraftKings pregame +209.5 · CLV +19.5 · timing unverified
“I like it. How about the other quarterback? Again, it'll be Jarrett Stidham.
Yeah, give me 190 plus passing yards. I get it. He's a backup quarterback.
He hasn't had any action. And when you're going against this defense,
there will be opportunities for them over the middle of the field. Why?
Because Bo Nix hasn't typically tested that area of the field.
So I look at that as an opportunity.
And I think Jarek Stidham plays a lot better than people expect.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Jarrett Stidham threw for 133 yards in Denver's 7-10 AFC Championship loss to New England (Jan 25, 2026), short of the 190-yard passing prop. (Jarrett Stidham 133 passing yards)
Kayshon Boutte 3+ receptions · DraftKings
“All right.
And you're a receiver.
Give me a prop for one of the receivers.
This is one I feel the most confident about.
It's Kayshawn Booty for three receptions or more.
I think Patrick Sertain is going to shadow Stephon Diggs,
which leaves a Booty and Riley Moss matchup.
And I think he is going to go off.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Kayshon Boutte caught 1 pass for 6 yards on 6 targets in the AFC Championship (Jan 25, 2026), well short of the 3-reception prop. (Kayshon Boutte 1 reception, 6 yards)
Drake Maye 30+ rush yds + Jarrett Stidham 190+ pass yds + Kayshon Boutte 3+ receptions (+400) · DraftKings
- Drake Maye 30+ rushing yards won
- Jarrett Stidham 190+ passing yards lost
- Kayshon Boutte 3+ receptions lost
“Look for the Hitting the Mark featured parlay priced at plus 400 odds.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — In New England's 10-7 AFC Championship win over Denver (Jan 25, 2026), Drake Maye cleared 30+ rushing yards (65), but Jarrett Stidham missed 190+ passing yards (133) and Kayshon Boutte missed 3+ receptions (1); the parlay busts on the Stidham and Boutte legs. (Maye 65 rush yds; Stidham 133 pass yds; Boutte 1 reception)
Josh Allen anytime TD + Bo Nix over 210 passing yards + James Cook over 15 receiving yards (+525) · DraftKings
- Josh Allen anytime touchdown
- Bo Nix over 210 passing yards pregame +213.5 · CLV +3.5 · timing unverified
- James Cook over 15 receiving yards pregame +14.5 · CLV -0.5 · timing unverified
“So if you like those picks, we've put them together as a parlay.
[15:40] It's Allen to score.
[15:41] It's Knicks over 210.
[15:42] It's James Cook over 15 receiving yards.
[15:45] It's a parlay on the DraftKings Sportsbook app.
[15:47] Look for Hitting the Mark, the featured parlay.
[15:50] The price is plus 525.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Josh Allen threw for 3 TDs but scored 0 rushing/receiving TDs (missing the anytime-TD leg), while Bo Nix passed for 279 yards (over 210) and James Cook caught for 24 yards (over 15) in Denver's 33-30 OT win over Buffalo on Jan 17, 2026; the parlay busts on the Allen leg. (Allen 0 rush/rec TD (3 pass TD, 66 rush yds); Nix 279 pass yds; Cook 24 rec yds)
Bucky Irving under 87.5 rushing+receiving yards · DraftKings
“Hawk, 87 and a half rushing plus receiving yards. Bucky Irving, what do you think? Yeah, I'm going to go under.”
29-28 — Bucky Irving totaled 71 rush+rec yards (16 car, 60 rush; 5 rec, 11 rec) in Tampa Bay's loss to Atlanta, under the 87.5 line. (Bucky Irving: 16 car, 60 rush yds; 5 rec, 11 rec yds — 71 total)
Joe Flacco under 239.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet pregame +236 · CLV +3.5 · timing unverified
“Hawk, Joe Flacco number, 239.5 passing yards in his second game in Cincinnati.
Where do we go?
I'm going to go left here.
I think this Pittsburgh defensive front gets after him.
And the reason why Flacco is in Cincinnati is because they know when he gets pressure,
he does not move well because he is 40-plus years old.
So I'm going to say give me less on Joe Flacco.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Joe Flacco threw for 328 passing yards (31/47, 3 TD) in Cincinnati's 33-31 win over Pittsburgh, well over the 239.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Flacco 31/47, 328 pass yds, 3 pass TD, 0 INT)
Packers over 9.5 season wins · ESPN Bet
“Hey, Hawk, the Packers have a higher total than the Lions.
11 and a half wins.
Is he going more or less?
You know, I think it's, we were told nine and a half.
I'm going more than nine and a half, less than 11 and a half,
because look, I know that there are some, you know,
concerns about a sophomore slump.
They did have the benefit of an element of surprise
offensively last year, but this defense is rebuilt.
It's improved.
They have Halfley there as a defensive coordinator.
And you have to remember that early on in last season,
this offense was not working great and operating at full strength.
We saw them at the end, but I still think there's steps forward
that it's going to take this season.
Okay, let me make one thing very clear.
There was a typo here.
You are correct and that is the number at ESPN Bet The total is nine and a half Just a little typo on the page here Our apologies But for anyone who considering this at ESPN bet the number of the total on the Packers
is nine and a half.”
Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, clearing the 9.5 season win-total line, so the over selection won (ESPN standings). (GB 2024: 11-6)
Jalen Hurts over 284.5 total yards of offense · DraftKings
“Hawk, the next one is in the Eagles-Bills game.
More or less, Jalen Hurts, 284.5 yards of total offense against the Bills, more or less?
Yeah, my Eagles expert, Alan Chu, told me this is a no-brainer.
It's going to be more right here.”
34-37 — Jalen Hurts had 200 passing yards and 65 rushing yards (265 total yards of offense) in Philadelphia's 37-34 OT win over Buffalo, under the 284.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 200 pass yds + 65 rush yds = 265 total yards of offense)