ESPN · tracking: Full Episode
“[29:43] There's a chaos scenario out there. [29:44] It could happen. [29:45] To Will's point, I think one of the best bets on the board this season, [29:48] UCLA over five-and-a-half wins. [29:50] I think a lot of people are sleeping on the Bruins and the job that Chesney is going to be able to do in year one in town.”
“Jordan, the number for Alabama is low. Eight and a half wins for Alabama. Jordan, you going over or under? Boy, I'm going under.”
“Louis Riddick is with us from here, and Jordan Rodgers is with us from there, looking at teams' win totals this season, according to DraftKings. Jordan, the number for Alabama is low. Eight and a half wins for Alabama. Jordan, you going over or under? Boy, I'm going under. I think this number is right on the money, but I look at the quarterback questions that they have. Two guys in competition. The questions all around the quarterback. Lost some of their best receivers, their best tight end, their number one running back, four offensive linemen. I think they hit some bumps in the road, and I think they get right at that number eight. That would mean their worst season since Nick Saban's first season in Tuscaloosa. Lewis, 8.5 is the number for LSU as well with Lane Kiffin. You going over or under? Look, there's no other choice. It's got to be over. It's got to be over.”
“And then, Jordan, let's talk about Texas. Their number is nine and a half wins at DraftKings. Over or under? Hammer the over.”
“numbers from draft kings first one let's head to the wide receiver room head-to-head prop between former teammates devonta smith and aj brown who is now with the patriots so who will have more receiving yards this year, Brown or his former teammate Smith. Mike T., we begin with you. A.J. Brown, that's why they got him. He is a big physical wide receiver, third down red zone. Look for him to be very productive to build on Drake May's 31 touchdown passes a year ago. I love DeVonta Smith and his skill set. One question we don't know about DeVonta Smith, who's about 40 pounds lighter than A.J. Brown, is can he go across the middle? So I think they got A.J. Brown. The head coach loves him. They're going to feature him. I think DeVonta Smith's still very good, but I'm going with Brown.”
“and I don't feel that way about the Patriots offense, and I think the way they're going to use A.J. Brown in terms of a downfield threat will lead to more yards. Jordan Rodgers, jump in here. Do you see it the same way as these two guys, or would you go the other way with Smith? No, I'm going the same way, and I think he breaks that sneaky record we just saw of Tyreek Hill and has over 1,700 yards, and here's why.”
“Jordan Rodgers, jump in here. Do you see it the same way as these two guys, or would you go the other way with Smith? No, I'm going the same way, and I think he breaks that sneaky record we just saw of Tyreek Hill and has over 1,700 yards, and here's why. Drake May loves to push the ball downfield. They led the NFL in air yards per attempt last year. He was a runner-up for the MVP, and he did it with Stephon Diggs, Kayshaun Booty, and Mack Hollins. Now he's got A.J. Brown, and on the other side, Romeo Dobbs, who they traded for for the Packers, who led them in receiving. So not all the attention is going to be on A.J., but he's going to get a heavy share of the shots downfield. I think he's going to make an immediate impact. I'm surprised at the pricing here. I would have made this closer to minus 160, so I agree with you guys. I would play Brown.”
“I think we going to get to that later but A Brown going to play a big part in that All right clean sweep across the board We all have A Brown over Devonta Smith Next one let go to the defensive side of the ball Myles Garrett after nine years in Cleveland he now with the Rams and the prop we have is will he break the single season sack record, which, by the way, he set last year at 23. So we need 23.5 sacks for the yes to cash on this prop. It is plus 800. Mike T., we begin with you. Does he break the sack record? 100%, and here's why.”
“and the prop we have is will he break the single season sack record, which, by the way, he set last year at 23. So we need 23.5 sacks for the yes to cash on this prop. It is plus 800. Mike T., we begin with you. Does he break the sack record? 100%, and here's why. You don't even want to give yourself 1% of wiggle room here? Here's why. Take copious notes here, Joe. Yeah. This is going to be a really good offense. When you're really good on offense the way the Rams are going to be, that's going to give Myles Garrett a lot more at-bats in the second half to sack the quarterback that he had in Cleveland a year ago. So if you just think about the way these games are going to be played, their opponents are going to be behind, something the Browns really weren't a year ago. So to me, just from a logic standpoint, this really sets up well for him with or without Aaron Donald, by the way, because I think if Aaron Donald's there, he's just going to see more remarkably one-on-one pass sets. So to me, I think this really sets up for a monster year for Myles Garrett. Jordan Rodgers, do you see it the same way as Mike T, where Myles Garrett has 65 sacks this year? No, I don't. It's just so hard. There's a reason that record of Michael Strahan stood for 24 years. You kind of have to have a little bit of luck. Last year, Myles Garrett had a three-game stretch where he had 10 sacks. five in one game, then one, then four. You kind of have to have some things break your way. I just don't think they do.”
“So finally, let's look at this year's MVP chase. Profit Draft Kings, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen against the field. So, Lamar and Josh Allen, you can take them as a package deal, plus 265 to win the MVP award. Graz, we'll start with you. Who has the better chance at the MVP this season, Lamar or Josh Allen? I would say Josh Allen. I believe his team will be better. But, yeah, I think it's – I would say Josh Allen. I mean, it's good that they're the co-favorites. Obviously, we know they can win it, and if all goes well, they'll be in contention. Whenever Lamar Jackson's had a fully healthy season, he's been at or near the top of the MVP balloting. There's so much uncertainty in both places, really, due to the coaching changes, but especially on offense in Baltimore. Would you like them, or would you like the field? I would take the field.”
“So, Lamar and Josh Allen, you can take them as a package deal, plus 265 to win the MVP award. Graz, we'll start with you. Who has the better chance at the MVP this season, Lamar or Josh Allen? I would say Josh Allen. I believe his team will be better. But, yeah, I think it's – I would say Josh Allen. I mean, it's good that they're the co-favorites. Obviously, we know they can win it, and if all goes well, they'll be in contention. Whenever Lamar Jackson's had a fully healthy season, he's been at or near the top of the MVP balloting. There's so much uncertainty in both places, really, due to the coaching changes, but especially on offense in Baltimore. Would you like them, or would you like the field? I would take the field. You'd go with the field. Jordan Rodgers, jump in here. You get Lamar and Josh Allen, or you get the field. Which way would you go? I'm taking the two guys that, when they're healthy, are really the most dynamic players in the NFL because they can throw it downfield.”
“where we dive into some numbers from DraftKings. For the first one, we'll call this the Mike McCarthy Bowl. After taking a year off, McCarthy has reemerged as the head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers. So which team will have more regular season wins this year, the Steelers or his former team, the Dallas Cowboys, who are currently favored to have more? Jordan Rodgers, jump in. You've got first crack. Yeah, I'm going to go with the Steelers. Look, I think both have big ifs, right?”
“Joe Fortenball, the Dodgers over-under total for this season is 102.5 wins. What does the smart money say? The Dodgers can win the World Series like Buster likes without winning 103 games. I would play the under here.”
“[29:15] Joe, what is your best bet surrounding Aaron Judge? [29:18] His batting average prop this year is 291. [29:21] I'm going to play the under.”
“The biggest is Shohei Ohtani. Joe, what is our best bet on the two-way superstar? Leeds Major League Baseball on RBIs pays 14-1. Love the price for a guy who just two seasons ago had 130 RBIs and finished second in Major League Baseball.”
“We are back and we'll go back to the NFL where projected win totals have been set for each team. We're going to play a little more or less Fortinball. Let's start with Baltimore where the Ravens have more or less wins than the set 11.5, which is the most of any team in the NFL. I'm going to go less, but it's not one of my more confident plays.”
“All right, more or less for the Dolphins. They gutted everything. More or less than four and a half wins. I would go less because I don't understand the purpose of winning five.”
“Their win total, nine and a half, more or less for Peyton and Denver. I'm going less here.”
“Will the Eagles have more or less than 10 and a half wins I going to go less I think the first thing on the board you say to yourself can they return to form from a rushing standpoint”
“The Cowboys are next up as they are projected to win 8.5, so more or less for the Cowboys. I'd go more.”
“All right, let's wrap up the Giants now. seven and a half. You said this is your team now. More or less than seven and a half projected wins. I'm going way more. I actually thought this football team, when they hired John Harbaugh,”
“Let's do a game of more or less in February. Damian, Woody, we start with you. Steelers won 10 games last season, first year with Mike McCarthy at the helm. Win total, we don't know who the quarterback is. Eight and a half wins, more or less. Say less.”
“year, which sends us to the New York Giants, because we look at their win total, seven and a half. John Harbaugh takes over as the head coach with Matt Nagy, the offensive coordinator. We go to Tim Hasselbeck. More or less, seven and a half wins for the Giants, Tim. A little more.”
“Absolutely. I'm going more.”
“4th of July tradition, which is the Nathan's hot dog eating contest and the return of one Joey Chestnut. Here's a look at the odds, or I should say the prop for how many hot dogs he will consume on July 4th. Over-under set at a reasonable 70 and a half. Over-juice plus 110. Okay. So we're shading it a little towards the under. Now take a look at this. If you want some historical context, over the last 10 years, this is what Chestnut has consumed. Note that in 2024 he was barred from the event after signing an endorsement deal with plant-based Impossible Foods. Gentlemen, we'll begin with you, Bart Scott. A, how many hot dogs could you eat in 10 minutes? B, are you betting over-under 70 and a half. I'm betting under, at some point, the stomach got to be like, man, quit playing with me.”
Joey Chestnut ate 66 hot dogs in 10 minutes to win the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, under the 70.5 line (Wikipedia results table). (Chestnut: 66 hot dogs in 10 minutes)
“Vince Goodroll. and a half? Under? Me? Under? Absolutely. How many can I eat? Maybe two. Have you eaten 70 and a half in your life? No. I would definitely take the under.”
Joey Chestnut ate 66 hot dogs in 10 minutes to win the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, under the 70.5 line (Wikipedia results table). (Chestnut: 66 hot dogs in 10 minutes)
“Who wins tonight? Portugal. I'll take Portugal, but barely.”
2-1 — Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 in the World Cup Round of 32 on July 2, 2026 (Ronaldo penalty 68', Ramos 90'+4', Perisic 53' for Croatia), so the Portugal moneyline pick won (ESPN match report).
“I like the U to score in the first half tonight against Bosnia”
2-0 — The United States beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 on July 1, 2026, with Folarin Balogun scoring in the 45th minute (first half), so the U.S.-to-score-in-the-first-half prop won (ESPN match report). (Balogun goal 45'; Tillman goal 82')
“Give me something on Wemby offensively. 25-plus points, high floor in this series. His worst night was 24 points, average of 27, so we're not asking him to do too much outside of what he's already been doing.”
NY 94, SA 90 — Victor Wembanyama scored 19 points, missing the 25+ mark, as the Knicks beat the Spurs 94-90 to clinch the NBA Finals in Game 5 (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 19 points)
“How about Dylan Harper? Six-plus rebounds. Great price here because he's coming off his worst rebounding night of the series with just four boards. But look at the other three games. Nine boards, eight boards, six boards.”
NY 94, SA 90 — Dylan Harper grabbed 5 rebounds, missing the 6+ mark, in the Knicks' series-clinching 94-90 win over the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 5 (ESPN box score). (Dylan Harper: 5 rebounds)
“And for the entire Knicks team, what's your favorite prop? Josh Hart two plus steals Nice plus money wager here for a guy who”
NY 94, SA 90 — Josh Hart recorded 0 steals, missing the 2+ mark, in the Knicks' series-clinching 94-90 win over the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 5 (ESPN box score). (Josh Hart: 0 steals)
“What is the best bet look in a game set? I like Carolina. Minus 115, good price for them on the road here.”
3-0 — Carolina Hurricanes shut out the Vegas Golden Knights 3-0 in Stanley Cup Final Game 6 on June 14, 2026, winning the series 4-2 (ESPN box score).
“J. Will going to give us some picks for tonight's game. You have Jalen Brunson, the over on six assists. Tell me why. Yeah, because I think when the ball rotates and it moves, that's when Jalen Brunson is at his best.”
NY 107, SA 106 — Jalen Brunson recorded 7 assists, clearing the over 6 line, as the Knicks beat the Spurs 107-106 in NBA Finals Game 4 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 7 assists)
“OG Ananobi had a big game three. You like him over 20 points tonight. Tell me why. I think he's one of the few matchups in the league. Like, low key, there are times where he feels like the best player on the court. I'm not saying that's always the case. No. But when he's able to attack certain matchups and use that bigger body frame and get his shot off, I think the Knicks are a way better basketball.”
NY 107, SA 106 — OG Anunoby scored 33 points, clearing the over 20 line, as the Knicks beat the Spurs 107-106 in NBA Finals Game 4 (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 33 points)
“The last one is Stephon Castle. You're going over on 15 points with him. Yeah, I am. I think this is a layup. I just think his ability to get to the rim in transition, he attacks matchups.”
NY 107, SA 106 — Stephon Castle scored 13 points, missing the over 15 line, in the Knicks' 107-106 win over the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 4 (ESPN box score). (Stephon Castle: 13 points)
“J Will you like Wembenyama to go over 25 points Tell me why I went to 29 the other day And I think in a scenario in which you have to get this game you have to get this game Your star player needs to have a huge evening”
SA 115, NY 111 — Victor Wembanyama scored 32 points, clearing 25, as the Spurs beat the Knicks 115-111 in NBA Finals Game 3 (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 32 points)
“You also went over on Jalen Brunson assists, which is six. Tell me why. Because I think this game is going to come down to Jalen Brunson in the shoot or pass decision area of the court.”
SA 115, NY 111 — Jalen Brunson recorded 5 assists, missing the over 6 line, in the Spurs' 115-111 win over the Knicks in NBA Finals Game 3 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 5 assists)
“And then how about Stephon Castle? The number on him is 15 points and you're going over. I am. I just think, look, the one thing about Fox, sometimes you haven't been able to count on Fox, but I've learned that with Castle, if he can be aggressive.”
SA 115, NY 111 — Stephon Castle scored 23 points, clearing the over 15 line, in the Spurs' 115-111 win over the Knicks in NBA Finals Game 3 (ESPN box score). (Stephon Castle: 23 points)
“Monica, you think Wemby scores at least 25 points tonight. Tell me why. Yeah, this is kind of what he's done when this team needs to win. They're 7-0 when he scores 27, so that's the number I'm looking at.”
NY 105, SA 104 — Victor Wembanyama scored 29 points, clearing 25, as the Knicks beat the Spurs 105-104 in NBA Finals Game 2 (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 29 points)
“De'Aaron Fox, 15 or more points. You're going over. As a part of adjusting that strategy, Greeny, De'Aaron Fox has to play big.”
NY 105, SA 104 — De'Aaron Fox scored 20 points, clearing the over 15 line, in the Knicks' 105-104 win over the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 2 (ESPN box score). (De'Aaron Fox: 20 points)
“And then on the other side for the Knicks, how about OG Ananobi? You have the over on five rebounds. Yeah, I just think O.J. Anobi's been playing great”
NY 105, SA 104 — OG Anunoby grabbed 4 rebounds, missing the over 5 line, in the Knicks' 105-104 win over the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 2 (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 4 rebounds)
“Monica McNutt, these are all for you. We start with the Spurs. You have Wemby grabbing 13 or more rebounds. Tell me why. Yeah, the two regular season games, Greeny, he He had 26 total, so he averaged 13 versus the Knicks. I also just am really impressed with Wimby as he continues to grow, and he knows that's his role.”
NY 105-95 SA — Victor Wembanyama grabbed 12 rebounds in the Spurs' 95-105 NBA Finals Game 1 loss to New York, one board short of the stated 13+ rebounds mark (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 12 rebounds)
“Meantime, you're going over on OG Ananobi steals at least two tonight. Let's talk about his role. Yeah, he's a guy that's just got great hands, great timing. And look, the Spurs had some issues with turning the basketball over. I know De'Aaron Fox helped to stabilize that a lot, but I do think when teams play fast, they're susceptible for getting picked. And that's OG Ananobi's specialty.”
NY 105-95 SA — OG Anunoby recorded 1 steal in the Knicks' 105-95 NBA Finals Game 1 win over San Antonio, missing the stated 2+ steals mark (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 1 steal)
“And then Karl-Anthony Towns, you have the over on him tonight, 20 or more points. Yeah, as a part of the Knicks strategy, he's going to have to be aggressive”
NY 105-95 SA — Karl-Anthony Towns scored 18 points in the Knicks' 105-95 NBA Finals Game 1 win over San Antonio, falling short of the over 20 points line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 18 points)
“Let's turn our attention to Game 5 of the Western Conference NBA Finals tonight. Let's hit the mark, which is brought to you by DraftKings. Alan, you like SGA to rack up at least nine assists tonight, so you think he'll be dishing? I think he's going to have to because the focus is going to be so much on him defensively. He's got to trust the pass and his teammates have to start making shots.”
OKC 127-114 SA — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 9 assists in the Thunder's 127-114 West Finals Game 5 win over San Antonio, hitting the stated 9+ assists mark exactly (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 9 assists)
“Switching to the Spurs, why do you think Stephon Castle also has seven or more assists? Because that's what he's been doing in this series, and by the way, that's the best play in basketball. Throw it up to Wemby. That's how you get a lot of assists, just throw it at the rim. As we're showing here, this is not Magic Johnson type stuff, but also knocking down threes. He's averaged eight assists per game in this series.”
OKC 127-114 SA — Stephon Castle recorded 6 assists in the Spurs' 127-114 West Finals Game 5 loss to Oklahoma City, missing the stated 7+ assists mark (ESPN box score). (Stephon Castle: 6 assists)
“How about Wimby? 26 points. You're going over. Yeah, this seems easy. He's averaging 30 in the series.”
OKC 127-114 SA — Victor Wembanyama scored 20 points in the Spurs' 127-114 West Finals Game 5 loss to Oklahoma City, well under the over 26 points line (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 20 points)
“Steve Berline. Hitting the Mark is brought to you by DraftKings. And we're looking at tonight's game between the Knicks and Cavs with Monica. Monica, you like Jalen Brunson to have over eight assists. Why? I do, Matt Berry. He had six last game, 14 the game prior. The Cavs, if they're going to figure out a way to do this, they got to stop this guy, which means he will be in facilitator role.”
NY 130-93 CLE — Jalen Brunson recorded 5 assists in the Knicks' 130-93 East Finals Game 4 sweep-clinching win over Cleveland, well under the over 8 assists line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 5 assists)
“You also love Bridges to have over 15 points. Why? My guy has been hooping 18 points, 19 points, 22 points.”
NY 130-93 CLE — Mikal Bridges scored exactly 15 points in the Knicks' 130-93 East Finals Game 4 win over Cleveland, landing dead on the over 15 points line for a push (ESPN box score). (Mikal Bridges: 15 points)
“And for the final one, you like OG Ananobi to hit more than two three-pointers. The theme today is progressions, Matt Barry. He hit one, he hit two, he hit three. In the last game, I think he's found his way. Don't forget, in that Atlanta series, he was shooting close to 50% from the three-point line, over 50% at one point. So I think he's found his way. Two or more, I like it.”
NY 130-93 CLE — OG Anunoby made 1 three-pointer in the Knicks' 130-93 East Finals Game 4 win over Cleveland, missing the stated 2+ threes mark (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 1 three-pointer made)
“The rest of the league has four such wins combined Let look at the game in the West tonight quickly Hitting the mark brought to you by DraftKings Hey Alan Hahn SGA You like him to go for 30 or more tonight How come Yeah, because as Stephen A. said, and I agree with him, this field must win. It's a home game for you. You're already down 0-1. He's got to pick up his scoring. He has not really been on his game the last few.”
OKC 122-113 SA — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 30 points as the Thunder beat the Spurs 122-113 in West Finals Game 2, hitting the stated 30+ mark exactly (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30 points)
“How about Chet Holmgren going over 15 points? You like it. Yeah, I also like this, too, because you know why?”
OKC 122-113 SA — Chet Holmgren scored 13 points on 5-10 shooting in the Thunder's 122-113 West Finals Game 2 win, falling short of the over 15 points line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 13 points)
“Yeah, I also like this, too, because you know why? Chet Holmgren's got to show up. He's got to respond. When Maniyama kind of took his lunch in game one, let him know. You've got to now answer back for your team and also for your own edification. And then how about the superstar Frenchman? You have him over 25 points. He's the best player in the series, and that includes the MVP. And I know what I'm saying, but he is the best player in the series. He's playing like that. I don't know how they stop him. I think he is going to dominate this series.”
OKC 122-113 SA — Victor Wembanyama scored 21 points in the Spurs' 122-113 West Finals Game 2 loss, missing the stated 25+ points mark (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 21 points)
“Monica McNutt, you like SGA to make two or more three-pointers. Let's talk about that. I think so, Greeny.”
SA 122, OKC 115 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made 2 three-pointers as the Spurs beat the Thunder 122-115 in 2OT in Game 1 of the West Finals, covering the over 1.5 threes line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2 three-pointers made)
“being able to guard both the rim and the mid I think threes are going to have to be a thing in this one So yeah that where I going Benz Goodwill you like Guembina I going to go over 25 points tonight Tell me why So Wendy point he hates Chet and he wants his trophy So yeah, I think he's going to keep it simple. He's going to do damage.”
SA 122, OKC 115 — Victor Wembanyama scored 41 points as the Spurs beat the Thunder 122-115 in 2OT in Game 1 of the West Finals, covering the over 25 points line (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 41 points)
“How about Chet to go over nine rebounds? So of my options on Chet, this was my favorite. He had 10 in the last matchup versus OKC during the regular season.”
SA 122, OKC 115 — Chet Holmgren grabbed 8 rebounds as the Spurs beat the Thunder 122-115 in 2OT in Game 1 of the West Finals, missing the over 9 rebounds line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 8 rebounds)
“overs. SGA on threes, Wimbayama on points, Holmgren on rebounds. If you like those picks, they're a parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook with the odds of plus 600”
In Game 1 of the West Finals (Spurs 122, Thunder 115, 2OT), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made 2 threes (won leg) and Victor Wembanyama scored 41 points (won leg), but Chet Holmgren's 8 rebounds missed the over 9 rebounds line (lost leg), busting the parlay (ESPN box score). (SGA 2 threes (won); Wembanyama 41 points (won); Holmgren 8 rebounds (lost))
“We start with the Pistons. You like Cade Cunningham to go over 28 points. Talk to me. Yeah, I don't think this series is over. Cade is coming off of a 39-point performance.”
DET 115, CLE 94 — Cade Cunningham scored 21 points as the Pistons beat the Cavaliers 115-94 in Game 6, missing the over 28 points line (ESPN box score). (Cade Cunningham: 21 points)
“On the other side, you have Donovan Mitchell going over four assists.”
DET 115, CLE 94 — Donovan Mitchell recorded 3 assists as the Pistons beat the Cavaliers 115-94 in Game 6, missing the over 4 assists line (ESPN box score). (Donovan Mitchell: 3 assists)
“And then the late game tonight, you like Anthony Edwards, the over on 27 points. They need him to get going.”
SA 139, MIN 109 — Anthony Edwards scored 24 points as the Spurs beat the Timberwolves 139-109 in Game 6, missing the over 27 points line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 24 points)
“game, Wolves and Spurs. Let's start with Wembenyama. You have him grabbing at least 15 rebounds. He's going to be cleaning up that glass like a fresh bottle of Windex tonight. No one's going to be able to stop him defensively and offensively. I got him over 15 plus rebounds. He's going to do that in his sleep.”
SA 126, MIN 97 — Victor Wembanyama grabbed 17 rebounds as the Spurs beat the Timberwolves 126-97 in Game 5, covering the 15+ rebounds line (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 17 rebounds)
“And then you also have Anthony Edwards hitting three or more threes. He's one of the best shooters in the game.”
SA 126, MIN 97 — Anthony Edwards made 1 three-pointer as the Spurs beat the Timberwolves 126-97 in Game 5, missing the over 2.5 threes line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 1 three-pointer made)
“And then finally, we're looking for someone else to step up for Minnesota. You think it's going to be Julius Randle over 18? He needs this moment.”
SA 126, MIN 97 — Julius Randle scored 17 points as the Spurs beat the Timberwolves 126-97 in Game 5, missing the over 18 points line (ESPN box score). (Julius Randle: 17 points)
“Let me do Hitting the Mark, guys. It's brought to you by DraftKings. And we are looking ahead to tonight, Lakers-Thunder Game 4. Alan, we start with the Lakers. What's the number you like for LeBron James tonight? 22 or more points. He's got to get to the free throw line. He was doing that with the Rockets. In this series, he's not. Now, is he running out of gas? He can't because this could be the last game of the season in L.A. LeBron's total is 23 or more.”
OKC 115, LAL 110 — LeBron James scored 24 points as the Thunder beat the Lakers 115-110 in Game 4, covering the 23+ points line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 24 points)
“It's Austin Reaves, who's 22.”
OKC 115, LAL 110 — Austin Reaves scored 27 points as the Thunder beat the Lakers 115-110 in Game 4, covering the over 22 points line (ESPN box score). (Austin Reaves: 27 points)
“Well, Chet Holmgren has really dominated this series. He had a couple of games over 20 He had an 18 in game three They don have an answer for him in the paint I think they continue to try to feed him and make this his series along with of course A Mitchell But this has been a good series for Holmgren to score a lot in So that's our parlay for today.”
OKC 115, LAL 110 — Chet Holmgren scored 16 points as the Thunder beat the Lakers 115-110 in Game 4, missing the over 18 points line (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 16 points)
“Austin Reaves, 20 points or more. Why? Because he's got to. That's why. Because they need somebody to carry some scoring.”
125-107 — Austin Reaves scored 31 points as the Thunder beat the Lakers 125-107 in West Semifinals Game 2 on May 7, 2026; clears 20+ points. (Austin Reaves: 31 points)
“All right, I got Chet going over 17 points. He continues to be probably, I don't want to say the single most differentiating factor, but there just is no good matchup on the floor for him.”
125-107 — Chet Holmgren scored 22 points as the Thunder beat the Lakers 125-107 in West Semifinals Game 2 on May 7, 2026; clears over 17 points. (Chet Holmgren: 22 points)
“Donovan Mitchell, I need him to keep stepping up. Now, he has been good from three for the most part in the playoffs. Three-plus he averages per game, so I'm going to take him for getting three-plus in this because while the paint is closed against Detroit, the three-pointers are there for him.”
107-97 — Donovan Mitchell made 2 threes (2-for-9) as the Pistons beat the Cavaliers 107-97 in East Semifinals Game 2 on May 7, 2026; falls short of over 2.5 threes. (Donovan Mitchell: 2 threes (2-9 3PT))
“All right I like two threes from Karl-Anthony Towns because I like the matchup That is where he has a clear advantage versus Joel Embiid to bring him out on the perimeter”
108-102 — Karl-Anthony Towns made 1 three (1-for-1) as the Knicks beat the 76ers 108-102 in East Semifinals Game 2 on May 6, 2026; falls short of over 1.5 threes. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 1 three (1-1 3PT), 10 reb, 7 ast, 20 pts)
“All right, so I got four rebounds for Tyrese Maxey. I didn't love my options on this one, but I do think that because of the way that the ball is going to have to go up for both of these teams, his quickness, his speed is going to lead to long rebounds, some energy putbacks”
108-102 — Tyrese Maxey grabbed 3 rebounds as the Knicks beat the 76ers 108-102 in East Semifinals Game 2 on May 6, 2026; falls short of over 3.5 rebounds. (Tyrese Maxey: 3 rebounds, 26 pts)
“He's shooting a three ball really well. He's been steady. I like his matchup in this Knicks matchup. He and OG Ananobi kind of dueling. It's fun to watch. I think he's going to find his way to 15. He's just been steady. So those are the picks. Karl-Anthony Towns, two threes. Maxie, four rebounds. George, 15 or more points.”
108-102 — Paul George scored 19 points as the Knicks beat the 76ers 108-102 in East Semifinals Game 2 on May 6, 2026; clears 15+ points. (Paul George: 19 points)
“All right, Alan Hahn, Lakers and Thunder, you like SGA to score at least 30 tonight. Yeah, because I just don't know how they're going to stop him.”
108-90 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 18 points as the Thunder beat the Lakers 108-90 in West Semifinals Game 1 on May 5, 2026; falls short of 30+ points. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 18 points)
“All right, next up, LeBron. Eight or more rebounds. You say yes. Yes, because there's going to be a lot of rebound opportunities.”
108-90 — LeBron James grabbed 4 rebounds as the Thunder beat the Lakers 108-90 in West Semifinals Game 1 on May 5, 2026; falls short of 8+ rebounds. (LeBron James: 4 rebounds)
“And then in the East game, you've got Cade Cunningham knocking down at least three threes. They're going to keep him out of the paint.”
111-101 — Cade Cunningham made 2 threes (2-for-5) as the Pistons beat the Cavaliers 111-101 in East Semifinals Game 1 on May 5, 2026; falls short of over 2.5 threes. (Cade Cunningham: 2 threes (2-5 3PT))
“Back on Get Up, and let's do Hitting the Mark, brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. Looking ahead to Game 1's of second-round NBA Series tonight. Monica, Wolves and Spurs. Give me your favorite play in that game tonight. So I think that one Victor Wembanyama will pull his mentor, friend, and teammate on the French national team away from the paint. One Rudy Gobert and knock down three or more threes. Three or more threes for the amazing Wimbanyama.”
104-102 — Victor Wembanyama went 0-for-8 from three-point range as the Timberwolves beat the Spurs 104-102 in West Semifinals Game 1 on May 4, 2026; falls short of 3+ threes. (Victor Wembanyama: 0 threes (0-8 3PT))
“Give me a pick that you like. Who's guarding Tyrese Maxey? Everybody. Don't matter. Nobody's guarding him. He's going to score 25 plus. He's averaged 30 against the Knicks this season. 50 from the field, 50 from three. He's going to be a tough matchup. I think it's going to start off with at least 25 tonight.”
137-98 — Tyrese Maxey scored 13 points as the Knicks routed the 76ers 137-98 in East Semifinals Game 1 on May 4, 2026; falls short of 25+ points. (Tyrese Maxey: 13 points)
“This is the one I'm most nervous about, Greeny, if I'm honest. Karl-Anthony Towns, three double-doubles in the last series. I think he's going to be focused and understand the moment. He's got to get to the glass. I'm going 12-plus rebounds. 12-plus boards for him, plus Maxie on the over 25 points, and Wembe to knock down three threes.”
137-98 — Karl-Anthony Towns grabbed 6 rebounds as the Knicks beat the 76ers 137-98 in East Semifinals Game 1 on May 4, 2026; falls short of 12+ rebounds. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 6 rebounds)
“Alan Hahn Pistons Magic Give me a play from that one that you like Well Paolo Boncaro 25 or more points He coming off 45”
93-79 — Paolo Banchero scored 17 points as the Pistons beat the Magic 93-79 in Game 6, missing the 25+ points mark (ESPN box score). (Paolo Banchero: 17 points)
“I'm going Donovan Mitchell to hit threes in this one. I think four is the number. He's already hit four threes in three of the five games so far already in this world.”
112-110 — Donovan Mitchell made 2 threes (2-of-10) as the Raptors beat the Cavaliers 112-110 in overtime in Game 6, missing the over 3.5 threes mark (ESPN box score). (Donovan Mitchell: 2 threes (2-10))
“LeBron James, eight or more assists. Why? Well, he's already averaging more than eight assists per game in the series.”
98-78 — LeBron James recorded 8 assists (with 28 points, 7 rebounds) as the Lakers beat the Rockets 98-78 in Game 6, meeting the 8+ assists mark (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 8 assists)
“Allen, Cade Cunningham, you like him to go over 10 assists. Talk to me. I do.”
116-109 — Cade Cunningham recorded 5 assists (with a franchise playoff-record 45 points) as the Pistons beat the Magic 116-109 in Game 5, missing the over 10 assists mark (ESPN box score). (Cade Cunningham: 5 assists)
“Donovan Mitchell, you have him over on 25 points tonight. Yeah, he's had over 30 in both the home games.”
125-120 — Donovan Mitchell scored 19 points as the Cavaliers beat the Raptors 125-120 in Game 5, missing the over 25 points mark (ESPN box score). (Donovan Mitchell: 19 points)
“And then the prop on LeBron is really or really not of a double-double, and you're saying yes. Yes, but it doesn't mean points and rebounds. It could be rebounds and assists. It could be points and assists. Because getting back Austin Reeves is going to be huge in this. He can be the playmaker and the facilitator, and he's still elite at that.”
99-93 — LeBron James finished with 25 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists as the Rockets beat the Lakers 99-93 in Game 5 -- no category reached double figures besides points, so no double-double (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 25 PTS / 3 REB / 7 AST)
“Those are the props. If you like him, they're a parlay. Cade Cunningham, 10 assists or more. Donovan Mitchell over on 25. LeBron a double-double. It's plus 513 as a parlay right now at DraftKings Sportsbook.”
Parlay lost on all three legs: Cade Cunningham had 5 assists (under 9.5/10 in Pistons 116, Magic 109); Donovan Mitchell scored 19 points (under 25 in Cavaliers 125, Raptors 120); LeBron James posted 25 pts/3 reb/7 ast, no double-double (Rockets 99, Lakers 93) (ESPN box scores).
“[32:53] Let's do hitting the mark, [32:54] which is brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. [32:57] Monica, Jayson Tatum, you like him to make more than three pointers. [33:01] Excuse me, three three-pointers tonight against Boston. [33:04] Tell me why. [33:05] I think last game he had four. [33:07] I think, don't quote me on that, [33:08] but I know he shot a great percentage from the three-point line. [33:10] I just think he's revving up, and this is an area of his game [33:13] that is important in the postseason, [33:15] and the Sixers have allowed him to have good looks.”
113-97 — Jayson Tatum made 4 threes (4-of-12) as the 76ers beat the Celtics 113-97 in Game 5, clearing the over 3.5 mark (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 4 threes (4-12))
“Yeah, and their defense really struggled the other night. The Sixers did with Embiid on the floor. You do like him to go over on eight rebounds. Let's talk about that. Yeah, the conversation around his debut, if you will, in this postseason was rebounding, missing, and the pace. But I think that is an area where he can get some second chance opportunities, can energize his guys. Like, that, I think, can be a powerful Joel Embiid presence, difference maker.”
113-97 — Joel Embiid grabbed 4 rebounds (with 33 points, 8 assists) as the 76ers beat the Celtics 113-97 in Game 5, missing the over 8 rebounds mark (ESPN box score). (Joel Embiid: 4 rebounds)
“And then for San Antonio, you like the over on Wembenyama, 25 points. Yeah, of the choices, I think this is the one that I was most appealed by.”
114-95 — Victor Wembanyama scored 17 points as the Spurs beat the Trail Blazers 114-95 in Game 5, missing the over 25 points mark (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 17 points)
“[30:20] Let's continue the conversation. [30:21] Let's hit the mark. [30:22] Brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. [30:24] Kirk, in the early game, will Cade Cunningham hit the mark of 30 points tonight for the Pistons? [30:29] Yes. [30:30] Is pig feet pork? [30:31] Absolutely. [30:32] It's never a concern when it comes to Cade and getting a bucket. [30:36] Look, he's going to be that guy. [30:38] He's that dynamic. [30:39] It's a reason that he's nominated as an all-NBA player. [30:44] He's going to continue to flourish. [30:46] They have no one to guard him on the Orlando Magic.”
98-83 — Cade Cunningham scored 27 points as the Pistons beat the Magic 98-83 in Game 2, falling short of the 30-point mark (ESPN box score). (Cade Cunningham: 27 points)
“[30:49] It's been needed as they trail in the series. [30:51] Will Paolo Bencaro hit the mark of 20 points tonight? [30:53] Easy. [30:54] Easy work. [30:55] I'm taking the over on this one again. [30:56] Paolo has found great spirit and great energy. [31:00] He's been balling since they lost that play-in game against the 76ers. [31:04] He's going to continue. [31:05] They have no one to check him. [31:07] He's too big, too physical. [31:08] He's going to continue to dominate.”
98-83 — Paolo Banchero scored 18 points as the Magic fell 83-98 to the Pistons in Game 2, missing the 20-point mark (ESPN box score). (Paolo Banchero: 18 points)
“[31:10] Let's continue the playoff conversation in the late game. [31:12] Now will SGA hit the mark of six assists tonight? [31:15] He will because they're going to continue to make him play in the crowd. [31:20] And what SGA has shown, even from game one, [31:22] is that he's going to continue to trust guys to knock down three-point shots, [31:26] especially his Canadian brother, Luke Dort. [31:29] Luke Doyle has been shooting the tray ball well. [31:32] He's going to continue to shoot SGA over the 6-6. [31:35] All right, so to recap, we're going to have to fade there. [31:39] 30 points at least. [31:40] Bancaro to score 20. [31:42] SGA to have at least six dimes.”
120-107 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 9 assists (with 37 points) as the Thunder beat the Suns 120-107 in Game 2, clearing the 6-assist mark (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 9 assists)
“[28:32] So let's do Hitting the Mark, which is brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. [28:35] And let's do O.G. Ananobi in that game. [28:38] Monica, let's talk about one of the props you like, and it is about this Knicks talk. [28:42] Yeah, so it's O.G. Ananobi totaling 25 in points, rebounds, and assists. [28:46] He had 19 in game one. [28:48] And I hear you, Quinn Snyder, on your philosophy. [28:51] But if I combine all of those things, I think he gets to 25 or better. [28:54] He's playing good ball here at home.”
107-106 — OG Anunoby had 14 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists (24 combined PRA) in New York's 106-107 loss to Atlanta, under the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 24 pra (14 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast))
“[28:55] Minnesota-Denver tonight as well. [28:57] Vince, what do you like in Anthony Edwards? [28:59] Anthony Edwards was smiling going to the sideline on the bench at the end of the game. [29:02] He knew something that we don't know. [29:04] I think he's going to have a big game in game two tonight. [29:07] As long as he looks healthy, as long as that knee, that runner's knee that he has, holds up, [29:12] I think he's going to do just fine. [29:14] He might get 30-plus tonight. [29:15] So the over is 25, and Vince likes it.”
119-114 — Anthony Edwards scored 30 points in Minnesota's 119-114 win over Denver, over the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 30 points)
“On the other side of that matchup, Nikola Jokic, 30 points. You like the over. I like the over because he has no problems with Rudy Gobert guarding them or Julius Randle guarding them.”
119-114 — Nikola Jokic scored 24 points in Denver's 114-119 loss to Minnesota, under the 29.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 24 points)
“[37:42] give me a prop you like on the Golden State Warriors tonight. [37:45] Stephen Curry after that virtuoso performance in L.A. [37:49] Five threes, 30 points. [37:51] Who's going to be guarding tonight? [37:52] Jalen Green, Dylan Brooks, Devin Booker, he's going to light them all up this evening. [37:57] I think he's going to continue the trend that he's been playing on. [37:59] The prop is five or more threes.”
111-96 — Stephen Curry went 3-for-10 on three-pointers (3 made) in Phoenix's 111-96 play-in win over Golden State, under the 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Stephen Curry: 3 threes (3-10))
“[38:02] How about one for Phoenix on the other side? [38:05] Devin Booker, 25. [38:06] He's a big game player. [38:08] I think they need him to score. [38:10] He let Jalen Green take a lot of shots late. [38:13] I think he's going to be far more forceful and aggressive offensively. [38:16] He's going to score more than 25.”
111-96 — Devin Booker scored 20 points in Phoenix's 111-96 play-in win over Golden State, under the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (Devin Booker: 20 points)
“[38:19] And in the East, what's your favorite play? [38:21] Hornets magic. [38:23] LaMelo Ball, 35 points, rebounds, and assists. [38:27] We know that he can score and he can dish. [38:29] I think he's going to take a lot off the glass tonight to start his own fast break against [38:33] this slowdown Orlando team. [38:35] He's going to pass that, I think, quite easily tonight.”
121-90 — LaMelo Ball had 23 points, 2 rebounds, 5 assists (30 combined PRA) in Charlotte's 90-121 play-in loss to Orlando, under the 34.5 line (ESPN box score). (LaMelo Ball: 30 pra (23 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast))
“But to recap those picks, we've got Stephen Curry going the over on threes, Devin Booker the over on points and LaMelo Ball. The combined total of points, rebounds, and assists going over 35. If you like those picks, they're a parlay on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for the Hitting the Mark featured parlay price at plus 386 odds. Now back to what I just said.”
111-96; 121-90 — All three legs lost: Curry made 3 threes (under 5, ESPN box score), Booker scored 20 points (under 25, ESPN box score), and Ball had 30 combined points+rebounds+assists (under 35, ESPN box score); parlay busts.
“[42:25] So let's do Hitting the Mark. [42:26] It's brought to you by our friends at DraftKings Sportsbook. [42:29] Look into tonight's play-in games. [42:31] Allen, Heath, Hornets, which player prop do you like tonight for Charlotte? [42:36] The mellow ball five or more three Because he puts them up folks Don eat those For the gram These are not typical square up your shoulders set your feet threes [42:46] These are on my tippy toes, one-foot threes from 30 feet, Shump. [42:50] So he's going to put them up. [42:52] He'll knock down five.”
127-126 — LaMelo Ball went 2-for-16 on three-pointers (2 made) in Charlotte's 127-126 OT win over Miami, under the 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (LaMelo Ball: 2 threes (2-16))
“Miami is going to be, to me, Tyler Herro is a good rebounding guard. There are going to be a lot of rebounds available. Five or more rebounds for Tyler Herro is where I'm going here as well.”
127-126 — Tyler Herro had 3 rebounds in Miami's 126-127 OT loss to Charlotte, under the 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyler Herro: 3 rebounds)
“Devin Booker hits 25 points in his sleep. This is, for me, he's going to be your goal-to scorer.”
114-110 — Devin Booker scored 22 points in Phoenix's 110-114 play-in loss to Portland, under the 24.5 line (ESPN box score). (Devin Booker: 22 points)
“Lay the one and a half with Illinois. Danny Hurley, 17 and one against the spread in his last 18 tournament games.”
71-62 — UConn beat Illinois 71-62 in the Final Four; Illinois lost outright, so Illinois -1.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“And how about the total in that game? Under 139 and a half. Two teams that play at a very slow pace.”
71-62 — UConn beat Illinois 71-62 in the Final Four; combined 133 points is under the 139.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Michigan, Arizona plus the 1.5. This game comes down entirely to Michigan's three-point shooting.”
91-73 — Michigan beat Arizona 91-73 in the Final Four; Arizona lost by 18, well outside the +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Total for this is 138.5 points. We're going to bet the under. Illinois doesn't foul all that much.”
71-59 — Illinois beat Iowa 71-59 in the South Region Elite Eight on 2026-03-28 (ESPN); combined 130 points clears the under 138.5.
“Arizona is a six-and-a-half-point favorite in the West Regional Final against the Boilermakers. What do you think? I would look to Arizona, but I wouldn't go crazy with this one. Game open four. Last night, we immediately saw Wildcat money flood the market and knock it up to six-and-a-half. Purdue can defend the rim a little bit, which is where Arizona wants to live, so keep that in mind. But given the rebounding edge, given the turnover edge, given the way that Arizona's been playing, and the way they can defend the three-pointer, which is what Purdue wants to do for part of their offense, I'd be looking at the Wildcats here.”
79-64 — Arizona beat Purdue 79-64 in the West Region Elite Eight on 2026-03-28 (ESPN); Arizona won by 15, covering -6.5.
“All right, let's do the other three games that are on tonight's schedule. Well again really good glamour teams in a game of who you got Joe I start with you Alabama the spread is 8 Who do you like Laying it with Michigan Alabama going to get cooked on the glass in tonight game which is going to lead to a lot of second-chance opportunities for Michigan.”
90-77 — Michigan beat Alabama 90-77 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); Michigan won by 13, covering -8.
“John's and Duke tonight. The number is six and a half.”
80-75 — Duke beat St. John's 80-75 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); St. John's lost by 5, covering +6.5.
“Totals 141 and a half.”
80-75 — Duke beat St. John's 80-75 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); combined 155 points busts the under 141.5.
“UConn, lay the one and a half. Clean out the earwax because you're not going to want to miss this. Danny Hurley in his career in the tournament, 18-4 against the spread.”
67-63 — UConn beat Michigan State 67-63 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); UConn won by 4, covering -1.5.
“Arizona, a 6.5-point favorite over Purdue tomorrow. Which side do you like? Like Arizona, don't love Arizona. Game opened four, and last night we immediately saw a lot of wildcat money. I mean, how could there not be, considering how good they've looked? They can defend the three-point line, which is going to be big against Purdue. On top of that, they've got a rebounding edge and a turnover edge. But the number's starting to get away from this here. So we like Arizona.”
79-64 — Arizona beat Purdue 79-64 in the West Region Elite Eight on 2026-03-28 (ESPN); Arizona won by 15, covering -6.5.
“Over-under, also known as the total set at 138.5. We want to go under in that game.”
71-59 — Illinois beat Iowa 71-59 in the South Region Elite Eight on 2026-03-28 (ESPN); combined 130 points clears the under 138.5.
“The Knicks to win the East plus 380. The Celtics to win the East plus 170. I would much rather take the Knicks.”
The Knicks swept the Cavaliers 4-0 in the 2025-26 Eastern Conference Finals, clinching with a 130-93 Game 4 win on 2026-05-25 (ESPN), and advanced to the NBA Finals. (Knicks def. Cavaliers 4-0 in ECF (clinching Game 4: Knicks 130, Cavaliers 93))
“St. John's plus the 6.5. The Caleb Foster injury looms large here in five games without him since the injury against UNC. Minus 18 turnover differential. St. John's can turn you over.”
80-75 — Duke beat St. John's 80-75 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); St. John's lost by 5, covering +6.5.
“Alabama, Michigan, the Wolverines are an eight-and-a-half point favorite. We'll lay the eight-and-a-half with Michigan.”
90-77 — Michigan beat Alabama 90-77 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); Michigan won by 13, covering -8.5.
“Izzo and Hurley, Michigan State and UConn. The Huskies a one-and-a-half point favorite. What do you like? It's got to be UConn. Danny Hurley is Mr. Money in the tournament. 18-4 against the spread. Lifetime, 8-0 against the spread. in the Sweet 16 or later.”
67-63 — UConn beat Michigan State 67-63 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); UConn won by 4, covering -1.5.
“Iowa State, a three-and-a-half-point favorite. What's the smart money? We'll take the points here at Tennessee, get a little bit on the money line as well. The injury to Joshua Jefferson for Iowa State looms large.”
76-62 — Tennessee beat Iowa State 76-62 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); Tennessee won outright, covering +3.5.
“Paul Skeen's under six and a half strikeouts.”
11-7 — Paul Skenes recorded 1 strikeout (0.2 IP, 5 ER) as the Mets beat the Pirates 11-7 on 2026-03-26 (ESPN box score); under 6.5 strikeouts covers. (Paul Skenes: 1 strikeout)
“I would keep riding with Iowa here plus the two-and-a-half. Should be a lower-scoring game, which makes the two-and-a-half in our pocket more valuable.”
77-71 — Iowa beat Nebraska 77-71 in the South Region Sweet 16 on 2026-03-26 (ESPN); Iowa won outright, comfortably covering +2.5.
“I would take St. John's plus the six and a half. We've seen early under money here, which correlates nicely with an underdog play.”
80-75 — Duke beat St. John's 80-75 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); St. John's lost by 5, covering +6.5.
“We'll lay the 7.5 with Purdue Greeny.”
79-77 — Purdue beat Texas 79-77 on 2026-03-26 (ESPN); Purdue won by only 2, failing to cover -7.5.
“Michigan State, UConn, that's an under bet. 137.5, open 140. Under money's been coming in for good reason.”
67-63 — UConn beat Michigan State 67-63 on 2026-03-27 (ESPN); combined 130 points clears the under 137.5.
“We'll look to a futures play here. Houston to make the final fours plus money. Plus 115, $10 bet, returns $11.50 in profit.”
65-55 — Houston was eliminated by Illinois 65-55 in the South Region Sweet 16 on 2026-03-26 (ESPN), never reaching the Final Four.
“This game opened Gonzaga minus seven. Money immediately came in on Texas and knocked it down to five and a half.”
GONZ 68, TEX 74 — Texas beat Gonzaga 74-68 in the NCAA Tournament Round of 32, a +6 margin that covers the +5.5 spread (ESPN).
“We'll take the 2.5. This could be one of your surprise upsets of the day. So we're going to begin Santa Clara plus the 2.5 over Kentucky.”
UK 89, SCU 84 — Kentucky beat Santa Clara 89-84 in overtime in the NCAA Tournament First Round; Santa Clara's -5 margin busts the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
“Akron plus 7.5 over Texas Tech. Red Raiders are limping in both literally and figuratively.”
TTU 91, AKR 71 — Texas Tech beat Akron 91-71 in the NCAA Tournament First Round; Akron's -20 margin busts the +7.5 spread (ESPN).
“And finally, Northern Iowa plus the 9.5 over St. John's. I think the Johnnies are a tad overvalued because we just saw them destroy UConn in the Big East Championship game.”
SJU 79, UNI 53 — St. John's beat Northern Iowa 79-53 in the NCAA Tournament First Round; Northern Iowa's -26 margin busts the +9.5 spread (ESPN).
“So another first four team, Texas taking on BYU. I'd play the Longhorns plus the two and a half there.”
BYU 71, TEX 79 — Texas beat BYU 79-71 in the NCAA Tournament First Four, a margin of +8, covering the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
“[32:45] I like Harry, but I like money more, so we're definitely going to take South Florida here. [32:49] This is a popular play out west. [32:50] Come on, you like money, too. [32:51] No, just talk. Go ahead. [32:52] You like money, too. [32:53] All right, this one opened 6.5. [32:55] Got bet down to 5.5. [32:56] The injury comes in. [32:57] Now we're down to 4.5. [32:59] Two teams heading in opposite directions. [33:00] Louisville loses 4 of 8 on their way in. [33:02] Here comes South Florida. [33:03] They've won 11 straight, as you know. [33:04] Very good basketball team. [33:05] We're not friends anymore. [33:06] Problem for Louisville outside of the injury, three-point variance. [33:10] They shoot the fourth most threes of anybody in the entire country. [33:13] When those aren't falling, the offense collapses. [33:15] South Florida's got a top 40 defense. [33:17] We like South Florida plus the points upset special.”
LOU 83, USF 79 — Louisville beat South Florida 83-79 in the NCAA Tournament First Round; South Florida's -4 margin is better than the +4.5 spread, so it covers (ESPN).
“We'll take high point plus the 10.5 over Wisconsin.”
WIS 82, HPU 83 — High Point upset Wisconsin 83-82 in the NCAA Tournament First Round, winning outright and easily covering the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
“where you catching 10 points Now elsewhere matchup between VCU and North Carolina I would look to VCU here They the dog plus 2 The Caleb Martin injury looms large 20 points 9 rebounds 58 from the field gone from the lineup Here comes VCU. Winners of 16 of their last 17. Balanced attack on offense and defense. They're top 60 in both categories. And here's the thing. When you have a spread of 2.5, if we're projecting a tight game, you're going to need to make your free throws.”
UNC 78, VCU 82 — VCU beat North Carolina 82-78 in overtime in the NCAA Tournament First Round, winning outright and covering the +2.5 spread (ESPN).
“So we're betting over under on Siena. How many points will they score? We're going to go under 53 and a half against Duke.”
DUKE 71, SIE 65 — Duke beat Siena 71-65 in the NCAA Tournament First Round; Siena scored 65 points, busting the team-total Under 53.5 (ESPN).
“Elsewhere, let's go with the dog. High point, plus 10.5 against Wisconsin.”
WIS 82, HPU 83 — High Point upset Wisconsin 83-82 in the NCAA Tournament First Round, winning outright and easily covering the +10.5 spread (ESPN).
“Idaho we're gonna go under their number against Houston which is 56 and a half”
HOU 78, IDHO 47 — Houston beat Idaho 78-47 in the NCAA Tournament First Round; Idaho's team total of 47 covers the Under 56.5 (ESPN).
“So the future is going to be interesting for the Lakers and Luka will be the center of that But the immediate future was what I wanted to ask Joe about Joe I was looking at your notes and there was a best bet that I found fascinating Go Yeah, they play soft. I bet they missed the playoffs. I know that sounds crazy, and people say, well, look at this, look at that. It's not a coin flip situation. They're offering us 10 to 1. What does 10 to 1 mean? It means 9%. So ask yourself, is there a greater than, less than, or equal to 9% chance of them missing the playoffs? I think it's greater than that. I think Phoenix gets past them and pushes them into the play-in. And once they're there, wouldn't be surprised if they completely implode and pack it in. They're a team that doesn't play any defense, as Wendy was telling you, 24th in defensive rating. Through 58 games, I believe it is this season, they have a negative point differential and a negative net rating. They're 19th in net rating. They play soft defense. Can you get DeAndre Ayton to play consistent for you night in and night out? Do you have leadership? Are you going to make a big push down the stretch? You offer me 10-1 that they miss the playoffs. I'll take that bet, Greeny. 10-1 that they miss the playoffs. Again, losing in the play-in constitutes missing the playoffs.”
Lakers finished the 2025-26 regular season 53-29 and clinched the No. 4 seed in the West outright (no play-in needed), so the 'Lakers to miss the playoffs' bet loses; they beat the Rockets 4-2 in Round 1 before being swept 4-0 by the Thunder in Round 2 (ESPN standings/schedule). (Lakers finished 53-29, No. 4 seed West (clinched); beat Rockets 4-2 in Round 1, swept 0-4 by Thunder in Round 2)
“We're going to lay the four-and-a-half here with the Seahawks.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Seahawks beat the Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; Seattle -4.5 covers by 16 points.
“I like him over 37 and a half rushing yards, but the focus here, the better play, is that May throws an interception.”
Drake Maye rushed for exactly 37 yards in Super Bowl LX, short of the over-37.5 line. (5 carries, 37 rushing yards)
“All right, so you like the Seahawks, but then how about May himself? Do we have a prop for him? I'll give you two. I like him over 37 and a half rushing yards, but the focus here, the better play, is that May throws an interception.”
Drake Maye threw 2 interceptions in Super Bowl LX, one of which Seattle's defense returned for a touchdown. (27/43, 252 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT (one returned for a touchdown))
“Patriots team total, you're betting the over-under on how many points they score. 20.5 is the number I would play under.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — The Patriots scored 13 points in Super Bowl LX, under the 20.5 team-total line.
“I'm going with Drake Maye over seven rushing attempts.”
Drake Maye had only 5 rushing attempts (for 37 yards) in Super Bowl LX, under the 7-attempt line. (5 carries, 37 rushing yards)
“Over 230 passing yards.”
Sam Darnold passed for 194 yards (19/38, 1 TD) in Super Bowl LX, well under the 230-yard line. (19/38, 194 passing yards, 1 TD)
“Jackson Smith and Jigba will have a 30-plus yard reception in this game.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished Super Bowl LX with 4 receptions for 27 yards and a longest catch of 16 yards, short of the 30-plus-yard line. (4 receptions, 27 yards; longest reception 16 yards)
“Seattle minus 4.5 combined with the under 45.5 total points,”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Seahawks beat the Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX; Seattle -4.5 covers by 16 points.
“Seattle minus 4.5 combined with the under 45.5 total points, which you can wait on because the public money will probably knock that up a little bit.”
SEA 29, NE 13 — Super Bowl LX finished Seahawks 29, Patriots 13, a combined 42 points, under the 45.5 total.
“The New York Knicks tonight are laying seven and a half against the Portland Trailblazers.”
NY 127, POR 97 — Knicks beat the Trail Blazers 127-97; New York -7.5 covers by 30 points.
“We're going to lay the four and a half with Kansas.”
KU 90, BYU 82 — Kansas beat BYU 90-82; Kansas -4.5 covers by 8 points.
“Yeah, I would play Denver plus the points. It's at four and a half now.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Patriots beat Broncos 10-7 in the AFC Championship; Denver +4.5 covers losing by only 3.
“All right, let's do Hitting the Mark. It's brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. Joe Fortenbaugh is here with a few picks that will turn into a parlay for the NFC Championship game. Joe, take it away. Let's start with Jackson, Smith, and Jigba to score an anytime touchdown plus 100. Hell of a price for a guy who's found the end zone 10 times in his last 14 games, especially when you factor in the matchup against the Rams. Since week 13, only two teams have given up more passing touchdowns than the Rams,”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught a touchdown in the NFC Championship (10 receptions, 153 yards, 1 TD) as Seattle beat the Rams 31-27. (10 receptions, 153 yards, 1 TD)
“On top of that let look at his teammate AJ Barner Four plus receptions Great buy low price because he had zero targets against the Niners last week Wasn even a factor in the passing game But this dude shows up in these matchups against the Rams Two games this year, targeted 17 times. 14 receptions, 119 yards, and a touchdown. Darnold under pressure, finds his security blanket, checks it down. Barner gets us four or more receptions.”
AJ Barner caught only 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards in the NFC Championship, falling short of the four-plus-receptions line. (2 receptions, 13 yards on 3 targets)
“And then finally, let's go to the other side. Matthew Stafford, longest completion, 35 or more yards. Sean McVay knows how to dial it up against a Mike McDonald defense. And that's not just against McDonald's Seahawks. It's against McDonald's Ravens as well, if you go back in time. The last matchup Stafford had against this team in Seattle that went to overtime, four. Count them, four completions of 40 or more yards. We just need one to hit 35. I'm confident we'll get that here, Green.”
Matthew Stafford's longest completion in the NFC Championship went for 44 yards, clearing the 35-plus-yard line (22/35, 374 yards, 3 TD). (22/35, 374 yards, 3 TD; longest completion 44 yards)
“The Seahawks are a two-and-a-half-point favorite at DraftKings as we speak. Joe, which way on that are you looking? Laying it with Seattle, two key reasons. Let's start with the Rams' defense. Since week 13, completely fallen off a cliff. 22nd or worse in scoring, efficiency, and EPA. You just saw them last week. They survived the Bears, giving up 417 total yards in the process.”
SEA 31, LAR 27 — Seahawks beat the Rams 31-27 in the NFC Championship; Seattle -2.5 covers by a 4-point margin.
“All right, Hawk, let's do Hitting the Mark. It's brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. Some props we're looking at this weekend. Give me something on Drake Maye. Give me 30-plus rushing yards for Drake Maye. Listen, over the last two games, he's taken 10 sacks. I expect him to be really really cautious back there and take off when the opportunity presents itself Also look at what Josh Allen did against this defense a week ago rushing for 66 yards I think Drake Maye get it done on the ground”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Drake Maye ran for 65 yards in New England's 10-7 AFC Championship win over Denver (Jan 25, 2026), clearing the 30-yard rushing prop. (Drake Maye 65 rushing yards)
“I like it. How about the other quarterback? Again, it'll be Jarrett Stidham. Yeah, give me 190 plus passing yards. I get it. He's a backup quarterback. He hasn't had any action. And when you're going against this defense, there will be opportunities for them over the middle of the field. Why? Because Bo Nix hasn't typically tested that area of the field. So I look at that as an opportunity. And I think Jarek Stidham plays a lot better than people expect.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Jarrett Stidham threw for 133 yards in Denver's 7-10 AFC Championship loss to New England (Jan 25, 2026), short of the 190-yard passing prop. (Jarrett Stidham 133 passing yards)
“All right. And you're a receiver. Give me a prop for one of the receivers. This is one I feel the most confident about. It's Kayshawn Booty for three receptions or more. I think Patrick Sertain is going to shadow Stephon Diggs, which leaves a Booty and Riley Moss matchup. And I think he is going to go off.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — Kayshon Boutte caught 1 pass for 6 yards on 6 targets in the AFC Championship (Jan 25, 2026), well short of the 3-reception prop. (Kayshon Boutte 1 reception, 6 yards)
“Look for the Hitting the Mark featured parlay priced at plus 400 odds.”
NE 10, DEN 7 — In New England's 10-7 AFC Championship win over Denver (Jan 25, 2026), Drake Maye cleared 30+ rushing yards (65), but Jarrett Stidham missed 190+ passing yards (133) and Kayshon Boutte missed 3+ receptions (1); the parlay busts on the Stidham and Boutte legs. (Maye 65 rush yds; Stidham 133 pass yds; Boutte 1 reception)
“Most definitely hit the mark Let do Hitting the Mark It brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook We looking for props for this weekend particularly focusing on the Sunday divisional games with our betting expert Joe Fortenbaugh These are all brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. Joe, who do you like to hit the mark? Texans, Patriots. Drake Maye, 30-plus rushing yards. This is going to be a low-scoring game. Every single yard is going to count. Drake Maye is averaging six rushing attempts per game on the season. Ran for 66 yards against the Chargers last week. As elite as that Houston defense is, quarterbacks can run on them. Tenth most rushing yards allowed to opposing QBs this season because they flush you out of the pocket and then you take off. We like made a run for 30 or more yards. All right, that's the early game Sunday. Let's go to the night game. What do you like on the Rams? Blake Corum, 46-plus rushing yards. The Bears rank 24th in defensive rush success rate. You can run on these guys. Enter Corum, averaging over five yards per carry on the season, double-digit rushing attempts in five of his last six games. Pay attention. Rams are three-and-a-half-point favorites, so if they're leading late in the game, they'll be running the ball to kill the clock. That's where Coram could rack up some bonus yards. All right, and how about the other side? Give me something from the Bears. Roma Dunze, 40-plus receiving yards. Cheap price because he only caught two passes last week coming back from injury against the Packers. However, those two passes went for 44 receiving yards. The vulnerability of the Los Angeles Rams is the secondary. Tenth-most receiving yards allowed, two opposing wide receivers. You can throw on these guys. This is supposed to be a very cold game, so a lot of people are making the mistake thinking it's going to be low scoring. Don't make that mistake. This game has sneaky shootout potential. By the way, that play remains the most watchable play maybe of the NFL season. So recapping, if you like the picks, they're a parlay. Drake Maye over on the rushing yards. Coram over on the rushing yards. Odunze over on the receiving yards. They've parlayed them together with the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for the hitting the mark featured parlay priced at plus 506 odds.”
Drake Maye ran for 10 yards (under 30) as New England beat Houston 28-16, and Blake Corum ran for 19 yards (under 46) while Rome Odunze caught for 44 yards (over 40) as the Rams beat the Bears 20-17 in OT on Jan 18, 2026; the parlay busts on the Maye and Corum legs. (Maye 10 rush yds (Texans-Patriots); Corum 19 rush yds, Odunze 44 rec yds (Rams-Bears))
“Team total over 27 and a half points.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana scored 27 points in its 27-21 win over Miami in the CFP National Championship (Jan 19, 2026), falling short of the 27.5 team-total over.
“I'd lay the eight and a half with Indiana.”
IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana beat Miami 27-21 in the CFP National Championship (Jan 19, 2026), a margin of +6, short of the -8.5 spread.
“We power through. This total opened 51-1⁄2. Immediately got that down to 48-1⁄2 because of the weather. People think the cold weather is going to lead to an under. I think we're getting a discount. I think we played the over. Here's the number. Last 10 years, games in the playoffs, kickoff, freezing temperatures or lower, over is 18-9.”
LAR 20, CHI 17 — The Rams beat the Bears 20-17 in OT on Jan 18, 2026, a combined 37 points, under the 48.5 total.
“I'd look to laying the three and a half with the Rams.”
LAR 20, CHI 17 — The Rams beat the Bears 20-17 in OT on Jan 18, 2026, a margin of +3, short of the -3.5 spread.
“Bills Broncos tomorrow in Denver game pick is Broncos minus one and a half best bet under 45 and a half.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver beat Buffalo 33-30 in OT on Jan 17, 2026, a margin of +3, covering the -1.5 spread.
“Under 45 and a half is the best bet.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Denver beat Buffalo 33-30 in OT on Jan 17, 2026, a combined 63 points, well over the 45.5 total.
“All right, let's go to the next game. We just told you Kyle Shanahan never loses in this round. He's a big underdog at Seattle tomorrow night. Seahawks minus seven. Joe, best bets. Laying the points with Seattle. Sam Darnold's kryptonite is pressure. Problem is San Francisco can't generate any. Since Nick Bosa went down with an injury in week three, The Niners rank 31st in the NFL in pass rush win rate.”
SEA 41, SF 6 — Seattle routed San Francisco 41-6 on Jan 17, 2026, a margin of +35, easily covering the -7 spread.
“Game pick is Houston plus three.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — New England beat Houston 28-16 on Jan 18, 2026, a margin of -12 for the Texans, short of the +3 spread.
“Best bet is under 40 and a half.”
NE 28, HOU 16 — New England beat Houston 28-16 on Jan 18, 2026, a combined 44 points, over the 40.5 total.
“So if you like those picks, we've put them together as a parlay. [15:40] It's Allen to score. [15:41] It's Knicks over 210. [15:42] It's James Cook over 15 receiving yards. [15:45] It's a parlay on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. [15:47] Look for Hitting the Mark, the featured parlay. [15:50] The price is plus 525.”
DEN 33, BUF 30 — Josh Allen threw for 3 TDs but scored 0 rushing/receiving TDs (missing the anytime-TD leg), while Bo Nix passed for 279 yards (over 210) and James Cook caught for 24 yards (over 15) in Denver's 33-30 OT win over Buffalo on Jan 17, 2026; the parlay busts on the Allen leg. (Allen 0 rush/rec TD (3 pass TD, 66 rush yds); Nix 279 pass yds; Cook 24 rec yds)
“Give me one more. Let's round out the far lay. One more hitting the mark. Yeah, I'm going to go to the MVP of the Pittsburgh Steelers offense, Kenneth Gainwell, 66 plus rushing and receiving yards. He's been the MVP of that offense. He has been in valuable to Aaron Rodgers, the outlay type of guy, the rushing attempts. So I think he's going to get a lot of work in this game against the Houston Texans. If you like those picks, they are a parlay. Rodgers, 34 more pass attempts. Stroud, at least 20 completions. Gainwell, 66 total yards. They're a parlay on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for hitting the mark featured parlay price at plus 455 odds.”
HOU 30, PIT 6 — In the Texans' 30-6 AFC Wild Card win over the Steelers, Aaron Rodgers had only 33 pass attempts (under 34) and Kenneth Gainwell managed just 46 rush+rec yards (under 66), busting the parlay; C.J. Stroud's 21 completions did clear 20 (ESPN box score). (Rodgers 17/33, 146 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT; Stroud 21/32, 250 yds, 1 TD; Gainwell 6 car, 20 rush yds + 4 rec, 26 rec yds = 46 total)
“Time for a segment we call Over Under. It's brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. Jeff. Zach Prescott. 274 and a half passing yards over under. This is right on the line for me, but I'm going to go over. I think they're going to – what scares me is that they pull them because they've got a big lead. That's the only thing that scares me because I like this matchup. I think Pickens and Lamb both eat. I think Ferguson will have a big day. So, I'm going over on that 274 and a half.”
DAL 30, WSH 23 — Dak Prescott threw for 307 yards (19-of-37) with 2 TDs as the Cowboys beat the Commanders 30-23 on Christmas Day, clearing the 274.5 over (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott 19/37, 307 passing yards, 2 TD)
“Okay, Jeffrey, Jahmyr Gibbs, 117 and a half rushing yards and receiving combined over under. I going under here and this is no indictment on Gibbs If I Brian Flores and you sitting in that defensive room if you stop Gibbs you have stopped the Detroit offense this season And so I looking at him going hey we going to stop Gibbs We'll make St. Brown, who Mike T wants to trade, beat us. He's a nobody. But stop Gibbs. So I'm going to say under because I think that will be where Flores puts his direction.”
MIN 23, DET 10 — Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 64 rush+rec yards (17 carries for 41 yards, 3 catches for 23 yards) in the Vikings' 23-10 win over the Lions, well under the 117.5 line (ESPN box score). (Gibbs 17 car, 41 rush yds; 3 rec, 23 rec yds — 64 total)
“Okay, how about this one? Bo Nix, one and a half passing TDs over or under. I'm going over. And again, this has nothing to do with the Chiefs defense, who I think are legit, and they will play with professional pride. This has everything to do with their offense not being able to move the ball and him getting touch after touch after touch and being able to put two tuds on the board. I'm going over here in a strong way. Okay, let's recap. So we're going with the over on Dak Prescott passing yards, Bo Nix touchdowns, the under on Jermaine Gibbs total yards.”
DEN 20, KC 13 — Bo Nix threw only 1 passing touchdown (26/38, 182 yds, 1 INT) plus a rushing TD as the Broncos beat the Chiefs 20-13, staying under the 1.5 passing-TD line (ESPN box score). (Bo Nix 26/38, 182 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 1 INT; 9 car, 42 rush yds, 1 rush TD)
“Best bet in this one, Philadelphia plus one and a half.”
BUF 12, PHI 13 — Eagles beat Bills 13-12 in Week 17, a +1 margin that covers Philadelphia's +1.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“We'll go ahead and play Oklahoma on the money line here.”
OU 24, ALA 34 — Alabama rallied from a 17-point halftime deficit to beat Oklahoma 34-24 in the CFP First Round; Oklahoma moneyline busts (ESPN box score).
“Miami versus the Aggies What your best bet Laying the three and a half with Texas A”
TA&M 3, MIA 10 — Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 in the CFP First Round; Texas A&M lost outright, so the -3.5 spread busts (ESPN box score).
“Give me one more. Tulane at Ole Miss. Smaller bet will lay the big number with Ole Miss. now that it's crossed 17, we'll lay the 17.5.”
MISS 41, TULN 10 — Ole Miss beat Tulane 41-10 in the CFP First Round, a margin of +31 that easily covers the -17.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Wood, we've got Aaron Rodgers. His total is 212.5 passing yards. You going over or under? I'm going under. I think last week was an aberration, you know, when it comes to Aaron Rodgers.”
15-28 — Aaron Rodgers threw for 224 yards (23/27) in Pittsburgh's 28-15 win over Miami, over the 212.5 under line. (Aaron Rodgers: 23/27, 224 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT)
“DK Metcalf, 54.5 receiving yards, over or under. I'm going to go over. Listen, hell, they don't really have much anything else in the receiving game.”
15-28 — DK Metcalf caught 3 passes for 55 receiving yards in Pittsburgh's 28-15 win over Miami, over the 54.5 line. (DK Metcalf: 3 rec, 55 receiving yards)
“I take the Raiders plus the 11.5. We're asking the Eagles to not only win, but to win by margin. It's not something they do.”
31-0 — The Raiders lost 0-31 to the Eagles, a 31-point margin far worse than the +11.5 the bet needed.
“get the spread out of there and just lay the minus 120 on the Bills to win the game”
35-31 — The Bills beat the Patriots 35-31, winning outright on the moneyline.
“How about the Browns and Bears in frigid Chicago? I'll take Cleveland plus the 7.5. This is what we call a sandwich spot for the Bears.”
3-31 — The Browns lost 3-31 to the Bears, a 28-point margin far worse than the +7.5 the bet needed.
“Danny, the one-and-a-half touchdown passes is the total for Baker Mayfield. Do we go over or under? I'm going to go over.”
29-28 — Baker Mayfield threw 2 passing touchdowns (19/34, 277 yds) in Tampa Bay's 28-29 loss to Atlanta, clearing the over 1.5 line. (Baker Mayfield: 19/34, 277 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT)
“Hawk, 87 and a half rushing plus receiving yards. Bucky Irving, what do you think? Yeah, I'm going to go under.”
29-28 — Bucky Irving totaled 71 rush+rec yards (16 car, 60 rush; 5 rec, 11 rec) in Tampa Bay's loss to Atlanta, under the 87.5 line. (Bucky Irving: 16 car, 60 rush yds; 5 rec, 11 rec yds — 71 total)
“And on the other side, Danny, 74 and a half rushing yards for Bijan. I'm going to say over every time this number is 74 and a half for Bijan Robinson.”
29-28 — Bijan Robinson rushed for 93 yards (19 carries) in Atlanta's 29-28 win over Tampa Bay, over the 74.5 line. (Bijan Robinson: 19 car, 93 rushing yards)
“Jalen Hurts, his total for tonight, passing plus rushing yards combined 229 and a half We go over or under Yeah I gotta go under on that right now That offense hasn been good I think Jalen threw for 300 against the Vikings and that it It's hard for me to imagine, especially against this Chargers defense, that I think is super opportunistic.”
19-22 — Jalen Hurts totaled 248 pass+rush yards (21/40, 240 pass, 4 INT; 4 car, 8 rush) in the Chargers' 22-19 OT win over the Eagles, over the 229.5 under line. (Jalen Hurts: 21/40, 240 pass yds, 4 INT; 4 car, 8 rush yds — 248 total)
“Passing yards, 211.5, over or under?”
19-22 — Justin Herbert threw for 139 yards (12/26) in the Chargers' 22-19 OT win over the Eagles, under the 211.5 line. (Justin Herbert: 12/26, 139 passing yards)
“Saquon Barkley rushing 69 and a half yards.”
19-22 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 122 yards (20 carries) in the Eagles' 22-19 OT loss to the Chargers, over the 69.5 under line. (Saquon Barkley: 20 car, 122 rushing yards)
“If you believe this game is going to be low scoring and we're not going to see big numbers, those picks are a parlay. We put them together on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for the over or under featured parlay price at plus $4.95 odds.”
19-22 — In the Eagles-Chargers game (22-19 OT), Hurts went over 229.5 pass+rush yards (248, leg lost) and Barkley went over 69.5 rushing yards (122, leg lost), busting the under parlay despite Herbert's 139 passing yards clearing his under 211.5 (leg won).
“Best bet SEC championship game Bama tomorrow Anything less than three it all systems go on Georgia, two and a half, so we're going to go ahead and lay the points.”
ALA 7, UGA 28 — Georgia beat Alabama 28-7 in the SEC Championship Game, a 21-point margin; Georgia -2.5 covers (ESPN).
“Next, NFL pick, Steelers-Ravens. What do we like? Ravens minus five and a half.”
BAL 22, PIT 27 — Steelers beat Ravens 27-22; a 5-point margin falls short of Ravens -5.5, so the bet busts (ESPN box score).
“And then how about the big game at Lambeau Field, Bears and Packers? This is an under bet, 44 and a half.”
GB 28, CHI 21 — Packers beat Bears 28-21, a combined 49 points; under 44.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“on the Cowboys next week against Minnesota, where they're minus 6.5.”
DAL 26, MIN 34 — Vikings beat Cowboys 34-26, an 8-point margin; Cowboys -6.5 busts (ESPN box score).
“But if you want the best bet, you want to play the under 41.5. Money's been coming in on that all week, and for good reason.”
KC 10, HOU 20 — Texans beat Chiefs 20-10, a combined 30 points; under 41.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Dak Prescott, we're talking about MVP conversation. His passing total is 268.5 yards. You going over or under? Give me over.”
DET 44, DAL 30 — Dak Prescott threw for 376 passing yards as the Lions beat the Cowboys 44-30; over 268.5 passing yards covers (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 376 passing yards)
“So his total is 81.5 receiving yards over under. Give me over again because there's no way that you could take George Pickens away because C.D. Lamb is out there.”
DET 44, DAL 30 — George Pickens had 37 receiving yards as the Lions beat the Cowboys 44-30; over 81.5 receiving yards busts (ESPN box score). (George Pickens: 37 receiving yards)
“And then there's Jameer Gibbs on the other side. His rushing total, 76.5 yards, over or under? We're going with the trifecta, Greeny. I'm going over again because Amon Ross St. Brown, whether he plays or not, he's hobbled.”
DET 44, DAL 30 — Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 43 yards as the Lions beat the Cowboys 44-30; over 76.5 rushing yards busts (ESPN box score). (Jahmyr Gibbs: 43 rushing yards)
“NFL as we go, but we welcome again our new gambling partners, DraftKings Sportsbook, and to the NBA we go with Joe Fortenbaugh, our betting expert, who nailed one yesterday. We did King of the Court yesterday, you gave us Anthony Edwards, and it paid off. You could have had a share of a million dollars if you bet with Joe yesterday Want to announce official retirement from King of the Court Okay let us talk about what we are playing tonight Where does it start Karl-Anthony Towns rebounds We go over 11 and a half Key to the handicap. Second half of a back-to-back after they lost to the Celtics last night. What does that mean? Unlikely to see Mitchell Robinson tonight, which means Cat should eat on the glass. This season, he's averaging about 11 boards per game with no Mitchell Robinson. That number jumps to 13. Great matchup here. Great opportunity to have a big night on the glass for Cat.”
NY 119, CHA 104 — Karl-Anthony Towns had 18 rebounds (and 35 points) as the Knicks beat the Hornets 119-104; over 11.5 rebounds covers (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 18 rebounds)
“Next, we go to Cooper Flagg. What are we looking at with him? Under 17.5 points.”
DAL 118, MIA 108 — Cooper Flagg scored 22 points as the Mavericks beat the Heat 118-108; under 17.5 points busts (ESPN box score). (Cooper Flagg: 22 points)
“And then we got the Nuggets and the Pacers tonight. What are you looking at there? Over 235.5 total points.”
IND 120, DEN 135 — Nuggets beat Pacers 135-120, a combined 255 points; over 235.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“Dallas too Chicago going to get in The Cowboys need a lot of help to get in We see Meanwhile tonight we got the Giants and the Patriots on Monday Night Football Dan let turn to our DraftKings sportsbook over as we look ahead to the game tonight The over on Drake Maye passing yards is 245.5 yards.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Drake Maye threw for 282 passing yards in New England's 33-15 win over New York, clearing the 245.5 line (ESPN box score). (Drake Maye: 282 passing yards)
“Over under TreVeyon Henderson, 65.5 rushing yards.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — TreVeyon Henderson rushed for 67 yards in New England's 33-15 win over New York, over the 65.5 line (bet was under) (ESPN box score). (TreVeyon Henderson: 67 rushing yards)
“And then Stefon Diggs, 50.5 receiving yards, over or under?”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Stefon Diggs caught for 26 receiving yards in New England's 33-15 win over New York, well under the 50.5 line (ESPN box score). (Stefon Diggs: 26 receiving yards)
“So if you like those picks, they're a parlay right now on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for the over or under featured parlay on the homepage.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Parlay busts: Drake Maye over 245.5 passing yards won (282 yds), TreVeyon Henderson under 65.5 rushing yards lost (67 yds), Stefon Diggs over 50.5 receiving yards lost (26 yds), all in New England's 33-15 win over New York (ESPN box score).
“RC, Jalen Hurts, 212-and-a-half passing yards, more or less. Well, I'm going to say more.”
CHI 24, PHI 15 — Jalen Hurts threw for 230 passing yards in Philadelphia's 24-15 home loss to Chicago, clearing the 212.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 230 passing yards)
“Bartholomew, Caleb Williams, one-and-a-half passing touchdowns, touchdowns more or less. I can't see it. I think this Philadelphia defense is elite and I think last week was just an outlier.”
CHI 24, PHI 15 — Caleb Williams threw only 1 passing touchdown in Chicago's 24-15 road win over Philadelphia, staying under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Caleb Williams: 1 passing touchdown)
“basis. And then RC, Saquon in such a quiet season, 78 and a half rushing yards more or less. You know what? I think less, right? I think this team is going to rely on the pass game and Saquon Barkley in this offensive line just haven been on the same page And also the reluctancy to get into the zone read and give Jalen Hurts a part of this run game I feel has hurt Saquon Barkley as well”
CHI 24, PHI 15 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 56 yards in Philadelphia's 24-15 home loss to Chicago, under the 78.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 56 rushing yards)
“These are all from Packers-Lions. Jordan Love, one and a half touchdowns. More or less? More. Detroit has allowed this in eight of 11 games this season. In fact, there are only five teams in the NFL allowing more touchdown passes per game than the Lions. You see the way it's priced on the over-under, about 48 and a half. Vegas does expect some scoring here, so we're going to go more one and a half touchdowns. Jordan Love.”
GB 31, DET 24 — Jordan Love threw 4 passing touchdowns in Green Bay's 31-24 Thanksgiving win over Detroit, clearing the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 4 passing touchdowns)
“Jameer Gibbs, total yards, so rushing plus receiving, one 14 and a half, more or less. This is going to be less.”
GB 31, DET 24 — Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 86 yards (68 rushing, 18 receiving) in Detroit's 31-24 Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, under the 114.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jahmyr Gibbs: 68 rushing + 18 receiving = 86 total yards)
“And it could mean more passing yards for Jared Goff. His number is 242.5. Which way do we go? That I would actually look to less.”
GB 31, DET 24 — Jared Goff threw for 256 passing yards in Detroit's 31-24 Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, over the 242.5 line (bet was under) (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 256 passing yards)
“Patrick Mahomes' passing yards total is 273.5. We go more or less. More. The opportunities are going to be their fourth most passing attempts per game this season.”
KC 23, IND 20 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 346 passing yards in Kansas City's 23-20 OT win over Indianapolis, clearing the 273.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 346 passing yards)
“How about Indiana Jones? One and a half passing touchdowns is his total. We go more or less. We're going to go less here. This number isn't as easy to eclipse as some people think. Jones has only hit it four of ten games this year. Kansas City's only allowed it two of ten games this season. The path for the Colts is going to be to run the football early and run the football often.”
KC 23, IND 20 — Daniel Jones threw 2 passing touchdowns in Indianapolis's 23-20 OT loss to Kansas City, going over the 1.5 line (bet was under) (ESPN box score). (Daniel Jones: 2 passing touchdowns)
“And then how about Jonathan Taylor, who's been sensational. His rushing total, 91 and a half yards. This is where we play the more. Workhorse running back, number one in the NFL in rushing attempts per game, coming off a bye, rested in a situation where he's going to see a ton of workload. Kansas City been good against the run not great About 18th in the NFL in opponent yards for rushing attempts So as long as we get the opportunities I see a 100 day here All right If you like Joe picks they a parlay We going over on Mahomes under on Jones over on JT”
KC 23, IND 20 — Jonathan Taylor rushed for 58 yards in Indianapolis's 23-20 OT loss to Kansas City, well under the 91.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jonathan Taylor: 58 rushing yards)
“They don run the ball at all That a lot of RPOs that become passes Yeah Andy was talking about that the other day All right it fascinating You just touched on tonight Tonight is not an easy spot for Josh and the Bills Let's do more or less. Brought to you by ESPN Bet Sportsbook. It's all on that game. Dan, 261.5 total yards. Rushing and passing for Josh tonight. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less. This is a ridiculous defense that he is going against. He struggled last year against this defense on the road. without Dalton Kincaid and this defensive line for Houston being able to hunt, I think Josh has to play wildly efficient, but I don't think it's this dominant statistical game.”
19-23 — Josh Allen had 253 passing + 20 rushing yards (273 combined) in the Bills' 19-23 loss to the Texans; busts under 261.5. (Josh Allen: 253 pass yds, 20 rush yds (273 combined))
“James Cook tonight, 93.5 is his total rushing plus receiving, more or less. I'm going to say more, and this has got to be the focal point of the offense.”
19-23 — James Cook had 116 rushing + 13 receiving yards (129 combined) for Buffalo in the Bills' 19-23 loss to Houston; clears over 93.5. (James Cook: 116 rush yds, 13 rec yds (129 combined))
“So his total is .5 sacks. So will he have a sack or not more or less? I'm going to say he's going to get one.”
19-23 — Will Anderson Jr. recorded 2.5 sacks in the Texans' 23-19 win over Buffalo; clears over 0.5. (Will Anderson Jr.: 2.5 sacks)
“262.5 passing yards for Patrick Mahomes. More or less? Less. Only three of ten quarterbacks have done this to the Bronco defense this year.”
22-19 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 276 yards (29/45) in the Broncos' 22-19 win over the Chiefs; busts under 262.5. (Patrick Mahomes: 276 passing yards)
“Four and a half catches for Travis Kelsey, more or less? Less. Denver's defense is allowing about 4.1 receptions per game to opposing tight ends this year.”
22-19 — Travis Kelce caught 9 passes for 91 yards and a TD in the Chiefs' 22-19 loss to the Broncos; busts under 4.5 receptions. (Travis Kelce: 9 receptions, 91 yds, 1 TD)
“One and a half touchdown passes for Bo Nix. He's been struggling. This is also going to be less.”
22-19 — Bo Nix threw 0 passing touchdowns (24/37, 295 yds) in the Broncos' 22-19 win over the Chiefs; stays under 1.5. (Bo Nix: 24/37, 295 pass yds, 0 pass TD)
“234 and a half passing yards for Drake Maye tonight against the Jets. More or less? I'm going to say more.”
27-14 — Drake Maye threw for 281 yards as the Patriots beat the Jets 27-14 on TNF; clears over 234.5 passing yards. (Drake Maye: 281 passing yards)
“Drake Maye one and a half touchdown passes tonight throwing the ball I going to say more”
27-14 — Drake Maye threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Patriots' 27-14 win over the Jets; falls short of over 1.5 passing TDs. (Drake Maye: 1 pass TD)
“All right, Dan, last one. 12 and a half rushing yards for May. His longest rush. Can you go 12 and a half yards? That longest individual run, 12 and a half, I'm saying less. You know, I think that because of the way the matchups are for this team,”
27-14 — Drake Maye's longest rush went for 4 yards (2 net rushing yards) in the Patriots' 27-14 win over the Jets; stays under 12.5. (Drake Maye: 2 rushing yards, longest rush 4 yards)
“92.5 rushing yards for Jonathan Taylor against Atlanta. What do you think? More.”
31-25 — Jonathan Taylor rushed for 244 yards (32 carries, 3 TD) as the Colts beat the Falcons 31-25 in OT; clears over 92.5. (Jonathan Taylor: 244 rushing yards)
“How about 96.5 receiving yards for JSN against Arizona? This is going to be less.”
44-22 — Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 5 passes for 93 receiving yards as the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 44-22; stays under 96.5. (Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 93 receiving yards)
“Caleb Williams against the Giants. One and a half touchdown passes for the former number one pick. What do you think? Less.”
24-20 — Caleb Williams threw for 220 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (20/36) as the Bears beat the Giants 24-20; stays under 1.5 passing TDs. (Caleb Williams: 20/36, 220 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
“Chargers are a two-and-a-half-point favorite. Who you got? Chargers. If the Steelers are coming all the way across the country, you're telling me I don't even have to lay the full three points for home field in this matchup? I'll take L.A.”
25-10 — The Chargers beat the Steelers 25-10, covering the -2.5 spread by 12.5 points.
“The Broncos and their quarterback, Bo Nix. His total is 216.5 passing yards. Denver this weekend, which way do we go? I'm going to say more”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Bo Nix threw for 150 passing yards in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders, under 216.5 (ESPN box score). (Bo Nix: 16/28, 150 pass yds)
“How about Bowers? 67 and a half more receiving more every game”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Brock Bowers caught 1 pass for 31 yards in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders, under 67.5 (ESPN box score). (Brock Bowers: 1 rec, 31 yds)
“His number on passing yards is 275. What do you think? We're going to go more.”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 250 passing yards in the Chiefs' 28-21 loss to the Bills, under 275.5 (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 15/34, 250 pass yds)
“How about James Cook's 75 rushing yards? This is going to be more as well.”
BUF 28, KC 21 — James Cook rushed for 114 yards on 27 carries in Buffalo's 28-21 win over Kansas City, over 75.5 (ESPN box score). (James Cook: 27 car, 114 rush yds)
“And how about Josh Allen? One and a half passing touchdowns is the prop. Yeah, you'll notice the theme here more.”
BUF 28, KC 21 — Josh Allen threw 1 passing touchdown (with 2 rushing TDs) in the Bills' 28-21 win over the Chiefs, under 1.5 passing TDs (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 23/26, 1 pass TD; 2 rush TD)
“Carolina plus 13.5 over Green Bay. Look at the sandwich spot for Green Bay here. They're off a huge win on Sunday night football over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Who do they have on deck? The defending champion, Philadelphia Eagles. Wedged in between is a game where you're laying 13 and a half against a Carolina team whose defense has improved this year. Dead last in the NFL last season, 21st in defensive EPA this year. Carolina's not great, don't get me wrong, but they're feisty enough to stay inside the number.”
GB 13, CAR 16 — Carolina won outright 16-13 over Green Bay, easily covering +13.5 (ESPN box score).
“We're going to go with the Texas Longhorns. The number's getting away from this year. It's now up to three and a half, so this has got to be a smaller wager.”
TEX 34, VAN 31 — Texas beat Vanderbilt 34-31, a 3-point margin that falls short of the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“We're going to go with Yamamoto and the Dodgers here at minus 135. This is roughly the same price we got with Yamamoto in game two in Toronto when he absolutely shoved against this Blue Jays lineup.”
LAD 3, TOR 1 — The Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 3-1 in World Series Game 6, winning the moneyline outright (ESPN box score).
“The number on Lamar Jackson, who will be back, 272.5 combined passing and rushing. Lamar, what do we think? Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
BAL 28, MIA 6 — Lamar Jackson totaled 204 passing + 14 rushing yards (218 combined) in the Ravens' 28-6 win over the Dolphins, under 272.5 (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 204 pass yds + 14 rush yds = 218 combined)
“One and a half touchdown passes Tua. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
BAL 28, MIA 6 — Tua Tagovailoa threw 0 passing touchdowns in the Dolphins' 28-6 loss to the Ravens, under 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Tua Tagovailoa: 0 passing TD)
“And then Rex said last week they need to dehydrate Derrick Henry. 90 and a half rushing yards is his number for tonight. What do you think? Yeah, once again, I'm going to say more.”
BAL 28, MIA 6 — Derrick Henry rushed for 119 yards in the Ravens' 28-6 win over the Dolphins, over 90.5 (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 119 rushing yds)
“Alex you going to call the parlay for us Let start with Patrick Mahomes tonight against the Commanders 273 and a half passing yards Do you go more or less 273 is such a ridiculously high number and I going to take the over I think the Commanders are outmatched today. This Chiefs offense is poised to go on a huge run.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 299 passing yards in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over the Commanders, over 273.5 (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 25/34, 299 pass yds, 3 TD)
“Travis, Kelsey's total on receiving yards tonight is 40.5. Do you go more or less? I'm going to go more again here.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Travis Kelce caught 6 passes for 99 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over the Commanders, over 40.5 (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 6 receptions, 99 yds, 1 TD)
“Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice. I think he'll get 40. Working on the inside, he's going to get some favorable matchups. And then let's talk about Rice. His number is 5.5. Which way do we look? I'm going to go more again.”
KC 28, WSH 7 — Rashee Rice caught 9 passes for 93 yards in the Chiefs' 28-7 win over the Commanders, over 5.5 receptions (ESPN box score). (Rashee Rice: 9 receptions (9 targets), 93 yds, 1 TD)
“Jalen Hurts threw it all over the place last week against Minnesota. His total is 204 and a half passing yards. What do you think? We'll play more.”
PHI 38, NYG 20 — Jalen Hurts threw for only 179 passing yards (15/20, 4 TD) in Philadelphia's 38-20 win over the Giants, under the 204.5 line (ESPN box score). (Hurts 15/20, 179 pass yds, 4 pass TD, 0 INT)
“How about the rookie on the other side? Combined yards, so passing and rushing for Jaxson Dart, 240 and a half. This is more as well.”
PHI 38, NYG 20 — Jaxson Dart had 193 passing yards plus 17 rushing yards (210 combined) in Philadelphia's 38-20 win over the Giants, under the 240.5 line (ESPN box score). (Dart 14/24, 193 pass yds, 1 pass TD; 6 car, 17 rush yds, 1 rush TD; 210 combined)
“Eagles have also really struggled running the football. Saquon Barkley doesn't have a hundred yard day yet. His total is 80 and a half yards. Where do we go? Less.”
PHI 38, NYG 20 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 150 yards on 14 carries in Philadelphia's 38-20 win over the Giants, well over the 80.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Barkley 14 car, 150 rush yds, 1 TD)
“This is a low number by current NFL standards. The Giants have given it up five times in seven games this season. Fifth most passing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Yes, there's the issue with A.J. Brown, but get those moon balls up in the air against a really shaky Giants defense. 205, not a tough number to hit. How about the rookie on the other side? Combined yards, so passing and rushing for Jaxson Dart, 240 and a half. This is more as well. I think the game script here for the Giants as seven and a half point dogs is them trailing and playing from behind. What does that mean? Throwing the ball often. What does that mean? Racking up numbers against a Philadelphia pass defense. That has struggled on top of that. Darts averaging about 42 rushing yards per start. Eagles have really struggled against opposing quarterbacks who have been using their legs this season. Eagles have also really struggled running the football. Saquon Barkley doesn't have a hundred yard day yet. His total is 80 and a half yards. Where do we go? Less. the books have not adjusted to the Philadelphia Eagles and Saquon Barkley in the year 2025 They still giving you 2024 prices which gives us value on these unders He hit this one time this season He averaging 52 yards per game We're not putting it all on him. The offensive line isn't what they were last year. But for a guy averaging 52 yards per game to have a prop sitting in the 80s, that's an under bet for us. Remarkable. But anyway, that's our parlay. If you like Joe's picks, we're going to put them together for you. Over on Jalen Hurts, over on Jaxson Dart, under on Saquon's rushing yards. It's a parlay at ESPN Bet Sportsbook.”
PHI 38, NYG 20 — All three legs failed in Philadelphia's 38-20 win over the Giants: Hurts threw for 179 yds (under 204.5), Dart totaled 210 combined yds (under 240.5), and Barkley rushed for 150 (over the 80.5 under) (ESPN box score). (Hurts 179 pass yds; Dart 193 pass + 17 rush = 210; Barkley 150 rush yds)
“Number one, Saints plus four and a half over the Buccaneers”
TB 23, NO 3 — Tampa Bay beat New Orleans 23-3, a 20-point Saints loss that fails to cover +4.5 (ESPN final score).
“Very simply put, week three, Jets are in Tampa Bay facing the Bucs. They're catching six and a half. Now they're in Cincinnati, and they're catching six and a half. It is a third-worst defense in the NFL. I like the Flacco story, but it's too many points. Give me the Jets.”
CIN 38, NYJ 39 — The Jets beat Cincinnati 39-38, a 1-point outright win that comfortably covers +6.5 (ESPN final score).
“South Carolina plus 11 and a half over Alabama”
ALA 29, SC 22 — Alabama beat South Carolina 29-22, a 7-point Gamecocks loss that covers South Carolina's +11.5 (ESPN final score).
“I think ultimately the play would be Baltimore. This is the best price you can get them all season, +130 to win the division.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers won the 2025 AFC North at 13-4, with Baltimore second at 12-5, so the Ravens futures bet loses (ESPN final standings). (Steelers 13-4 (AFC North champs); Ravens 12-5)
“Beginning in Kansas City, Rasheed Rice is back. Will he be better than ever? His total is 61.5 receiving yards. What do you think? Going more, Patrick Mahomes is going to want to get him involved”
KC 31, LV 0 — Rashee Rice caught 7 passes for 42 receiving yards (2 TD) in Kansas City's 31-0 win over Las Vegas, well under the 61.5 line (ESPN box score). (Rice 7 rec, 42 receiving yds, 2 TD)
“Cam Scadaboo is the most popular man in New York. His total is 55.5 rushing yards this weekend, more or less. We're going less.”
DEN 33, NYG 32 — Cam Skattebo rushed for 60 yards on 16 carries in Denver's 33-32 win over the Giants, over the 55.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Skattebo 16 car, 60 rush yds)
“All right. And then how about Jalen Hurts? That struggling Eagles offense, 209.5 passing yards more or less. This is less. I thought it would be closer to maybe 190, 192, close to 210. We're definitely going to play the under here.”
PHI 28, MIN 22 — Jalen Hurts threw for 326 passing yards (19/23, 3 TD) in Philadelphia's 28-22 win over Minnesota, well over the 209.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Hurts 19/23, 326 pass yds, 3 pass TD, 0 INT)
“Now, Commanders and Cowboys, huge matchup in the NFC East. The Commanders are one-and-a-half-point road favorite. Who you got? We like the Cowboys, but be careful. The injury report's going to tell a lot as we work our way through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. C.D. Lamb should be back for the Dallas offense. More on that in a bit. But this is about the spot for Washington. Short week off a Monday night game, traveling to a divisional opponent. You got an average to below-average defense. And, again, you have injuries at the wide receiver position. Enter C.D. Lamb, who's expected to return for a Dallas offense. that has been extraordinary this year. Defense has been the problem, but when you factor in the spread and the situation for Washington, Dallas is the play.”
DAL 44, WSH 22 — Dallas beat Washington 44-22, a 22-point margin that covers the Cowboys' +1.5 (ESPN final score).
“Okay, next game, Joe Fortenbaugh. We've got Falcons and 49ers. San Francisco, a two-and-a-half point favorite. Who you got? Thank you for asking me about this game with Harry Douglas on the show. We have the Niners.”
SF 20, ATL 10 — San Francisco beat Atlanta 20-10, a 10-point margin that covers the 49ers' -2.5 (ESPN final score).
“This is where you buy in on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Everyone's checking out on them now. You're going to get them at home, extra rest, three and a half points.”
GB 35, PIT 25 — Pittsburgh hosted Green Bay only once in 2025, on Oct. 26 (Week 8, not Oct. 19/Week 7 as logged); Green Bay won 35-25, a 10-point Steelers loss that fails to cover +3.5 (ESPN team schedule).
“Ooh, Kentucky, plus 13-and-a-half against Texas”
TEX 16, UK 13 — Texas beat Kentucky 16-13 in overtime, a 3-point Kentucky loss that covers the Wildcats' +13.5 (ESPN final score).
“Under seven and a half runs, Seattle and Toronto. It's been an offensive explosion the last few games. Market's readjusted. Now we take advantage by going the other way.”
SEA 6, TOR 2 — Seattle beat Toronto 6-2 in ALCS Game 5, a combined 8 runs that goes over the 7.5 total, so the under busts (ESPN final score).
“Dan, Aaron Rodgers, more or less one and a half passing touchdown. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Aaron Rodgers threw 4 passing TDs (23/34, 249 yds, 2 INT) in the Steelers' 33-31 loss to the Bengals, clearing over 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Rodgers 23/34, 249 pass yds, 4 pass TD, 2 INT)
“Hawk, Joe Flacco number, 239.5 passing yards in his second game in Cincinnati. Where do we go? I'm going to go left here. I think this Pittsburgh defensive front gets after him. And the reason why Flacco is in Cincinnati is because they know when he gets pressure, he does not move well because he is 40-plus years old. So I'm going to say give me less on Joe Flacco.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Joe Flacco threw for 328 passing yards (31/47, 3 TD) in Cincinnati's 33-31 win over Pittsburgh, well over the 239.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Flacco 31/47, 328 pass yds, 3 pass TD, 0 INT)
“and his total is 76.5 receiving yards. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Ja'Marr Chase caught 16 passes for 161 receiving yards (1 TD) in Cincinnati's 33-31 win over Pittsburgh, clearing over 76.5 (ESPN box score). (Chase 16 rec, 161 receiving yds, 1 TD)
“Lions Chiefs. Jared Goff, one and a half passing touchdowns. What do we say? We're going to go less here. Chiefs have allowed this to happen only one time in five games this season.”
DET 17-KC 30 — Jared Goff threw 2 passing touchdowns (23/29, 203 yds) in the Lions' 30-17 loss to the Chiefs, over 1.5 so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 23/29, 203 passing yards, 2 passing TD)
“All right, the Jameer Gibbs rushing prop is 69 and a half yards. What do we say? This is going to be less as well. Taylor Decker injury on the offensive line is going to loom large here.”
DET 17-KC 30 — Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 17 times for 65 yards in the Chiefs' 30-17 win over the Lions, under 69.5 (ESPN box score). (Jahmyr Gibbs: 65 rushing yards)
“All right so that the Detroit offense How about Mr Mahomes 260 and a half passing yards This is going to be a more. Patrick Mahomes is number two in the NFL right now in passing attempts per game.”
DET 17-KC 30 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 257 passing yards (22/30) in the Chiefs' 30-17 win over the Lions, under 260.5 (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing yards)
“Dan, we're going to do an all-eagles edition as they play the Giants tonight. Jalen Hurts passing yards, 198 and a half. What do you think? More. And I'm saying more mainly because if not,”
PHI 17-NYG 34 — Jalen Hurts threw for 283 passing yards (24/33) in the Giants' 34-17 win over the Eagles, over 198.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 283 passing yards)
“But one of those playmakers is A.J. Brown. His number is 66.5 receiving yards. Rinse and repeat. I'm going more for the same reasons.”
PHI 17-NYG 34 — A.J. Brown caught 6 passes for 80 receiving yards in the Giants' 34-17 win over the Eagles, over 66.5 (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown: 80 receiving yards)
“And then how about Saquon, 87 and a half rushing yards. Go all in, Danny. More. Yeah. More. More.”
PHI 17-NYG 34 — Saquon Barkley rushed 12 times for 58 yards in the Giants' 34-17 win over the Eagles, under 87.5 (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 58 rushing yards)
“Bart, we begin with you. Jaxson Dart, 36.5 rushing yards against the New Orleans Saints, more or less. I think he might get that in the first quarter. Listen, this is a guy that also had design runs. You saw last week with the scatterboot draws and things like that. But he also is a guy that if you play cover one, he can get those yards by not design runs. So definitely, I'm going to give him over 36.5.”
NYG 14-NO 26 — Jaxson Dart rushed 7 times for 55 yards in the Saints' 26-14 win over the Giants, over 36.5 (ESPN box score). (Jaxson Dart: 55 rushing yards)
“Let's keep cooking. Harry, Cam Ward, more or less than half a touchdown pass against the Arizona Cardinals. I'm going more.”
TEN 22-ARI 21 — Cam Ward threw for 265 yards but 0 touchdowns (21/39, 1 INT) in the Titans' 22-21 win over the Cardinals, under 0.5 passing TDs (ESPN box score). (Cam Ward: 21/39, 265 passing yards, 0 passing TD, 1 INT)
“And Bart, final one, more or less, Dylan Gabriel, 176.5 passing yards. I'm going to go under slightly. I think, you know, listen, the good thing about when you have no tape is the defense don't know how to prepare for you. They don't know what the offense is going to look like. But that's a lot to ask of a young quarterback. I think he goes less.”
CLE 17-MIN 21 — Dillon Gabriel threw for 190 passing yards (19/33) in the Vikings' 21-17 win over the Browns in London, over 176.5 so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Dillon Gabriel: 190 passing yards)
“We've got Rams and 49ers tonight. The number on Matthew Stafford, 234 and a half passing yards. Yeah, I'm going to take more.”
LAR 23-SF 26 — Matthew Stafford threw for 389 passing yards (30/47, 3 TD, 0 INT) in San Francisco's 26-23 OT win over the Rams, well over 234.5 (ESPN box score). (Matthew Stafford: 389 passing yards)
“Well, the number on Nakua is 94.5 receiving yards, which is a very high total for a receiver. Which way do you go? I would go more.”
LAR 23-SF 26 — Puka Nacua caught 10 passes for 85 receiving yards in San Francisco's 26-23 OT win over the Rams, under 94.5 (ESPN box score). (Puka Nacua: 85 receiving yards)
“How about his teammate, Davante Adams? His number is four and a half catches. Do we go more or less? Yeah, I'm going to go more.”
LAR 23-SF 26 — Davante Adams caught 5 passes for 88 yards in San Francisco's 26-23 OT win over the Rams, over 4.5 receptions (ESPN box score). (Davante Adams: 5 receptions, 88 receiving yards)
“So as we look at Ravens and Chiefs, I'm looking at Baltimore, a two-and-a-half-point road favorite in this game. What are you thinking? Anything short of the key number of three, we're playing Baltimore here.”
Chiefs 37, Ravens 20 — The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Baltimore Ravens 37-20, a 17-point Ravens loss that misses the Ravens -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I think there's something to what you're thinking about, Greeny. I'm kidding. We're laying the six-and-a-half for Green Bay here. Anything inside of the key number is going to be the play. You guys are talking about what's the path to the cover for Dallas. The strength is supposed to be the offense, right? But if you remove C.D. Lamb from the equation, they could barely move the ball against Chicago's defense. How are they going to move the ball with consistent success against Green Bay's defense, which is one of the best in the NFL. Now let's flip it around. Green Bay struggled offensively a bit at times. You got the Dallas defense. 900 passing yards allowed. The absolute worst pass defense in the league. To put that in perspective, Seattle's played four games. They've only given up 910 passing yards. We'll lay the six and a half.”
Packers 40, Cowboys 40 (OT) — Green Bay and Dallas finished tied 40-40 in overtime, so the Packers did not win by 7+ and the Packers -6.5 spread loses (ESPN box score).
“This is my odds boost. Micah Parsons to record a sack and the Packers to win Sunday night in Dallas. It is a parlay and it boosted to plus 120 at ESPN Bet Sportsbook right now.”
Packers 40, Cowboys 40 (OT) — Micah Parsons recorded a sack (1 sack per ESPN's defensive stats) in the Packers-Cowboys game, which ended in a 40-40 overtime tie; the tied moneyline leg pushes under standard handling, leaving the parlay a winner on the Parsons sack leg alone (ESPN box score). (Micah Parsons: 1 sack)
“Mike T., Caleb Williams, more or less than a combined 249.5 passing and rushing yards against the Raiders. What do you think? We've got to go more, Greeny, and here's why. He had 310 last week. Now, that was the Cowboys, so there's a discount, but I don't think the discount comes down that far.”
Caleb Williams totaled 212 passing + 13 rushing yards (225 combined) in the Bears' 25-24 win over the Raiders, under the 249.5 line (ESPN box score). (Caleb Williams: 212 pass yds, 13 rush yds (225 combined))
“Harry, let's go to San Francisco. Christian McCaffrey, his total is 74.5 rushing yards this weekend. We go more or less. I'm going to go more because San Francisco, they're going to need more from Christian McCaffrey if they want to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Jaguars 26, 49ers 21 — Christian McCaffrey rushed for 49 yards in the 49ers' 21-26 loss to the Jaguars, under the 74.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Christian McCaffrey: 49 rush yds)
“All right, Bartholomew, Justin Herbert, 249 and a half passing yards against the Giants. More if he can remember what time the game starts, according to Tanner Bomb, when they forget what time the game starts. He might have this by halftime.”
Giants 21, Chargers 18 — Justin Herbert threw for 203 yards in the Chargers' 18-21 loss to the Giants, under the 249.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Justin Herbert: 203 pass yds)
“And now that it's down to two and a half, I would play Georgia.”
Alabama 24, Georgia 21 — Alabama beat Georgia 24-21, so Georgia -2.5 (a 3-point loss) fails to cover (ESPN box score).
“I like LSU plus the point and a half.”
Ole Miss 24, LSU 19 — Ole Miss beat LSU 24-19, a 5-point LSU loss that fails to cover LSU +1.5 (ESPN box score).
“Penn State minus a three and a half.”
Oregon 30, Penn State 24 (2OT) — Oregon beat Penn State 30-24 in double overtime, so Penn State -3.5 (an outright loss) fails to cover (ESPN box score).
“Dan, more or less. Kyler Murray, total yards. So passing plus rushing, the number is 244.5. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less.”
Kyler Murray totaled 200 passing + 41 rushing yards (241 combined) in the Cardinals' 23-20 loss to the Seahawks, under the 244.5 line (ESPN box score). (Kyler Murray: 200 pass yds, 41 rush yds (241 combined))
“How about Darnold? One and a half passing touchdowns tonight, more or less. I'm going to say more.”
Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20 — Sam Darnold threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Seahawks' 23-20 win over the Cardinals, under the 1.5-touchdown line (ESPN box score). (Sam Darnold: 1 pass TD)
“Speaking of killing your fantasy teams, can we get Marvin Harrison Jr. going, please? His number is 49.5 receiving yards tonight. Which way do we go, Dan? I think I'm going less or under.”
Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20 — Marvin Harrison Jr. caught for 66 receiving yards in the Cardinals' 23-20 loss to the Seahawks, over the 49.5-yard under line (ESPN box score). (Marvin Harrison Jr.: 66 receiving yds)
“We have Lamar Jackson going over 280 rushing and passing yards combined”
Lamar Jackson totaled 288 passing + 35 rushing yards (323 combined) in the Ravens' 38-30 loss to the Lions, clearing the 280 line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 288 pass yds, 35 rush yds (323 combined))
“We have Derrick Henry going over 87.5 rushing yards.”
Lions 38, Ravens 30 — Derrick Henry rushed for only 50 yards in the Ravens' 38-30 loss to the Lions, well under the 87.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 50 rush yds)
“We have Jared Goff over 261.5 passing yards.”
Lions 38, Ravens 30 — Jared Goff threw for 202 yards in the Lions' 38-30 win over the Ravens, under the 261.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 202 pass yds)
“If all those hit, we've turned it into an ESPN Bet Sportsbook parlay at plus 571.”
Lions 38, Ravens 30 — In the Lions' 38-30 win over the Ravens, Lamar Jackson's 323 combined yards cleared 280, but Derrick Henry (50 rush yds) and Jared Goff (202 pass yds) both missed their lines, so the 3-leg parlay loses (ESPN box score). (Jackson 288 pass/35 rush (323 total); Henry 50 rush yds; Goff 202 pass yds)
“All right, here we go. We got a really good game tonight, and we're going to pick it as only we can. Attention, danger, Will Robinson. and Danny, watch the eyes. We got Lions Ravens. Ravens a four and a half point favorite at all. Who wins? D would smash the loser. Oh! Wow. That's a big boy hit. That's a big boy hit. I got the Ravens. Why do they win? Jekyll and Haas, Lions on the road, Baltimore at home in these situations, they usually play really well against teams like the Lions so I'm going with Baltimore.”
Lions 38, Ravens 30 — The Baltimore Ravens lost 38-30 to the Detroit Lions, so the Ravens moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Lions tonight on the road.”
Lions 38, Ravens 30 — The Detroit Lions beat the Baltimore Ravens 38-30, so the Lions moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“We're going to begin with the Cleveland Browns catching 7.5 against the Green Bay Packers.”
CLE 13-GB 10 — Cleveland beat Green Bay 13-10 on a field goal as time expired, a 3-point win that covers the Browns' +7.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Tennessee plus 4.5 against Indianapolis.”
IND 41-TEN 20 — Indianapolis beat Tennessee 41-20, a 21-point margin that far exceeds the Titans' +4.5 spread, so the pick lost (ESPN box score).
“catching six and a half points here with New York.”
TB 29-NYJ 27 — Tampa Bay beat the Jets 29-27, a 2-point margin that covers the Jets' +6.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Let's start with Dak Prescott's total, 264.5 passing yards. Joey, going more or less? More. Prescott's been in the league since 2016.”
CHI 31-DAL 14 — Dak Prescott threw for 251 yards (31/40) in Dallas' 14-31 loss to Chicago, under the 264.5 line, so the over pick lost (ESPN box score). (Prescott: 31/40, 251 pass yds)
“Okay, and then how about on the other side then? If the Bears are going to keep it competitive, is Caleb Williams going to throw for more than a one-and-a-half passing touchdown? This is also a more.”
CHI 31-DAL 14 — Caleb Williams threw 4 touchdown passes (19/28, 298 yds) in Chicago's 31-14 win over Dallas, clearing the 1.5 line, so the over pick won (ESPN box score). (Williams: 19/28, 298 pass yds, 4 TD)
“And then finally, Mike T just touched on it. The total in this one is huge. 50 and a half. Which way do we go? More, but it feels so easy.”
CHI 31-DAL 14 — Chicago beat Dallas 31-14, a combined 45 points, under the 50.5 total line, so the over pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Rams, because it's about the number three-and-a-half.”
PHI 33-LAR 26 — Philadelphia beat the Rams 33-26, a 7-point margin that exceeds the Rams' +3.5 spread, so the pick lost (ESPN box score).
“The Bills win it. They go to 3-0. What are you looking at with them? Their adjusted season win total is 13.5, which is the over-under how many wins they'll have this year. I'd play under. The numbers gotten out of control. It was 11 and a half to start the season. They beat the Ravens. We move it up to 12 and a half. All right. That's a coin flip game. But then you beat the Jets and you beat the Dolphins and we move it up again to 13 and a half in the four years since we went to a 17 game regular season. We've had five teams get to 14 wins. A lot needs to go right. We're going to play the under there.”
The Bills finished the 2025 regular season 12-5, under the 13.5 season win total (ESPN team schedule/results). (12-5 regular season record)
“Chargers minus two and a half over the Broncos”
LAC 23-DEN 20 — The Chargers beat the Broncos 23-20, a 3-point margin that covers the Chargers' -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“We'll lay the seven and a half with Oklahoma, but it's a smaller wager because we move through the key number of seven.”
OU 24-AUB 17 — Oklahoma beat Auburn 24-17, a 7-point margin that falls short of the Sooners' -7.5 spread, so the pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Pepto-Bismol game of the week, because this isn't going to be easy. We'll take the Gators plus the 9.5.”
MIA 26-FLA 7 — Miami beat Florida 26-7, a 19-point margin that far exceeds the Gators' +9.5 spread, so the pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Again, we've got the Rams, a three-and-a-half point. Let's see where he's going. Get him out of here. We've got the Rams. Going Rams, we'll take the points.”
PHI 33-LAR 26 — Philadelphia beat the Rams 33-26, a 7-point margin that exceeds the Rams' +3.5 spread, so the pick lost (ESPN box score).
“We're going over on all three of these, on Josh Allen passing and rushing yards. The total is 269.5.”
BUF 31-MIA 21 — Josh Allen had 213 passing yards and 25 rushing yards (238 combined) in Buffalo's 31-21 Thursday night win over Miami, under the 269.5 line, so the over pick lost (ESPN box score). (Allen: 213 pass yds, 25 rush yds (238 combined))
“Tua, two passing touchdowns. So 1.5 is the number. He's going with two.”
BUF 31-MIA 21 — Tua Tagovailoa threw 2 passing touchdowns in Miami's 21-31 loss to Buffalo on Thursday night, clearing the 1.5 line, so the over pick won (ESPN box score). (Tua: 2 passing TD)
“D. Wood, the number is one and a half touchdown passes for Baker against Houston. Do you go more or less? I'm going less. I'm so nervous about this, but they're playing a really, really good Houston-Texas defense with arguably the best secondary in football. So I'm going to go less with Baker Mayfield.”
Baker Mayfield threw 2 passing TDs (25/38, 215 yds) in Tampa Bay's 20-19 win over Houston, going over the 1.5 line, so the under pick lost (ESPN box score). (Mayfield: 25/38, 215 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT)
“To the late game tonight, Justin Herbert had a very good opener. Teddy, 255.5 passing yards is his total. Did we go more or less? I'll go more for Justin Herbert.”
LAC 20-LV 9 — Justin Herbert threw for 242 yards (19/27) in the Chargers' 20-9 win over Las Vegas, under the 255.5 line, so the over pick lost (ESPN box score). (Herbert: 19/27, 242 pass yds)
“Buccaneers-Texans tonight. We have two games to do. Tampa is a two-and-a-half point favorite tonight. Smash the losing helmet. Oh! Wow! There it is. Yes yes So you have Tampa tonight Yeah I like Tampa Listen they going up against you know one of the best defense in the league but I think Baker Mayfield and company they find a way to win You see the picks up on the screen”
TB 20-HOU 19 — Tampa Bay beat Houston 20-19, a 1-point margin that falls short of the -2.5 spread, so the Buccaneers spread pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Tampa is a two-and-a-half point favorite tonight. Smash the losing helmet. Oh! Wow! There it is. Yes yes So you have Tampa tonight Yeah I like Tampa Listen they going up against you know one of the best defense in the league but I think Baker Mayfield and company they find a way to win You see the picks up on the screen Rex, the only one on Houston. Rex, why do you like the Texans? Because I think that defense will make a difference. Look, Baker could have thrown five interceptions against Atlanta. I think he's going to throw a bunch against this team.”
TB 20-HOU 19 — Houston lost to Tampa Bay 19-20, a 1-point margin, which covers the Texans' +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Did you like the Raiders to win it tonight? Listen, at home, I think the place is going to be Juiced, Pete Carroll and company. I think they find a way to surprise the soldiers. Everyone likes it when Sheffy smashes them.”
LAC 20-LV 9 — The Raiders lost to the Chargers 9-20 at home, so the Raiders moneyline pick lost (ESPN box score).
“Joe, Jared Goff facing the Bears. 249.5 passing yards is the total. Do we go more or less? More. The number is cheap because of the performance we saw last week. Golf and the Lions look terrible, but that's more a byproduct of playing on the road at Green Bay. This is at home against a Chicago defense that's banged up in the secondary. Golf indoors versus golf outdoors is the difference. Indoors last year he averaged 280 passing yards per game. We're going more. All right, Joe, we talked about Saquon Barkley briefly before. Has the showdown with the Chiefs this weekend more or less 88.5 rushing yards? Less. As great as the Eagles looked in the Super Bowl last year, Barkley carried the ball 25 times for only 57 yards. Why? Kansas City defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo's game plan, sell out against Barkley. He is the engine that makes the offense go. I think he does the same thing here, especially knowing A.J. Brown is not 100%. And then finally, Cowboys-Giants. George Pickens, not really that involved in week one. His total is 53.5 receiving yards. You go more or less? Less. As bad as the Giants looked in week one, I still think they have a decent defense. In case in point, against Washington, the leading receiver was Debo Samuel with about 77 yards. If you're getting a wide receiver involved in this game, it's going to be C.D. Lamb, who had that big drop late in the game. I think you want to get him going. The Giants should be able to run the ball here so you can keep Dallas' offense off the field. All right, so let's recap again. We've got Goff and the over. We've got the under on Barkley. We have the under on George Pickens. We've made those a parlay. They're on ESPN Bet Sportsbook right now at plus 541.”
Jared Goff passed for 334 yards (over 249.5, won) in Detroit's 52-21 win over Chicago; Saquon Barkley rushed for 88 yards (under 88.5, won) in Philadelphia's 20-17 win over Kansas City; George Pickens caught for 68 yards (over the 53.5 under line, lost) in Dallas' 40-37 OT win over the Giants — all Sept 14, 2025; the parlay busts on the Pickens leg (ESPN box scores). (Goff 334 pass yds; Barkley 88 rush yds; Pickens 68 rec yds)
“We going to buy low on the Gators getting more than a touchdown at plus 7”
LSU 20, FLA 10 — LSU beat Florida 20-10 on Sept 13, 2025; Florida lost by 10, failing to cover as +7 underdogs (ESPN box score).
“We're going to play Georgia minus the 3.5.”
UGA 44, TENN 41 — Georgia beat Tennessee 44-41 in overtime on Sept 13, 2025; the Bulldogs won by only 3, short of covering as -3.5 favorites (ESPN box score).
“which is why we get Terence Crawford at an excellent price. We're betting TC plus 140.”
Terence Crawford defeated Canelo Alvarez by unanimous decision (116-112, 115-113, 115-113) on Sept 13, 2025, winning outright as the moneyline pick (Wikipedia fight record). (Crawford UD12 over Alvarez (116-112, 115-113, 115-113))
“We'll take Kansas City plus the point and a half.”
PHI 20, KC 17 — Eagles beat Chiefs 20-17 on Sept 14, 2025; Kansas City lost by 3, failing to cover as +1.5 underdogs (ESPN box score).
“We lay the 6.5 with Detroit.”
DET 52, CHI 21 — Lions beat Bears 52-21 on Sept 14, 2025; Detroit won by 31, easily covering as -6.5 favorites (ESPN box score).
“Give me Seattle plus the three and a half.”
SEA 31, PIT 17 — Seahawks beat Steelers 31-17 on Sept 14, 2025; Seattle won outright, easily covering as +3.5 underdogs (ESPN box score).
“Dan, Jordan Love, tonight, one-and-a-half touchdown passes. You go more or less. I'm going to say more. Washington defensively wants to play man coverage. Jordan Love going to throw the football down the field in their play action game. While Jalen Hurts is very good at doing it, I think Jordan Love is equally, if not better, throwing the ball downfield. So I'm going to go Jordan Love more. Dan, 77.5 rushing yards is the number for Josh Jacobs. Are you going more or less? I'm going to say less, and that's because I think you're going to be aggressive throwing the football if you're Green Bay. I think that the Washington commanders want to put bodies at the line of scrimmage. They want to trust their man coverage. And I think Josh will be stymied a little bit. And Jordan throwing the ball downfield will be the main story. And so then we get to Jaden. And that's 276 and a half total yards. So that's passing plus rushing yards. You're going more. So to recap, we're going to go with Love, two passing touchdowns. Jacobs, under 78 rushing yards. And Daniels, more than 276 total yards. That's a parlay right now on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 447.”
Jordan Love threw 2 TD passes (over 1.5, won), Josh Jacobs rushed for 84 yards (over the 77.5 under line, lost), and Jayden Daniels totaled 217 passing+rushing yards (under the 276.5 over line, lost) in Green Bay's 27-18 win over Washington on Sept 11, 2025; the parlay busts on the Jacobs and Daniels legs (ESPN box score). (Love 2 pass TD; Jacobs 84 rush yds; Daniels 217 total yds)
“Tonight, we get Caleb Williams. Dan, the total on his passing yards is 219 and a half. You go more or less? I'm going to go more.”
Caleb Williams passed for 210 yards (21-of-35) in the Vikings' 27-24 win over the Bears on Sept 8, 2025, short of the 219.5-yard line; the over lost (ESPN box score). (Caleb Williams 210 passing yards)
“The total here is 243.5 passing yards for Patrick Mahomes. Joe, do we go more or less? Less. Last year's two meetings were decided by seven points and two points respectively. In those games, Mahomes threw for 245 and 210. Why? The Chargers won the time of possession battle. They want to run the football. They want to keep Mahomes off the field. They're better equipped to do that this year with Omari and Hampton at running back. I think Mahomes goes under here. Remember, no Rishi Rice. How about the most famous football player on planet Earth? Travis Kelsey, 48 and a half receiving yards, more or less. Less. The Chargers are really good defending the opposing tight end position, but this is more about Kelsey. He's going to be 36 years old next month, and the numbers are in decline. Not so much the targets and receptions. The opportunities are there, but the yards per route run, the yards after catch, the big plays aren't. That's what's going to hurt them. And then finally on the other side, Justin Herbert, beginning the season, one and a half touchdown passes is the number. Less here as well.”
LAC 27, KC 21 — Parlay busts on two legs in the Chargers' 27-21 win over the Chiefs in Sao Paulo on Sept 5, 2025: Patrick Mahomes threw for 258 yards (over 243.5, leg lost) and Justin Herbert threw 3 TD passes (over 1.5, leg lost); Travis Kelce's 47 receiving yards stayed under 48.5 (leg won), but the parlay needs all three legs to win (ESPN box score). (Mahomes 258 pass yds; Kelce 47 rec yds; Herbert 3 pass TD)
“Our picks tonight from Dan Orlovsky. He's got Saquon Barkley over 100 rushing yards. George Pickens to catch at least five passes. And Dak Prescott to be held under two touchdowns. If you like those plays, we parlayed them together on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook. at plus 707.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Parlay busts on two legs in the Eagles' 24-20 Week 1 win over Dallas on Sept 4, 2025: Saquon Barkley rushed for 60 yards (under 100, leg lost) and George Pickens caught 3 passes (under 4.5, leg lost); Dak Prescott's 0 TD passes cleared under 2 (leg won), but the parlay needs all three legs to win (ESPN box score). (Barkley 60 rush yds; Pickens 3 rec; Prescott 0 TD)
“Hey, J-Mac, my number is 94. These numbers are all from ESPN Bet, of course. 94.5 rushing yards. For Saquon, you go more or less. I'm going less on this.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 60 yards (18 carries) in the Eagles' 24-20 Week 1 win over Dallas on Sept 4, 2025, under 94.5 (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 60 rushing yards on 18 carries)
“And that brings us then to the quarterback, Graziano. The total, again, he's from ESPN Bet Sportsbook. 252.5 combined passing and rushing for Jalen Hurts. What do you think? I'm going to go less.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Jalen Hurts had 152 passing yards plus 62 rushing yards (214 combined) in the Eagles' 24-20 Week 1 win over Dallas on Sept 4, 2025, under 252.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 152 pass yds + 62 rush yds = 214 combined)
“In the meantime, D-Wood on the other side. One-and-a-half touchdown passes for Dak. Where you going? One more.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dak Prescott threw 0 touchdown passes (21/34, 188 yds) in the Cowboys' 24-20 Week 1 loss to Philadelphia on Sept 4, 2025, under 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 21/34, 188 yds, 0 TD)
“NFL win totals. RC, the Dolphins' number is at 8.5. You go more or less wins for Miami. I'm going less wins for Miami.”
Dolphins finished the 2025 season 7-10, under the 8.5-win total (ESPN schedule). (Dolphins 2025: 7-10)
“The Vikings are projected at eight and a half wins. They won 14 games last year. Do you go more or less? Yeah, I'm spelling a big season for Minnesota. I'm a big believer in J.J. McCarthy. I'm going way higher, 10, 11 wins.”
Vikings finished the 2025 season 9-8, clearing the 8.5-win total (ESPN schedule). (Vikings 2025: 9-8)
“and bet over 7.5 wins.”
7-9-1 — The Cowboys finished the 2025 regular season 7-9-1, under the 7.5-win over.
“ESPN Bet Sportsbook. So, Joe, let's start with Colorado. We were just talking about Jadour Sanders. Dion, of course, still there. Their total is five and a half wins. What do you think? Less, but I wouldn't be aggressive with it.”
3-9 — Colorado finished the 2025 season 3-9 (1-8 Big 12), comfortably under the 5.5-win line.
“at least according to the preseason poll, Texas. Their total, Joe, at ESPN Bet Sportsbook is 10.5 wins. You go more or less? less and this is one where i'd get aggressive 10 and a half remember bowl games don't count”
9-3 regular season (10-3 overall) — Texas went 9-3 in the 2025 regular season (10-3 with the Citrus Bowl win over Michigan), under the 10.5-win line either way the total is counted.
“A lot of people very high on Clemson this year, Joe. Their total at ESPN Bet Sportsbook is nine and a half wins. What do you think? More.”
7-5 regular season (7-6 overall) — Clemson went 7-5 in the 2025 regular season (7-6 with the Pinstripe Bowl loss to Penn State), under the 9.5-win over.
“R.C., Patrick Mahomes, his total touchdown passes is 27.5. What do you think? Listen, I'm going to say more.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 22 touchdown passes in the 2025 regular season, missing the final three games, well under the 27.5-TD over. (22 pass TD)
“Mike T, let's talk about Kelsey. His total is 650 and a half receiving yards. You going more or less? Less, significantly less.”
Travis Kelce finished the 2025 regular season with 851 receiving yards, above the 650.5-yard line, so the under loses. (851 rec yds)
“The Chiefs total is 11 and a half wins this year We go more or less I going more”
6-11 — The Chiefs finished the 2025 regular season 6-11, well under the 11.5-win over.
“I'm giving you Texas. They win ten and a half games, more or less. I'm going to go with Moore, and I think the only reason I hesitate,”
10-3 — Texas finished the 2025 season 10-3 (9-3 regular season, Citrus Bowl win 41-27 over Michigan), under the 10.5-win over.
“So with numbers that are provided to us by ESPN Bet, Paul, they've got Alabama's win total at 9.5. You going with more or less? I am going with more, and I know exactly what happened last year in Kalen DeBoer's first season,”
11-4 — Alabama finished the 2025 season 11-4 overall (10-3 regular season, CFP first-round win over Oklahoma, Rose Bowl loss to Indiana), clearing the 9.5-win over.
“All right, sticking in the SEC, Heather, they have ESPN Bet has LSU's number at eight and a half wins. You going more or less there? I'm going to go more for LSU,”
7-6 — LSU finished the 2025 season 7-6 (7-5 regular season, Texas Bowl loss 38-35 to Houston), under the 8.5-win over.
“All right let move to the ACC now EJ Clemson they have him projected at nine and a half wins You going more or less there I'm going more here.”
7-6 — Clemson finished the 2025 season 7-6 (7-5 regular season, Pinstripe Bowl loss 22-10 to Penn State), under the 9.5-win over.
“but the Sixers are 11-1 to win the Eastern Conference.”
The Philadelphia 76ers did not win the 2025-26 Eastern Conference; they were swept 4-0 by the New York Knicks in the conference semifinals, and the Knicks went on to win the East and the 2026 NBA Finals over the Spurs in five games. (Knicks swept 76ers 4-0 in East semis; Knicks won East, then beat Spurs 4-1 in the 2026 Finals)
“Yankees A's play tonight. The unders eight and a half.”
NYY 3, ATH 0 — The Yankees beat the Athletics 3-0 on June 27, 2025 (combined 3 runs), under the 8.5 total, so the under cashes (ESPN box score).
“Toporia's method of victory to win by knockout, technical knockout, or DQ is minus 185.”
Ilia Topuria knocked out Charles Oliveira by KO (punches) at 2:27 of Round 1 at UFC 317 to win the vacant lightweight title, so the KO/TKO/DQ method bet cashes. (Topuria def. Oliveira by KO (punches), Round 1, 2:27)
“Hey, Kimberly Martin. Yes? If I said, will Aaron Rodgers have more or less than 3,200 and a half passing yards this year? Would you go more or less? Easy. He's going to have more greeny.”
Aaron Rodgers threw for 3,322 passing yards in the 2025 season with the Steelers, over the 3,200.5 line, so the over cashes (ESPN season stats). (3,322 pass yds in 2025)
“Hawk will DK Metcalf have more or less than six and a half touchdown catch We going more”
DK Metcalf finished the 2025 season with 6 receiving touchdowns for the Steelers (59 rec, 850 yds), under the 6.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN season stats). (DK Metcalf 2025: 59 rec, 850 yds, 6 TD)
“Will the Steelers have more or less than eight and a half wins? I mean, this is easy. I think just with Mike Tomlin alone, you're going to win eight wins. They won eight games with Duck Hodges. Come on now. Aaron Rodgers.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2025 regular season 10-7, 1st in the AFC North, over the 8.5 win total (ESPN standings). (Steelers finished 10-7, 1st in AFC North)
“Tyrese Haliburton not showing up in the first quarter. That's how you bet it. Under three and a half points, under one and a half rebounds.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — Tyrese Haliburton scored 4 first-quarter points (a free throw and a 3-pointer at the 4:16 mark) before being subbed out for the rest of Q1, over the 3.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN play-by-play, Game 6, Pacers 108-91 Thunder). (Haliburton Q1: 4 pts (1 FT, 1 three-pointer))
“Under three and a half points, under one and a half rebounds. Greeny, even when healthy, he's struggling in a big way in the first quarter. Averaging less than three points per game. Averaging less than two rebounds per game in the first.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — Tyrese Haliburton grabbed 1 defensive rebound in the first quarter (at 10:54) and no others before being subbed out, under the 1.5 line, so the under covers (ESPN play-by-play, Game 6, Pacers 108-91 Thunder). (Haliburton Q1: 1 rebound)
“Joe. Jump in here really quick. Joe Fortenball with a very quick best bet. What do we like from the travelers. Deacon Bradley, 33-1 to win, top 10 plus 300.”
Keegan Bradley won the 2025 Travelers Championship outright at -15 (265), one shot ahead of Russell Henley and Tommy Fleetwood at -14, so the outright bet cashes. (Bradley finished 1st at -15 (265); Henley/Fleetwood T2 at -14)
“Deacon Bradley, 33-1 to win, top 10 plus 300. It's a limited field here, fewer than 80 golfers the key.”
Keegan Bradley won the 2025 Travelers Championship outright at -15, which is also a top-10 finish, so the top-10 bet cashes. (Bradley finished 1st (top-10) at -15 (265))
“Joe, Jalen Williams tonight, 23 and a half points. What do you think? Less.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — Jalen Williams scored 16 points in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals, under the 23.5 line, so the under covers (ESPN box score). (Jalen Williams: 16 points)
“Benedict Matherin's total is 11.5 points. Which way do we go? More.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — Bennedict Mathurin scored 2 points in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals, well under the 11.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN box score). (Bennedict Mathurin: 2 points)
“His total is 15.5 points plus assists, more or less? More.”
IND 108, OKC 91 — T.J. McConnell had 12 points and 6 assists (18 points+assists) in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals, over the 15.5 line, so the over covers (ESPN box score). (T.J. McConnell: 12 pts + 6 ast = 18)
“Allen, SGA, the total is 33.5 tonight. Which way do we go? I'm going more.”
OKC 120, IND 109 — In NBA Finals Game 5 (June 16, 2025, Thunder 120-109 Pacers), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 points, under the 33.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 points)
“All right, Tyrese Haliburton. Also, Allen, sorry, 25.5 combined points and assists for Tyrese Haliburton, more or less. I'm going to go less.”
OKC 120, IND 109 — In NBA Finals Game 5 (June 16, 2025, Thunder 120-109 Pacers), Tyrese Haliburton had 4 points and 6 assists (10 combined), under the 25.5 points+assists line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 4 pts, 6 ast (10 combined))
“All right, and then, Alan, also you for Chet Holmgren, 15.5 points for the big fella. You need more.”
OKC 120, IND 109 — In NBA Finals Game 5 (June 16, 2025, Thunder 120-109 Pacers), Chet Holmgren scored 9 points, under the 15.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN box score). (Chet Holmgren: 9 points)
“Best bet Game 5. Best bet Game 5, Panthers. All right? I like the price, even money.”
EDM 2, FLA 5 — Florida Panthers beat Edmonton Oilers 5-2 in Stanley Cup Final Game 5 (June 14, 2025), so the Panthers moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“Let's play a game of More or Less. SGA, points, rebounds, assists, 47.5, More or Less. That would be a more.”
OKC 111, IND 104 — In NBA Finals Game 4 (June 13, 2025, Thunder 111-104 Pacers), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 points, 3 rebounds, 0 assists (38 combined), under the 47.5 points+rebounds+assists line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35 pts, 3 reb, 0 ast (38 combined))
“Number two Jalen Williams Points and assists 26 and a half more. This is another one where I would look to the over.”
OKC 111, IND 104 — In NBA Finals Game 4 (June 13, 2025, Thunder 111-104 Pacers), Jalen Williams had 27 points and 3 assists (30 combined), over the 26.5 points+assists line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Williams: 27 pts, 3 ast (30 combined))
“Tyrese Haliburton, 17 and a half points, more or less. This is less.”
OKC 111, IND 104 — In NBA Finals Game 4 (June 13, 2025, Thunder 111-104 Pacers), Tyrese Haliburton scored 18 points, over the 17.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 18 points)
“Let's do more or less. Brought to you by ESPN Bet Sportsbook J Will the number on SGA is 34 points More or less I going to go more here just because I think SGA is averaging 30 Actually, you know what? I'm sorry. I messed up my head. Come on, J. Make up your mind. I'm trying to. Get into my ear and tell me the answer. It's less. I'm going to go less.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — In NBA Finals Game 3 (June 11, 2025, Pacers 116-107 Thunder), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 24 points, under the 34 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 24 points)
“Let's talk about Halliburton, Monica. 25 and a half combined points and assists for Hallie. More or less? Shout out to our lovely production team. Apparently I had more, but when I saw this this morning, I saw it last. Now you're making fun of me. Here's my logic on more.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — In NBA Finals Game 3 (June 11, 2025, Pacers 116-107 Thunder), Tyrese Haliburton had 22 points and 11 assists (33 combined), over the 25.5 points+assists line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 22 pts, 11 ast (33 combined))
“And finally, Alan Pascal Siakam. 19 and a half points. More or less? Get it right and tell me, because I remember more. It's got to be more.”
IND 116, OKC 107 — In NBA Finals Game 3 (June 11, 2025, Pacers 116-107 Thunder), Pascal Siakam scored 21 points, over the 19.5 line (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 21 points)
“Aaron Rodgers to the Steelers. Let's do more or less. RC, I'm putting the number, or these numbers are from ESPN Bet. 22 and a half touchdown passes for Rodgers this year. More or less. I believe if he's healthy, he'll have more.”
Aaron Rodgers threw 24 passing touchdowns for the 2025 Pittsburgh Steelers (327/498, 3,322 yds), which is over 22.5 (ESPN season stats). (Aaron Rodgers 2025: 24 passing TDs)
“I think if they get the run game going, they'll lean on that, especially when it comes to touchdowns. Metcalf, the last three years, six, eight, and five. Like, that would be six-and-a-half. That's kind of a good-sized number for him, given his past production. I'm going to say less.”
DK Metcalf finished the 2025 season with 59 receptions, 850 yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns for Pittsburgh, which is under 6.5 (ESPN season stats). (DK Metcalf 2025: 59 rec, 850 yds, 6 TD)
“Bart, eight and a half wins for the Steelers, the literal 500 mark in a 17-game schedule. You go more or less. You see right there, Alan Lazar had almost five touchdown passes before he got hurt, and that's Alan Lazar. Let me repeat that. But I'll tell you what, I'm going to go over eight.”
Pittsburgh finished the 2025 regular season 10-7, 1st in the AFC North, which is over 8.5 wins (ESPN standings). (Steelers finished 10-7-0, 1st AFC North)
“When it comes to the game itself, let's go with Oklahoma City minus the 9.5 in that game.”
IND 111, OKC 110 — The Pacers beat the Thunder 111-110 in NBA Finals Game 1, so Oklahoma City lost outright and Thunder -9.5 busts by 10.5 points (ESPN box score).
“But where we're at with this is you want to make two bets against Halliburton because that isn't factored into the pricing. Nine and a half assists is based on what he's done all year. Season average, this is a step up in class.”
IND 111, OKC 110 — Tyrese Haliburton had 6 assists in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists)
“Season average, this is a step up in class. 27 and a half points plus assists, that's based on what he's done all year. This is a step up in class. That's what you want to find. Pricing based on things that don't have very much to do at all with what we're seeing in this game. OKC is not the average. It's priced as the average. That's why we play the under. That's the value.”
IND 111, OKC 110 — Tyrese Haliburton had 14 pts, 10 reb, 6 ast (30 PRA) in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), over the 27.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 30 PRA (14 pts, 10 reb, 6 ast))
“Jay, the total is nine and a half assists tonight for Tyrese Haliburton. You go more or less? I'm going to go less.”
IND 111, OKC 110 — Tyrese Haliburton had 6 assists in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists)
“Joe Fortenbaugh, one-and-a-half threes for Pascal Siakam tonight, more or less? More, because the opportunities will be there.”
IND 111, OKC 110 — Pascal Siakam made 1 of 2 three-pointers in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), under the 1.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 1 three (1-2 3PT))
“And then Jay let go to the MVP 33 and a half total points tonight for SGA You go more or less I going to go more SGA is going to get his”
IND 111, OKC 110 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 38 points in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), over the 33.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 points)
“Now what it means for Eagles fans and the team is a different story I think when we talk about this season and beyond Joe Fortmore is wearing the Eagles jacket I know So perfect for this The line for Saquon rushing yards this year He won over 2000 a year ago. The number is 1400.5. So 1401 would put it at the over. What do you like? It's an insane number. It's an insane number. The bet would be the under.”
Saquon Barkley finished the 2025 regular season with 1,140 rushing yards, under the 1400.5 line (ESPN player stats). (Saquon Barkley 2025: 1,140 rushing yards)
“I've got OKC minus nine and a half in game one. What is your preference there? History not on the side of Indiana here. I would lay the big number.”
IND 111, OKC 110 — The Pacers beat the Thunder 111-110 in NBA Finals Game 1, so Oklahoma City lost outright and Thunder -9.5 busts by 10.5 points (ESPN box score).
“I would look at Oakley C minus two and a half games. No one wants to lay the minus 700 because if you get an injury or two, the whole thing goes sideways on you and it costs you a lot. But you can play the Thunder to win by two and a half games.”
Thunder def. Pacers 4-3 (Game 7: OKC 103, IND 91) — Oklahoma City won the 2025 NBA Finals over Indiana 4 games to 3 (clinching Game 7, Thunder 103, Pacers 91, June 22), a series margin of only 1 game, short of the 2.5-game cover (ESPN box score).
“Florida in game two, right around plus 110.”
Panthers 5, Oilers 4 (2OT) — The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in double overtime in Stanley Cup Final Game 2 on June 6, 2025, so the Panthers moneyline wins (ESPN box score).
“And then for the series, I would bet Florida at the adjusted price, plus 185.”
Panthers def. Oilers 4-2 (Game 6: FLA 5, EDM 1) — The Florida Panthers defeated the Edmonton Oilers 4 games to 2 to win the 2025 Stanley Cup Final, clinching with a 5-1 win in Game 6 on June 17, 2025 (ESPN box score).
“Pacers big. I'd lay the three-and-a-half.”
IND 125, NY 108 — The Pacers beat the Knicks 125-108 in ECF Game 6, a 17-point margin that clears Indiana -3.5 (ESPN box score).
“Give me the Panthers at minus 105.”
Oilers 4, Panthers 3 (OT) — The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3 in overtime in Stanley Cup Final Game 1 on June 4, 2025, so the Panthers moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“[46:05] I think that's the best bet. [46:06] I saw him at plus 550. [46:07] You give me 7-1, I'm going to make the play. [46:09] It feels like it's their year. [46:10] You guys just touched on it. [46:11] Number one, the schedule. [46:12] Second easiest in the NFL. [46:14] How often does a team with a 13-4 record [46:16] that went to the AFC Championship game [46:18] get the second easiest schedule in the NFL? [46:21] Greeny, all due respect, you know the division's [46:23] not going to offer any resistance whatsoever. [46:25] So worst case, they're hosting a playoff game in the opening round. [46:28] But the key to this entire analysis, Kansas City is no longer gatekeeping the AFC. [46:32] Very few people will agree with that. [46:34] You heard everything from Tannenbaum. [46:36] You heard everything from Graz. [46:37] The one thing you didn't hear, 17 straight wins in one score games, 12-0 last year. [46:42] That's going to fall off. [46:43] And when it does, they won't be in the way of the Bills. [46:45] This is the year they get it done.”
Broncos 33, Bills 30 (OT) — The Buffalo Bills were eliminated in the AFC Divisional Round, losing 33-30 in overtime to the Denver Broncos on January 17, 2026, and never reached or won the AFC Championship (ESPN schedule/results).
“J. Will, 37 and a half is the combined points plus assists for Jalen Brunson. Which way do we go? I think it's going to have to be less.”
NY 111, IND 94 — Jalen Brunson had 32 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast (42 PRA) as the Knicks beat the Pacers 111-94 in ECF Game 5; 42 is over the 37.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 42 PRA (32 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast))
“All right, let's go to Tyrese Haliburton. Then on the other side, you do the points plus rebounds plus assists. The total is 36 and a half more or less. I going to go more just because I think Tyrese Haliburton is going to be aggressive His best game of the series was last game when he was aggressive from the beginning But trust and believe if you can get him into being a passer and the scoring thing doesn happen I think that plays into how the Knicks want to play”
NY 111, IND 94 — Tyrese Haliburton had 8 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast (16 PRA) as the Knicks beat the Pacers 111-94 in ECF Game 5; 16 is well under the 36.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 16 PRA (8 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast))
“And then there's Pascal Siakam, who's been tremendous the last two games. His number is 26.5 combined points plus rebounds, more or less? I'm going to go less.”
NY 111, IND 94 — Pascal Siakam had 15 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast (26 PRA) as the Knicks beat the Pacers 111-94 in ECF Game 5; 26 is under the 26.5 line, so the under covers (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 26 PRA (15 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast))
“Allen, the number on the Ant-Man is 26.5 points for tonight. You going more or less going more because he has to because it's desperation time and it's not just on Anthony Edwards.”
OKC 124, MIN 94 — Anthony Edwards scored 19 points as Oklahoma City closed out the series with a 124-94 Game 5 win over Minnesota; under the 26.5 line, so over busts (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 19 points)
“It on Chris Finch You got to find ways to get your star open when they doubling and triple teaming him Figure it out or the season over That right Jay the other side you got SGA 31 and a half is his over You go more or less. I'm going more.”
OKC 124, MIN 94 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points as Oklahoma City closed out the series with a 124-94 Game 5 win over Minnesota; over 31.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 34 points)
“And then, Alan, there's Julius Randle, who is just a no-show in game four. His total is 24.5 combined points plus rebounds. You go more or less. I'm going to go more again just because you have to,”
OKC 124, MIN 94 — Julius Randle had 31 points and 5 rebounds (36 points+rebounds) in Minnesota's 94-124 Game 5 loss to Oklahoma City; over 24.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Julius Randle: 31 points, 5 rebounds (36 pts+reb))
“Take out your pitching wedge. Swing it easy. Oklahoma City minus three and a half.”
MIN 143, OKC 101 — Minnesota blew out Oklahoma City 143-101 in Game 3; the Thunder lost outright, so -3.5 busts by a wide margin (ESPN box score).
“Karl-Anthony Towns over 23 points Prop was 22 in game one He scores 35 points Naturally the bookmakers move the price up to 23 and a half Still think there value going over”
IND 114, NY 109 — Karl-Anthony Towns scored 20 points as the Knicks fell to the Pacers 114-109 in Game 2; under the 23.5 line, so over busts (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 20 points)
“How are you looking at the total tonight, which is 225.5? Big total. I'd still play the over here.”
IND 114, NY 109 — Pacers beat Knicks 114-109 in Game 2, a combined 223 points; under the 225.5 total, so the over busts (ESPN box score).
“Tyrese Haliburton to win Eastern Conference Finals MVP is minus 120.”
Pascal Siakam of the Pacers won the 2025 Larry Bird Trophy as Eastern Conference Finals MVP after Indiana beat New York in the series; Tyrese Haliburton did not win the award (Wikipedia).
“The five and a half is obvious.”
IND 114, NY 109 — Pacers beat Knicks 114-109 in Game 2, a 5-point margin; Indiana +5.5 covers (ESPN box score).
“That goes without saying when you going to pick them to win You talk about the money line plus 210 I like that price as well I would not play the Knicks on the money line I understand the reason for the bounce back tonight I think the Knicks are better as the hunter than the hunted”
IND 114, NY 109 — Pacers beat Knicks 114-109 outright in Game 2; the Indiana moneyline cashes (ESPN box score).
“The over-under set at 2.5. The under, interestingly enough, plus 115. So how many games do we see Oklahoma City losing the rest of the way? I'd be looking at the under here. Teddy Atlas, the famous boxing trainer, once said, when you become a champion, you instantly become 30% better. It's about clearing this mental hurdle and finding another level to your game. The Thunder haven't won a championship yet, but after going through the darkness of a seven-game series and winning against Denver, I think they've unlocked another level. I don't see them losing three or more times the rest of the way. I bet the under there.”
After the Thunder's 2-0 series lead at pick time, Oklahoma City lost Game 3 (101-143), won Game 4 (128-126) and won Game 5 (124-94) to close out the Western Conference Finals, going 1-2 the rest of the way with only 1 loss; under 2.5 more losses covers (ESPN box scores). (Thunder rest-of-series: lost Game 3 101-143, won Game 4 128-126, won Game 5 124-94 (1 loss))
“Win man, Jalen Brunson. Points plus assists tonight. The total is 37 and a half. Do you think he goes more or less? I got to go over on that because I think Brunson is going to be full power tonight,”
IND 114, NY 109 — Jalen Brunson had 36 points and 11 assists (47 points+assists) in the Knicks' 109-114 Game 2 loss to the Pacers; over 37.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 36 points, 11 assists (47 pts+ast))
“J. Will Karl-Anthony Towns, who had a very productive game one. St. Joe's my touch in. His total points plus rebounds is 35 and a half. What do we think? I think he's going to go more.”
IND 114, NY 109 — Karl-Anthony Towns had 20 points and 7 rebounds (27 points+rebounds) in the Knicks' 109-114 Game 2 loss to the Pacers; under the 35.5 line, so over busts (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 20 points, 7 rebounds (27 pts+reb))
“but I think this type of offensive production it will help the Knicks reach their ceiling He has to be special And then Wendy let go to the other side Tyrese Haliburton who made the unforgettable shot at the end of regulation His total tonight is 24.5 points. Which way do we go? I'm going under.”
IND 114, NY 109 — Tyrese Haliburton scored 14 points in the Pacers' 114-109 Game 2 win over the Knicks; under 24.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 14 points)
“J. Will, the number on Ant-Man, 24.5 points game two, more or less. I'm going to say more.”
OKC 118, MIN 103 — Anthony Edwards scored 32 points as the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 118-103 in Game 2; over 24.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 32 points)
“How about Ant-Man three and a half threes made in game two? You go more or less? I'm going less, and here's why, because he doesn't want to settle for threes.”
OKC 118, MIN 103 — Anthony Edwards made just 1 three-pointer (1-9 from three) in Minnesota's 103-118 Game 2 loss to Oklahoma City; under 3.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 1 three-pointer made (1-9))
“SGA, his points total is set at 31 and a half for game two. We go more or less. I'm going more, but not by a ton.”
OKC 118, MIN 103 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 38 points as Oklahoma City beat Minnesota 118-103 in Game 2; over 31.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 points)
“Hey, big perk, the total for Jalen Brunson is 28 and a half tonight. We go more or less. Oh, more. He's going to average 30 in this series plus.”
IND 138, NY 135 — Brunson scored 43 points in Indiana's 138-135 overtime Game 1 win over New York on May 21, 2025, clearing the 28.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 43 points)
“Meanwhile, Perk, 8.5 assists is the total for Tyrese Haliburton. You're going more or less. Again, 8.5 assists. I'm going less with this one, Green.”
IND 138, NY 135 — Haliburton dished 11 assists in Indiana's 138-135 overtime Game 1 win over New York on May 21, 2025, exceeding the 8.5 line and busting the under (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 11 assists)
“And then Big Bird, how about Karl-Anthony Towns? 34.5 is the number on combined points, plus rebounds for Cat. You go more or less? I'm going more.”
IND 138, NY 135 — Towns had 35 points and 12 rebounds (47 combined) in Indiana's 138-135 overtime Game 1 win over New York on May 21, 2025, clearing the 34.5 line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 35 pts, 12 reb = 47 pts+reb)
“Let's start with OG Ananobi going over 14 and a half points.”
NY 119, BOS 81 — Anunoby scored 23 points in New York's 119-81 Game 6 win over Boston on May 16, 2025, clearing the 14.5 line (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 23 points)
“Let's look at rebounds. Drew Holiday over four and a half.”
NY 119, BOS 81 — Holiday grabbed 4 rebounds in New York's 119-81 Game 6 win over Boston on May 16, 2025, missing the 4.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jrue Holiday: 4 rebounds)
“Let play the next minus two and a half in this game tonight First time they been a favorite in this series And for good reason 93 total games played this year Game five against the Celtics was their worst shooting performance of all 93 games 35 That not happening again Derek White”
NY 119, BOS 81 — The Knicks won 119-81 at Boston on May 16, 2025, a 38-point margin that easily covers the -2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Jalen Brunson, his total is 36.5 total points plus assists. So you go more or less. How big would this number for me have to be that I wouldn't say more? Because 36.5 ain't it. because I'm going more on everything with Brunson tonight.”
NY 119, BOS 81 — Brunson had 23 points and 6 assists (29 combined) in New York's 119-81 Game 6 win over Boston on May 16, 2025, well under the 36.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 23 pts, 6 ast = 29 pts+ast)
“Karl-Anthony Towns, total points plus rebounds, 32.5. Which way do we go? I'm going to go more, but there's a caveat.”
NY 119, BOS 81 — Towns had 21 points and 12 rebounds (33 combined) in New York's 119-81 Game 6 win over Boston on May 16, 2025, clearing the 32.5 line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 21 pts, 12 reb = 33 pts+reb)
“J'Nay, Celtics, Jaylen Brown, more or less 26.5 total points. I'm going to go more because I believe the Knicks want him to score.”
NY 119, BOS 81 — Brown scored 20 points in Boston's 119-81 Game 6 loss to New York on May 16, 2025, missing the 26.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Brown: 20 points)
“J-Will, the number on the Joker is 28.5 points in tonight's must-win game six. You go more or less. I got more.”
DEN 119, OKC 107 — Jokic scored 29 points in Denver's 119-107 Game 6 win over Oklahoma City on May 15, 2025, clearing the 28.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 29 points)
“Allen, Russell Westbrook has really struggled in this series. His total is 9.5 points, more or less. It's got to be more.”
DEN 119, OKC 107 — Westbrook scored 8 points in Denver's 119-107 Game 6 win over Oklahoma City on May 15, 2025, missing the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Russell Westbrook: 8 points)
“UD, SGA looking for the closeout. His total is 30 and a half points. You go more or less. Wow. I'm going more.”
DEN 119, OKC 107 — SGA scored 32 points in Denver's 119-107 Game 6 win over Oklahoma City on May 15, 2025, clearing the 30.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 32 points)
“Denver Jokic, his number is 50.5 for points plus rebounds plus a 7. assists. Tonight, game five at OKC, going more or less? More, more, more.”
OKC 112, DEN 105 — Jokic had 44 pts/15 reb/5 ast = 64 PRA in Thunder's 112-105 Game 5 win over Denver on May 13, 2025, clearing the 50.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 44 pts, 15 reb, 5 ast = 64 pra)
“Allen, SGA, same game, 39.5 points plus assists. We go more or less? Slightly less. I think the scoring will be there because they're going to need it. Boy, that game four was unsightly. That was an ugly game for both teams offensively. But for him, obviously, he took it over late in the game. You expect that if it's a close game. So, again, it's just slightly less than the 39.5.”
OKC 112, DEN 105 — SGA scored 31 points with 7 assists (38 combined) in Thunder's 112-105 Game 5 win over Denver on May 13, 2025, staying under the 39.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 pts, 7 ast = 38 pts+ast)
“And then UD in the east. We've got Cleveland and Indiana tonight. Game five of that series. Tyrese Haliburton, 17.5 points is his total here. You're going more or less for him tonight? I'm going more. I'm going more.”
IND 114, CLE 105 — Haliburton scored 31 points in Indiana's 114-105 Game 5 win over Cleveland on May 13, 2025, clearing the 17.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 31 points)
“To recap, we go with Jokic, more than 50.5 points, rebounds, and assists. SGA less than 39.5 points plus assists, and Tyrese Haliburton more than 17.5 points. If you like those plays we made them a parlay on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 460 Look for the more or less featured parlay on the homepage and in the Parlay Lounge And we remind you get in on the playoff action at ESPN Bet Sportsbook”
All three legs won: Jokic had 64 PRA (over 50.5) and SGA had 38 pts+ast (under 39.5) in Thunder's 112-105 Game 5 win over Denver; Haliburton scored 31 points (over 17.5) in Indiana's 114-105 Game 5 win over Cleveland; all games played May 13, 2025 (ESPN box scores). (Jokic 64 PRA (over 50.5); SGA 38 pts+ast (under 39.5); Haliburton 31 pts (over 17.5))
“Allen, 14 and a half made threes for the Celtics in game three, more or less. I'm going to go more because they're going to put up a ton like they always do.”
BOS 115, NY 93 — The Celtics made 20 of 40 three-pointers (50%) in their 115-93 Game 3 win over the Knicks, over 14.5. (Celtics 20-40 3PT)
“All right, Wendy, let's go to Jalen Brunson's total, 26 and a half points. Would you go more or less? He's been scoring less than that, and the Knicks have been winning. So I'm going to say less, but I still think he could have a very impactful game,”
BOS 115, NY 93 — Jalen Brunson scored 27 points (9-21 FG, 3-8 3PT, 6-7 FT) in the Knicks' 93-115 Game 3 loss to the Celtics, over 26.5. (Jalen Brunson: 27 points)
“I'm going to go more because he's faced accountability.”
BOS 115, NY 93 — Jayson Tatum scored 22 points (8-20 FG, 5-9 3PT, 1-1 FT) in the Celtics' 115-93 Game 3 win over the Knicks, under 28.5. (Jayson Tatum: 22 points)
“Jimmy Butler's total is 24.5 points. Are you going more or less? I'm going more because he's going to have to, because he's going to have to help carry this offense without Steph Curry out there. He's going to have to shoot more. He's going to have to look for his shot more. he's going to have to be playoff Jimmy.”
MIN 117, GS 93 — Jimmy Butler scored 17 points (6-13 FG, 2-4 3PT, 3-5 FT) in the Warriors' 93-117 Game 2 loss to the Timberwolves, under 24.5. (Jimmy Butler: 17 points)
“All right, and is he also going to be setting up his teammates? His assist total is 7.5. We go more or less. I'll go less on this one because, again, he's going to have to have more of that attack mode, that go mode. I think he actually might have more free throw attempts than assists in this game.”
MIN 117, GS 93 — Jimmy Butler had 4 assists in the Warriors' 93-117 Game 2 loss to the Timberwolves, under 7.5. (Jimmy Butler: 4 assists)
“And then there's Anthony Edwards on the other side. Ant-Man trying to get his team even in the series. His points total is 29.5 tonight. Yeah, that's got to be more, and I expect it to be more.”
MIN 117, GS 93 — Anthony Edwards scored 20 points in the Timberwolves' 117-93 Game 2 win over the Warriors, under 29.5. (Anthony Edwards: 20 points)
“Let's start with Stephen Curry, J. Will. If we add up his total points, rebounds, and assists tonight, will it be 37 and a half, more or less? I'm going to go less just because of the short day of rest.”
GS 99, MIN 88 — Stephen Curry had 13 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast (15 PRA) before leaving with a hamstring strain in the Warriors' 99-88 Game 1 win over the Timberwolves, well under 37.5. (Stephen Curry: 13 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast (15 PRA))
“Total points plus assists for Butler is 28 and a half in tonight's game one. Which way do we go? I also went less for the same reason.”
GS 99, MIN 88 — Jimmy Butler had 20 points and 8 assists (28 combined) in the Warriors' 99-88 Game 1 win over the Timberwolves, under 28.5. (Jimmy Butler: 20 pts, 8 ast (28 pts+ast))
“Allen, let's go to the other side. Anthony Edwards, total points, 28 and a half. Which way do we go? Give me more here because Anthony Edwards does have, to me, the home court advantage.”
GS 99, MIN 88 — Anthony Edwards scored 23 points in the Timberwolves' 88-99 Game 1 loss to the Warriors, under 28.5. (Anthony Edwards: 23 points)
“The combined number for Jokic on points, rebounds, and assists is 53 and a half. You going more or less? I'm going more, Grainy, and it's going to have to be more,”
DEN 121, OKC 119 — Nikola Jokic had 42 pts, 22 reb, 6 ast (70 PRA) as the Nuggets beat the Thunder 121-119 in West Semis Game 1; comfortably over 53.5. (Nikola Jokic: 42 pts, 22 reb, 6 ast (70 PRA))
“Chanae, 34.5 points for him tonight is the number. You going more or less? I'm going more because that man, that guy who's smooth like Shea, Shea Butter, he's going to score.”
DEN 121, OKC 119 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 33 points in the Thunder's 119-121 Game 1 loss to the Nuggets, under 34.5. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33 points)
“Big perk, the number of combined points, rebounds and assists for Jayson Tatum is 44 and a half. You going more or less? I'm going with what I tell my wife when she fixing my plate of food. More. Jayson Tatum, more than this.”
NY 108, BOS 105 (OT) — Jayson Tatum posted 23 pts, 16 reb, 6 ast (45 PRA) in the Celtics' 105-108 OT Game 1 loss to the Knicks, over 44.5. (Jayson Tatum: 23 pts, 16 reb, 6 ast (45 PRA))
“Jay Will, Nuggets, Clippers, Nikola Jokic, 26 and a half points is his total. You going more or less? Give me more cowbell, baby, when it comes to Nikola Jokic all day, every day.”
111-105 — In Clippers 111, Nuggets 105 (West 1st Round Game 6, 5/1/2025), Nikola Jokic scored 25 points, under 26.5 (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 25 PTS)
“How about James Harden? 36 and a half. Rebounds and assists is his number. Rebounds. Oh, excuse me. Points, rebounds, and assists. I'm going to go over.”
111-105 — In Clippers 111, Nuggets 105 (West 1st Round Game 6, 5/1/2025), James Harden had 28 PTS, 6 REB, 8 AST = 42 PRA, over 36.5 (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 28 PTS / 6 REB / 8 AST = 42 PRA)
“And then J. Will, Knicks tonight with a chance to clinch that game is in Detroit. It's also been a great series. Jalen Brunson's got an ankle. 28 and a half is his total, more or less. I'm going to go more cowbell here because they're going to need it.”
116-113 — In Knicks 116, Pistons 113 (East 1st Round Game 6, 5/1/2025, series-clinching), Jalen Brunson scored 40 points, over 28.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 40 PTS)
“The commander's total is nine and a half wins. Fortinball, which way do we go? I would say less here.”
Commanders finished the 2025 regular season 5-12, under the 9.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (5-12)
“Joe, the Giants' win total is just five and a half. Can we go more or less? We go more.”
Giants finished the 2025 regular season 4-13, under the 5.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (4-13)
“I thought they had a great draft all the way around One more win total for you here Joe The Steeler total is at eight and a half What do you think I go less because there two realities here right Reality one”
Steelers finished the 2025 regular season 10-7, over the 8.5 win total, so the under lost (ESPN schedule). (10-7)
“Hey, Peter Schrager, the number on Cowboys, seven and a half wins for Dallas. You're going over, under. Greeny, I'm going over.”
Cowboys finished the 2025 regular season 7-9-1 (7 wins), under the 7.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (7-9-1)
“Dominique Foxworth, the total is five and a half wins for the Giants. You going more or less? I'm going to go more.”
Giants finished the 2025 regular season 4-13, under the 5.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (4-13)
“All right, Tim Hasselbeck, the total is just four and a half wins for the Cleveland Browns. Are you going more or less? A little more, and Grinny, I think you kind of alluded to it there.”
Browns finished the 2025 regular season 5-12, over the 4.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (5-12)
“Monica, Dalen Brunson tonight. 29 and a half points. You're going more or less. Listen, don't come at me. Don't be in my DMs. I'm going more.”
106-103 — In Pistons 106, Knicks 103 (East 1st Round Game 5, 4/29/2025), Jalen Brunson scored 16 points (4-16 FG), under 29.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 16 PTS (4-16 FG))
“J Will Jokic 51 and a half points plus rebounds plus assists tonight for Denver more or less I going to go more”
131-115 — In Nuggets 131, Clippers 115 (West 1st Round Game 5, 4/29/2025), Nikola Jokic had 13 PTS, 10 REB, 12 AST = 35 PRA, under 51.5 (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 13 PTS / 10 REB / 12 AST = 35 PRA)
“Booz, Giannis, in what could be his last game as a Bucs tonight, 34 and a half points for Milwaukee, more or less. I say more.”
119-118 — In Pacers 119, Bucks 118 OT (East 1st Round Game 5, 4/29/2025, series-clinching), Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 30 points (30/20/13 triple-double), under 34.5 (ESPN box score). (Giannis Antetokounmpo: 30 PTS / 20 REB / 13 AST)
“Tim Hasselbeck, the total on the Bears wins is eight and a half. You going more or less? I'm going less.”
Bears finished the 2025 regular season 11-6, over the 8.5 win total, so the under lost (ESPN schedule). (11-6)
“Nine and a half is the total for the Packers. You go more or less? I go more.”
Packers finished the 2025 regular season 9-7-1 (9 wins), under the 9.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (9-7-1)
“Okay, Neek, four and a half is the total wins for the Cleveland Browns. This is a really low number. Are you going more or less? Yeah, I got to go more.”
Browns finished the 2025 regular season 5-12, over the 4.5 win total (ESPN schedule). (5-12)
“Kawhi Leonard, total points, rebounds, and assists in game three versus the Nuggets. 35 and a half, Bobby, more or less? I'm going to say less, Matt.”
LAC 117, DEN 83 — Kawhi Leonard: 21 pts + 11 reb + 6 ast = 38 PRA vs under 35.5; busts (ESPN box score). (Kawhi Leonard: 38 PRA (21 pts, 11 reb, 6 ast))
“Shea Gilgis-Alexander. Total points, game three against the Grizzlies, 31 and a half. More or less? I'm going less on this one, Barry.”
OKC 114, MEM 108 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 points vs under 31.5; covers (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 points)
“Jalen Brunson, total points and assists in game three against the Pistons, 36 and a half, more or less. Well, we're going to continue to theme. I'm going to say less here.”
NY 118, DET 116 — Jalen Brunson: 30 pts + 9 ast = 39 pts+ast vs under 36.5; busts (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 39 pts+ast (30 pts, 9 ast))
“Kawhi Leonard, total points, rebounds, and assists in game three versus the Nuggets. 35 and a half, Bobby, more or less? I'm going to say less, Matt. I think it's going to be interesting how they game plan against Kawhi Leonard. We saw in game one when he had seven turnovers make him into a passer here, certainly. So I think it's going to be less, and I think the Nuggets are actually going to win this game tonight. I like that one. He gave us another bold one out of there. Monica, your turn. Shea Gilgis-Alexander. Total points, game three against the Grizzlies, 31 and a half. More or less? I'm going less on this one, Barry. And most of it is because the Thunder really have not had an issue with the Grizzlies yet. Yes, Shea Gilgis-Alexander averaged about 32 points in the regular season. But I really think this group has been energized by being able to share the basketball. I don't think he's going to have to go that hard. I think a number of his teammates will have his back and they will roll. All right. It's a team effort there in Oklahoma City. Clear to the dominant team right now. Bobby, final one. Jalen Brunson, total points and assists in game three against the Pistons, 36 and a half, more or less. Well, we're going to continue to theme. I'm going to say less here. And that doesn't mean the Knicks are going to lose here. I just think we're going to see better bounce scoring tonight, certainly with Carl Anthony Towns getting him more involved in this game. All right, so to recap, we're going with all three picks tonight. Less, less, and less. Pays out 6-1.”
Parlay busts: Kawhi under 35.5 PRA lost (38 PRA), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 31.5 points won (31), Jalen Brunson under 36.5 pts+ast lost (39 pts+ast) — two losing legs sink the parlay (ESPN box scores).
“I like Houston tonight. Specifically I like Stephen Curry within the scoring prop to go under 25 and a half points”
HOU 109, GS 94 — Stephen Curry: 20 points vs under 25.5; covers (ESPN box score). (Stephen Curry: 20 points)
“We're going to start with the Rockets minus the three here. Minus the three and a half”
HOU 109, GS 94 — Houston Rockets won 109-94, margin +15 vs line -3.5; covers (ESPN box score).
“Ten and a half points. This all comes down to pricing. Game one, Boston was a 12-point favorite. Now you're telling me Jason Tatum is doubtful worth of wrist injury and might not play. We've only moved the spread one and a half points. This gambit, it's all about finding value, like you with that haircut. Value, okay? Ten and a half is the opportunity. We're taking the magic tonight.”
BOS 109, ORL 100 — Boston Celtics beat Orlando Magic 109-100; Magic lost by 9, covering +10.5 (ESPN box score).
“Knicks, Pistons, tomorrow. Now I want to do the Knicks. All right. I like the Knicks minus the one and a half.”
NY 118, DET 116 — New York Knicks beat Detroit Pistons 118-116, margin +2 vs line -1.5; covers (ESPN box score).
“Carlos Buzer, the LeBron total on points plus assists plus rebounds is 38 and a half. Are you going more or less? Over because they're going to need it if they're going to win tonight. Got to go over.”
LAL 94, MIN 85 — LeBron James: 21 pts + 11 reb + 7 ast = 39 PRA vs over 38.5; covers (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 39 PRA (21 pts, 11 reb, 7 ast))
“Marcus, Luka Doncic, points plus assists tonight, more or less than 37 and a half. What do you think? I'm going more.”
LAL 94, MIN 85 — Luka Doncic: 31 pts + 9 ast = 40 pts+ast vs over 37.5; covers (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 40 pts+ast (31 pts, 9 ast))
“Finally, Booz, Anthony Edwards. His total points tonight is 25 and a half. What do you think? Going over. He had that last game. He's going to be even more aggressive in game two.”
LAL 94, MIN 85 — Anthony Edwards: 25 points vs over 25.5; busts (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 25 points)
“Carlos Buzer, the LeBron total on points plus assists plus rebounds is 38 and a half. Are you going more or less? Over because they're going to need it if they're going to win tonight. Got to go over. LeBron going to have to have a big night, and we'll see if he's able to do it for them. So that's a more. Marcus Luka Doncic, points plus assists tonight. more or less than 37 and a half. What do you think? I'm going more. Luka is going to be dominant in this game They understand that they need to get a win Offensively he just getting to wherever he want to get I think he way over to be honest Yes I would say if he under then the Lakers are going home He had 37 points alone the other night Finally, Booz, Anthony Edwards. His total points tonight is 25 and a half. What do you think? Going over. He had that last game. He's going to be even more aggressive in game two. Yeah, Anthony Edwards looking to give the Timberwolves a critical advantage in the series. So if you're riding with us tonight, we've made that into a parlay. You can bat it at the ESPN Bet Sportsbook with odds of plus 455.”
LAL 94, MIN 85 — Parlay busts: LeBron over 38.5 PRA won (39 PRA), Luka over 37.5 pts+ast won (40), Anthony Edwards over 25.5 points lost (25) — one losing leg sinks the parlay (ESPN box score).
“Booze, Nikola Jokic tonight. If you add up his total points, assists, and rebounds, more or less than 49.5 for the Joker. He's going over it. I'm going more with that.”
LA Clippers 105, Denver Nuggets 102 — Nikola Jokic posted 26 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists (47 PRA) in Game 2, under the 49.5 line, as the Clippers beat the Nuggets 105-102 (ESPN). (Nikola Jokic: 26 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists (47 PRA))
“Marcus, how about for the Clippers tonight? James Harden, total three-pointers against Denver, two and a half. The over-under is two and a half. Are you going more or less? I'm going more. I'm going over.”
LA Clippers 105, Denver Nuggets 102 — James Harden made 4 three-pointers (over 2.5) as the Clippers beat the Nuggets 105-102 in Game 2 (ESPN). (James Harden: 4 three-pointers made (4-11))
“Finally boo Jalen Brunson and the Knicks playing game two against Detroit tonight Brunson total is 28 and a half You going more or less I going more I think he found his rhythm as the game kept going”
Detroit Pistons 100, New York Knicks 94 — Jalen Brunson scored 37 points (over 28.5) despite the Knicks losing to the Pistons 100-94 in Game 2 (ESPN). (Jalen Brunson: 37 points)
“Alan Hahn, the Greek freak. It's Indiana and Milwaukee. 32 and a half is the number for Giannis in game one. You go more or less? I go more because he's going to have to.”
Indiana Pacers 117, Milwaukee Bucks 98 — Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 36 points (over 32.5) as the Pacers beat the Bucks 117-98 in Game 1 (ESPN). (Giannis Antetokounmpo: 36 points)
“Windman, 26 and a half is the number for Jalen Brunson. More or less? This is a tougher one, but I'm going with more in this one.”
New York Knicks 123, Detroit Pistons 112 — Jalen Brunson scored 34 points (over 26.5) as the Knicks beat the Pistons 123-112 in Game 1 (ESPN). (Jalen Brunson: 34 points)
“Men's side, Saturday night, best bet, Florida-Auburn. Auburn plus the two and a half.”
Florida 79, Auburn 73 — Florida beat Auburn 79-73 in the Final Four; Auburn lost by 6, failing to cover Auburn +2.5 (ESPN).
“On the women's side, best bet, Texas, South Carolina. Low scoring game, under 124.5.”
South Carolina beat Texas 74-57 in the Women's Final Four; the combined 131 points went over the 124.5 total (ESPN). (Final: South Carolina 74, Texas 57 (131 combined))
“And then finally tonight, Connecticut and UCLA. As great as UConn has been this season, 7.5 is too many points”
UConn 85, UCLA 51 — UConn routed UCLA 85-51 in the Women's Final Four; UCLA lost by 34, failing to cover UCLA +7.5 (ESPN).
“And let's start with the first game of the night, Michigan State, Ole Miss. Tom Izzo, Spartans, three-and-a-half-point favorites. Joe, where are you looking here? Laying the points with Sparty for two key reasons.”
MSU 73, OLE MISS 70 — Michigan State beat Ole Miss 73-70 in the 2025 Sweet 16, a 3-point margin that falls short of the -3.5 spread.
“Michigan State forward Jackson Kohler over 6.5 rebounds. Now, we already talked about how much Ole Miss struggles on the glass. Kohler's averaging 7.5 rebounds per game this season”
Jaxon Kohler recorded just 2 rebounds (0 points, 18 minutes) in Michigan State's 73-70 Sweet 16 win over Ole Miss, well under the 6.5-rebound line. (2 REB, 0 PTS, 18 MIN)
“Okay last game we got the number one seed Houston taking on Purdue Scoring might be hard to come by You know Houston can get after you defensively Over, under, listed at 131.5. What do you think, Joe? The full game under is worth a look. I'm going to shrink this to the first half, opening 20 minutes to go under 61.5 points.”
HOU 29, PUR 31 (1H) — Houston led Purdue 29-31 at halftime (60 combined) in the 2025 Sweet 16, under the 61.5 first-half total.
“Of course, the Spartans, three and a half point favorite tonight. Who ya got? Michigan State minus the points.”
Michigan State 73, Ole Miss 70 — Michigan State beat Ole Miss 73-70 in the Sweet 16, a 3-point margin that fell short of Michigan State -3.5 (ESPN).
“Joe, who you got there? I like Kentucky plus the four and a half here.”
Tennessee 78, Kentucky 65 — Tennessee beat Kentucky 78-65 in the Sweet 16; Kentucky lost by 13, failing to cover Kentucky +4.5 (ESPN).
“Who you got there? Michigan plus the 8.5 or 9. Smaller bet because Auburn could erupt at any moment.”
Auburn 78, Michigan 65 — Auburn beat Michigan 78-65 in the Sweet 16; Michigan lost by 13, failing to cover Michigan +8.5 (ESPN).
“Greeny's got a special prop for today's MLB action. 30 home runs across the entire slate of games to cash this ticket. We've got it boosted at a plus 150 at ESPN Bet Sportsbook.”
MLB's March 27, 2025 Opening Day slate of 14 games produced roughly 41 combined home runs (Orioles alone hit a franchise-record 7 with the Blue Jays, plus 3-4 HR games from the Yankees/Brewers, Phillies/Nationals, Braves/Padres, Dodgers/Tigers, White Sox/Angels, and Athletics/Mariners), clearing the 30 line. (~41 total HR across the 14 Opening Day games (ESPN box scores))
“Right now, ESPN bet is the Yankees at plus 170 to miss the playoffs. Joe, what do you think? I'd go ahead and bet that.”
Yankees finished 2025 at 94-68, clinched a Wild Card berth, beat Boston in the Wild Card Series, then lost the ALDS to Toronto 3-1 -- they made the playoffs, so the 'miss the playoffs' bet loses. (Yankees finished 94-68, lost ALDS to Blue Jays)
“ESPN Bet has their over-under win total. 82 and a hook. Which way are you going? This is an under bet. It opened 83 and a half. It immediately took under money and for good reason.”
Royals finished the 2025 season 82-80 (82 wins), under the 82.5 win total. (KC finished 82-80 in 2025)
“Blake Snell to lead Major League Baseball in strikeouts is priced at 16 to 1. I like that opportunity there, all right?”
Garrett Crochet led MLB in strikeouts in 2025 with 255 K (18-5, 2.59 ERA in 32 starts for Boston), not Blake Snell. (2025 MLB strikeout leader: Garrett Crochet, 255 K)
“of the night. Alabama and BYU. The Tide are favored by 5.5. Joe, which team do you like and why? I'll take the Cougs plus the points here.”
ALA 113, BYU 88 — Alabama beat BYU 113-88 in the 2025 Sweet 16, a 25-point margin that busts BYU +5.5.
“Yeah, the Arizona team total is 72.5, so this is a bet on how many points Arizona will score, over or under 72.5. I'd go under.”
DUKE 100, ARIZ 93 — Duke beat Arizona 100-93 in the 2025 Sweet 16; Arizona scored 93, well over the 72.5 team-total line (bet was under).
“D-Wood, we have the Super Bowl champion Eagles at 11 and a half wins. Are you going more or less? I want more.”
Eagles finished the 2025 NFL regular season 11-6, under the 11.5 win total (needed 12+ wins to cash the over). (Eagles finished 11-6)
“J-Mac, the Patriots number is 7.5. You going more or less? I'm going less.”
Patriots finished the 2025 NFL regular season 14-3 and won the AFC East, well over the 7.5 win total (bet was under). (Patriots finished 14-3)
“All right, and we've spent a lot of time this morning talking about the Giants. From the moment we came on the air today, their win total has moved. It went from 3.5 to 4.5, Bart, more or less. I see you rust with that 1.5 war going on, bud. Yeah, man, come on. I have them above three, but I can't go past four and a half, man. Four and a half.”
Giants finished the 2025 NFL regular season 4-13, under the 4.5 win total. (Giants finished 4-13)
“Texas A&M is favored by seven and a half points. Yale won a 13 versus four game last year. Which way are you going? I'm going to go with Yale here plus the points.”
TA&M 80, YALE 71 — Texas A&M beat Yale 80-71 in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64; Yale +7.5 lost by 9, busts (ESPN).
“The total is set at 154.5. Joe, what do you like in this game? Money's been flowing on the over. We're following the money over 154.5.”
PUR 75, HPU 63 — Purdue beat High Point 75-63 in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64; combined score was 138, under 154.5, over busts (ESPN).
“the Big Ten tournament champion is Michigan. They're only a two-and-a-half-point favorite against UC San Diego. Joe, are you thinking upset? Hold on for a second here, Greeny. I'm getting some breaking news. Hey, Schefter, according to sources, Michigan going down in this one, my friend. Brutal spot for your Wolverines.”
MICH 68, UCSD 65 — Michigan beat UC San Diego 68-65 in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64, avoiding the upset; UC San Diego ML busts (ESPN).
“The Lakers have won 18 of their last 21 games, and they're a six-and-a-half-point dog in Boston on Saturday night. Doesn't seem right. Big red flag. I think the Celtics are the play, and Bobby Marks just drilled the handicap.”
BOS 111, LAL 101 — Celtics beat Lakers 111-101 behind Jayson Tatum's 40 points; Celtics -6.5 margin was +10, covers (ESPN).
“They're a seven-and-a-half point dog tonight. We'll lay it with the Clippers.”
LAC 105, NY 95 — Clippers beat Knicks 105-95 behind James Harden's 27 points; Clippers -7.5 margin was +10, covers (ESPN).
“Lakers-Celtics, best bet. What do you got? Great promotion on behalf of both Bobby and yourself, Graz. I would lay the six and a half with the Celtics here.”
BOS 111, LAL 101 — Celtics beat Lakers 111-101 behind Jayson Tatum's 40 points; Celtics -6.5 margin was +10, covers (ESPN).
“I'd look to the Tar Heels plus the 11.5. Rivalry game at home.”
DUKE 82, UNC 69 — Duke beat North Carolina 82-69 behind Cooper Flagg; North Carolina +11.5 lost by 13, busts (ESPN).
“Going against the fan favorite. In the main event, Magomed Ankaliev's right around minus 105 against Alex Pereira. Pereira's been an absolute beast. The fans love him. four straight wins, but those four straight wins have involved him standing at the center of the octagon and banging with the opposition that wants to trade. This guy right here, Ankolaev, he's got the blueprint for how you beat someone like Pereira. You've got to be able to wrestle. You've got to be able to get him to the mat. You've got to take him outside of his comfort zone. He actually opens a minus 170 favorite before the market moved the price. I think we're getting a very good price on Ankolaev. I'd play him at minus 105.”
Magomed Ankalaev defeated Alex Pereira by unanimous decision (49-46, 48-47, 48-47) at UFC 313 on March 8, 2025 to win the light heavyweight title. (Unanimous decision win for Ankalaev (49-46, 48-47, 48-47))
“Clippers, Lakers, what are you looking at? I would lay the four and a half with the Clippers here.”
LAL 106, LAC 102 — Lakers beat Clippers 106-102; Clippers -4.5 margin was only -4, busts by half a point (ESPN).
“We're going to lay the points with the Grizzlies, which is not going to make anyone around here happy at all. [34:44] But if you remember, at the Garden on January 27th, the Knicks get throttled or throttled the Grizz by about 37. [34:50] A little bit of payback tonight. [34:51] Keep in mind, big defensive struggles for the Knicks. [34:54] And on top of that they are a dog of four or more tonight Four times this season the Knicks have been a dog of four or more In those games they are 0 losing by an average of 20 points per game [35:05] We'll lean into the trend. [35:06] We'll play the Grizzlies tonight.”
NY 114, MEM 113 — Knicks beat Grizzlies 114-113 on a late Anunoby three; Grizzlies -4 margin was only -1, busts (ESPN).
“We'll take the Celtics minus two and a half. I think it's a cheap price.”
CLE 123, BOS 116 — Cavaliers beat Celtics 123-116 in a comeback led by Donovan Mitchell's 41 points; Celtics -2.5 margin was -7, busts (ESPN).
“The over-under at ESPN bet is 31.5. That is a significant number. One of the highest point totals for Luka this year. His highest was back in November at 33.5. He had 32 against the Nuggets on Saturday. So let's ask the question the way we like to ask it, Alan. Is tonight going to be a scorched earth night? Will revenge be named Luka Doncic against the Mavericks tonight? I'm going to take the under. I'm going to take the under not because I don't think he's going to have a good game.”
LAL 107, DAL 99 — Luka Doncic scored 19 points as the Lakers beat the Mavericks 107-99, well under the 31.5-point line (ESPN box score). (Doncic: 19 points)
“Canada scored five minutes into the first game. 0.5 goals in the first ten minutes. More or less? I'm going with more.”
Nathan MacKinnon scored for Canada at 4:48 of the first period, within the first 10 minutes, in the 4 Nations Face-Off Final which Canada won 3-2 in OT (ESPN box score). (MacKinnon goal at 4:48 of 1st period)
“The USA is the best goalie. 5.5 total game goals, more or less. More.”
Canada 3, USA 2 (OT) — Canada beat USA 3-2 in overtime in the 4 Nations Face-Off Final (McDavid game-winner at 8:18 of OT); 5 combined goals is under the 5.5 total line (ESPN box score). (5 total goals combined)
“Sidney Crosby scored the game-winning goal for Canada versus USA in the 2010 Olympics. Here we go. 0.5 goals for Sid the Kid. Not really anymore. More or less? I'm going with more from Sid the Kid.”
Sidney Crosby did not score a goal in the 4 Nations Face-Off Final (Canada won 3-2 in OT on goals by MacKinnon, Bennett, and McDavid), under the 0.5 line (ESPN box score). (Crosby: 0 goals)
“Dominique, the total on Jalen Hurts, 255 and a half total passing and rushing yards. You're going more or less? I think I'm feeling more right now.”
Jalen Hurts totaled 293 yards (221 passing + 72 rushing) in Super Bowl LIX, over the 255.5 line (ESPN box score). (Hurts: 221 pass yds + 72 rush yds = 293 total yds)
“i think jalen hurts has a big statistical game let's talk about saquon barkley his total is one and a half total receiving and rushing touchdown so total tds you're going more or less more more”
Saquon Barkley had 0 total touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX (57 rush yds, 40 rec yds, no TDs), under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Barkley: 57 rush yds, 40 rec yds, 0 total TD)
“And then, Dan, how about Mr. Mahomes? The total is one and a half passing touchdowns more or less I going to say more Now this is an elite Philadelphia defense specifically down in the red zone”
Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Mahomes: 21/32, 257 yds, 3 pass TD, 2 INT)
“Dominique, 24 completions for Patrick Mahomes, More or Less. I definitely think he goes for more.”
Patrick Mahomes completed 21 of 32 passes in Super Bowl LIX, missing the 24-completion over line (ESPN box score). (Mahomes: 21/32, 257 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT)
“Lewis, Saquon Barkley, 120 rushing yards, more or less? I'm going to go with history as far as Steve Spagnuolo is concerned since he's been with Kansas City. I'm going to say less.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 57 yards in Super Bowl LIX (Eagles won 40-22), well under the 120-yard line (ESPN box score). (Barkley: 57 rushing yards)
“Jeff, one-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jalen Hurts, more or less? I'm going more for the exact same reason that Lou is talking about.”
Jalen Hurts threw 2 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX (221 pass yds), clearing the 1.5 over line (ESPN box score). (Hurts: 221 pass yds, 2 pass TD)
“We're going over 199.5 passing yards. Take a look at Jalen Hurts against man coverage this year.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Jalen Hurts threw for 221 yards (17/22) in the Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win over the Chiefs, clearing the over 199.5 passing yards line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 17/22, 221 pass yds)
“How many passes will Patrick Mahomes complete in this game? The prop is set at 23.5. We're going to bet the over.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Patrick Mahomes completed 21 of 32 passes for 257 yards in the Chiefs' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, missing the over 23.5 completions line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 21/32, 257 pass yds)
“The total on Saquon Barkley is 115 and a half rushing yards. You going more or less? I'm less, and I'm believing in Steve Spagnuolo”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley rushed 25 times for 57 yards in the Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win over the Chiefs, clearing the under 115.5 rushing yards line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 25 car, 57 rush yds)
“Graz, the number on Mahomes, 249.5 passing yards, more or less? I'll go with less, fewer, actually.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 257 yards (21/32) in the Chiefs' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, exceeding the under 249.5 passing yards line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 21/32, 257 pass yds)
“Bartholomew, we've been talking about Jalen Hurts. His total yards is 252 and a half, so that will be passing plus rushing. You go more or less? I'm going to go more”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Jalen Hurts totaled 293 yards (221 passing + 72 rushing) in the Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win over the Chiefs, clearing the over 252.5 total yards line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 17/22, 221 pass yds; 11 car, 72 rush yds)
“But the alternate receiving yards, 125 or more, pays 7-1. So why would we want to highlight A.J. Brown, right? We talked about this earlier. The Kansas City Chiefs deploy man coverage at the fifth highest rate of any defense in the NFL. Look at how A.J. Brown stacks up against man coverage compared to the rest of the league. Jamar Chase, Justin Jefferson, Tyreek Hill, you name it, number one in yards per game. He's got a quarterback in Jalen Hurts who loves to throw the fade down the sidelines. We're probably good for two or three of those shots during the game. So I would take Brown 69.5 receiving yards over, 125.5 over.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — A.J. Brown caught 3 passes for 43 receiving yards in the Eagles' 40-22 Super Bowl LIX win over the Chiefs, missing the over 125.5 receiving yards line (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown: 3 rec, 43 yds)
“The number on Patrick Mahomes' passing yards is 249.5. You going More or Less? More.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 245 yards (18/26) in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, missing the over 249.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 18/26, 245 pass yds)
“Graziano, how about his favorite receiver, Travis Kelsey, receiving yards, 69.5. We go more or less. I went with less.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Travis Kelce caught 2 passes for 19 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, clearing the under 69.5 line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 2 rec, 19 yds)
“Josh Allen, total yards, so rushing and passing. 282.5, we go more or less. Way more.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Josh Allen totaled 276 yards (237 passing + 39 rushing) in the Bills' 32-29 AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs, missing the over 282.5 line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 22/34, 237 pass yds; 11 car, 39 rush yds)
“How many times will Josh Allen have to throw the ball in this game? The prop is set at 31 and a half. I'd play the over.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Josh Allen attempted 34 passes, completing 22, in the Bills' 32-29 AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs, clearing the over 31.5 pass attempts line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 22/34 passing)
“Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns. Dan, one and a half. Is the over-under going more or less? Come on, I'm going more.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Patrick Mahomes threw 1 passing touchdown (18/26, 245 yards) in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, missing the over 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 18/26, 245 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
“J-Mac, Travis Kelsey, we have 69 and a half as the total on his receiving yards. Are you going more or less? I'm going less on this one.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Travis Kelce caught 2 passes for 19 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, clearing the under 69.5 line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 2 rec, 19 yds)
“Harry, Josh Allen's rushing total is 49.5 yards. You going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Josh Allen rushed 11 times for 39 yards in the Bills' 32-29 AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs, missing the over 49.5 line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 11 car, 39 rush yds)
“Lamar Jackson's rushing prop here, Greeny. 49 and a half yards. We're playing that over.”
BUF 27-25 BAL — Lamar Jackson rushed for 39 yards (6 carries) in the Ravens' 27-25 AFC Divisional loss to the Bills, under the 49.5 over line (CBS Sports box score). (Lamar Jackson: 6 rush, 39 rush yds)
“but we do attack the angle of going under 41 and a half total points.”
KC 23-14 HOU — Kansas City Chiefs beat Houston Texans 23-14 in the AFC Divisional round; combined 37 points is under the 41.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“A.J. Brown under 69.5 receiving yards.”
PHI 28-22 LAR — A.J. Brown caught 2 passes for 14 receiving yards in the Eagles' 28-22 NFC Divisional win over the Rams, under the 69.5 line (CBS Sports box score). (A.J. Brown: 2 rec, 14 receiving yds)
“under 55.5 total points.”
WSH 45-31 DET — Washington Commanders beat Detroit Lions 45-31 in the NFC Divisional round; combined 76 points is over the 55.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“And apply it all together and go under 51.5 total points.”
BUF 27-25 BAL — Buffalo Bills beat Baltimore Ravens 27-25 in the AFC Divisional round; combined 52 points is over the 51.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“Bart, if I gave the number at 199.5 passing yards for Jalen Hurts coming off that topic, you going more or less? I'm going to go less because I think this is a game that's going to have limited possessions.”
PHI 28-22 LAR — Jalen Hurts passed for 128 yards (15/20) in the Eagles' 28-22 NFC Divisional win over the Rams, under the 199.5 line (CBS Sports box score). (Jalen Hurts: 15/20, 128 pass yds)
“Graz, one and a half touchdown passes. Matthew Stafford, more or less? More. It's got to be more if they're going to have any chance.”
PHI 28-22 LAR — Matthew Stafford threw 2 passing touchdowns (26/44, 324 yds) in the Rams' 28-22 NFC Divisional loss to the Eagles, clearing the 1.5 over line (CBS Sports box score). (Matthew Stafford: 26/44, 324 pass yds, 2 pass TD)
“And then finally, Mike T, the magic number on Saquon Barkley is 99.5 rushing yards. You go more or less. Moore, if that was for the first half, it would be an interesting conversation.”
PHI 28-22 LAR — Saquon Barkley rushed for 205 yards (26 carries, 2 TD) in the Eagles' 28-22 NFC Divisional win over the Rams, over the 99.5 line (CBS Sports box score). (Saquon Barkley: 26 rush, 205 rush yds, 2 rush TD)
“Another lower-scoring game, under 43-and-a-half.”
PHI 28-22 LAR — Philadelphia Eagles beat Los Angeles Rams 28-22 in the NFC Divisional round; combined 50 points is over the 43.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“Baltimore over Buffalo.”
BUF 27-25 BAL — Buffalo Bills beat Baltimore Ravens 27-25 in the AFC Divisional round; the Ravens' moneyline bet busts (CBS Sports box score).
“What is your second play of the week? I think the first half under, there's another good bet as well if you want to pile on top, 25 and a half.”
PHI 13-10 LAR (1st half); PHI 28-22 LAR (final) — In the Eagles' 28-22 NFC Divisional win over the Rams, the first-half score was Eagles 13, Rams 10 (combined 23), under the 25.5 first-half total (CBS Sports box score quarter breakdown).
“I'm going to take the over on Commander's Lions. And I know it's a very big number, 55.5.”
WSH 45-31 DET — Washington Commanders beat Detroit Lions 45-31 in the NFC Divisional round; combined 76 points is over the 55.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“And that's why I'm taking the Texans with the points here. And I understand the injury to Joe Mixon gave me a great deal of pause. But eight and a half points, I'll give you a number.”
KC 23-14 HOU — Kansas City Chiefs beat Houston Texans 23-14 in the AFC Divisional round; Texans' margin of -9 fails to cover the +8.5 spread (CBS Sports box score).
“Playing the five with Philadelphia, they're rested.”
PHI 22-10 GB — Philadelphia Eagles beat Green Bay Packers 22-10 in the NFC Wild Card game; Eagles' margin of +12 covers the -5 spread (CBS Sports box score).
“Low-scoring game, under 43.5.”
BAL 28-14 PIT — Baltimore Ravens beat Pittsburgh Steelers 28-14 in the AFC Wild Card game; combined 42 points is under the 43.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“And then let go to tonight college game again here on ESPN 730 Eastern Ohio State Texas for a chance to play for the national championship What your best bet Laying it with the Buckeyes It sitting around six Now that Ohio State offense has been unstoppable in the playoffs so far”
OSU 28-14 TEX — Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the CFP semifinal (Cotton Bowl) on January 10, 2025; Ohio State's margin of +14 covers the -6 spread (Wikipedia CFP article).
“All right, EJ, let's go to another great quarterback. Justin Herbert, passing yards. His number is 224 and a half. Are you going more or less? I'll go less here, and the main reason is because Houston Texans already average about 201 on the season,”
HOU 32-12 LAC — Justin Herbert threw for 242 yards (14/32, 1 TD, 4 INT) in the Chargers' 32-12 Wild Card loss to the Texans, exceeding the 224.5 under line (CBS Sports box score). (Justin Herbert: 14/32, 242 pass yds)
“And then, Lewis, let's go to Lamar. 271.5 against the Steelers of total offense, more or less. I'm going to say less because of the fact that in the passing game, those eight flowers, that takes away a big part of their catch and run,”
BAL 28-14 PIT — Lamar Jackson totaled 256 yards of offense (175 passing + 81 rushing) in the Ravens' 28-14 Wild Card win over the Steelers, under the 271.5 line (CBS Sports box score). (Lamar Jackson: 16/21, 175 pass yds, 2 pass TD; 15 rush, 81 rush yds (256 total offense))
“Steelers-Ravens under 43.5.”
BAL 28-14 PIT — Baltimore Ravens beat Pittsburgh Steelers 28-14 in the AFC Wild Card game; combined 42 points is under the 43.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“Buffalo minus the 8-and-a-half over Denver.”
BUF 31-7 DEN — Buffalo Bills beat Denver Broncos 31-7 in the AFC Wild Card game; Bills' margin of +24 covers the -8.5 spread (CBS Sports box score).
“Texans Chargers under 42.5 points.”
HOU 32-12 LAC — Texans beat Chargers 32-12 in the AFC Wild Card game; combined 44 points is over the 42.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“All right, I'm going the opposite direction on Commander's Bucks. I'm going to take the over. I think they could go over 50-and-a-half in the first half. I watched both these quarterbacks play. Baker Mayfield has been on a mission. He was great in the playoffs last year. Washington's defense is not great. I think that Jaden Daniels will put numbers up in his first playoff opportunity. I'll take the over on the Commanders and the Bucs.”
WSH 23-20 TB — Washington Commanders beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 in the NFC Wild Card game; combined 43 points is under the 50.5 total (CBS Sports box score).
“All right, I've got the Eagles as my second pick, minus the four and a half at home against Green Bay on Sunday,”
PHI 22-10 GB — Philadelphia Eagles beat Green Bay Packers 22-10 in the NFC Wild Card game; Eagles' margin of +12 covers the -4.5 spread (CBS Sports box score).
“I agree, and that's why I think the Chargers are going to win 17-14 and thus cover the two-and-a-half.”
HOU 32-12 LAC — Houston Texans beat Los Angeles Chargers 32-12 in the AFC Wild Card game; Chargers' margin of -20 fails to cover the +2.5 spread (CBS Sports box score).
“This is going to be an under 46.5.”
27-24 — Notre Dame beat Penn State 27-24 in the Orange Bowl; combined 51 points goes over the 46.5 total.
“So Minnesota in the first half to go over 13.5 points.”
31-9 — Minnesota scored 6 points in the first half, under the 13.5-point line, so the over lost (ESPN box score). (Minnesota first-half points: 6)
“I'd lay the six with the Buckeyes.”
28-14 — Ohio State beat Texas 28-14 in the Cotton Bowl; the 14-point margin clears the -6 spread.
“Notre Dame minus the one and a half.”
27-24 — Notre Dame beat Penn State 27-24 in the Orange Bowl; the 3-point margin clears the -1.5 spread.
“Justin Jefferson, his number Sunday night in Detroit. 89 and a half receiving yards. You're going more or less? I'm going more.”
31-9 — Justin Jefferson caught for 54 receiving yards in Minnesota's 31-9 Week 18 loss to Detroit, well under the 89.5 line. (Justin Jefferson: 54 receiving yards)
“Again, the Lions are a two-and-a-half point favorite. What do you say? I like Minnesota plus the points.”
31-9 — Minnesota lost to Detroit 31-9 in Week 18, a 22-point margin that fails to cover the +2.5 spread.
“Pittsburgh plus two and a half.”
17-19 — Pittsburgh lost to Cincinnati 19-17 in Week 18, a 2-point margin that covers the +2.5 spread.
“Dan, we'll start with you. The total is 56.5 points. Are you going more or less? I'm going more. This is two of the hottest offenses in the NFL, two of the hottest quarterbacks in the NFL.”
31-9 — Lions beat Vikings 31-9 in Week 18; combined 40 points falls short of the 56.5 total.
“Harry, the total passing number for Jared Goff is 274.5. We go more or less? I'm going more because, number one, it has to be. When you have the deficiencies that you have defensively, that means you have to put up numbers. you have to put up points.”
31-9 — Jared Goff threw for 231 passing yards in Detroit's 31-9 Week 18 win over Minnesota, under the 274.5 line. (Jared Goff: 231 passing yards)
“And then how about the other side, Danny? Sam Darnold, same number, 274.5. More. I mean, this Lions defense in the last five or six weeks is one of the, if not the worst defenses in the NFL.”
31-9 — Sam Darnold threw for 166 passing yards in Minnesota's 31-9 Week 18 loss to Detroit, well under the 274.5 line. (Sam Darnold: 166 passing yards)
“this morning. So Paul, let me start with you. Quinn Ewers, quarterback Texas today. The number is 249 and a half passing yards against Arizona State. Are you going more or less? Greeny, I'm going less because I think Texas to win this game needs balance. They don't need Quinn Ewers being Superman. He's had a very unusual season where he's just been on fire, and then other times he cools off. So I think he'll come close to that number, but give me less.”
39-31 — Quinn Ewers threw for 322 passing yards (20-30) as Texas beat Arizona State 39-31 in 2OT; well over the 249.5 line, so the under busts. (Quinn Ewers: 322 passing yards)
“Paul, let's go to Ohio State and Oregon. The total we have is 55.5 total points. Are you going more or less in the Rose Bowl? I'm going more because, I mean, we have two of the most explosive teams in the country, arguably the two most talented teams in the country. And Greeny, I think they're going to light up the scoreboard at the old Rose Bowl where”
41-21 — Ohio State beat Oregon 41-21 in the Rose Bowl; combined 62 points clears the 55.5 total.
“And then finally, Paul, the number is 79.5 rushing yards for Trevor Etienne for Georgia against Notre Dame. Remember, they're playing with a backup quarterback. Georgia is. You go more or less? More.”
23-10 — Trevor Etienne rushed 11 times for 38 yards in Georgia's 23-10 Sugar Bowl loss to Notre Dame, well under the 79.5-yard line. (Trevor Etienne: 38 rushing yards)
“We need any three of Kittle, St. Brown, Laporta, or Debo to score a touchdown.”
DET 40-34 SF — In the Lions' 40-34 win over the 49ers on Dec 30, 2024, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, and Deebo Samuel all scored touchdowns (Kittle did not), so 3 of the 4 named players scored, hitting the 'any 3 of 4' parlay (ESPN play-by-play). (TD scorers among the four: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, Deebo Samuel (3 of 4); George Kittle did not score)
“Denver plus three and a half is the bet for a couple key reasons.”
CIN 30-24 DEN (OT) — The Broncos lost 30-24 in overtime to the Bengals on Dec 28, 2024, a 6-point margin that busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“You want a bonus pick Bo Nix over 224 passing yards He should feast against this defense”
CIN 30-24 DEN (OT) — Bo Nix threw for 219 passing yards (24/31) in the Broncos' loss to the Bengals on Dec 28, 2024, falling short of the 224 line (ESPN box score). (Bo Nix: 24/31, 219 passing yards)
“Bart Scott, Josh Allen, we were just talking about him. Two and a half total touchdowns against the Jets this weekend. You going with more or less? I think I went with less, but I'm not sure. You did. What did the graphics say? Okay, yes, less.”
BUF 40-14 NYJ — Josh Allen scored 3 total touchdowns (2 passing, 1 rushing) in the Bills' 40-14 win over the Jets on Dec 29, 2024, exceeding the 2.5 under line (NFL.com recap). (Josh Allen: 2 passing TD, 1 rushing TD (3 total))
“R.C. Joe Burrow, 274 and a half passing yards against the Denver Broncos. More or less? You know, I'm going more.”
CIN 30-24 DEN (OT) — Joe Burrow threw for 412 passing yards in the Bengals' 30-24 overtime win over the Broncos on Dec 28, 2024, clearing the 274.5 line (ESPN box score). (Joe Burrow: 39/49, 412 passing yards)
“Mike Tannenbaum, Saquon Barkley against Dallas this week. 133.5 rushing yards. Are you going more or less? We're going to go more.”
PHI 41-7 DAL — Saquon Barkley rushed for 167 yards in the Eagles' 41-7 win over the Cowboys on Dec 29, 2024, clearing the 133.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 167 rushing yards)
“We'll go ahead and take the nine and a half for the Jets.”
BUF 40-14 NYJ — The Jets lost 40-14 to the Bills on Dec 29, 2024, a 26-point margin that busts the +9.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Packers as the favorite, minus 3.5, plus 150.”
MIN 27-25 GB — The Packers lost 27-25 to the Vikings on Dec 29, 2024, a 2-point margin that busts the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“I'll take the three and a half with Denver in this matchup.”
CIN 30-24 DEN (OT) — The Broncos lost 30-24 in overtime to the Bengals on Dec 28, 2024, a 6-point margin that busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“We're betting Colorado to lead at the half, but we're betting BYU to win the full game. Pays 8-1, Graz. $10 bet returns 80 in profit.”
BYU 36-14 Colorado — BYU led 20-0 at halftime (Colorado did not lead) and won the Alamo Bowl 36-14 on Dec 28, 2024; the Colorado-to-lead-at-half leg failed (ESPN recap). (Halftime: BYU 20, Colorado 0)
“We'll play Miami in the first half, minus 2.5 points.”
Miami led Iowa State 31-28 at halftime of the Pop-Tarts Bowl on Dec 28, 2024, a 3-point margin that covers -2.5 for the first-half bet (Miami later lost the full game 42-41, ESPN box score). (Halftime: Miami 31, Iowa State 28)
“But ESPN Bet has a special bet up right now. Will Cam Ward throw at least one touchdown pass in the first quarter, plus 150? I think they come out slinging in this game. So Miami in the first half, Ward to throw a TD in the first quarter. We cash both those, and then it doesn't matter what happens.”
Cam Ward threw a 4-yard touchdown pass to Jacolby George at 4:12 of the first quarter of the Pop-Tarts Bowl on Dec 28, 2024 (ESPN play-by-play). (Cam Ward 4-yd TD pass to Jacolby George, 1st quarter (4:12))
“Bart, Saquon Barkley, rushing yards this week against the Cowboys. The number is 133.5. Are you saying he gets more or less? I'm going more.”
PHI 41-7 DAL — Saquon Barkley rushed for 167 yards in the Eagles' 41-7 win over the Cowboys on Dec 29, 2024, clearing the 133.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 167 rushing yards)
“Packers, Vikings, Justin Jefferson, Minnesota's star wide receiver. The number on his receiving yards is 99.5, Bart, more or less. I'm going to go less because I think he's going to get all of the attention, which is going to allow Jordan Addison to eat.”
MIN 27-25 GB — Justin Jefferson caught 8 passes for 92 receiving yards in the Vikings' 27-25 win over the Packers on Dec 29, 2024, staying under the 99.5 line (ESPN box score). (Justin Jefferson: 92 receiving yards)
“Joe Burrow passing touchdowns against the Broncos, two and a half more or less. More, more, more.”
CIN 30-24 DEN (OT) — Joe Burrow threw 3 passing touchdowns (412 yards) in the Bengals' 30-24 overtime win over the Broncos on Dec 28, 2024, clearing the 2.5 line (ESPN box score). (Joe Burrow: 39/49, 412 yds, 3 pass TD)
“showdown. Jeff, 249 and a half passing yards for C.J. Stroud, more or less. I'm going to go less”
HOU 2, BAL 31 — C.J. Stroud threw for just 185 yards (17/31, 0 TD, 1 INT) in the Christmas Day loss to Baltimore, under the 249.5 line (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 185 passing yards (17/31, 0 TD, 1 INT))
“C.J.'s number down just a hair. Okay, Mike T., how about 89 and a half rushing yards for Derek Henry, more or less. Brian, I'm going to go way more, and here's why.”
HOU 2, BAL 31 — Derrick Henry ran for 147 yards on 27 carries with a touchdown on Christmas Day vs Houston, over the 89.5 line (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 147 rushing yards (27 car), 1 TD)
“Jeff, back to the air. 263 and a half total yards for Lamar Jackson, you think, more or less. I'm going One more here. I'm going to go the opposite of my team. I think that the Texans are going to have to just sell out to stop the run to make sure this two-headed monster of Henry and Lamar can't beat them. Make Lamar beat them and that offense try to be explosive. I'm going more for Lamar.”
HOU 2, BAL 31 — Lamar Jackson totaled 255 yards (168 passing on 10/15 with 2 TD, plus 87 rushing with 1 TD) on Christmas Day vs Houston, under the 263.5 line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 168 passing yds (10/15, 2 TD) + 87 rushing yds (1 TD) = 255 total)
“So, Jeff, 271.5 passing yards for Patrick Mahomes. Are we talking more or are we talking less? I'm going less here.”
KC 29, PIT 10 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 320 yards (29/38, 3 TD) on Christmas Day vs Pittsburgh, over the 271.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 320 passing yards (29/38, 3 TD))
“Mike T, will the Steelers' defense have more or less than three and a half sacks? I'm going more.”
KC 29, PIT 10 — Pittsburgh's defense recorded 0 sacks of Patrick Mahomes on Christmas Day, under the 3.5 line (ESPN box score). (Pittsburgh: 0 sacks of Patrick Mahomes)
“One and a half passing touchdowns for Russell Wilson, more or less. I was going to go less, but then I heard Mike T. talk bad about Russell Wilson, and then Chris Jones decided he's not going to be able to go. I'm going more.”
KC 29, PIT 10 — Russell Wilson threw for 205 yards (23/37) with 0 passing touchdowns and 1 INT on Christmas Day vs Kansas City (he added 1 rushing TD, which doesn't count for a passing-TD prop), under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Russell Wilson: 23/37, 205 yds, 0 passing TD, 1 INT (1 rushing TD))
“So let's go under 44.5 total points.”
BAL 34, PIT 17 — Baltimore beat Pittsburgh 34-17 (combined 51 points) on Dec 21, 2024, busting the Under 44.5 total (ESPN box score).
“Under 46.5 is the play.”
OSU 42, TENN 17 — Ohio State routed Tennessee 42-17 (combined 59 points) in the CFP first round on Dec 21, 2024, busting the Under 46.5 total (ESPN).
“Philadelphia covers the three and a half.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Washington beat Philadelphia 36-33 on Dec 22, 2024; the Eagles lost outright, busting the -3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“The Chiefs are 20th in first quarter scoring. How are you going to cover two and a half points in the opening 30 minutes if you start slow? We like the Texans in the first half.”
KC 17, HOU 10 (1st half) — Kansas City led Houston 17-10 at halftime on Dec 21, 2024 (Texans margin -7), busting Texans first-half +2.5 (ESPN box score).
“and it pointed to the Jets plus the three. so we're going to play the Jets in this situation.”
NYJ 9, LAR 19 — The Rams beat the Jets 19-9 on Dec 22, 2024 (Jets margin -10), busting Jets +3 (ESPN box score).
“Graziano, C.J. Stroud tomorrow against Kansas City. More or less one and a half touchdowns. Last fewer, in fact, if we're being accurate about the English language. But, yeah, look, the Chiefs know they're going to have to win this one with defense. They're going to be able to cut off Houston's run game. The pressure they can put on C.J. Stroud, I think this low scoring game, I would go under on the 1.5.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — C.J. Stroud threw for 244 yards with 2 touchdowns (and 2 INTs) in the Dec 21, 2024 loss to Kansas City, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 244 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT)
“Let's stay on that game. Mike T., Patrick Mahomes, his total passing yards is 224.5. Which way do we go? Way fewer.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 260 yards vs Houston on Dec 21, 2024, over the 224.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 260 passing yards)
“Bart, Texans, two and a half total sacks of Mr. Mahomes, more or less. We just heard Uncle TB talk about the lethal pass with the 0-100, 12 and a half sacks, Will Anderson, 10 and a half. They get to the quarterback. With that being said, last week they didn't give up any sacks to Miles Garrett. Maybe the eye gouge is a plan that Tooney should use going forward at left tackle. But I think this is going to be a low-scoring game as well. But I think they can get to Patrick Holmes a couple of times last week, only 4.2 yards per pass attempt. Well, let's put numbers to that, okay?”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Houston's defense recorded 1 sack of Patrick Mahomes on Dec 21, 2024, under the 2.5 line (ESPN box score). (Houston: 1 sack of Patrick Mahomes)
“Who set these lines for us, Harry, two and a half total touchdowns for Jalen Hurts against Washington. You're going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more. We do know when the ball gets inside, like the two yard line and in, he's going to run the tush push.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Jalen Hurts left early with a concussion, finishing 1/4 passing for 11 yards and 3 carries for 41 yards with zero touchdowns of either kind, under the 2.5 total-TD line (ESPN box score; CBS Sports recap). (Jalen Hurts: 1/4 passing, 11 yds, 0 TD; 3 car, 41 yds, 0 TD (exited with concussion))
“J-Mac, let's go two and a half sacks for the Eagles defense against Jaden Daniels. Are you going more or less? I'm going less on this one.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Philadelphia's defense recorded 1 sack of Jayden Daniels (Washington's team sack total was 1-3) in the Dec 22, 2024 game, under the 2.5 line. (1 sack of Jayden Daniels (1-3))
“99 and a half rushing yards is the total for Saquon against Washington. You go more or less? More.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Saquon Barkley ran for 150 yards on 29 carries with 2 touchdowns vs Washington on Dec 22, 2024, over the 99.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 150 rushing yards (29 car), 2 TD)
“Seattle comes away as the biggest loser from last night's game. At a price of plus 105 to miss the playoffs, that's the bet to make today.”
Seattle finished the 2024 season 10-7 and missed the playoffs, losing the NFC West to the Rams on a tiebreaker. (10-7, missed playoffs)
“against man coverage than A.J. Brown. It's a great matchup. It's a great price. We're going to go over 79.5 receiving yards.”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — A.J. Brown caught 8 passes for 110 receiving yards as the Eagles beat the Steelers 27-13, clearing his 79.5 yard over. (A.J. Brown: 110 receiving yards)
“Meanwhile, it is time now for my seeing green parlay on ESPN bet right now. I taking the Eagles the Lions the Bills and the Cardinals to all score at least three touchdowns in their game I thinking fireworks for week 15 And if we get them, look at the boost. Boost it, baby. We have boosted this to plus 450.”
All four legs hit: Eagles scored 3 TDs (beat Steelers 27-13), Bills scored 6 TDs and Lions scored 6 TDs (Bills won 48-42), and Cardinals scored 3 TDs (beat Patriots 30-17). (Eagles 3 TD; Bills 6 TD; Lions 6 TD; Cardinals 3 TD)
“best bet Steelers Eagles Joe Rock fight under 43 and a half points”
PHI 27, PIT 13 — Eagles beat Steelers 27-13; the combined 40 points cleared the under 43.5.
“They focus on Josh Allen's rushing prop over 39 and a half yards.”
BUF 48, DET 42 — Josh Allen rushed for 68 yards (11 carries) in the Bills' 48-42 win over the Lions, clearing his 39.5 yard over. (Josh Allen: 68 rushing yards)
“We're going to play the Panthers minus the three.”
DAL 30, CAR 14 — Cowboys beat Panthers 30-14; Carolina's -16 margin as favorite failed to cover Panthers -3.
“Total's 39-and-a-half. You've got to be a sadist to bet the over in these games. Call me a sadist. I'll bet the over in this game.”
NAVY 31, ARMY 13 — Navy beat Army 31-13; the combined 44 points cleared the 39.5 total.
“We're going to buy on the Lions here. 14.5 is the win total. We're going to play the over.”
Detroit Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 14.5 over win total. (15-2 regular season record)
“I would lay the 2.5 for the Lions over the Bills.”
BUF 48, DET 42 — Bills beat Lions 48-42; Detroit's -6 margin as favorite failed to cover Lions -2.5.
“Who will finish with more rushing yards this season Saquon Barkley or the New York Giants as a team That is a prop bet that is available right now I can't imagine being John Mara and seeing that bet. It's such a slap in the face, is it not? Thing is, when you handicap this, the Giants are a small underdog to win this bet, minus 105. I would take the Giants.”
Saquon Barkley rushed for 2,005 yards with the Eagles in the 2024 regular season, far more than the Giants' team total of 1,783 rushing yards, so the Giants did not out-rush him. (Barkley (Eagles): 2,005 rush yds vs Giants (team): 1,783 rush yds)
“I think this is the buy low spot on Kansas City at a price of minus four.”
KC 19, LAC 17 — Chiefs beat Chargers 19-17 on a late field goal; KC's +2 margin fell short of the -4 spread.
“I'd start by laying the two and a half with Texas.”
UGA 22, TEX 19 — Georgia beat Texas 22-19 in overtime in the SEC Championship; Texas's -3 margin (loss) failed to cover -2.5.
“I'd also go over 49.5.”
UGA 22, TEX 19 — Georgia beat Texas 22-19 in the SEC Championship; the combined 41 points fell under the 49.5 total.
“I'm going to play Oregon minus the 3.5.”
ORE 45, PSU 37 — Oregon beat Penn State 45-37 in the Big Ten Championship; Oregon's +8 margin covered -3.5.
“Orlovsky, I'm coming to you. Jameer Gibbs tonight, total yards from skimmage, rushing plus receiving 90.5. Which way do we go? I'm going to go less.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 73 scrimmage yards (15 car, 43 rush yds; 6 rec, 30 rec yds) in Detroit's 34-31 walk-off win over Green Bay, under the 90.5 line. (Jahmyr Gibbs: 15 car, 43 rush yds; 6 rec, 30 rec yds (73 total))
“J-Mac, let's talk about Jared Goff. His number is 249.5 passing yards. We go more or less? I'm going to go more on this one.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Jared Goff threw for 283 yards (32/41) in Detroit's 34-31 walk-off win over Green Bay, over the 249.5 line. (Jared Goff: 283 passing yards)
“Harry, let's talk about Jordan Love. His total of two and a half total touchdowns. So that will be passing plus rushing. You're going more or less? I'm going to go less.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Jordan Love threw just 1 passing touchdown (12/20) and had no rushing touchdowns in the Thursday Night loss to Detroit, well under the 2.5 total-TD line. (Jordan Love: 1 passing TD, 0 rushing TD)
“Mike T., Patrick Mahomes, 249.5 total passing yards, more or less. I'm going to go less.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 306 yards (26/46, 1 TD) in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders, over the 249.5 line. (Patrick Mahomes: 306 passing yards)
“Let's go to Bart now. Travis, Kelsey, 59 1⁄2 total receiving yards, more or less? Well, to piggyback off of Mike Tannenbaum, because Pacheco is back means it's going to be a heavier box, which lends to play action pass, and Kelsey's better than most tight ends in the history of the game. So he's going to get that yak, especially if his bull is in the building. Okay, our CDU now, Brock Bowers, 59.5 total receiving yards for him. Same number as Travis Kelsey, more or less? He's going to go more. Last week wasn't a great week for Brock Bowers, but to me he's the number one pass-catching tight end in all of football. He's one person that doesn't care whether or not his bull is there. I saw this man in the offseason at a party with a team-issued Raiders shirt and Raiders shoes and coaching pants. This is a man that's only focused on playing football and being great and against that one-on-one man-to-man coverage on third down, I expect to meet. Okay, I like that one too. So more for Brock Bowers, less on the other two props that we just gave you.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Travis Kelce caught 7 passes for 68 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders, over the 59.5 line. (Travis Kelce: 68 receiving yards)
“Okay, our CDU now, Brock Bowers, 59.5 total receiving yards for him. Same number as Travis Kelsey, more or less? He's going to go more.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Brock Bowers caught 10 passes for 140 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Raiders, over the 59.5 line. (Brock Bowers: 140 receiving yards)
“Jordan Love, interceptions 0.5 more or less? I'm going to say less, but I'll be honest,”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Jordan Love threw 0 interceptions (21/28, 274 yds, 2 TD) in the Packers' 30-17 Thanksgiving win over the Dolphins; Under 0.5 interceptions covers. (Jordan Love: 0 INT (21/28, 274 yds, 2 TD))
“Okay, Harry, let's talk Tyreek Hill. receiving yards 59 and a half, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Tyreek Hill caught 6 passes for 83 receiving yards in the Packers' 30-17 Thanksgiving win over the Dolphins, over the 59.5 line. (Tyreek Hill: 83 receiving yards)
“Okay, Damian, let's talk Tua Tagovailoa. Passing TDs, one and a half, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Tua Tagovailoa threw 2 passing touchdowns (37/46, 365 yds) in the Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, over the 1.5 line. (Tua Tagovailoa: 2 passing TD)
“Their updated season win total is now 10.5. This is a bet where you can wager over or under 10.5 wins. I'd go under.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, under the 10.5 season win total. (10-7 regular season record)
“Let me go back to Joe Fortenbaugh. Joe with his best bets of the week. Eagles, Rams, what are you looking at in that game, Joe? First half in this game, the total is 23 and a half. We're going to bet the under.”
Halftime: PHI 13, LAR 7 (Final: PHI 37, LAR 20) — Eagles led Rams 13-7 at halftime (combined 20 points), under the first-half total of 23.5, in Philadelphia's eventual 37-20 win (ESPN box score).
“Cincinnati is a favorite over Pittsburgh minus one and a half I make that bet on Cincinnati”
PIT 44, CIN 38 — Pittsburgh Steelers beat Cincinnati Bengals 44-38; Bengals -1.5 busts.
“we take San Francisco plus the three here I think it a good buy low spot on the Niners”
GB 38, SF 10 — Green Bay Packers beat San Francisco 49ers 38-10; 49ers +3 busts.
“We'll take Kansas plus the three. It's a great”
KU 37, COLO 21 — Kansas beat Colorado 37-21 outright; Kansas +3 covers.
“We'll lay the two touchdowns with Notre Dame. Bigger, stronger, faster.”
ND 49, ARMY 14 — Notre Dame beat Army 49-14 at Yankee Stadium, a 35-point margin; Notre Dame -14 covers.
“I'm going to play under 52 and a half points.”
OSU 38, IU 15 — Ohio State beat Indiana 38-15, a combined 53 points; Under 52.5 busts.
“Everyone will focus on Steph Curry's points prop. That's what's popular. The edge is to be found elsewhere. Let's go rebounds over four and a half, a relatively cheap price”
GS 112, NO 108 — Steph Curry had 7 rebounds in the Warriors' 112-108 NBA Cup win over the Pelicans, over the 4.5 line. (Stephen Curry: 7 rebounds)
“Russell Wilson passing touchdowns tonight. One and a half. More or less? I think less.”
Russell Wilson threw 1 passing touchdown (21/28, 270 yds) in the Steelers' 24-19 loss to the Browns on TNF, staying under the 1.5 line (ESPN game recap). (21/28, 270 yds, 1 pass TD)
“Harry, let's talk about Jalen Hurts passing touchdowns. Also one and a half is the number. Are you going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more.”
Jalen Hurts threw 179 yards and 1 passing touchdown in the Eagles' 37-20 win over the Rams, missing the over-1.5 line (ESPN final score/recap). (179 yds, 1 pass TD)
“All right and then J we going the other way on Jordan Love He has been reckless this year The total is .5 interceptions, meaning will he throw an interception or not, more or less? I'm going less on this one.”
Jordan Love threw 0 interceptions (13/23, 163 yds, 2 TD) in the Packers' 38-10 win over the 49ers, his first pick-free game of the season, so the under-0.5-interceptions side won (ESPN). (13/23, 163 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT)
“I like the Chiefs. I would take the points. Don't tell the misses. I married in the Bills Mafia, so this could be very problematic for me. Now, what you're going to hear about from everyone regarding the Chiefs, Patrick Mahomes as an underdog, 12-1-1 against the spread in his career. Fantastic mark. I believe he's won 11 of those outright. You can see it right there. This comes down to pricing. You and I have talked about this before. I want you to go back to last year's Super Bowl. Chiefs are the underdog to the 49ers by two. What's the spread here? Chiefs is a dog by two. Do we compare that Buffalo team to that Niners team? Because this Buffalo team, as you were just talking about, Dalton Kincaid's banged up. Amari Cooper's banged up. No key on Coleman. People riding high on Buffalo right now. Five straight wins. Those opponents, 16 and 31. Not one of them has a winning record. I think it's a sell high on Buffalo. I would play the Chiefs plus the two.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Bills beat Chiefs 30-21; Chiefs (+2) lost outright and failed to cover (ESPN box score).
“Over 10.5 wins on the season. They currently sit 7-4.”
The Washington Commanders finished the 2024 regular season 12-5, clearing the over 10.5 season win total. (12-5 final regular season record)
“What is your best bet, Chiefs Bill Sunday? Isolate the second half here. Chiefs plus one and a half.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Bills beat Chiefs 30-21; Chiefs second-half spread of +1.5 also busted since Chiefs lost the game outright by 9 (ESPN box score).
“What your best bet Bulldogs Anything short of 10 which is a key number Right now we see 9”
UGA 31, TENN 17 — Georgia beat Tennessee 31-17, a 14-point margin, covering as favorites laying under the 9-point key number (ESPN final score).
“What is your best bet? Over five and a half rounds.”
Jake Paul defeated Mike Tyson by unanimous decision after the fight went the full scheduled 8 rounds, clearing the over-5.5-rounds line (Wikipedia fight record; scores 80-72, 79-73, 79-73). (Went the full 8 rounds (scores 80-72, 79-73, 79-73))
“Let's play Jones to win it in the third round. It pays out 6-1.”
Jon Jones defeated Stipe Miocic by TKO (spinning back kick and follow-up punches) at 4:29 of Round 3 at UFC 309, matching the 3rd-round-finish selection (ESPN). (TKO, Round 3, 4:29)
“The number on Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns is one and a half. You going more or less? I'm going less.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing touchdowns (23/33, 196 yards) in Buffalo's 30-21 win over Kansas City, exceeding the under-1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 23/33, 196 yds, 3 pass TD)
“Jay Mack, you told us that Travis Kelsey always plays well against Buffalo. His number is six and a half receptions. You go more or less? I'm going more on this one.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Travis Kelce caught 2 passes for 8 yards in Kansas City's 30-21 loss to Buffalo, missing the over-6.5 reception line (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 2 receptions)
“Josh Allen, his number on passing yards is 224-1⁄2. You go more or less? Yeah, I think in order for the Buffalo Bills to win this football game, it has to be more.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Josh Allen passed for 262 yards (27/40) in Buffalo's 30-21 win over Kansas City, clearing the 224.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 27/40, 262 pass yds)
“Let's start with the Bills and the Chiefs. I'm giving the points. We made our picks earlier today. I like the Bills minus the two in this game.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Buffalo beat Kansas City 30-21, covering the -2 spread by a 9-point margin (ESPN box score).
“I'm giving the points in the matchup between the Ravens and the Steelers as well. Baltimore minus three.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 18-16 on Nov. 17, 2024; the Ravens lost outright, missing the -3 spread (ESPN box score).
“and to begin it, I'm going to give a special edition of Seeing Green. So it's starting to feel like the holiday season, right? So I am in a giving mood. So as we pick the three monster games of the weekend against the spread, courtesy of our friends at ESPN Bet, I am giving and I'm giving and I'm giving some more. Let's start with the Bills and the Chiefs. I'm giving the points. We made our picks earlier today. I like the Bills minus the two in this game. I just feel like if you're going to find a spot where Kansas City is finally going to lose, they're not going to go 17-0, and I don't think they're going to get to 15 or 16 either. This feels like a logical place for it. Bills are hot. Allen plays well against this team. I like the Bills at home giving the two points. I'm giving the points in the matchup between the Ravens and the Steelers as well. Baltimore minus three. Listen, Mike Tomlin is the coach of the year for what he has done. But this is a step up in class. The schedule is going an entirely different direction now for the Steelers. The Ravens are by far the best team they've played. Their defense, I think, isn't enough to handle Baltimore here. I like the Ravens on a long week giving the three points. And then I'm giving the points tonight with the Eagles as well. Same idea. The Commanders, they've had an unbelievable season. and maybe a little bit of a mini buy here and another buy for Jaden Daniels will help him get a little energy back as the season goes on But he looks like he hitting a little bit of a rookie wall His rookie wall is still better than 99 of the rookies in history But I like the Eagles in this spot tonight a lot So I'm giving, I'm giving, and I'm giving some more. If you like those picks, go to ESPN Bet. We have a special seeing green parlay. The odds, if you're willing to give the points on the three big games, have been boosted up to plus 575. We even gave you a better number for a couple of the spreads. So go to ESPN Bet. Download the ESPN Bet app right now. My parlay is called Seeing Green.”
Parlay busts: Bills -2 covered (BUF 30, KC 21); Ravens -3 missed outright, losing 18-16 to Pittsburgh; Eagles -4 covered (PHI 26, WAS 18); the parlay already failed on the Ravens leg regardless of the Eagles result (ESPN box scores).
“Bart, Jayden Daniels passing touchdowns one and a half more or less. Yeah, you know, I don't remember what I said, but I'm going to go more because I'm in the moment right now.”
PIT 28, WAS 27 — Jayden Daniels went 17/34 for 202 yards with 0 passing touchdowns in Washington's 28-27 loss to Pittsburgh, missing the over-1.5 TD line (ESPN box score). (Jayden Daniels: 17/34, 202 yds, 0 pass TD)
“Mike T, Russell Wilson total passing plus rushing yards 236.5 more or less. Kevin, it has to be more.”
PIT 28, WAS 27 — Russell Wilson passed for 195 yards and rushed for 3 yards (198 total) in Pittsburgh's 28-27 win over Washington, well under the 236.5 line (ESPN box score). (Russell Wilson: 14/28, 195 pass yds + 3 rush yds = 198 total yds)
“RC T.J. Watt sacks one and a half more or less In honor of Dan I going to say fewer”
PIT 28, WAS 27 — T.J. Watt recorded 1 sack in Pittsburgh's 28-27 win over Washington, staying under the 1.5-sack line (ESPN box score). (T.J. Watt: 1 sack)
“All right, you mentioned the Bears. Give me a long-term play right now on the Chicago Bears. Their current win total in Vegas is 7.5. This is a bet where you bet over 7.5 wins if you think they win 8 or more, or you go under if you think they win 7 or fewer. I would go under 7.5 wins.”
The Chicago Bears finished the 2024 season 5-12, staying under the 7.5 projected win total. (5-12 final record)
“What are you playing here in Bama LSU primetime on ABC Saturday night? I like LSU, but I got to get the three, okay?”
ALA 42, LSU 13 — Alabama beat LSU 42-13 on Nov. 9, 2024; LSU lost by 29 points, well outside the +3 line (ESPN).
“His rushing prop is 44.5 yards. I think that number is wrong. His average rushing total this year is 47 yards per game. That average is factored heavily into this prop. What's not factored heavily enough is the opponent. Last year against LSU, he rushed for 155 yards and four touchdowns. Now, LSU changed up their defense. They brought in a new coordinator, but they still struggle to defend opposing quarterbacks who can run. Two weeks ago against A&M, Marcel Reed ran for over 60 yards. Now, maybe LSU cleans up that problem, and if we do, then we end up winning the LSU bet. But I can see Jalen Milrow getting to 50 yards in this game, so I'd go over on that prop.”
ALA 42, LSU 13 — Jalen Milroe rushed for 185 yards on four touchdown runs in Alabama's 42-13 win over LSU, clearing the 44.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Milroe: 185 rushing yards)
“Bengals Ravens J Derrick Henry More or less 89 rushing yards I am going less for this Cincinnati Bengals defense.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Derrick Henry rushed for 68 yards on 16 carries in Baltimore's 35-34 win over Cincinnati, staying under the 89.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 68 rushing yards on 16 carries)
“Joe Burrow, more or less, three passing touchdowns. As much as I love Joe Burrow, I'm going with less in this scenario because T. Higgins is doubtful.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Joe Burrow threw 4 passing touchdowns (34/56, 428 yards) in Baltimore's 35-34 win over Cincinnati, exceeding the under-3 TD line (ESPN box score). (Joe Burrow: 34/56, 428 yds, 4 pass TD)
“And then Dan Lamar, more or less, three and a half total touchdowns. I immediately dislike Harry this morning because of his answer. I'm going more. This Cincinnati defense has struggled with basically everything. I think tonight's winner is the first one to get to 40. I think the Baltimore Ravens will offensively get close to that, mainly because of the guy who's the leading MVP candidate, Lamar Jackson, through the air, through the ground.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Lamar Jackson threw 4 passing touchdowns (25/33, 290 yards) with no rushing touchdowns in Baltimore's 35-34 win over Cincinnati, clearing the 3.5 total-touchdown line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 4 pass TD, 0 rush TD (4 total TD))
“What's your best bet on Dak Prescott? Under 24.5 completions. He's averaging 23.8 on the season.”
Atlanta 27, Dallas 21 — Dak Prescott completed 18 of 24 passes in Dallas's 27-21 loss to Atlanta, staying under the 24.5 completions line (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 18/24, 133 yds, 1 TD)
“what's your best bet on Kirk Cousins? Under one and a half rushing attempts.”
Atlanta 27, Dallas 21 — Kirk Cousins had 4 rushing attempts for Atlanta against Dallas, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Kirk Cousins: 4 car, -11 rush yds)
“All right, I see a path to Dallas winning this game, And on top of that if they are winning or if they have the ball late Cousins isn going to be on the field kneeling the ball out So let go under one and a half rushing attempts for Kirk Cousins All right you said you see a path for Dallas winning What is your best bet on the point spread I do I take them plus the three and a half I”
Atlanta 27, Dallas 21 — Atlanta beat Dallas 27-21; the Cowboys' 6-point loss busts the +3.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Harry, I'll start with you. The number is 69.5 rushing yards for Bijan against Dallas. We're going more or less? I'm going more.”
Atlanta 27, Dallas 21 — Bijan Robinson rushed for 86 yards in Atlanta's 27-21 win over Dallas, over the 69.5 line (ESPN box score). (Bijan Robinson: 19 car, 86 rush yds)
“Arlovsky, next. One and a half touchdown passes is the number for Jayden Daniels against the Giants. You're going more or less? Yeah, every time I hear more or less, I think of that song like, whoa, more or less, I ripped the... Sorry. Okay, Dan. I'm going to say more.”
Washington 27, New York 22 — Jayden Daniels threw 2 passing touchdowns in Washington's 27-22 win over the Giants, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jayden Daniels: 15/22, 209 yds, 2 pass TD)
“Jay Mack, one and a half touchdown passes is the number for Jalen Hurts against Jacksonville. Again, passes, not total touchdowns. You go more or less? I'm going more.”
Philadelphia 28, Jacksonville 23 — Jalen Hurts threw 2 passing touchdowns in Philadelphia's 28-23 win over Jacksonville, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 18/24, 230 yds, 2 pass TD)
“LSU and Texas A&M, what is your favorite bet in that game? I agree with Feinbaum. I play LSU. We saw an onslaught of Tigers money on Thursday that drove this price from LSU plus 3.5 down to LSU plus 1. Why? Three key reasons. Number one, quarterback play. Garrett Nussmeyer against Texas A&M's cover three should be able to move the ball down the field. Number two, LSU's defense has been steadily improving throughout the course of the year. gave up only 26 to Ole Miss with an overtime frame a few weeks ago. And number three, LSU's rushing attack. They finally got Caden Durham going. That's been big for them to give some balance to Nussmeyer. So we like the LSU money line.”
Texas A&M 38, LSU 23 — Texas A&M beat LSU 38-23; LSU moneyline busts (ESPN).
“Missouri-Bama, what do you like there? Under 51.5 total points.”
Alabama 34, Missouri 0 — Alabama shut out Missouri 34-0, combined 34 points, under 51.5 covers (ESPN).
“Texas Vandy, best bet. Give me Vanderbilt plus the points, 18.5.”
Texas 27, Vanderbilt 24 — Texas beat Vanderbilt 27-24; Vanderbilt's 3-point margin covers the +18.5 line (ESPN).
“RC, if I were to put the number at one and a half, [26:35] touchdown passes for Burrow against the Eagles. [26:38] You go More or Less? [26:39] I'm going More.”
Philadelphia 37, Cincinnati 17 — Joe Burrow threw 1 passing touchdown in the Eagles' 37-17 win over the Bengals, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Joe Burrow: 1 passing TD)
“Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts didn't do a whole lot last week as it was the Saquon Barkley show. So, Graz, if I put the number at 255.5 total yards for the Eagles quarterback, you go more or less? I go fewer. If it has to be to fit the game. But, yeah, I think they're going to try and get Saquon Barkley going right away. I think that's going to be their plan. I think that the Bengals have a plan for trying to stop it. And Jalen Hurts I think something coming but he not all the way there yet with the Eagles passing game Still working through some things I think this goes under”
Philadelphia 37, Cincinnati 17 — Jalen Hurts passed for 236 yards and rushed for 37 (273 total) in Philadelphia's 37-17 win over Cincinnati, over the 255.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 236 pass yds, 37 rush yds, 273 total)
“And Jalen Hurts I think something coming but he not all the way there yet with the Eagles passing game Still working through some things I think this goes under All right and then Teddy let go to Saquon Barkley Of course had the huge week last week The number is 99.5 scrimmage yards, so receiving and rushing for Saquon. You go more or less? I'm going to go more here, and, of course, they're going to try to establish him on the ground.”
Philadelphia 37, Cincinnati 17 — Saquon Barkley had 108 rushing yards and 3 receiving yards (111 scrimmage yards) in Philadelphia's 37-17 win over Cincinnati, over the 99.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 108 rush yds, 3 rec yds, 111 total scrimmage yards)
“I like Cincinnati Greeny, but it's got to be two and a half, not three.”
Philadelphia 37, Cincinnati 17 — Philadelphia beat Cincinnati 37-17; the Bengals' 20-point loss busts the +2.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“It would be the Cowboys here at plus four and a half.”
San Francisco 30, Dallas 24 — San Francisco beat Dallas 30-24; the Cowboys' 6-point loss busts the +4.5 spread (ESPN box score).
“Let's play LSU. LSU money flooded the market yesterday. They went from a three-and-a-half-point underdog to a one-point underdog.”
Texas A&M 38, LSU 23 — Texas A&M beat LSU 38-23; LSU's 15-point loss busts the +1 spread (ESPN).
“Let's take a shot on the MVP market. Let's go with Teoscar Hernandez at 25-1.”
Freddie Freeman (Dodgers) was named 2024 World Series MVP, not Teoscar Hernandez, after the Dodgers beat the Yankees 4 games to 1 (ESPN). (Freddie Freeman: 4 HR, 12 RBI in 5-game World Series)
“Dan Lamar Jackson's number is 263 and a half Total yards rushing and passing, more or less? Many more. He averages 317, I'm saying more.”
CLE 29, BAL 24 — Jackson passed for 289 yards and rushed for 46 (335 total) in Baltimore's 29-24 loss to Cleveland, over the 263.5 total-yards line. (Lamar Jackson: 23/38, 289 pass yds; 8 car, 46 rush yds; 335 total)
“J-Mac, the number on Derrick Henry is 19.5 yards for his longest rush. Would you go more or less? More.”
CLE 29, BAL 24 — Henry's longest run went for 39 yards in Baltimore's 29-24 loss to Cleveland, over the 19.5-yard longest-rush line. (Derrick Henry: 11 car, 73 rush yds, 1 TD; long 39 yds)
“But first, Cowboys Niners, Harry, Dak Prescott. His total is one and a half passing touchdowns against San Francisco. You go more or less? I'm going to go more greeny.”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Prescott threw 2 passing touchdowns (both to CeeDee Lamb) in Dallas's 30-24 loss to San Francisco, over the 1.5 passing-TD line. (Dak Prescott: 25/38, 243 pass yds, 2 TD, 2 INT)
“Best bet is to go over 56.5 points here, Greeny. Texas defense is overvalued. Number one in the country in scoring DS. They haven't played anybody yet.”
UGA 30, TEX 15 — Georgia beat Texas 30-15, a combined 45 points, under the 56.5 total.
“Let's talk about Quinn Ewers, the quarterback of Texas. A lot of people love Arch Manning there. What do you have on him in this game? Passing yards over 258 and a half. If we see this as a high-scoring game, our props should correlate with that, and that's what this does.”
UGA 30, TEX 15 — Ewers passed for 211 yards on 25-of-43 in Texas's 30-15 loss to Georgia, under the 258.5 passing-yards line. (Quinn Ewers: 25/43, 211 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT)
“How about Carson Beck? What do you have on him? 20.5 completions is his prop. I would bet over that. Texas plays quarters defense, which means you can dink and dunk on them and make your way down the field.”
UGA 30, TEX 15 — Beck completed 23 of 41 passes for 175 yards in Georgia's 30-15 win over Texas, over the 20.5-completions line. (Carson Beck: 23/41, 175 pass yds, 3 INT)
“All right, let's go through your best bets on that game. Let's start with Jalen Milrow. What do you like on him? His longest completion prop is 40 and a half yards. I would bet the over. Tennessee's defense has been getting gashed the last few weeks.”
TENN 24, ALA 17 — Milroe's longest completion was a 28-yard pass to Germie Bernard in Alabama's 24-17 loss at Tennessee, under the 40.5-yard longest-completion line. (Jalen Milroe: 25/45, 239 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT; longest completion 28 yds)
“Their team totals 26 and a half. That means how many points will they score? It has nothing to do with Bama. I'd bet under 26.5 points for Tennessee.”
TENN 24, ALA 17 — Tennessee scored 24 points in its 24-17 win over Alabama, under the 26.5 team-total line.
“Harry the number on Alvin Kamara rushing yards tonight against Denver is 69 and a half You go more or less I going way more especially when you don have a Chris Alave at the wide receiver position or Rashid Shahid Alvin Kamara is going to have to be a guy that dominant tonight”
NO 10, DEN 33 — Kamara rushed for just 10 yards on 7 carries in Denver's 33-10 win over New Orleans, under the 69.5 rushing-yards line. (Alvin Kamara: 7 car, 10 rush yds)
“249 and a half passing yards is the number on Jordan Love. You're going over or under, more or less. Oh, I love Jordan Love, but I am going less on this one.”
GB 24, HOU 22 — Love passed for 220 yards on 24-of-33 in Green Bay's 24-22 win over Houston, under the 249.5 passing-yards line. (Jordan Love: 24/33, 220 pass yds, 3 TD, 2 INT)
“One-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jalen Hurts is the number. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less.”
PHI 28, NYG 3 — Hurts threw just 1 passing touchdown (41-yard TD to A.J. Brown), adding 2 rushing TDs, in Philadelphia's 28-3 win over the Giants, under the 1.5 passing-TD line. (Jalen Hurts: 10/14, 114 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 2 rush TD)
“Commanders, Ravens, let's start with Derrick Henry. Bartholomew, if the number, and these numbers are from ESPN Bet, if the number is 94.5, rushing plus receiving yards for Derrick Henry, are you going more or less? I'm going more.”
Henry rushed for 132 yards (no receptions) in Baltimore's 30-23 win over Washington, over the 94.5 combined-yards line. (Derrick Henry: 24 car, 132 rush yds, 2 TD, 0 rec)
“the Baltimore Ravens are going to run the ball downfield and be in exposed to his defense This is a reality check for Washington this week He my MVP Derrick Henry is my MVP You can even get touched right there Mike T Lamar Jackson the number is 287 and a half total yards more or less Less greedy because I was thinking copious notes during your monologue,”
Jackson passed for 323 yards and rushed for 40 (363 total) in Baltimore's 30-23 win over Washington, well over the 287.5 under line. (Lamar Jackson: 20/26, 323 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT; 11 car, 40 rush yds; 363 total)
“Graziano, Jayden Daniels. Boy, he's been spectacular. Sure has. 284 and a half total yards for him, more or less. More.”
Daniels passed for 269 yards and rushed for 22 (291 total) as Washington lost to Baltimore, over the 284.5 total-yards line. (Jayden Daniels: 24/35, 269 pass yds, 2 TD; 6 car, 22 rush yds; 291 total)
“Harry, Caleb Williams, the number is 224 and a half passing yards. You going more or less? I'm going to go more. You're facing the Jacksonville Jaguars who aren't good facing the pass when it comes to their defense.”
35-16 — Williams passed for 226 yards in Chicago's 35-16 win over Jacksonville, over the 224.5 passing-yards line (ESPN box score). (Caleb Williams: 226 pass yds)
“J-Mac, Jayden Daniels against the Ravens, 282.5 total yards. That's a big number, more or less. I'm going more on this one. Willie Beeman-style play of what we've seen from Jayden Daniels. He's taking off, and he's able to scramble and make huge plays, but he also can sit in the pocket and dice you up. This Ravens defense has not been good against the pass.”
30-23 — Daniels had 269 passing yards plus 22 rushing yards (291 total) in Washington's 30-23 loss to Baltimore, over the 282.5 total-yards line (ESPN box score). (Jayden Daniels: 24/35, 269 pass yds; 6 car, 22 rush yds (291 total))
“Dan, the more or less, basically the question is, is he going to throw a touchdown pass here, more or less? No, I'm going to say because, one, this pass protection unit for the New England Patriots is the worst in the NFL. Their leading pass catcher, Hunter Henry, is 180 yards. That would be like 68 in the NFL. Pop Douglas right now is their most productive wide receiver in America. This Houston defense is outrageously violent and overwhelming. This is a tall task for Drake Maye's first start.”
41-21 — Maye threw 3 passing touchdowns in his first career start as Houston beat New England 41-21, over the 0.5 under line (ESPN game recap). (Drake Maye: 20/33, 243 pass yds, 3 TD, 2 INT)
“Harry, Stefon Diggs taking on his old team in the Buffalo Bills. Are you going more or less than 61.5 rushing plus receiving yards for Diggs? I'm going more. I think offensive coordinator Bobby Sloick is going to make a point of emphasis to get the ball to Stefon Diggs early and often all kind of ways, whether it's reverses, passing the football, catching the football, no matter what the circumstances are.”
23-20 — Diggs caught 6 passes for 82 receiving yards (no rushing) in Houston's 23-20 win over Buffalo, over the 61.5 combined line (ESPN game recap). (Stefon Diggs: 6 rec, 82 yds)
“J-Mac, more or less 49 and a half receiving yards for DJ Moore. I am going Moore. Harry, unlike Stefon Diggs, DJ Moore is not worried about his ex-girlfriend. He done got married, and his ex-girlfriend is over there struggling right now. To figure out what's going on. But in that same vein, they're going to find a way to get him the ball. He's been visibly frustrated in their game. Get it to him early and often and let him cook.”
36-10 — Moore had 105 receiving yards in Chicago's 36-10 win over Carolina, over the 49.5 receiving-yards line (ESPN game recap). (DJ Moore: 105 receiving yds)
“And then finally, Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold will face the team that drafted him third overall. That game is in London. Dan, more or less than one and a half passing touchdowns for Darnold against the Jets. Yeah, more. Greeny, they drafted him third overall, and then they did everything they can to ruin him.”
23-17 — Darnold threw 0 passing touchdowns (14/31, 179 yds, 1 INT) in Minnesota's 23-17 win over the Jets in London, under the 1.5 over line (ESPN game recap). (Sam Darnold: 14/31, 179 pass yds, 0 TD, 1 INT)
“And this week I taking Rodgers with at least two passing touchdowns at least 275 passing yards and the Jets to beat the Broncos. You see we've boosted it to plus 650.”
10-9 — Parlay busts: Rodgers threw 0 passing TDs (under 1.5) and 225 passing yards (under 274.5) in Denver's 10-9 win over the Jets, and the Jets ML lost as Denver won (ESPN box score/recap). (Aaron Rodgers: 24/42, 225 pass yds, 0 TD)
“Dak, total passing and rushing yards combined, 276 and a half. You go more or less. I'm going to say more. I do think that Dak has a good night tonight. Right now, this Giants defensive line can ruin this football game. And I do think this back end-wise, they can play some man coverage. But it's a must win, like we've talked about for the first 31 minutes of this show.”
20-15 — Prescott passed for 221 yards with -1 rushing yard (220 combined) in Dallas's 20-15 win over the Giants, under the 276.5 combined line (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 221 pass yds, -1 rush yd (220 combined))
“So, J.M.A.C., I'll come to you. Combined rushing and receiving yards for CeeDee Lamb. The total tonight is 84.5, more or less. I'm going more. Mike McCarthy is sitting in his office. He's been watching Dan Orlowski talk about the usage of T.D. Lamb all morning long. He is going to put him in the right places.”
20-15 — Lamb caught 7 passes for 98 receiving yards (no rushing) in Dallas's 20-15 win over the Giants, over the 84.5 combined line (ESPN box score). (CeeDee Lamb: 7 rec, 98 yds)
“On top of that no Adorey Jackson no Drew Phillips in the secondary for the Giants More than that Well I glad you said that because mine is about Malik Neighbors And the total on him is six and a half receptions tonight more or less And I'm going to go more and I'm going to tell you why.”
20-15 — Nabers caught 12 passes (115 receiving yards) in the Giants' 20-15 loss to Dallas, over the 6.5 receptions line (ESPN box score). (Malik Nabers: 12 rec, 115 yds)
“Dan, Aaron Rodgers, one and a half passing touchdowns. Are you going more or less? I'm going to say less. One, I think this is a low-scoring football game. And then two, while I was very encouraged by the offensive performance by the New York Jets in week two, this is a really good New England defense that is going to make basically everything hard on this Jets offense.”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Aaron Rodgers threw 2 passing touchdowns in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, over the 1.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Rodgers: 27/35, 281 yds, 2 pass TD)
“Harry, how about Garrett Wilson? Five and a half receptions is the number. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, and I feel like it has to be because of the run defense of the New England Patriots. They're second in the NFL right now. only allowing 58 rushing yards per game. So Garrett Wilson is going to have to be found early and often in this matchup”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Garrett Wilson caught 5 passes for 33 yards in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, under the 5.5 reception line (ESPN box score). (Garrett Wilson: 5 rec, 33 yds)
“So Garrett Wilson is going to have to be found early and often in this matchup But I think early on in this ballgame it important for Aaron Rodgers and also Nathaniel Hackett to figure out how New England is playing Garrett Wilson to get him the football in multiple ways Yeah so Garrett Wilson a key but for the Jets generally it starts with Breece Hall J his number is 98 and a half yards from scrimmage so total yards more or less I going less on this one This New England defense you talk about keying in and taking away your best option That what they do best”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Breece Hall totaled 54 rushing + 29 receiving = 83 yards from scrimmage in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, under the 98.5 line (ESPN box score). (Breece Hall: 54 rush yds, 29 rec yds, 83 total yds from scrimmage)
“Hey Dan Lamar Jackson this weekend 272 and a half total yards More or less I going to say less and not because this is central to Lamar but coming off of last week”
LV 26, BAL 23 — Lamar Jackson totaled 247 passing + 45 rushing = 292 yards in Baltimore's 26-23 loss to Las Vegas, over the 272.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 21/34, 247 pass yds, 5 car, 45 rush yds (292 total))
“Cooper Kupp had a huge opener. His number is 89.5 receiving yards. You going more or less? I'm going more on this one.”
ARI 41, LAR 10 — Cooper Kupp caught 4 passes for 37 receiving yards before leaving with an ankle injury in Arizona's 41-10 win over the Rams, under the 89.5 line (ESPN box score). (Cooper Kupp: 4 rec, 37 yds)
“Saquon's number is 96.5 total yards from scrimmage. More or less? I'm going to go Moore.”
ATL 22, PHI 21 — Saquon Barkley totaled 95 rushing + 21 receiving = 116 yards from scrimmage in Philadelphia's 22-21 loss to Atlanta, over the 96.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 22 car, 95 rush yds; 4 rec, 21 yds; 116 total yds from scrimmage)
“Dan, if I put the number, or they have, at Jordan Love passing touchdowns, one and a half. You going more or less? I'm going to say less because of the addition of Josh Jacobs.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jordan Love threw 2 passing touchdowns in Green Bay's 34-29 loss to Philadelphia, over the 1.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 17/34, 260 yds, 2 pass TD)
“J-Mac on the other side. Saquon, his first game as an Eagle. 64.5 rushing yards. You going more or less? I'm going more with this one.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 109 yards on 24 carries in Philadelphia's 34-29 win over Green Bay, over the 64.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 24 car, 109 rushing yards)
“Well, let's talk about Jalen. Harold, I've got you next. Jalen Hurts, total yards from skimmage, 279.5. You go more or less. I'm going less, Greeny.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jalen Hurts totaled 278 passing + 33 rushing = 311 yards from scrimmage in Philadelphia's 34-29 win over Green Bay, over the 279.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 278 pass yds + 33 rush yds = 311 total)
“251.5 passing yards is the number for Jordan Love. You going more or less? I'm going more. Look, I love Vic Fangio. I think he's fantastic. He's going to get this defense right, but it's going to take a little time. I think LaFleur and Jordan Love do a great job of spreading the ball around. They're going to have some big hits for the game, so I think he goes over 251.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jordan Love went 17/34 for 260 passing yards in Green Bay's 34-29 loss to Philadelphia, over the 251.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 17/34, 260 passing yards, 2 TD)
“Dominique, let's talk about the other quarterback, Jalen Hurts. Total yards, 280 and a half. Which way you go? I think I go less, which is not necessarily an indictment on Jalen Hurts. It's about the conversation we were having earlier. It's about Saquon Barkley.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jalen Hurts totaled 278 passing + 33 rushing = 311 yards from scrimmage in Philadelphia's 34-29 win over Green Bay, over the 280.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 20/34, 278 pass yds, 33 rush yds (311 total))
“Jeff, let's then talk about Saquon. His total is 65.5 rushing yards in week one. You go more or less? I'm going more. I already put some money down. So, we're going to talk this through. Here's the thing. He can take a four-yard gain and go 40. That's the difference.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Saquon Barkley rushed for 109 yards on 24 carries in Philadelphia's 34-29 win over Green Bay, over the 65.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 24 car, 109 rushing yards)
“Neek, Lamar Jackson, 5.5 rushing TDs, More or Less. Yeah, I think he has less. He hasn't had more than five rushing touchdowns in the past three seasons”
Lamar Jackson finished the 2024 regular season with 4 rushing touchdowns, under the 5.5 line, so the under selection won (ESPN stats). (Lamar Jackson 2024: 4 rushing TD)
“Tim, Jalen Hurts, 31 total TDs. That's pass and rush, more or less. I'm going more here, RC. you know, because of the combination and then because of what I think Kellen Moore is going to mean for the passing game. I think he's going to do a good job helping Jalen Hurts develop more as a passer. And then the running is something I think that Kellen Moore ends up adopting. And Jalen Hurts has always been good at that. It doesn't matter if he's at Alabama, Oklahoma, or with the Philadelphia Eagles. So, going more on 31.5 total.”
Jalen Hurts finished the 2024 regular season with 18 passing and 14 rushing touchdowns (32 total), clearing the 31.5 line, so the over selection won (ESPN stats). (Jalen Hurts 2024: 18 pass TD + 14 rush TD = 32 total)
“Jeff, Dak Prescott, 29.5 passing TDs, more or less? So I'm going to say more, obviously, under the caveat that CeeDee Lamb is playing at wide receiver.”
Dak Prescott's 2024 season ended after 8 games (hamstring surgery) with 11 passing touchdowns, far under the 29.5 line, so the over selection lost (ESPN stats). (Dak Prescott 2024: 11 passing TD in 8 games)
“Chicago, they have their number at 8.5 as the total there. More or less. It's less. I love the foundations of this team. I think Caleb Williams will be a superstar, but not in year one.”
Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, under the 8.5 season win-total line, so the under selection won (ESPN standings). (CHI 2024: 5-12)
“let's go to your old team, the Lions. They set the number at 10.5. You go more or less? I'm going to go more.”
Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 10.5 season win-total line, so the over selection won (ESPN standings). (DET 2024: 15-2)
“Hey, Hawk, the Packers have a higher total than the Lions. 11 and a half wins. Is he going more or less? You know, I think it's, we were told nine and a half. I'm going more than nine and a half, less than 11 and a half, because look, I know that there are some, you know, concerns about a sophomore slump. They did have the benefit of an element of surprise offensively last year, but this defense is rebuilt. It's improved. They have Halfley there as a defensive coordinator. And you have to remember that early on in last season, this offense was not working great and operating at full strength. We saw them at the end, but I still think there's steps forward that it's going to take this season. Okay, let me make one thing very clear. There was a typo here. You are correct and that is the number at ESPN Bet The total is nine and a half Just a little typo on the page here Our apologies But for anyone who considering this at ESPN bet the number of the total on the Packers is nine and a half.”
Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, clearing the 9.5 season win-total line, so the over selection won (ESPN standings). (GB 2024: 11-6)
“We'll see the Bears tonight. D. Wood, their total this year is 8.5 wins. Are you going more or less? I struggle with this one. I'm going to go less.”
The Chicago Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 win total (ESPN standings). (CHI 2024: 5-12)
“Let's talk about the Packers, Jeff. 9.5 is their number. What do you think? I hate that I got this one because I feel like I'm just hating on Jordan Love nonstop. I just think that the expectations are rising very, very fast. So I'm going to go less than nine and a half wins.”
The Green Bay Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, well over the 9.5 win total, so the under selection lost (ESPN standings). (GB 2024: 11-6)
“Orlovsky, Lions, your old team. Ten and a half is the number, more or less. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
The Detroit Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 10.5 win total (ESPN standings). (DET 2024: 15-2)
“Jeff, let's start with Buffalo. Total is 10 and a half wins. You going more or less? I'm saying less and not because I don't believe in Josh Allen.”
Bills finished the 2024 regular season 13-4, well over the 10.5 season win-total line, so the under selection lost (ESPN standings). (BUF 2024: 13-4)
“Chatty, let's do the Dolphins. Their number is at 9.5 wins. You go more or less? 9.5 wins, but I'm going to go more for the Miami Dolphins.”
Dolphins finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, under the 9.5 season win-total line, so the over selection lost (ESPN standings). (MIA 2024: 8-9)
“the total on the Jets is nine and a half wins. Are you going more or less? Well, I'm glad you asked me that. The answer is way more.”
Jets finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 9.5 season win-total line, so the over selection lost (ESPN standings). (NYJ 2024: 5-12)
“Dan, let's start in San Francisco. 11 and a half is the number on the Niners, more or less. I'm reluctantly saying more.”
The San Francisco 49ers finished the 2024 regular season 6-11, well under the 11.5 win total (ESPN standings). (SF 2024: 6-11)
“Harry, let's go to Detroit. The Lions' number is 10.5, more or less? I'm going to go more”
The Detroit Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, well over the 10.5 win total (ESPN standings). (DET 2024: 15-2)
“And then, D, how about Green Bay? The number is 9.5 for the Packers. More or less? Yeah, I'm going to go more.”
The Green Bay Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, over the 9.5 win total (ESPN standings). (GB 2024: 11-6)
“Swagoo, their number is 10.5 wins for the Eagles this year. You're going more or less? I'm going more.”
The Philadelphia Eagles finished the 2024 regular season 14-3, over the 10.5 win total (ESPN standings). (PHI 2024: 14-3)
“Kevin, six and a half is the number for the Giants. Are you going more or less? I'm going under here.”
The New York Giants finished the 2024 regular season 3-14, well under the 6.5 win total (ESPN standings). (NYG 2024: 3-14)
“Dominique, let me come to you on the Cowboys. Nine and a half is the number on Dallas, more or less. Yeah, I think I got to go more.”
The Dallas Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10, under the 9.5 win total (ESPN standings). (DAL 2024: 7-10)
“Jayson Tatum, more or less 26.5 points tonight. I'm going to say less, not because I don't think that Jayson Tatum can't explode for 40”
106-88 — Jayson Tatum scored 31 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 106-88 in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals; over the 26.5 line, so the under bet lost (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 31 points)
“Drea, how about Kyrie? 23 and a half is his number. I'm going to say less, and it's not because I don't want Kyrie to have 23.”
106-88 — Kyrie Irving scored 15 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 106-88 in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals; under the 23.5 line, so the under bet won (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 15 points)
“Will Luka have more or less than 32.5 points tonight? I'm going to go with Moore because when he faces elimination, he scores more than anybody in NBA Finals history”
106-88 — Luka Doncic scored 28 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 106-88 in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals; under the 32.5 line, so the over bet lost (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 28 points)
“So we're talking about Luka Allen. His number is 32.5 points. More or less tonight? I'm going more.”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Luka Doncic scored 29 points as the Mavericks beat the Celtics 122-84 in NBA Finals Game 4, missing the over 32.5 (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 29 points)
“Kyrie Irving, the number is 24 and a half. You go more or less? I'm going more greeny, but not by much.”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Kyrie Irving scored 21 points as the Mavericks beat the Celtics 122-84 in NBA Finals Game 4, missing the over 24.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 21 points)
“Allen, how about Jayson Tatum? 27 and a half is the number for him. I'm going to go less only because I don't think they need it.”
DAL 122, BOS 84 — Jayson Tatum scored 15 points as the Celtics lost to the Mavericks 84-122 in NBA Finals Game 4, clearing the under 27.5 (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 15 points)
“The number on Kyrie Irving at ESPN Bet is 23.5. We go more or less. I'm going more because the Dallas Mavericks need him to have more.”
BOS 106, DAL 99 — Kyrie Irving scored 35 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 106-99 in NBA Finals Game 3, clearing the over 23.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 35 points)
“How about his running mate, Luka? The number is 32 and a half, more or less. More, more, more.”
BOS 106, DAL 99 — Luka Doncic scored 27 points as the Mavericks lost to the Celtics 99-106 in NBA Finals Game 3, missing the over 32.5 (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 27 points)
“Jayson Tatum has not had a big offensive game in this series yet. His number is 25 and a half. Tonight, what do you think? I gave one Duke guy more. I'm going to give another Duke guy more.”
BOS 106, DAL 99 — Jayson Tatum scored 31 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 106-99 in NBA Finals Game 3, clearing the over 25.5 (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 31 points)
“Udonis Haslam, I put the number at 23.5 for Kyrie Irving tonight. You going more or less? More. More. Easy. That's easy for me.”
BOS 107, DAL 89 — Kyrie Irving scored 12 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 107-89 in NBA Finals Game 1, missing the over 23.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 12 points)
“I'm doing the same with Luka Doncic. Again, Wendy does not make these picks for us as he is covering the series. But I believe Luka Doncic will go over 31.5.”
BOS 107, DAL 89 — Luka Doncic scored 30 points as the Mavericks lost to the Celtics 89-107 in NBA Finals Game 1, missing the over 31.5 (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 30 points)
“And then, Drea, on the other side, 27.5 is the number for Jayson Tatum. Which way do you go? I'm going less, but it is very close to 27.5.”
BOS 107, DAL 89 — Jayson Tatum scored 16 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 107-89 in NBA Finals Game 1, clearing the under 27.5 (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 16 points)
“The number on Luka for tonight is 30.5 points. Are you going over or under Luka 30.5? I'm going to go over for Luka tonight.”
DAL 124, MIN 103 — Luka Doncic scored 36 points as the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves 124-103 in WCF Game 5, clearing the over 30.5 (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 36 points)
“Allen, how about Anthony Edwards? 28 and a half is the number on Ant. Are you going over or under? I'm going to go under because I think he's going to feel the pressure in this game.”
DAL 124, MIN 103 — Anthony Edwards scored 28 points as the Timberwolves lost to the Mavericks 103-124 in WCF Game 5, clearing the under 28.5 (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 28 points)
“Kyrie Irving, the number 22 and a half on Kyrie tonight. Over or under? I think over for Kyrie.”
DAL 124, MIN 103 — Kyrie Irving scored 36 points as the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves 124-103 in WCF Game 5, clearing the over 22.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 36 points)
“D. Wood, the total on the Cowboys is 10.3 wins this season. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, because I think the schedule is favorable for the Cowboys.”
The Dallas Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10, falling short of the over 10.3 season win total (ESPN schedule/standings). (7-10 record)
“K-Mart, let's go to Buffalo. More or less 10 wins for the Buffalo Bills. This might sound like a surprise, but I'm going to say more.”
The Buffalo Bills finished the 2024 regular season 13-4, clearing the over 10 season win total (ESPN schedule/standings). (13-4 record)
“The Steelers' number is 7.9 wins. That would mean a losing season for Mike Tomlin. You're going more or less than 7.9? This is an easy one, Grinny. I'm going more.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the over 7.9 season win total (ESPN schedule/standings). (10-7 record)
“J. Will, Luka Doncic, the number is 28.5 points. You going more or less? I'm going to go more.”
109-108 — Luka Doncic scored 32 points in Dallas's 109-108 Game 2 win over Minnesota, covering the 28.5 over (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 32 points)
“Monica, let's go to Kyrie Irving. His number is 22.5 for his total. More or less for Kyrie. I'm also going over, Greeny.”
109-108 — Kyrie Irving scored 20 points in Dallas's 109-108 Game 2 win over Minnesota, missing the 22.5 over (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 20 points)
“How about on the other side, Alan? The Ant-Man, 26 and a half is his number. More or less? Give me more. He needs more. The Timberwolves need more. And I don't want to hear any more excuses about him being tired. He's the youngest star left in the playoffs. He's the guy that can't be tired. He's got to bring it. It's a home game and a must win. Absolutely. By the way, if you like those three picks, the over on Luka, Kyrie, and Ant-Man,”
109-108 — Anthony Edwards scored 21 points in Minnesota's 108-109 Game 2 loss to Dallas, missing the 26.5 over (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 21 points)
“The number on Jayson Tatum is 30.5 points. You going more or less? Yeah, I'm going to take more on that 30.5 points.”
126-110 — Jayson Tatum scored 23 points in Boston's 126-110 Game 2 win over Indiana, missing the 30.5 over (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 23 points)
“the number on jaylen brown is 25 and a half more or less 100 you're going over on this one and here's why”
126-110 — Jaylen Brown scored 40 points in Boston's 126-110 Game 2 win over Indiana, covering the 25.5 over (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Brown: 40 points)
“The total on Tyrese Haliburton is 19.5 points, and I will definitively say more, any number of reasons”
126-110 — Tyrese Haliburton scored 10 points in Indiana's 110-126 Game 2 loss to Boston, missing the 19.5 over (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 10 points)
“Allen, 29.5 points is the number for Jason Tate. Are you going more or less? I'm going to go more.”
133-128 — Jayson Tatum scored 36 points in Boston's 133-128 OT Game 1 win over Indiana, covering the 29.5 over (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 36 points)
“Monica, how about his running mate, Jaylen Brown? The number is 25 and a half, more or less. Retweet on all of Han's logic. I think that these two guys hear all of this. They understand that the Pacers are coming in with confidence, and so I think they're going to be ready to go. I'm taking more on this one.”
133-128 — Jaylen Brown scored 26 points in Boston's 133-128 OT Game 1 win over Indiana, covering the 25.5 over (ESPN box score). (Jaylen Brown: 26 points)
“And how about Indiana star, Drea? 27 and a half points plus assists for Tyrese Haliburton in game one, more or less. I went less on this one.”
133-128 — Tyrese Haliburton had 25 points and 10 assists (35 combined) in Indiana's 128-133 OT Game 1 loss to Boston, well over the 27.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 25 pts, 10 ast (35 combined))
“Legs, if I put the number at 51.5 for total points plus assists plus rebounds for Jokic tonight, which way are you going? A big number, but I'm still going to go more.”
112-97 — Nikola Jokic posted 40 points, 7 rebounds, 13 assists (60 PRA) in Denver's 112-97 Game 5 win over Minnesota, covering the 51.5 over (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 40 pts, 7 reb, 13 ast (60 PRA))
“Alan, how about Anthony Edwards? The number on him is 29-and-a-half. More or less? Well, this is more, and it's a lock.”
112-97 — Anthony Edwards scored 18 points in Minnesota's 97-112 Game 5 loss to Denver, missing the 29.5 over (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 18 points)
“Let's talk about Karl-Anthony Towns McNutt. His number is 18.5 total points, more or less. I wish I could say I was as confident as Han on this one. I gonna go more”
112-97 — Karl-Anthony Towns scored 23 points in Minnesota's 97-112 Game 5 loss to Denver, covering the 18.5 over (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 23 points)
“Alan, let's talk about Tatum. Will he have more or less than 38 and a half combined points and rebounds against the Cavs tonight? Going more”
102-109 — Jayson Tatum scored 33 points and grabbed 11 rebounds (44 combined) as the Celtics beat the Cavaliers 109-102 in Game 4, over his 38.5 points+rebounds line (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 33 PTS, 11 REB (44 combined))
“Perk, I'm coming to you. Luka Doncic, more or less 29.5 points tonight against the Thunder. Greeny, you know what I tell my wife after she fixed my first plate of food? More? I need more. I want more. I'm going with more.”
96-100 — Luka Doncic scored 18 points as the Thunder beat the Mavericks 100-96 in Game 4, well under his 29.5 line; the over bet busts (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 18 points)
“Monica, tomorrow night, the Knicks Villanova trio. Will they combine for more or less than 80 points in game five? So I'm actually going to go less on this one”
91-121 — The Knicks' Villanova trio combined for 70 points (Brunson 44, Hart 18, DiVincenzo 8) in New York's 121-91 Game 5 win over the Pacers, under the 80 line (ESPN box score). (Brunson 44 + Hart 18 + DiVincenzo 8 = 70 combined)
“Drea, Jalen Brunson's number tonight, 35 and a half. More or less? I'm going with less on this one.”
106-111 — Jalen Brunson scored 26 points as the Pacers beat the Knicks 111-106 in Game 3, under his 35.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 26 points)
“J-Will, Anthony Edwards tonight for Minnesota game three. His number is 28 and a half. More or less? I'm going to go less”
90-117 — Anthony Edwards scored 19 points in the Timberwolves' 117-90 Game 3 loss to the Nuggets, under his 28.5 line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 19 points)
“Shanae, let's go to Jokic, the MVP. Is Game 3 total... Plus rebounds, plus assists is 50 and a half, more or less. For exactly what J. Will just said, I think it's going to be more.”
90-117 — Nikola Jokic posted 24 points, 14 rebounds and 9 assists (47 PRA) as the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves 117-90 in Game 3, under his 50.5 line; the over bet busts (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 24 PTS, 14 REB, 9 AST (47 PRA))
“J. Will, Luka tonight against OKC, more or less 31 and a half points. I'm going to go less.”
110-119 — Luka Doncic scored 29 points as the Mavericks beat the Thunder 119-110 in Game 2, under his 31.5 line (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 29 points)
“Cheney, let's go to SGA. More or less 30 and a half points for him against the Mavs tonight. I think we might see a little bit of a revenge game. Got snubbed for MVP, so I'm going to say more. He only had, what was it, 29 last game? And so, yeah, I think he wants to make a statement, and he's always done that when he puts his mind to it, and they're coming off of a confident win. So I'm going more for SGA.”
110-119 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 33 points in the Thunder's 119-110 Game 2 loss to the Mavericks, over his 30.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33 points)
“Drea, in the East, Jayson Tatum had sort of a quiet game one and an easy Celtic win. His number is 27 and a half. You go more or less? I'm going less than 27 and a half.”
94-118 — Jayson Tatum scored 25 points as the Cavaliers beat the Celtics 118-94 in Game 2, under his 27.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 25 points)
“Harry Douglas, if I said more or less 22.5 touchdown passes for Caleb Williams this year. Which way do you go? I'm going to go more, Greeny.”
Caleb Williams threw 20 passing touchdowns in his 2024 rookie season, under the 22.5 line (ESPN stats). (Caleb Williams 2024: 20 passing TDs)
“Braziano, let's go to Washington. More or less 18 and a half touchdown passes for Jaden Daniels. I say more”
Jayden Daniels threw 25 passing touchdowns in his 2024 rookie season, over the 18.5 line (ESPN stats). (Jayden Daniels 2024: 25 passing TDs)
“let's go, D. Wood, to Bo Nix, who was the last of those first-round quarterbacks. more or less 17 and a half touchdown passes in Denver. Yeah, I'm going to go with Les.”
Bo Nix threw 29 passing touchdowns in his 2024 rookie season, well over the 17.5 line; the under bet busts (ESPN stats). (Bo Nix 2024: 29 passing TDs)
“Alan Hahn, if I set the number at 30.5 points for Jalen Brunson, which way are you going? I'm going to go less”
104-101 — Jalen Brunson scored 24 points in Game 2 of the Knicks-76ers series (Knicks won 104-101), under the 30.5 line, so the under bet covers (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 24 points)
“41 is the number Total points rebounds and assists for LeBron in Game 2 I going to take the over on this one because he almost got it”
99-101 — LeBron James posted 26 points, 8 rebounds and 12 assists (46 PRA) in Game 2 of the Lakers-Nuggets series (Nuggets won 101-99), over the 41 PRA line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 26 pts, 8 reb, 12 ast (46 PRA))
“If I gave you the number 28.5 points for Joel Embiid in game one, you're going more or less? I'm going to go less based on what I saw the other night.”
111-104 — Joel Embiid scored 29 points in Game 1 of the Knicks-76ers first-round series (Knicks won 111-104), over the 28.5 line, so the under bet busts (ESPN box score). (Joel Embiid: 29 points)
“Han, Jalen Brunson, 30.5 points game one, more or less. I'm going to go more because he averaged over 30 a game since January 1st”
111-104 — Jalen Brunson scored 22 points in Game 1 of the Knicks-76ers first-round series (Knicks won 111-104), under the 30.5 line, so the over bet busts (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 22 points)
“Legs, five and a half games played in the series is the number. Sixers, Knicks, more or less? More for sure. I think this could go seven games.”
Knicks def. 76ers 4-2 — The Knicks beat the 76ers 4-2 in the 2024 first-round series, going 6 games, over the 5.5-game line (ESPN / Basketball-Reference). (Series: Knicks def. 76ers 4-2 (6 games))
“Orlovsky, more or less nine and a half wins for the Packers this year. I'm going to say more.”
11-6 — The Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, over the 9.5 win total (ESPN). (GB 2024 record: 11-6)
“Graz, the number's 11 and a half on the Chiefs. What do you think? I think it's going to be more.”
15-2 — The Chiefs finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, well over the 11.5 win total (ESPN). (KC 2024 record: 15-2)
“Harry, 10.5 is the number in Dallas. Which way do you go? I'm going to go less.”
7-10 — The Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10, under the 10.5 win total (ESPN). (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)
“Orlovsky, Bears, eight and a half wins. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, Greeny, just because of the defense.”
5-12 — The Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 win total the over bet needed (ESPN). (CHI 2024 record: 5-12)
“Harry, let's go to your beloved birds. The Falcons' number is nine and a half wins, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
8-9 — The Falcons finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, under the 9.5 win total the over bet needed (ESPN). (ATL 2024 record: 8-9)
“Graz, the Steelers' total is eight and a half. More or less? I mean, more, right?”
10-7 — The Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, over the 8.5 win total (ESPN). (PIT 2024 record: 10-7)
“The Yankees number, Jess, is 91 and a half wins. Are we going more or less? I've got more.”
94-68 — The Yankees finished the 2024 regular season 94-68, over the 91.5 win total (ESPN). (NYY 2024 record: 94-68)
“This team got even better And then let go to the Dodgers who are the other team that at least in theory got much much much better with the addition of Shohei Otani And then we wait and see where that winds up netting out Their total is 103 and a half What do you think? I've got less.”
98-64 — The Dodgers finished the 2024 regular season 98-64, under the 103.5 win total (ESPN). (LAD 2024 record: 98-64)
“Bartholomew here the simplest one of all. Who will win MVP of the Super Bowl. Come on man. We know this is the Patrick Mahomes Invitational”
25-22 — Patrick Mahomes was named Super Bowl LVIII MVP after leading the Chiefs to a 25-22 OT win over San Francisco, completing 34/46 for 333 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, plus 66 rushing yards (ESPN). (Patrick Mahomes: 34/46, 333 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 1 INT, 66 rush yds — Super Bowl LVIII MVP)
“Meanwhile, D. Wood, Brock Purdy, we saw him run it a little bit last week. More or less 12.5 rushing yards. Oh, come on, man. This is going to be more.”
25-22 — Brock Purdy rushed 3 times for 12 yards in Super Bowl LVIII (Chiefs won 25-22 OT), under the 12.5-yard line, so the over bet busts (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 3 att, 12 rushing yards)
“Tim, Patrick Mahomes, more or less. 259 and a half passing yards on Sunday. I'm going to say more on Mahomes here on this one.”
25-22 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 333 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 259.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 333 passing yards)
“A D. Wood, Travis Kelsey, more or less six and a half catches. Well, if the answer with Mahomes is always more, I'm going more here. I'm going more with Travis.”
25-22 — Travis Kelce caught 9 passes in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 6.5-reception line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 9 receptions)
“Harry, let's go to the other side. But Brock Purdy, more or less one and a half passing touchdowns. Well, huh, it's Brock Purdy, damn it. He's going to have more.”
25-22 — Brock Purdy threw 1 passing touchdown in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 1.5-TD line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 23/38, 255 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
“Swagoo, Patrick Mahomes. Will he have more or less than two and a half passing touchdowns? We just waxed poetic. I'm going to go less.”
25-22 — Patrick Mahomes threw 2 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 2.5-TD line the bettor took the under on (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 34/46, 333 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 1 INT)
“Mike T, let's talk about Travis Kelsey. More or less six and a half catches. I'm going to go less for exactly the same reason as Swagu.”
25-22 — Travis Kelce caught 9 passes in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 6.5-catch line the bettor took the under on (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 9 receptions, 93 rec yds)
“Brock Purdy, more or less 243.5 passing yards. I'm going to go over here.”
25-22 — Brock Purdy threw for 255 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 243.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 255 passing yards)
“Christian McCaffrey, more or less than 89.5 rushing yards. I'm going more, and it better be more.”
25-22 — Christian McCaffrey rushed for 80 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 89.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing yards)
“Isaiah Pacheco, more or less 67-and-a-half rushing yards. Look, I feel very similar about this. I'm going to say more.”
25-22 — Isiah Pacheco rushed for 59 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 67.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Isiah Pacheco: 59 rushing yards)
“And then Graziano, let's talk about George Kittle. More or less 47 and a half receiving yards. Let's say fewer than 47 and a half.”
25-22 — George Kittle caught 2 passes for 4 receiving yards in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 47.5-yard line the bettor took the under on (ESPN box score). (George Kittle: 4 receiving yards)
“game of more or less and it's graziano it's travis kelsey will he have more or fewer than 69 and a half receiving yards i gotta go with more we've been talking about it he's the number one option for them in the passing game”
25-22 — Travis Kelce caught 9 passes for 93 receiving yards in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 69.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 93 receiving yards)
“Patrick Mahomes more or less 261 and a half passing yards [15:08] Yeah, I think he'll go over that.”
25-22 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 333 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 261.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 333 passing yards)
“And then, Jeff, his counterpart is Brock Purdy. More or less, here's a number, 12.5 rushing yards. I'm going more here.”
25-22 — Brock Purdy rushed for 12 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 12.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 12 rushing yards)
“Dominique, Patrick Mahomes, more or less 259.5 passing yards against San Francisco. Yeah, I think I'm going to go with Moore just because it's Patrick Mahomes.”
KC 25-SF 22 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 333 passing yards in the Chiefs' 25-22 OT win over San Francisco in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 259.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Patrick Mahomes: 333 passing yards, 2 TD)
“How about the end zone shots, D. Wood? Mahomes more or less one and a half passing touchdowns. I want to go more here. Listen, Mahomes is playing his best ball at the right time.”
KC 25-SF 22 — Patrick Mahomes threw 2 touchdown passes in the Chiefs' 25-22 OT win over San Francisco in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Patrick Mahomes: 333 passing yards, 2 TD)
“Now Brock Purdy, more or less 244 and a half passing yards. Let's say less.”
KC 25-SF 22 — Brock Purdy threw for 255 passing yards in the 49ers' 25-22 OT loss to Kansas City in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 244.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Brock Purdy: 255 passing yards)
“Bart, I'm starting with you. Patrick Mahomes, one and a half passing touchdowns, more or less? Listen, he's too great to be held to less than that. It's definitely going to be more for me. But I think Lamar Jackson's up for the task.”
BAL 10-KC 17 — Patrick Mahomes threw only 1 touchdown pass in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC Championship win over Baltimore, under the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Patrick Mahomes: 241 passing yards, 1 TD)
“let's go to Mike T. Travis Kelsey, 61.5 receiving yards, more or less. Brady I going to go more but listening to this discussion I think he could stay in bed based on Kyle Hamilton But I think his size is actually the one neutralizing factor when you look at him against Kyle Hamilton”
BAL 10-KC 17 — Travis Kelce caught passes for 116 receiving yards in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC Championship win over Baltimore, over the 61.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Travis Kelce: 11 receptions, 116 receiving yards, 1 TD)
“R.C. Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson, 277.5 total yards, more or less. You know what? I'm going to say less. And the reason I'm going to say less is I think that they're going to depend on this run game.”
BAL 10-KC 17 — Lamar Jackson totaled 326 yards (272 passing + 54 rushing) in the Ravens' 17-10 AFC Championship loss to Kansas City, over the 277.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Lamar Jackson: 272 pass yds, 54 rush yds (326 total))
“R.C. Jared Goff, more or less one and a half touchdown passes. I got more, and the reason I got more is the way that they – I was looking for my answer. The way that they – It's in the red zone.”
SF 34-DET 31 — Jared Goff threw only 1 touchdown pass in the Lions' 34-31 NFC Championship loss to San Francisco, under the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Jared Goff: 1 passing TD)
“let's talk about Christian McCaffrey. Will he have more or less than 130 and a half total yards? Greeny, this one's easy. More. And the bigger the game, it's about players, not plays.”
SF 34-DET 31 — Christian McCaffrey totaled 132 yards (90 rushing + 42 receiving) in the 49ers' 34-31 NFC Championship win over Detroit, over the 130.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Christian McCaffrey: 90 rush yds, 42 rec yds (132 total))
“Dan, Lamar Jackson. More or less 212 and a half passing yards. This is a fantastic defense for Kansas City. that he's going against. I honestly don't know the answer that I gave you guys. You said less. I'm going to say less in part because, you know, watching how Kansas City plays defense”
BAL 10-KC 17 — Lamar Jackson threw for 272 passing yards in the Ravens' 17-10 AFC Championship loss to Kansas City, over the 212.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Lamar Jackson: 272 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT)
“Harry, let's talk about Amon-Ra St. Brown. More or less seven and a half catches. I'm going to go more. This is a young man that they've been able to count on this entire season, third and receiving yards this week, this year in the National Football League.”
SF 34-DET 31 — Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 7 passes in the Lions' 34-31 NFC Championship loss to San Francisco, under the 7.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7 receptions)
“K-Mart, Brock Purdy, more or less two-and-a-half touchdown passes. All right, I'm going to say slightly less. I actually have him at two. I think this is going to be a big CMC game, obviously a George Kittle game.”
SF 34-DET 31 — Brock Purdy threw only 1 touchdown pass in the 49ers' 34-31 NFC Championship win over Detroit, under the 2.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Brock Purdy: 267 passing yards, 1 TD)
“Jeff, Patrick Mahomes, more or less 248.5 passing yards on Sunday. I'm going under here. I think it's going to be a very efficient game for the Kansas City Chiefs. They're going to have to run Pacheco quite a bit.”
BAL 10-KC 17 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 241 passing yards in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC Championship win over Baltimore, under the 248.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Patrick Mahomes: 241 passing yards, 1 TD)
“Dominique same game Will Lamar Jackson have more or less than 59 and a half rushing yards I'm going to go under. It seems like Lamar lately has not been trying to make the big play with the run. Even when he does run, he looks to be kind of cautious in the efforts, which I appreciate.”
BAL 10-KC 17 — Lamar Jackson rushed for 54 yards in the Ravens' 17-10 AFC Championship loss to Kansas City, under the 59.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Lamar Jackson: 54 rushing yards)
“Swagu, Brock Purdy, more or less 261.5 passing yards against Detroit. I got less, G, and it's because Christian McCaffrey plays on this team. Now, it could be with a run after the catch if Debo is back or Christian McCaffrey, but I think Kyle Shanahan has learned throughout these playoffs where he can dominate, and that's the line of scrimmage and then the run game.”
SF 34-DET 31 — Brock Purdy threw for 267 passing yards in the 49ers' 34-31 NFC Championship win over Detroit, over the 261.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Brock Purdy: 267 passing yards, 1 TD)
“Let us start Saturday night in San Francisco. More or less two-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jordan Love against the 49ers. More or more. You're talking about a guy. You're talking about a guy and Jordan Love in the second half of the season. Name me a quarterback that's playing better than him.”
24-21 — Jordan Love threw 2 touchdown passes (21/34, 194 yds, 2 INT) as San Francisco beat Green Bay 24-21, under the 2.5-TD over the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 21/34, 194 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 2 INT)
“Tannenbaum, my next either more or less is this one. 280 and a half passing yards. Jared Goff against Tampa. Yeah, I'm going less screeny. There's no team left playing that's playing with house money more than Tampa Bay. They're going to go up there fast and loose.”
31-23 — Jared Goff threw for 287 yards (30/43) as Detroit beat Tampa Bay 31-23, over the 280.5-yard under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 30/43, 287 pass yds)
“Graziano more or less 284 total yards for Lamar Jackson against the Texans I think I said more in this one I think he'll play well. I do think there's definitely a possibility that Houston can pressure him into mistakes.”
34-10 — Lamar Jackson totaled 252 yards (152 passing + 100 rushing) in Baltimore's 34-10 win over Houston, under the 284-yard over the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 16/22, 152 pass yds, 2 pass TD; 11 car, 100 rush yds, 2 rush TD)
“If you like the Ravens and you're willing to give the 10 points so they're going to win by 10 or more tomorrow, we are boosting that for you from minus 110 to plus 110. So you've got better than even money that the Ravens will cover the number. If you like it, again, it's available for you right now on the ESPN Bet app. You will find it right there. You can download the ESPN Bet app today. Get $100 in bonus bets when you make your first deposit and any sportsbook bet. Again, my special seeing green tomorrow is the Ravens minus the 10.”
34-10 — Baltimore beat Houston 34-10, a 24-point margin, easily covering the Ravens' -10 (ESPN box score).
“Let's do some more or less here, guys. D. Wood, Josh Allen, more or less 232.5 passing yards. what do you think? I want to go more here.”
27-24 — Josh Allen passed for 186 yards as Kansas City beat Buffalo 27-24, under the 232.5-yard over the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 186 pass yds)
“We'll see how much. Bart, Almond Ross St. Brown. More! The number I'm going to give you is seven and a half catches. More, you saw the chemistry when the game was on the line.”
31-23 — Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 8 passes for 77 yards as Detroit beat Tampa Bay 31-23, clearing the 7.5-reception over (ESPN box score). (Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8 receptions, 77 receiving yds)
“Mike T, Packers, will they score more or less than 19.5 points against San Francisco? [38:58] Less, and not really because I don't think Jordan Love will play well.”
24-21 — Green Bay scored 21 points in a 24-21 loss to San Francisco, over the 19.5-point under the bettor took (ESPN box score).
“As we look ahead to this weekend's game, Ryan Clark, C.J. Stroud, more or less than 247.5 passing yards against the Browns. I'm going to say more. C.J. Stroud has just been phenomenal throughout this entire season. And the last time the Cleveland Browns played against the Houston Texans, Case Keenum was the quarterback.”
45-14 — C.J. Stroud threw for 274 yards (16/21, 3 TD) as Houston routed Cleveland 45-14, clearing the 247.5-yard over (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 16/21, 274 pass yds, 3 pass TD)
“D. Wood, let's go to Buffalo. Josh Allen on what's supposed to be a weather game. more or less than 259.5 total yards. I'm going to go less because you already pointed out that we're expecting inclement weather up in Buffalo with the wind being a primary factor.”
31-17 — Josh Allen totaled 277 yards (203 passing + 74 rushing) in Buffalo's 31-17 wild-card win over Pittsburgh, over the 259.5-yard under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 21/30, 203 pass yds, 3 pass TD; 8 car, 74 rush yds, 1 rush TD)
“And we expect another weather game in Kansas City, Mike T. Tyreek Hill going back there with the Dolphins tomorrow night. Will he have more or less than 84.5 receiving yards? Greeny, he's going to have less. I'm going to take Dee Wood's weather forecast and I'm going to raise him.”
26-7 — Tyreek Hill caught 5 passes for 62 yards and a TD as Kansas City beat Miami 26-7, clearing the 84.5-yard under (ESPN box score). (Tyreek Hill: 5 rec, 62 receiving yds, 1 TD)
“Mike Tannenbaum, I'll start with you. Chilly night, make it freezing night. Saturday in Kansas City, more or less. Patrick Mahomes, 254.5 passing yards against the Dolphins. Les, for everything you just said, it's going to be really cold. and we know that this Kansas City passing offense has struggled all season long.”
26-7 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 262 yards (23/41) as Kansas City beat Miami 26-7, over the 254.5-yard under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 23/41, 262 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
“RC, more or less one and a half touchdown passes for Josh Allen against Pittsburgh. Wait, it was touchdown passes? Touchdown passes. Total. It's less. I know it's fewer, actually, on Friday when I'm with Dan Graziano. He's not going to throw for more than one and a half touchdowns.”
31-17 — Josh Allen threw 3 touchdown passes (21/30, 203 yds) in Buffalo's 31-17 win over Pittsburgh, over the 1.5-TD under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 21/30, 203 pass yds, 3 pass TD)
“C.J. Stroud against that good Cleveland defense, more or less one-and-a-half touchdown passes. I'm going fewer. I'm going fewer right here against that Browns defense, that number-one-ranked Browns defense.”
45-14 — C.J. Stroud threw 3 touchdown passes (16/21, 274 yds) in Houston's 45-14 rout of Cleveland, over the 1.5-TD under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 16/21, 274 pass yds, 3 pass TD)
“C.J. Stroud, more or less, 258.5 passing yards. I'm going to say more.”
HOU 23, IND 19 — C.J. Stroud passed for 264 yards in the Texans' 23-19 win over the Colts, over the 258.5 line. (Stroud: 20/26, 264 passing yds)
“Josh Allen, more or less two and a half touchdown passes against Miami. I'm going to go less.”
BUF 21, MIA 14 — Josh Allen threw 2 touchdown passes in the Bills' 21-14 win over the Dolphins, under the 2.5 line. (Allen: 2 passing TD)
“Eagles, Mike T, more or less 23.5 total points against the G-Men. Green, I'm going more.”
PHI 10, NYG 27 — Giants beat Eagles 27-10, a combined 37 total points, over the 23.5 line. (Final: Giants 27, Eagles 10 (37 total))
“Swagoo, Tua, more or less. 263 and a half passing yards against the Bills. I'm going to go more because he's going to have to have more. And it's about trying to push the ball down the field. I know Jalen Waddle is out, but Tyreek Hill is going to have to be the guy.”
BUF 21, MIA 14 — Tua Tagovailoa passed for 173 yards in the Dolphins' 14-21 loss to the Bills, under the 263.5 line. (Tagovailoa: 17/27, 173 passing yds)
“Mike T, let's talk about the Steeler game. Mason Rudolph, more or less one and a half touchdown passes. Brady, I'm going to go less. Look, I know this is basically a bye week for the Ravens, but John Harbaugh, there's going to be a lot of pride there.”
PIT 17, BAL 10 — Mason Rudolph threw exactly 1 touchdown pass in the Steelers' 17-10 win over the Ravens, under the 1.5 line. (Rudolph: 18/20, 152 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT)
“In Graziano, at Lambeau Field, Justin Fields, the more or less number is 256.5 total yards. I'm going more. I mean, the Green Bay defense hasn't really been anything special. They were good last week against a rookie for the Vikings that was a little overwhelmed.”
CHI 9, GB 17 — Justin Fields had 175 total yards (148 passing, 27 rushing) in the Bears' 9-17 loss to the Packers, under the 256.5 line. (Fields: 148 pass yds, 27 rush yds (175 total))
“Dan Oloski, will Lamar Jackson have more than 230.5 passing yards against the Dolphins, or will he have fewer? I'm going to say fewer. I'm going to go under. Mainly because, out of respect for this defense that the Miami Dolphins have, and the matchups, this isn't a defense that you feature wide receivers.”
MIA 19, BAL 56 — Lamar Jackson passed for 321 yards in the Ravens' 56-19 win over the Dolphins, over the 230.5 line. (Jackson: 18/21, 321 passing yds)
“RC, Christian McCaffrey, 121.5 total yards against the Commanders. Will he have more than that, or will he fail to reach that number? He will have more than that, and the reason I think he'll have more is when you go back to this game on Monday night, Christian McCaffrey was the one San Francisco 49er that was still Christian McCaffrey,”
SF 27, WAS 10 — Christian McCaffrey had 91 total yards (64 rushing, 27 receiving) in the 49ers' 27-10 win over the Commanders, under the 121.5 line. (McCaffrey: 14 car, 64 rush yds; 4 rec, 27 rec yds (91 total))
“Mike T., next topic is Patrick Mahomes' interceptions. The number is 0.5. So the question is, will he throw an interception or won't he? He won't he. He won't. He'll be less than 0.5. And here's why. We have talked a lot about the Chiefs, but we have buried the lead.”
LV 20, KC 14 — Patrick Mahomes threw 1 interception in the Chiefs' 20-14 loss to the Raiders, over the 0.5 line. (Mahomes: 27/44, 235 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT)
“So more or fewer than 248 and a half passing yards, Brock Purdy. Either we're doing the show in English or we're not. I'm going with fewer.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Brock Purdy passed for 255 yards in the Ravens' 33-19 win over the 49ers, over the 248.5 line. (Purdy: 18/32, 255 passing yds)
“Bart more or less 247 and a half passing yards for Brock Purdy against Arizona I got to go more I think this is a superior opponent This is a divisional opponent”
SF 45, ARI 29 — Brock Purdy passed for 242 yards in the 49ers' 45-29 win over the Cardinals, under the 247.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 242 passing yards)
“Lewis, more or less, 70.5 receiving yards for Stefon Diggs against Dallas. I'm going to say less because this game isn't going to be about the passing game for Buffalo.”
BUF 31, DAL 10 — Stefon Diggs had 48 receiving yards in the Bills' 31-10 win over the Cowboys, under the 70.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Stefon Diggs: 48 receiving yards)
“Meanwhile, Tannenbaum, more or less two and a half touchdown passes for Mahomes against New England. Way more.”
KC 27, NE 17 — Patrick Mahomes threw 2 touchdown passes in the Chiefs' 27-17 win over the Patriots, under the 2.5-TD line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 2 passing TDs)
“Bart, more or less 43-and-a-half rushing yards for Jalen Hurts? I'm going to go less.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Jalen Hurts rushed for 30 yards in the Cowboys' 33-13 win over the Eagles, under the 43.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 30 rushing yards)
“Tannenbaum, let's talk about CeeDee Lamb. More or less 89.5 receiving yards. I'm going to go less greedy.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — CeeDee Lamb had 71 receiving yards in the Cowboys' 33-13 win over the Eagles, under the 89.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (CeeDee Lamb: 71 receiving yards)
“And then Graziano, let's go to Dak. More or fewer, 295 and a half passing yards. Got to go with more.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dak Prescott passed for 271 yards in the Cowboys' 33-13 win over the Eagles, under the 295.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 271 passing yards)
“J., will the Bucs and Pacers combine for more or less than 254.5 points tonight, which is the total? I am taking the overgreen, and I'm going to tell you this right now. I firmly believe that Tyrese Hammerburton is the most exciting player in the NBA right now to watch”
IND 128, MIL 119 — Pacers beat Bucks 128-119 (combined 247) in the NBA In-Season Tournament semifinal, under the 254.5-point total (ESPN box score).
“Austin will Anthony Davis in the game between the Lakers and the Pelicans tonight score more or less than 26 points Yes, he will. More, you're saying? I do. Yeah, more. I have 80 and the more on that.”
LAL 133, NO 89 — Anthony Davis scored 16 points in the Lakers' 133-89 rout of the Pelicans, under the 26-point line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Davis: 16 points)
“And then, J. Will, LeBron, more or less 42 minutes in this game tonight. You know the reason why the in-season tournament has been successful? Because the establishment, the players that have been in the league the longest, want to win the Cup. LeBron James wants to win the Cup. It means something. He will do, I mean, he's the only player that played 40 minutes in their game the other night. He will do so again this evening.”
LAL 133, NO 89 — LeBron James played 23 minutes in the Lakers' 133-89 win over the Pelicans, under the 42-minute line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 23 minutes played)
“Jeffrey, more or less. Jordan Love, two and a half touchdown passes Monday night against the Giants. It's a big number, but I'm going more. I mean, listen, when you're playing the Giants, I feel like you're going to get a lot of opportunities.”
NYG 24, GB 22 — Jordan Love threw 1 touchdown pass in the Packers' 24-22 loss to the Giants, under the 2.5-TD line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 1 passing TD)
“Marcus, how about Tyreek Hill against the Titans? More or less 125 receiving yards. More. Gee, I don't know why I would ever say Tyreek Hill wouldn't go over more than the yards that we ask him more or less because he always does.”
TEN 28, MIA 27 — Tyreek Hill had 61 receiving yards in the Dolphins' 28-27 loss to the Titans, well under the 125-yard line (ESPN box score). (Tyreek Hill: 61 receiving yards)
“K-Mart, Josh Allen against the Chiefs. One and a half total turnovers, more or less. Honestly, I'm going to say less, G, because they need it to be less. At this point, the Buffalo Bills are literally on the outside of the playoff picture.”
BUF 20, KC 17 — Josh Allen threw 1 interception and lost no fumbles (1 total turnover) in the Bills' 20-17 win over the Chiefs, under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 1 INT, 0 fumbles lost = 1 turnover)
“Bart, talk about Jalen Hurts. Will he have more or less than 242 and a half passing yards? I think less. Listen, Jalen Hurts, that's a tough defense right there. I think running the ball is going to be their key to success.”
42-19 — Jalen Hurts threw for 298 passing yards in Philadelphia's 19-42 loss to San Francisco, well over the 242.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 298 passing yards)
“Mike T, let's talk about Christian McCaffrey. Will he rush for more or less than 72 and a half yards? significantly more. If there's a vulnerability on this Eagles defense, it's right down the middle. Their linebacker play has not been good, and they're injured, and I think McCaffrey exploits it.”
42-19 — Christian McCaffrey rushed for 93 yards on 17 carries in San Francisco's 42-19 win over Philadelphia, clearing the 72.5 line (ESPN/49ers.com box score). (Christian McCaffrey: 93 rushing yards)
“let's go back to the Eagles offense. A.J. Brown, more or less 73.5 receiving yards. I think it's going to be more. Look, as good as San Francisco is, as well as they can rush the passer, they have had wide receivers have big days against them in the back end, producing explosive plays.”
42-19 — A.J. Brown caught 8 passes for 114 receiving yards in Philadelphia's 42-19 loss to San Francisco, clearing the 73.5 line (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown: 114 receiving yards)
“Dan, more or less, 77.5 receiving yards for Miami's Tyreek Hill today against the Jets. I'm going to say more, a couple reasons why. I do think that they're going to take some shots down the field, but their perimeter screen game is so dynamic.”
34-13 — Tyreek Hill caught passes for 102 receiving yards in Miami's 34-13 win over the Jets, clearing the 77.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyreek Hill: 102 receiving yards)
“Mike T, big game in Houston this weekend. More or less, 273.5 passing yards for Houston's C.J. Stroud against the Jaguars. Way more, dramatically more. Hard stop. C.J. Stroud has outplayed Trevor Lawrence this year, period. End of story.”
21-24 — C.J. Stroud threw for 304 yards on 26-of-36 passing in Houston's 21-24 loss to Jacksonville, clearing the 273.5 line (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 304 passing yards)
“Hawk, the next one is in the Eagles-Bills game. More or less, Jalen Hurts, 284.5 yards of total offense against the Bills, more or less? Yeah, my Eagles expert, Alan Chu, told me this is a no-brainer. It's going to be more right here.”
34-37 — Jalen Hurts had 200 passing yards and 65 rushing yards (265 total yards of offense) in Philadelphia's 37-34 OT win over Buffalo, under the 284.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 200 pass yds + 65 rush yds = 265 total yards of offense)
“Harry, more or less, 253.5 passing yards for Jared Goff against those Packers. I'm going to go less, and the reason why I'm going less, when these two teams played the first time around, Detroit was able to rush for over 200 yards and three touchdowns”
22-29 — Jared Goff threw for 332 passing yards in Detroit's 22-29 Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, well over the 253.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 332 passing yards)
“D Wood more or less 113 yards from scrimmage for Christian McCaffrey I going to go more Now that the 49ers are whole again”
31-13 — Christian McCaffrey had 114 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards (139 scrimmage yards) in San Francisco's 31-13 Thanksgiving win over Seattle, clearing the 113 line (ESPN). (Christian McCaffrey: 114 rush yds + 25 rec yds = 139 scrimmage yards)
“More or less than six and a half catches for my man CeeDee Lamb against Washington. Did you not understand the words coming out of my mouth earlier? I said this is a homecoming game. The only thing that can stop CeeDee Lamb from getting more is his hamstrings”
45-10 — CeeDee Lamb caught 4 passes in Dallas's 45-10 Thanksgiving rout of Washington, under the 6.5-catch line (ESPN box score). (CeeDee Lamb: 4 receptions)
“Bart, more or less 251.5 passing yards for Dak Prescott against Carolina. Oh, more.”
33-10 — Dak Prescott threw for 189 passing yards in Dallas's 33-10 win over Carolina, well under the 251.5 line (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 189 passing yards)
“Tannenbaum, more or less than 68.5 rushing yards from Christian McCaffrey against Tampa. Way more.”
27-14 — Christian McCaffrey rushed for 78 yards on 21 carries in San Francisco's 27-14 win over Tampa Bay, clearing the 68.5 line (ESPN box score). (Christian McCaffrey: 78 rushing yards)
“Bills Jets, more or less 77 and a half passing yards for Diggs. When you look at this Jets defense, it does a great job in the pass game, rushing the passer with four as well. And I expect Joe Brady to understand how important the run game could be to limiting turnovers and getting Josh Allen to be his best. So I'm going to say less for Stephon Diggs,”
32-6 — Stefon Diggs was held to 4 receptions for 27 yards in Buffalo's 32-6 win over the Jets, well under the 77.5 line (ESPN box score). (Stefon Diggs: 4 receptions, 27 receiving yards)