Jay Williams

Analyst · 20-11 on settled picks

Record
20-11
Cash %
64.5%
Net units
+7.18u
ROI
+23.2%

Bankroll

Last 10: 6-4 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 19 settled days
-2.50+2.5+5+7.5202420252026+7.18u
0+5202420252026+7u

Picks

32 total · 1 pending
Status
Market
NBA prop
pending
Nikola Jokic over 51.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet
Denver Nuggets NBA Playoffs game, May 2025 · Get Up, 2025-04-29 ·

“J Will Jokic 51 and a half points plus rebounds plus assists tonight for Denver more or less I going to go more”

NBA prop
won
Jalen Brunson over 6 assists · DraftKings closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Get Up, 2026-06-10 ·

“J. Will going to give us some picks for tonight's game. You have Jalen Brunson, the over on six assists. Tell me why. Yeah, because I think when the ball rotates and it moves, that's when Jalen Brunson is at his best.”

NY 107, SA 106 — Jalen Brunson: 7 assists vs over 6; covers. (Jalen Brunson: 7 assists)

NBA prop
won
OG Anunoby over 20 points · DraftKings closed +16.5 · CLV -3.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Get Up, 2026-06-10 ·

“OG Ananobi had a big game three. You like him over 20 points tonight. Tell me why. I think he's one of the few matchups in the league.”

NY 107, SA 106 — OG Anunoby: 33 points vs over 20; covers. (OG Anunoby: 33 points)

NBA prop
lost
Stephon Castle over 15 points · DraftKings closed +16.5 · CLV +1.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Get Up, 2026-06-10 ·

“The last one is Stephon Castle. You're going over on 15 points with him. Yeah, I am. I think this is a layup. I just think his ability to get to the rim in transition, he attacks matchups.”

NY 107, SA 106 — Stephon Castle: 13 points vs over 15; busts. (Stephon Castle: 13 points)

NBA prop
won
Victor Wembanyama over 25 points · DraftKings closed +27.5 · CLV +2.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2026-06-08 ·

“J Will you like Wembenyama to go over 25 points Tell me why I went to 29 the other day And I think in a scenario in which you have to get this game you have to get this game Your star player needs to have a huge evening”

NY 111, SA 115 — Victor Wembanyama: 32 points vs over 25; covers. (Victor Wembanyama: 32 points)

NBA prop
lost
Jalen Brunson over 6 assists · DraftKings closed +5.5 · CLV -0.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2026-06-08 ·

“You also went over on Jalen Brunson assists, which is six. Tell me why. Because I think this game is going to come down to Jalen Brunson in the shoot or pass decision area of the court.”

NY 111, SA 115 — Jalen Brunson: 5 assists vs over 6; busts. (Jalen Brunson: 5 assists)

NBA prop
won
Stephon Castle over 15 points · DraftKings closed +15.5 · CLV +0.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2026-06-08 ·

“And then how about Stefan Castle? The number on him is 15 points and you're going over. I am. I just think, look, the one thing about Fox, sometimes you haven't been able to count on Fox, but I've learned that with Castle, if he can be aggressive.”

NY 111, SA 115 — Stephon Castle: 23 points vs over 15; covers. (Stephon Castle: 23 points)

NBA prop
lost
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 34.5 points · ESPN Bet
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2025-06-12 ·

“I'm going to go less.”

IND 104, OKC 111 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35 points vs under 34.5; busts. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35 points)

NBA prop
won
Tyrese Haliburton under 9.5 assists · ESPN Bet closed +8.5 · CLV +1
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Finals Game 1 · Get Up, 2025-06-05 ·

“I'm going to go less.”

OKC 110, IND 111 — Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists vs under 9.5; covers. (Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists)

NBA prop
won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 33.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +33.5 · CLV 0
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Finals Game 1 · Get Up, 2025-06-05 ·

“I going to go more SGA is going to get his”

OKC 110, IND 111 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 points vs over 33.5; covers. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 points)

NBA prop
lost
Jalen Brunson under 37.5 points + assists · ESPN Bet closed +41 · CLV -3.5
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 ·

“I think it's going to have to be less.”

NY 111, IND 94 — Jalen Brunson: 42 pra vs under 37.5; busts. (Jalen Brunson: 42 pra)

NBA prop
lost
Tyrese Haliburton over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists · ESPN Bet closed +36 · CLV -0.5
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 ·

“I going to go more just because I think Tyrese Halliburton is going to be aggressive”

NY 111, IND 94 — Tyrese Haliburton: 16 pra vs over 36.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 16 pra)

NBA prop
won
Pascal Siakam under 26.5 points + rebounds · ESPN Bet closed +29.5 · CLV -3
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 ·

“I'm going to go less.”

NY 111, IND 94 — Pascal Siakam: 26 pra vs under 26.5; covers. (Pascal Siakam: 26 pra)

NBA parlay
lost
More or Less featured parlay: Brunson under 37.5 pts+ast, Haliburton over 36.5 pra, Siakam under 26.5 pts+reb (+515) · ESPN Bet
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 ·
  • Jalen Brunson under 37.5 points + assists closed +41 · CLV -3.5 lost
  • Tyrese Haliburton over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists closed +36 · CLV -0.5 lost
  • Pascal Siakam under 26.5 points + rebounds closed +29.5 · CLV -3 won

“If you like those plays, we've made them a parlay on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app”

Parlay busts: Jalen Brunson under 37.5 points + assists +37.5 — lost; Tyrese Haliburton over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists +36.5 — lost; Pascal Siakam under 26.5 points + rebounds +26.5 — won.

NBA prop
won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +33.5 · CLV +2
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves — Western Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-28 ·

“I'm going more.”

OKC 124, MIN 94 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 34 points vs over 31.5; covers. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 34 points)

NBA prop
lost
Karl-Anthony Towns over 35.5 points + rebounds · ESPN Bet closed +37.5 · CLV +2
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 2 · Get Up, 2025-05-23 ·

“I think he's going to go more.”

NY 109, IND 114 — Karl-Anthony Towns: 27 pra vs over 35.5; busts. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 27 pra)

NBA prop
won
Anthony Edwards over 24.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +25.5 · CLV +1
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA Playoffs Game 2 · Get Up, 2025-05-22 ·

“I'm going to say more.”

OKC 118, MIN 103 — Anthony Edwards: 32 points vs over 24.5; covers. (Anthony Edwards: 32 points)

NBA prop
won
Karl-Anthony Towns over 32.5 points+rebounds · ESPN Bet
New York Knicks at Boston Celtics, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-16 ·

“I said more.”

Karl-Anthony Towns had 21 points and 12 rebounds (33 combined) in Game 6, over the 32.5 line. (21 pts, 12 reb = 33 pts+reb)

NBA prop
won
Nikola Jokic over 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +28.5 · CLV 0
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-15 ·

“I got more.”

DEN 119, OKC 107 — Nikola Jokic: 29 points vs over 28.5; covers. (Nikola Jokic: 29 points)

NBA prop
won
Nikola Jokic over 50.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet closed +50.5 · CLV 0
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-13 ·

“going more or less? More, more, more.”

OKC 112, DEN 105 — Nikola Jokic: 64 pra vs over 50.5; covers. (Nikola Jokic: 64 pra)

NBA prop
won
Stephen Curry under 37.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet closed +37.5 · CLV 0
Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors, NBA Playoffs Game 1 · Get Up, 2025-05-06 ·

“I'm going to go less just because of the short day of rest.”

MIN 88, GS 99 — Stephen Curry: 15 pra vs under 37.5; covers. (Stephen Curry: 15 pra)

NBA prop
lost
Nikola Jokic over 26.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +27.5 · CLV +1
Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-01 ·

“Give me more cowbell, baby, when it comes to Nikola Jokic all day, every day.”

LAC 111, DEN 105 — Nikola Jokic: 25 points vs over 26.5; busts. (Nikola Jokic: 25 points)

NBA prop
won
James Harden over 36.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet closed +35.5 · CLV -1
Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-01 ·

“I'm going to go over.”

LAC 111, DEN 105 — James Harden: 42 pra vs over 36.5; covers. (James Harden: 42 pra)

NBA prop
won
Jalen Brunson over 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +28.5 · CLV 0
New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-01 ·

“I'm going to go more cowbell here because they're going to need it.”

DET 113, NY 116 — Jalen Brunson: 40 points vs over 28.5; covers. (Jalen Brunson: 40 points)

NBA prop
lost
Jayson Tatum under 26.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +26.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics — NBA Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2024-06-17 ·

“Jason Tatum, more or less 26.5 points tonight. I'm going to say less, not because I don't think that Jason Tatum can't explode for 40”

BOS 106, DAL 88 — Jayson Tatum: 31 points vs under 26.5; busts. (Jayson Tatum: 31 points)

NBA prop
won
Luka Doncic over 30.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +30.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2024-05-30 ·

“The number on Luka for tonight is 30.5 points. Are you going over or under Luka 30.5? I'm going to go over for Luka tonight.”

MIN 103, DAL 124 — Luka Doncic: 36 points vs over 30.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 36 points)

NBA prop
won
Kyrie Irving over 22.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +22.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2024-05-30 ·

“Kyrie Irving, the number 22 and a half on Kyrie tonight. Over or under? I think over for Kyrie.”

MIN 103, DAL 124 — Kyrie Irving: 36 points vs over 22.5; covers. (Kyrie Irving: 36 points)

NBA prop
won
Luka Doncic over 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +28.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 2 · Get Up, 2024-05-24 ·

“J. Will, Luka Doncic, the number is 28.5 points. You going more or less? I'm going to go more.”

MIN 108, DAL 109 — Luka Doncic: 32 points vs over 28.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 32 points)

NBA prop
won
Anthony Edwards under 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +27.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets — Game 3, Second Round · Get Up, 2024-05-10 ·

“J-Will, Anthony Edwards tonight for Minnesota game three. His number is 28 and a half. More or less? I'm going to go less”

MIN 90, DEN 117 — Anthony Edwards: 19 points vs under 28.5; covers. (Anthony Edwards: 19 points)

NBA prop
won
Luka Doncic under 31.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +30.5 · CLV +1
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder — Game 2, Second Round · Get Up, 2024-05-09 ·

“J. Will, Luka tonight against OKC, more or less 31 and a half points. I'm going to go less.”

OKC 110, DAL 119 — Luka Doncic: 29 points vs under 31.5; covers. (Luka Doncic: 29 points)

NBA total
lost
Over 254.5 combined points · ESPN Bet closed +257 · CLV +2.5
Milwaukee Bucs at Indiana Pacers — NBA In-Season Tournament semifinal · Get Up, 2023-12-07 ·

“J., will the Bucs and Pacers combine for more or less than 254.5 points tonight, which is the total? I am taking the overgreen, and I'm going to tell you this right now. I firmly believe that Tyrese Hammerburton is the most exciting player in the NBA right now to watch”

MIL 119, IND 128 — Combined 247; over 254.5 busts.

NBA prop
lost
LeBron James over 42 minutes · ESPN Bet
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Lakers — NBA In-Season Tournament semifinal · Get Up, 2023-12-07 ·

“J. Will, LeBron, more or less 42 minutes in this game tonight. You know the reason why the in-season tournament has been successful? Because the establishment, the players that have been in the league the longest, want to win the Cup. LeBron James wants to win the Cup. It means something. He will do, I mean, he's the only player that played 40 minu”

LeBron James played only about 23 minutes in the Lakers' 133-89 in-season tournament semifinal win over the Pelicans, well under the 42-minute line. (LeBron: ~23 minutes played)

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