Jay Williams

Analyst · 22-9 on settled picks

Record
22-9
Cash %
71.0%
Net units
+11.00u
ROI
+35.5%

Bankroll

Last 10: 8-2 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 20 settled days
0+5+10202420252026+11.00u
0+5+10202420252026+11u

Picks

31 total
Status
Market
NBA prop
won
Jalen Brunson over 6 assists · DraftKings closed +6.5 · CLV +0.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Get Up, 2026-06-10 · ·

“J. Will going to give us some picks for tonight's game. You have Jalen Brunson, the over on six assists. Tell me why. Yeah, because I think when the ball rotates and it moves, that's when Jalen Brunson is at his best.”

NY 107, SA 106 — Jalen Brunson recorded 7 assists, clearing the over 6 line, as the Knicks beat the Spurs 107-106 in NBA Finals Game 4 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 7 assists)

NBA prop
won
OG Anunoby over 20 points · DraftKings closed +16.5 · CLV -3.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Get Up, 2026-06-10 · ·

“OG Ananobi had a big game three. You like him over 20 points tonight. Tell me why. I think he's one of the few matchups in the league. Like, low key, there are times where he feels like the best player on the court. I'm not saying that's always the case. No. But when he's able to attack certain matchups and use that bigger body frame and get his shot off, I think the Knicks are a way better basketball.”

NY 107, SA 106 — OG Anunoby scored 33 points, clearing the over 20 line, as the Knicks beat the Spurs 107-106 in NBA Finals Game 4 (ESPN box score). (OG Anunoby: 33 points)

NBA prop
lost
Stephon Castle over 15 points · DraftKings closed +16.5 · CLV +1.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 4 · Get Up, 2026-06-10 · ·

“The last one is Stephon Castle. You're going over on 15 points with him. Yeah, I am. I think this is a layup. I just think his ability to get to the rim in transition, he attacks matchups.”

NY 107, SA 106 — Stephon Castle scored 13 points, missing the over 15 line, in the Knicks' 107-106 win over the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 4 (ESPN box score). (Stephon Castle: 13 points)

NBA prop
won
Victor Wembanyama over 25 points
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2026-06-08 · ·

“J Will you like Wembenyama to go over 25 points Tell me why I went to 29 the other day And I think in a scenario in which you have to get this game you have to get this game Your star player needs to have a huge evening”

SA 115, NY 111 — Victor Wembanyama scored 32 points, clearing 25, as the Spurs beat the Knicks 115-111 in NBA Finals Game 3 (ESPN box score). (Victor Wembanyama: 32 points)

NBA prop
lost
Jalen Brunson over 6 assists · DraftKings closed +5.5 · CLV -0.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2026-06-08 · ·

“You also went over on Jalen Brunson assists, which is six. Tell me why. Because I think this game is going to come down to Jalen Brunson in the shoot or pass decision area of the court.”

SA 115, NY 111 — Jalen Brunson recorded 5 assists, missing the over 6 line, in the Spurs' 115-111 win over the Knicks in NBA Finals Game 3 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 5 assists)

NBA prop
won
Stephon Castle over 15 points · DraftKings closed +15.5 · CLV +0.5
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2026-06-08 · ·

“And then how about Stephon Castle? The number on him is 15 points and you're going over. I am. I just think, look, the one thing about Fox, sometimes you haven't been able to count on Fox, but I've learned that with Castle, if he can be aggressive.”

SA 115, NY 111 — Stephon Castle scored 23 points, clearing the over 15 line, in the Spurs' 115-111 win over the Knicks in NBA Finals Game 3 (ESPN box score). (Stephon Castle: 23 points)

NBA prop
won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 34 points · ESPN Bet
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Finals Game 3 · Get Up, 2025-06-11 · ·

“Let's do more or less. Brought to you by ESPN Bet Sportsbook J Will the number on SGA is 34 points More or less I going to go more here just because I think SGA is averaging 30 Actually, you know what? I'm sorry. I messed up my head. Come on, J. Make up your mind. I'm trying to. Get into my ear and tell me the answer. It's less. I'm going to go less.”

IND 116, OKC 107 — In NBA Finals Game 3 (June 11, 2025, Pacers 116-107 Thunder), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 24 points, under the 34 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 24 points)

NBA prop
won
Tyrese Haliburton under 9.5 assists · ESPN Bet closed +8.5 · CLV +1
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Finals Game 1 · Get Up, 2025-06-05 · ·

“Jay, the total is nine and a half assists tonight for Tyrese Haliburton. You go more or less? I'm going to go less.”

IND 111, OKC 110 — Tyrese Haliburton had 6 assists in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), under the 9.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 6 assists)

NBA prop
won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 33.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +33.5 · CLV 0
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder — NBA Finals Game 1 · Get Up, 2025-06-05 · ·

“And then Jay let go to the MVP 33 and a half total points tonight for SGA You go more or less I going to go more SGA is going to get his”

IND 111, OKC 110 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 38 points in NBA Finals Game 1 (Pacers 111, Thunder 110), over the 33.5 line (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 points)

NBA prop
lost
Jalen Brunson under 37.5 points + assists · ESPN Bet closed +41 · CLV -3.5
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 · ·

“J. Will, 37 and a half is the combined points plus assists for Jalen Brunson. Which way do we go? I think it's going to have to be less.”

NY 111, IND 94 — Jalen Brunson had 32 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast (42 PRA) as the Knicks beat the Pacers 111-94 in ECF Game 5; 42 is over the 37.5 line, so the under busts (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 42 PRA (32 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast))

NBA prop
lost
Tyrese Haliburton over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists · ESPN Bet closed +36 · CLV -0.5
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 · ·

“All right, let's go to Tyrese Haliburton. Then on the other side, you do the points plus rebounds plus assists. The total is 36 and a half more or less. I going to go more just because I think Tyrese Haliburton is going to be aggressive His best game of the series was last game when he was aggressive from the beginning But trust and believe if you can get him into being a passer and the scoring thing doesn happen I think that plays into how the Knicks want to play”

NY 111, IND 94 — Tyrese Haliburton had 8 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast (16 PRA) as the Knicks beat the Pacers 111-94 in ECF Game 5; 16 is well under the 36.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 16 PRA (8 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast))

NBA prop
won
Pascal Siakam under 26.5 points + rebounds · ESPN Bet closed +29.5 · CLV -3
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-29 · ·

“And then there's Pascal Siakam, who's been tremendous the last two games. His number is 26.5 combined points plus rebounds, more or less? I'm going to go less.”

NY 111, IND 94 — Pascal Siakam had 15 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast (26 PRA) as the Knicks beat the Pacers 111-94 in ECF Game 5; 26 is under the 26.5 line, so the under covers (ESPN box score). (Pascal Siakam: 26 PRA (15 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast))

NBA prop
won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +33.5 · CLV +2
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves — Western Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-28 · ·

“It on Chris Finch You got to find ways to get your star open when they doubling and triple teaming him Figure it out or the season over That right Jay the other side you got SGA 31 and a half is his over You go more or less. I'm going more.”

OKC 124, MIN 94 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points as Oklahoma City closed out the series with a 124-94 Game 5 win over Minnesota; over 31.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 34 points)

NBA prop
lost
Karl-Anthony Towns over 35.5 points + rebounds · ESPN Bet closed +37.5 · CLV +2
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks — Eastern Conference Finals Game 2 · Get Up, 2025-05-23 · ·

“J. Will Karl-Anthony Towns, who had a very productive game one. St. Joe's my touch in. His total points plus rebounds is 35 and a half. What do we think? I think he's going to go more.”

IND 114, NY 109 — Karl-Anthony Towns had 20 points and 7 rebounds (27 points+rebounds) in the Knicks' 109-114 Game 2 loss to the Pacers; under the 35.5 line, so over busts (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 20 points, 7 rebounds (27 pts+reb))

NBA prop
won
Anthony Edwards over 24.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +25.5 · CLV +1
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA Playoffs Game 2 · Get Up, 2025-05-22 · ·

“J. Will, the number on Ant-Man, 24.5 points game two, more or less. I'm going to say more.”

OKC 118, MIN 103 — Anthony Edwards scored 32 points as the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 118-103 in Game 2; over 24.5 covers (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 32 points)

NBA prop
won
Karl-Anthony Towns over 32.5 points+rebounds · ESPN Bet
New York Knicks at Boston Celtics, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-16 · ·

“Karl-Anthony Towns, total points plus rebounds, 32.5. Which way do we go? I'm going to go more, but there's a caveat.”

NY 119, BOS 81 — Towns had 21 points and 12 rebounds (33 combined) in New York's 119-81 Game 6 win over Boston on May 16, 2025, clearing the 32.5 line (ESPN box score). (Karl-Anthony Towns: 21 pts, 12 reb = 33 pts+reb)

NBA prop
won
Nikola Jokic over 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +28.5 · CLV 0
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-15 · ·

“J-Will, the number on the Joker is 28.5 points in tonight's must-win game six. You go more or less. I got more.”

DEN 119, OKC 107 — Jokic scored 29 points in Denver's 119-107 Game 6 win over Oklahoma City on May 15, 2025, clearing the 28.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 29 points)

NBA prop
won
Nikola Jokic over 50.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet closed +50.5 · CLV 0
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 5 · Get Up, 2025-05-13 · ·

“Denver Jokic, his number is 50.5 for points plus rebounds plus a 7. assists. Tonight, game five at OKC, going more or less? More, more, more.”

OKC 112, DEN 105 — Jokic had 44 pts/15 reb/5 ast = 64 PRA in Thunder's 112-105 Game 5 win over Denver on May 13, 2025, clearing the 50.5 line (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 44 pts, 15 reb, 5 ast = 64 pra)

NBA prop
won
Stephen Curry under 37.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet closed +37.5 · CLV 0
Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors, NBA Playoffs Game 1 · Get Up, 2025-05-06 · ·

“Let's start with Stephen Curry, J. Will. If we add up his total points, rebounds, and assists tonight, will it be 37 and a half, more or less? I'm going to go less just because of the short day of rest.”

GS 99, MIN 88 — Stephen Curry had 13 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast (15 PRA) before leaving with a hamstring strain in the Warriors' 99-88 Game 1 win over the Timberwolves, well under 37.5. (Stephen Curry: 13 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast (15 PRA))

NBA prop
lost
Nikola Jokic over 26.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +27.5 · CLV +1
Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-01 · ·

“Jay Will, Nuggets, Clippers, Nikola Jokic, 26 and a half points is his total. You going more or less? Give me more cowbell, baby, when it comes to Nikola Jokic all day, every day.”

111-105 — In Clippers 111, Nuggets 105 (West 1st Round Game 6, 5/1/2025), Nikola Jokic scored 25 points, under 26.5 (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 25 PTS)

NBA prop
won
James Harden over 36.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet closed +35.5 · CLV -1
Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-01 · ·

“How about James Harden? 36 and a half. Rebounds and assists is his number. Rebounds. Oh, excuse me. Points, rebounds, and assists. I'm going to go over.”

111-105 — In Clippers 111, Nuggets 105 (West 1st Round Game 6, 5/1/2025), James Harden had 28 PTS, 6 REB, 8 AST = 42 PRA, over 36.5 (ESPN box score). (James Harden: 28 PTS / 6 REB / 8 AST = 42 PRA)

NBA prop
won
Jalen Brunson over 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +28.5 · CLV 0
New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons, NBA Playoffs Game 6 · Get Up, 2025-05-01 · ·

“And then J. Will, Knicks tonight with a chance to clinch that game is in Detroit. It's also been a great series. Jalen Brunson's got an ankle. 28 and a half is his total, more or less. I'm going to go more cowbell here because they're going to need it.”

116-113 — In Knicks 116, Pistons 113 (East 1st Round Game 6, 5/1/2025, series-clinching), Jalen Brunson scored 40 points, over 28.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Brunson: 40 PTS)

NBA prop
lost
Nikola Jokic over 51.5 points+rebounds+assists · ESPN Bet
Denver Nuggets NBA Playoffs game, May 2025 · Get Up, 2025-04-29 · ·

“J Will Jokic 51 and a half points plus rebounds plus assists tonight for Denver more or less I going to go more”

131-115 — In Nuggets 131, Clippers 115 (West 1st Round Game 5, 4/29/2025), Nikola Jokic had 13 PTS, 10 REB, 12 AST = 35 PRA, under 51.5 (ESPN box score). (Nikola Jokic: 13 PTS / 10 REB / 12 AST = 35 PRA)

NBA prop
lost
Jayson Tatum under 26.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +26.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics — NBA Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2024-06-17 · ·

“Jayson Tatum, more or less 26.5 points tonight. I'm going to say less, not because I don't think that Jayson Tatum can't explode for 40”

106-88 — Jayson Tatum scored 31 points as the Celtics beat the Mavericks 106-88 in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Finals; over the 26.5 line, so the under bet lost (ESPN box score). (Jayson Tatum: 31 points)

NBA prop
won
Luka Doncic over 30.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +30.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2024-05-30 · ·

“The number on Luka for tonight is 30.5 points. Are you going over or under Luka 30.5? I'm going to go over for Luka tonight.”

DAL 124, MIN 103 — Luka Doncic scored 36 points as the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves 124-103 in WCF Game 5, clearing the over 30.5 (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 36 points)

NBA prop
won
Kyrie Irving over 22.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +22.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 5 · Get Up, 2024-05-30 · ·

“Kyrie Irving, the number 22 and a half on Kyrie tonight. Over or under? I think over for Kyrie.”

DAL 124, MIN 103 — Kyrie Irving scored 36 points as the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves 124-103 in WCF Game 5, clearing the over 22.5 (ESPN box score). (Kyrie Irving: 36 points)

NBA prop
won
Luka Doncic over 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +28.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA Western Conference Finals Game 2 · Get Up, 2024-05-24 · ·

“J. Will, Luka Doncic, the number is 28.5 points. You going more or less? I'm going to go more.”

109-108 — Luka Doncic scored 32 points in Dallas's 109-108 Game 2 win over Minnesota, covering the 28.5 over (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 32 points)

NBA prop
won
Anthony Edwards under 28.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +27.5 · CLV +1
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets — Game 3, Second Round · Get Up, 2024-05-10 · ·

“J-Will, Anthony Edwards tonight for Minnesota game three. His number is 28 and a half. More or less? I'm going to go less”

90-117 — Anthony Edwards scored 19 points in the Timberwolves' 117-90 Game 3 loss to the Nuggets, under his 28.5 line (ESPN box score). (Anthony Edwards: 19 points)

NBA prop
won
Luka Doncic under 31.5 points · ESPN Bet closed +30.5 · CLV +1
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder — Game 2, Second Round · Get Up, 2024-05-09 · ·

“J. Will, Luka tonight against OKC, more or less 31 and a half points. I'm going to go less.”

110-119 — Luka Doncic scored 29 points as the Mavericks beat the Thunder 119-110 in Game 2, under his 31.5 line (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 29 points)

NBA total
lost
Over 254.5 combined points · ESPN Bet closed +257 · CLV +2.5
Milwaukee Bucs at Indiana Pacers — NBA In-Season Tournament semifinal · Get Up, 2023-12-07 · ·

“J., will the Bucs and Pacers combine for more or less than 254.5 points tonight, which is the total? I am taking the overgreen, and I'm going to tell you this right now. I firmly believe that Tyrese Hammerburton is the most exciting player in the NBA right now to watch”

IND 128, MIL 119 — Pacers beat Bucks 128-119 (combined 247) in the NBA In-Season Tournament semifinal, under the 254.5-point total (ESPN box score).

NBA prop
won
LeBron James under 42 minutes · ESPN Bet
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Lakers — NBA In-Season Tournament semifinal · Get Up, 2023-12-07 · ·

“And then, J. Will, LeBron, more or less 42 minutes in this game tonight. You know the reason why the in-season tournament has been successful? Because the establishment, the players that have been in the league the longest, want to win the Cup. LeBron James wants to win the Cup. It means something. He will do, I mean, he's the only player that played 40 minutes in their game the other night. He will do so again this evening.”

LAL 133, NO 89 — LeBron James played 23 minutes in the Lakers' 133-89 win over the Pelicans, under the 42-minute line (ESPN box score). (LeBron James: 23 minutes played)

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