“Will the Eagles have more or less than 10 and a half wins I going to go less I think the first thing on the board you say to yourself can they return to form from a rushing standpoint”
Harry Douglas
Analyst · 12-22 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 0-10 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 29 settled daysPicks
37 total · 3 pending“The Cowboys are next up as they are projected to win 8.5, so more or less for the Cowboys. I'd go more.”
“seven and a half. You said this is your team now. More or less than seven and a half projected wins. I'm going way more.”
“I'm going with Drake May over seven rushing attempts.”
Drake Maye had only 5 rushing attempts in Super Bowl LX, under the 7.5-attempt line. (5 carries, 37 yards, 1 fumble lost)
“Over 230 passing yards.”
NE 13, SEA 29 — Sam Darnold: 202 passing_yards vs over 230.5; busts. (Sam Darnold: 202 passing_yards)
“Jackson Smith and Jigba will have a 30-plus yard reception in this game.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished Super Bowl LX with only 4 receptions for 27 total yards, so his longest catch could not have exceeded 29.5 yards. (4 receptions, 27 yards (no single catch could reach 30 yards))
- Drake Maye over 7.5 rushing attempts pending
- Sam Darnold over 230.5 passing yards closed +231.5 · CLV +1 lost
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over 29.5 yards pending
“Look for the hitting the mark featured parlay priced at plus 395”
Parlay busts: Drake Maye over 7.5 rushing attempts +7.5 — manual; Sam Darnold over 230.5 passing yards +230.5 — lost; Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over 29.5 yards +29.5 — manual.
“I'm going more.”
Cam Ward threw for a career-high 265 yards but 0 passing touchdowns in the Titans' 22-21 win over the Cardinals, under 0.5. (21/39, 265 pass yds, 0 pass TD, 1 INT)
“I'm going to go more because San Francisco,”
SF 21, JAX 26 — Christian McCaffrey: 49 rushing_yards vs over 74.5; busts. (Christian McCaffrey: 49 rushing_yards)
“The Chiefs total is 11 and a half wins this year We go more or less I going more”
Chiefs finished 6-11, their first losing season since 2012, far under 11.5 wins. (Chiefs 2025: 6-11, 3rd in AFC West)
“Hawk will DK Metcalf have more or less than six and a half touchdown catch We going more”
DK Metcalf finished the 2025 season with 6 touchdown catches for the Steelers, under the 6.5 line. (DK Metcalf: 59 rec, 850 yds, 6 TD in 2025)
“Harry, Josh Allen's rushing total is 49.5 yards. You going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Josh Allen: 39 rushing_yards vs over 49.5; busts. (Josh Allen: 39 rushing_yards)
“Harry, the total passing number for Jared Goff is 274.5.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Jared Goff: 231 passing_yards vs over 274.5; busts. (Jared Goff: 231 passing_yards)
“Yeah, I'm going more. We do know when the ball gets inside, like the two yard line and in, he's going to run the tush push.”
Jalen Hurts exited early with a concussion vs Washington, finishing with 0 passing TDs and 0 rushing TDs, under the 2.5 total-TD line. (1/4 passing, 11 yds, 0 TD; 3 car, 41 yds, 0 TD (exited with concussion))
“I'm going to go less.”
Jordan Love threw 4 passing touchdowns (no rushing TDs) in the Thursday Night loss to Detroit, well over the 2.5 total-TD line. (4 passing TDs, 0 rushing TDs)
“I'm going to go more.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Tyreek Hill: 83 receiving_yards vs over 59.5; covers. (Tyreek Hill: 83 receiving_yards)
“Harry, let's talk about Jalen Hurts passing touchdowns. Also one and a half is the number. Are you going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more.”
Jalen Hurts threw 1 passing touchdown against the Rams, missing the over-1.5 line. (179 yds, 1 pass TD)
“Josh Allen, his number on passing yards is 224-1⁄2. You go more or less? Yeah, I think in order for the Buffalo Bills to win this football game, it has to be more.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Josh Allen: 262 passing_yards vs over 224.5; covers. (Josh Allen: 262 passing_yards)
“Joe Burrow, more or less, three passing touchdowns. As much as I love Joe Burrow, I'm going with less in this scenario because T. Higgins is doubtful.”
Joe Burrow threw 4 passing touchdowns in the Bengals' 35-34 loss to the Ravens, exceeding the under-3 line. (428 yds, 4 pass TD)
“Harry, I'll start with you. The number is 69.5 rushing yards for Bijan against Dallas. We're going more or less? I'm going more.”
ATL 27, DAL 21 — Bijan Robinson: 86 rushing_yards vs over 69.5; covers. (Bijan Robinson: 86 rushing_yards)
“But first, Cowboys Niners, Harry, Dak Prescott. His total is one and a half passing touchdowns against San Francisco. You go more or less? I'm going to go more greeny.”
Prescott threw 2 passing touchdowns (both to CeeDee Lamb) in Dallas's 30-24 loss to San Francisco, over 1.5. (25/38, 243 pass yds, 2 TD, 2 INT)
“at the wide receiver position or Rashid Shahid Alvin Kamara is going to have to be a guy that”
NO 10, DEN 33 — Alvin Kamara: 10 rushing_yards vs over 69.5; busts. (Alvin Kamara: 10 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to go more. You're facing the Jacksonville Jaguars who aren't good facing the pass when it comes to their defense. Caleb Williams also, I feel like he's finally settling into the offense of the Chicago Bears.”
CHI 35, JAX 16 — Caleb Williams: 226 passing_yards vs over 224.5; covers. (Caleb Williams: 226 passing_yards)
“is going to make a point of emphasis to get the ball to Stephon Diggs early and often all kind of ways, whether it's reverses, passing the football, catching the football, no matter what the circumstances are”
Diggs caught 6 passes for 82 receiving yards (no rushing) in Houston's 23-20 win over Buffalo, over 61.5 combined. (6 rec, 82 yds)
“I'm going to go more, and I feel like it has to be because of the run defense of the New England Patriots. They're second in the NFL right now only allowing 58 rushing yards per game. So Garrett Wilson is going to have to be found early and often in this matchup.”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Garrett Wilson: 5 receptions vs over 5.5; busts. (Garrett Wilson: 5 receptions)
“going less on this one This New England defense you talk about keying in and taking away your best option That”
Hall had 54 rushing + 29 receiving = 83 combined yards vs. New England, under 98.5. (16 car, 54 yds, 1 TD; 4 rec, 29 yds; 83 total yds from scrimmage)
“I'm going to go Moore. He had 132 last week in Brazil. Not only did he give the Packers a big loss, I will say this. Kellen Moore realizes that this guy is dynamic, not only in the run game, but also the pass game.”
Barkley had 95 rushing + 21 receiving = 116 yards from scrimmage in the Eagles' 22-21 loss to Atlanta, over 96.5. (16 car, 95 yds rush; 4 rec, 21 yds; 116 total yds from scrimmage)
“I'm going less, Greeny. I have him around 250, between 245 and 250, and particularly because when you look at the defensive side of the ball for the Green Bay Packers, they have dudes over there.”
Hurts totaled 311 yards from scrimmage (278 passing + 33 rushing) against the Packers, over the 279.5 line. (278 pass yds + 33 rush yds = 311 total)
“Harry, let's go to Detroit. The Lions' number is 10.5, more or less? I'm going to go more”
Detroit Lions finished the 2024 season 15-2, well over the 10.5 win total. (15-2 record)
“The Steelers' number is 7.9 wins. That would mean a losing season for Mike Tomlin. You're going more or less than 7.9? This is an easy one, Grinny. I'm going more.”
Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 season 10-7, over the 7.9 win total. (10-7 record)
“Harry Douglas, if I said more or less 22.5 touchdown passes for Caleb Williams this year. Which way do you go? I'm going to go more, Greeny.”
Caleb Williams threw 20 passing TDs as a rookie in 2024, under 22.5. (Caleb Williams 2024: 20 passing TDs)
“Harry, 10.5 is the number in Dallas. Which way do you go? I'm going to go less.”
Cowboys finished the 2024 season 7-10, under 10.5 wins. (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)
“Harry, let's go to your beloved birds. The Falcons' number is nine and a half wins, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
Falcons finished the 2024 season 8-9, under 9.5 wins. (ATL 2024 record: 8-9)
“Harry, let's go to the other side. But Brock Purdy, more or less one and a half passing touchdowns. Well, huh, it's Brock Purdy, damn it. He's going to have more.”
Brock Purdy threw only 1 touchdown pass in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (23/38, 255 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 1 INT)
“How about the end zone shots, D. Wood? Mahomes more or less one and a half passing touchdowns.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 2 touchdown passes in the Chiefs' 25-22 OT win over San Francisco in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (34/46, 333 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 1 INT)
“Harry, let's talk about Amin Ross St. Brown. More or less seven and a half catches. I'm going to go more. This is a young man that they've been able to count on this entire season, third and receiving yards this week, this year in the National Football League.”
SF 34, DET 31 — Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7 receptions vs over 7.5; busts. (Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7 receptions)
“Harry, more or less, 253.5 passing yards for Jared Goff against those Packers. I'm going to go less, and the reason why I'm going less, when these two teams played the first time around, Detroit was able to rush for over 200 yards and three touchdowns”
DET 22, GB 29 — Jared Goff: 332 passing_yards vs under 253.5; busts. (Jared Goff: 332 passing_yards)