pending
Eagles season win total Under 10.5
“Will the Eagles have more or less than 10 and a half wins I going to go less I think the first thing on the board you say to yourself can they return to form from a rushing standpoint”
Harry Douglas
Analyst · 12-20 on settled picks
Record
12-20
Cash %
37.5%
Net units
-9.09u
ROI
-28.4%
Bankroll
Last 10: 0-10 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 28 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | prop | futures | All |
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 9-16-31% | 3-4-18% | 12-20-28% |
Picks
35 total · 3 pending pending
Cowboys season win total Over 8.5
“The Cowboys are next up as they are projected to win 8.5, so more or less for the Cowboys. I'd go more.”
pending
Giants season win total Over 7.5
“All right, let's wrap up the Giants now. seven and a half. You said this is your team now. More or less than seven and a half projected wins. I'm going way more. I actually thought this football team, when they hired John Harbaugh,”
lost
Drake Maye over 7 rushing attempts · DraftKings
“I'm going with Drake Maye over seven rushing attempts.”
Drake Maye had only 5 rushing attempts (for 37 yards) in Super Bowl LX, under the 7-attempt line. (5 carries, 37 rushing yards)
lost
Sam Darnold over 230 passing yards · DraftKings closed +231.5 · CLV +1.5
“Over 230 passing yards.”
Sam Darnold passed for 194 yards (19/38, 1 TD) in Super Bowl LX, well under the 230-yard line. (19/38, 194 passing yards, 1 TD)
lost
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 30-plus-yard longest reception · DraftKings
“Jackson Smith and Jigba will have a 30-plus yard reception in this game.”
Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished Super Bowl LX with 4 receptions for 27 yards and a longest catch of 16 yards, short of the 30-plus-yard line. (4 receptions, 27 yards; longest reception 16 yards)
lost
Cam Ward over 0.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“Let's keep cooking. Harry, Cam Ward, more or less than half a touchdown pass against the Arizona Cardinals. I'm going more.”
TEN 22-ARI 21 — Cam Ward threw for 265 yards but 0 touchdowns (21/39, 1 INT) in the Titans' 22-21 win over the Cardinals, under 0.5 passing TDs (ESPN box score). (Cam Ward: 21/39, 265 passing yards, 0 passing TD, 1 INT)
lost
Christian McCaffrey over 74.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +73 · CLV -1.5
“Harry, let's go to San Francisco. Christian McCaffrey, his total is 74.5 rushing yards this weekend. We go more or less. I'm going to go more because San Francisco, they're going to need more from Christian McCaffrey if they want to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Jaguars 26, 49ers 21 — Christian McCaffrey rushed for 49 yards in the 49ers' 21-26 loss to the Jaguars, under the 74.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Christian McCaffrey: 49 rush yds)
lost
Chiefs over 11.5 wins · ESPN Bet
“The Chiefs total is 11 and a half wins this year We go more or less I going more”
6-11 — The Chiefs finished the 2025 regular season 6-11, well under the 11.5-win over.
lost
DK Metcalf over 6.5 touchdown catches · ESPN Bet
“Hawk will DK Metcalf have more or less than six and a half touchdown catch We going more”
DK Metcalf finished the 2025 season with 6 receiving touchdowns for the Steelers (59 rec, 850 yds), under the 6.5 line, so the over busts (ESPN season stats). (DK Metcalf 2025: 59 rec, 850 yds, 6 TD)
lost
Josh Allen over 49.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +49.5 · CLV 0
“Harry, Josh Allen's rushing total is 49.5 yards. You going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Josh Allen rushed 11 times for 39 yards in the Bills' 32-29 AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs, missing the over 49.5 line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 11 car, 39 rush yds)
lost
Jared Goff over 274.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +286.5 · CLV +12
“Harry, the total passing number for Jared Goff is 274.5. We go more or less? I'm going more because, number one, it has to be. When you have the deficiencies that you have defensively, that means you have to put up numbers. you have to put up points.”
31-9 — Jared Goff threw for 231 passing yards in Detroit's 31-9 Week 18 win over Minnesota, under the 274.5 line. (Jared Goff: 231 passing yards)
lost
Jalen Hurts Over 2.5 total touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“Who set these lines for us, Harry, two and a half total touchdowns for Jalen Hurts against Washington. You're going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more. We do know when the ball gets inside, like the two yard line and in, he's going to run the tush push.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Jalen Hurts left early with a concussion, finishing 1/4 passing for 11 yards and 3 carries for 41 yards with zero touchdowns of either kind, under the 2.5 total-TD line (ESPN box score; CBS Sports recap). (Jalen Hurts: 1/4 passing, 11 yds, 0 TD; 3 car, 41 yds, 0 TD (exited with concussion))
won
Jordan Love Under 2.5 total touchdowns (passing + rushing) · ESPN Bet
“Harry, let's talk about Jordan Love. His total of two and a half total touchdowns. So that will be passing plus rushing. You're going more or less? I'm going to go less.”
DET 34, GB 31 — Jordan Love threw just 1 passing touchdown (12/20) and had no rushing touchdowns in the Thursday Night loss to Detroit, well under the 2.5 total-TD line. (Jordan Love: 1 passing TD, 0 rushing TD)
won
Tyreek Hill Over 59.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +63.5 · CLV +4
“Okay, Harry, let's talk Tyreek Hill. receiving yards 59 and a half, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Tyreek Hill caught 6 passes for 83 receiving yards in the Packers' 30-17 Thanksgiving win over the Dolphins, over the 59.5 line. (Tyreek Hill: 83 receiving yards)
lost
Jalen Hurts over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“Harry, let's talk about Jalen Hurts passing touchdowns. Also one and a half is the number. Are you going more or less? Yeah, I'm going more.”
Jalen Hurts threw 179 yards and 1 passing touchdown in the Eagles' 37-20 win over the Rams, missing the over-1.5 line (ESPN final score/recap). (179 yds, 1 pass TD)
won
Josh Allen over 224.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +237 · CLV +12.5
“Josh Allen, his number on passing yards is 224-1⁄2. You go more or less? Yeah, I think in order for the Buffalo Bills to win this football game, it has to be more.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Josh Allen passed for 262 yards (27/40) in Buffalo's 30-21 win over Kansas City, clearing the 224.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 27/40, 262 pass yds)
lost
Joe Burrow under 3 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“Joe Burrow, more or less, three passing touchdowns. As much as I love Joe Burrow, I'm going with less in this scenario because T. Higgins is doubtful.”
BAL 35, CIN 34 — Joe Burrow threw 4 passing touchdowns (34/56, 428 yards) in Baltimore's 35-34 win over Cincinnati, exceeding the under-3 TD line (ESPN box score). (Joe Burrow: 34/56, 428 yds, 4 pass TD)
won
Bijan Robinson over 69.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +71.5 · CLV +2
“Harry, I'll start with you. The number is 69.5 rushing yards for Bijan against Dallas. We're going more or less? I'm going more.”
Atlanta 27, Dallas 21 — Bijan Robinson rushed for 86 yards in Atlanta's 27-21 win over Dallas, over the 69.5 line (ESPN box score). (Bijan Robinson: 19 car, 86 rush yds)
won
Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“But first, Cowboys Niners, Harry, Dak Prescott. His total is one and a half passing touchdowns against San Francisco. You go more or less? I'm going to go more greeny.”
SF 30, DAL 24 — Prescott threw 2 passing touchdowns (both to CeeDee Lamb) in Dallas's 30-24 loss to San Francisco, over the 1.5 passing-TD line. (Dak Prescott: 25/38, 243 pass yds, 2 TD, 2 INT)
lost
Alvin Kamara over 69.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +67.5 · CLV -2
“Harry the number on Alvin Kamara rushing yards tonight against Denver is 69 and a half You go more or less I going way more especially when you don have a Chris Alave at the wide receiver position or Rashid Shahid Alvin Kamara is going to have to be a guy that dominant tonight”
NO 10, DEN 33 — Kamara rushed for just 10 yards on 7 carries in Denver's 33-10 win over New Orleans, under the 69.5 rushing-yards line. (Alvin Kamara: 7 car, 10 rush yds)
won
Caleb Williams over 224.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet
“Harry, Caleb Williams, the number is 224 and a half passing yards. You going more or less? I'm going to go more. You're facing the Jacksonville Jaguars who aren't good facing the pass when it comes to their defense.”
35-16 — Williams passed for 226 yards in Chicago's 35-16 win over Jacksonville, over the 224.5 passing-yards line (ESPN box score). (Caleb Williams: 226 pass yds)
won
Stefon Diggs over 61.5 combined rushing and receiving yards · ESPN Bet
“Harry, Stefon Diggs taking on his old team in the Buffalo Bills. Are you going more or less than 61.5 rushing plus receiving yards for Diggs? I'm going more. I think offensive coordinator Bobby Sloick is going to make a point of emphasis to get the ball to Stefon Diggs early and often all kind of ways, whether it's reverses, passing the football, catching the football, no matter what the circumstances are.”
23-20 — Diggs caught 6 passes for 82 receiving yards (no rushing) in Houston's 23-20 win over Buffalo, over the 61.5 combined line (ESPN game recap). (Stefon Diggs: 6 rec, 82 yds)
lost
Garrett Wilson over 5.5 receptions · ESPN Bet closed +5.5 · CLV 0
“Harry, how about Garrett Wilson? Five and a half receptions is the number. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, and I feel like it has to be because of the run defense of the New England Patriots. They're second in the NFL right now. only allowing 58 rushing yards per game. So Garrett Wilson is going to have to be found early and often in this matchup”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Garrett Wilson caught 5 passes for 33 yards in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, under the 5.5 reception line (ESPN box score). (Garrett Wilson: 5 rec, 33 yds)
won
Breece Hall under 98.5 total yards from scrimmage · ESPN Bet
“So Garrett Wilson is going to have to be found early and often in this matchup But I think early on in this ballgame it important for Aaron Rodgers and also Nathaniel Hackett to figure out how New England is playing Garrett Wilson to get him the football in multiple ways Yeah so Garrett Wilson a key but for the Jets generally it starts with Breece Hall J his number is 98 and a half yards from scrimmage so total yards more or less I going less on this one This New England defense you talk about keying in and taking away your best option That what they do best”
NYJ 24, NE 3 — Breece Hall totaled 54 rushing + 29 receiving = 83 yards from scrimmage in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, under the 98.5 line (ESPN box score). (Breece Hall: 54 rush yds, 29 rec yds, 83 total yds from scrimmage)
won
Saquon Barkley over 96.5 total yards from scrimmage · ESPN Bet
“Saquon's number is 96.5 total yards from scrimmage. More or less? I'm going to go Moore.”
ATL 22, PHI 21 — Saquon Barkley totaled 95 rushing + 21 receiving = 116 yards from scrimmage in Philadelphia's 22-21 loss to Atlanta, over the 96.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 22 car, 95 rush yds; 4 rec, 21 yds; 116 total yds from scrimmage)
lost
Jalen Hurts under 279.5 total yards from scrimmage · ESPN Bet
“Well, let's talk about Jalen. Harold, I've got you next. Jalen Hurts, total yards from skimmage, 279.5. You go more or less. I'm going less, Greeny.”
PHI 34, GB 29 — Jalen Hurts totaled 278 passing + 33 rushing = 311 yards from scrimmage in Philadelphia's 34-29 win over Green Bay, over the 279.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 278 pass yds + 33 rush yds = 311 total)
won
Lions over 10.5 season wins · ESPN Bet
“Harry, let's go to Detroit. The Lions' number is 10.5, more or less? I'm going to go more”
The Detroit Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, well over the 10.5 win total (ESPN standings). (DET 2024: 15-2)
won
Steelers over 7.9 season wins · ESPN Bet
“The Steelers' number is 7.9 wins. That would mean a losing season for Mike Tomlin. You're going more or less than 7.9? This is an easy one, Grinny. I'm going more.”
The Pittsburgh Steelers finished the 2024 regular season 10-7, clearing the over 7.9 season win total (ESPN schedule/standings). (10-7 record)
lost
Caleb Williams over 22.5 touchdown passes · ESPN Bet
“Harry Douglas, if I said more or less 22.5 touchdown passes for Caleb Williams this year. Which way do you go? I'm going to go more, Greeny.”
Caleb Williams threw 20 passing touchdowns in his 2024 rookie season, under the 22.5 line (ESPN stats). (Caleb Williams 2024: 20 passing TDs)
won
Cowboys under 10.5 wins · ESPN Bet
“Harry, 10.5 is the number in Dallas. Which way do you go? I'm going to go less.”
7-10 — The Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10, under the 10.5 win total (ESPN). (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)
lost
Falcons over 9.5 wins · ESPN Bet
“Harry, let's go to your beloved birds. The Falcons' number is nine and a half wins, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
8-9 — The Falcons finished the 2024 regular season 8-9, under the 9.5 win total the over bet needed (ESPN). (ATL 2024 record: 8-9)
lost
Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns · DraftKings
“Harry, let's go to the other side. But Brock Purdy, more or less one and a half passing touchdowns. Well, huh, it's Brock Purdy, damn it. He's going to have more.”
25-22 — Brock Purdy threw 1 passing touchdown in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 1.5-TD line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 23/38, 255 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
lost
Amon-Ra St. Brown over 7.5 catches · DraftKings closed +7.5 · CLV 0
“Harry, let's talk about Amon-Ra St. Brown. More or less seven and a half catches. I'm going to go more. This is a young man that they've been able to count on this entire season, third and receiving yards this week, this year in the National Football League.”
SF 34-DET 31 — Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 7 passes in the Lions' 34-31 NFC Championship loss to San Francisco, under the 7.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7 receptions)
lost
Jared Goff under 253.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +253.5 · CLV 0
“Harry, more or less, 253.5 passing yards for Jared Goff against those Packers. I'm going to go less, and the reason why I'm going less, when these two teams played the first time around, Detroit was able to rush for over 200 yards and three touchdowns”
22-29 — Jared Goff threw for 332 passing yards in Detroit's 22-29 Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, well over the 253.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 332 passing yards)