pending
The field (not Lamar Jackson/Josh Allen) to win 2026 NFL MVP · DraftKings
“Would you like them, or would you like the field? I would take the field.”
Dan Graziano
Analyst · 8-7 on settled picks
Record
8-7
Cash %
53.3%
Net units
+0.27u
ROI
+1.8%
Bankroll
Last 10: 7-3 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 13 settled daysPicks
17 total · 2 pending pending
DK Metcalf under 6.5 receiving touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“I'm going to say less.”
won
Jalen Hurts under 252.5 combined passing and rushing yards · ESPN Bet
“I'm going to go less.”
Jalen Hurts had 152 passing + 62 rushing = 214 combined yards in the Eagles' 24-20 Week 1 win over Dallas, under 252.5. (Hurts Week 1: 19/23, 152 pass yds, 62 rush yds (214 combined), 2 rush TD)
lost
Patrick Mahomes under 249.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +254 · CLV -4.5
“Graz, the number on Mahomes, 249.5 passing yards, more or less? I'll go with less, fewer, actually.”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing_yards vs under 249.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing_yards)
won
Travis Kelce under 69.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +69.5 · CLV 0
“Graziano, how about his favorite receiver, Travis Kelsey, receiving yards, 69.5. We go more or less. I went with less.”
KC 32, BUF 29 — Travis Kelce: 19 receiving_yards vs under 69.5; covers. (Travis Kelce: 19 receiving_yards)
won
Matthew Stafford over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“It's got to be more if they're going to have any chance.”
Matthew Stafford threw 2 passing touchdowns in the Rams' 28-22 Divisional Round loss to the Eagles, clearing the 1.5 line. (324 yds, 2 pass TD)
lost
C.J. Stroud Under 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“Last fewer, in fact, if we're being accurate about the English language.”
C.J. Stroud threw 2 passing touchdowns in the Texans' loss to Kansas City, over the 1.5 line. (244 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT)
lost
Jalen Hurts under 255.5 total yards · ESPN Bet
“So, Graz, if I put the number at 255.5 total yards for the Eagles quarterback, you go more or less? I go fewer.”
Hurts totaled 236 passing + 37 rushing = 273 yards in Philadelphia's win over Cincinnati, over the 255.5 under line. (236 pass yds, 1 pass TD; 37 rush yds, 3 rush TD; 273 total)
won
Jayden Daniels over 284.5 total yards · ESPN Bet
“More. I answer more to every single question in this game, and I think when this game ends, we are going to want more of this game. I think it's going to be a high-octane shootout. Jaden Daniels is for real.”
Daniels totaled 269 passing + 21 rushing = 290 yards vs. Baltimore, over 284.5. (269 pass yds, 2 TD; 21 rush yds; 290 total)
won
Jaden Daniels over 18.5 touchdown passes · ESPN Bet
“Braziano, let's go to Washington. More or less 18 and a half touchdown passes for Jaden Daniels. I say more”
Jayden Daniels threw 25 passing TDs as a rookie in 2024, over 18.5. (Jayden Daniels 2024: 25 passing TDs)
won
Chiefs over 11.5 wins · ESPN Bet
“Graz, the number's 11 and a half on the Chiefs. What do you think? I think it's going to be more.”
Chiefs finished the 2024 season 15-2, well over 11.5 wins. (KC 2024 record: 15-2)
won
Steelers over 8.5 wins · ESPN Bet
“Graz, the Steelers' total is eight and a half. More or less? I mean, more, right?”
Steelers finished the 2024 season 10-7, over 8.5 wins. (PIT 2024 record: 10-7)
lost
Brock Purdy under 244.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +246.5 · CLV -2
“Now Brock Purdy, more or less 244 and a half passing yards.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Brock Purdy: 255 passing_yards vs under 244.5; busts. (Brock Purdy: 255 passing_yards)
lost
Lamar Jackson over 284 total yards · ESPN Bet
“Graziano more or less 284 total yards for Lamar Jackson against the Texans I think I said more in this one I think he'll play well. I do think there's definitely a possibility that Houston can pressure him into mistakes.”
Lamar Jackson totaled 252 yards (152 passing + 100 rushing) in the Ravens' 34-10 win over Houston, under the 284 line the bettor took the over on. (152 pass yds, 2 pass TD; 11 car, 100 rush yds, 2 rush TD)
won
C.J. Stroud over 258.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +265.5 · CLV +7
“C.J. Stroud, more or less, 258.5 passing yards. I'm going to say more.”
IND 19, HOU 23 — C.J. Stroud: 264 passing_yards vs over 258.5; covers. (C.J. Stroud: 264 passing_yards)
lost
Justin Fields over 256.5 total yards · DraftKings
“In Graziano, at Lambeau Field, Justin Fields, the more or less number is 256.5 total yards. I'm going more. I mean, the Green Bay defense hasn't really been anything special. They were good last week against a rookie for the Vikings that was a little overwhelmed.”
Justin Fields had 148 passing + 27 rushing = 175 total yards in the Bears' 17-9 loss to Green Bay, under the 256.5 line. (Fields: 148 pass yds, 27 rush yds = 175 total yards)
lost
Dak Prescott over 295.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +301.5 · CLV +6
“More or fewer, 295 and a half passing yards.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — Dak Prescott: 271 passing_yards vs over 295.5; busts. (Dak Prescott: 271 passing_yards)