pending
Aaron Rodgers over 22.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“I believe if he's healthy, he'll have more.”
Ryan Clark
Analyst · 9-8 on settled picks
Record
9-8
Cash %
52.9%
Net units
+0.18u
ROI
+1.1%
Bankroll
Last 10: 7-3 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 12 settled daysPicks
18 total · 1 pending lost
Cade Cunningham over 30 points · DraftKings closed +28.5 · CLV -1.5
“Kirk, in the early game, will Cade Cunningham hit the mark of 30 points tonight for the Pistons? Yes.”
DET 98, ORL 83 — Cade Cunningham: 27 points vs over 30; busts. (Cade Cunningham: 27 points)
lost
Paolo Banchero over 20 points · DraftKings closed +20.5 · CLV +0.5
“Will Paolo Bencaro hit the mark of 20 points tonight? Easy. Easy work. I'm taking the over on this one again.”
DET 98, ORL 83 — Paolo Banchero: 18 points vs over 20; busts. (Paolo Banchero: 18 points)
won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 6.5 assists · DraftKings closed +5.5 · CLV -1
“Now will SGA hit the mark of six assists tonight? He will because they're going to continue to make him play in the crowd.”
OKC 120, PHX 107 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 9 assists vs over 6.5; covers. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 9 assists)
won
Jalen Hurts over 212.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +210.5 · CLV -2
“RC, Jalen Hurts, 212-and-a-half passing yards, more or less. Well, I'm going to say more.”
PHI 15, CHI 24 — Jalen Hurts: 230 passing_yards vs over 212.5; covers. (Jalen Hurts: 230 passing_yards)
won
Saquon Barkley under 78.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +78.5 · CLV 0
“And then RC, Saquon in such a quiet season, 78 and a half rushing yards more or less. You know what? I think less, right?”
PHI 15, CHI 24 — Saquon Barkley: 56 rushing_yards vs under 78.5; covers. (Saquon Barkley: 56 rushing_yards)
won
Dolphins under 8.5 wins · ESPN Bet
“I'm going less wins for Miami.”
Dolphins finished 7-10, under the 8.5-win line. (Dolphins 2025: 7-10, 3rd in AFC East)
lost
Patrick Mahomes over 27.5 touchdown passes · ESPN Bet
“R.C., Patrick Mahomes, his total touchdown passes is 27.5.”
Mahomes threw only 22 TD passes in an injury-shortened 2025 season (torn ACL in Week 15), under 27.5. (Mahomes 2025: 14 games, 3,587 yds, 22 TD, 11 INT)
won
Joe Burrow over 274.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +283.5 · CLV +9
“R.C. Joe Burrow, 274 and a half passing yards against the Denver Broncos.”
CIN 30, DEN 24 — Joe Burrow: 412 passing_yards vs over 274.5; covers. (Joe Burrow: 412 passing_yards)
won
Brock Bowers Over 59.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +61.5 · CLV +2
“He's going to go more.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Brock Bowers: 140 receiving_yards vs over 59.5; covers. (Brock Bowers: 140 receiving_yards)
won
T.J. Watt under 1.5 sacks · ESPN Bet
“RC T Watt sacks one and a half more or less In honor of Dan I going to say fewer”
T.J. Watt recorded 0 sacks against Washington in Week 10, staying under the 1.5 line. (0 sacks, 2 QB hits)
lost
Joe Burrow over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
“RC, if I were to put the number at one and a half, [26:35] touchdown passes for Burrow against the Eagles. [26:38] You go More or Less? [26:39] I'm going More.”
CIN 17, PHI 37 — Joe Burrow: 1 passing_touchdowns vs over 1.5; busts. (Joe Burrow: 1 passing_touchdowns)
lost
Lamar Jackson under 277.5 total yards · ESPN Bet
“R.C. Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson, 277.5 total yards, more or less. You know what? I'm going to say less. And the reason I'm going to say less is I think that they're going to depend on this run game.”
Lamar Jackson totaled 326 yards (272 passing + 54 rushing) in the AFC Championship loss to Kansas City, over the 277.5 line the bettor took the under on. (20/37, 272 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 1 INT; 54 rush yds)
lost
Jared Goff over 1.5 touchdown passes · DraftKings
“R.C. Jared Goff, more or less one and a half touchdown passes. I got more, and the reason I got more is the way that they – I was looking for my answer. The way that they – It's in the red zone.”
Jared Goff threw only 1 touchdown pass in the Lions' 34-31 NFC Championship loss to San Francisco, under the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (25/41, 273 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
won
C.J. Stroud over 247.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +247 · CLV -0.5
“As we look ahead to this weekend's game, Ryan Clark, C.J. Stroud, more or less than 247.5 passing yards against the Browns. I'm going to say more. C.J. Stroud has just been phenomenal throughout this entire season. And the last time the Cleveland Browns played against the Houston Texans, Case Keenum was the quarterback.”
HOU 45, CLE 14 — C.J. Stroud: 274 passing_yards vs over 247.5; covers. (C.J. Stroud: 274 passing_yards)
lost
Josh Allen under 1.5 touchdown passes · DraftKings
“RC, more or less one and a half touchdown passes for Josh Allen against Pittsburgh. Wait, it was touchdown passes? Touchdown passes. Total. It's less. I know it's fewer, actually, on Friday when I'm with Dan Graziano. He's not going to throw for more than one and a half touchdowns.”
Josh Allen threw 3 touchdown passes against Pittsburgh, over the 1.5 line the bettor took the under on. (21/30, 203 pass yds, 3 pass TD in 31-17 win)
lost
Christian McCaffrey over 121.5 total yards · DraftKings
“RC, Christian McCaffrey, 121.5 total yards against the Commanders. Will he have more than that, or will he fail to reach that number? He will have more than that, and the reason I think he'll have more is when you go back to this game on Monday night, Christian McCaffrey was the one San Francisco 49er that was still Christian McCaffrey,”
Christian McCaffrey had only 91 scrimmage yards before exiting with a calf injury in the 49ers' 27-10 win over Washington, under the 121.5 line. (McCaffrey: 91 scrimmage yards on 18 touches (left game in 3rd quarter))
won
Stephon Diggs under 77.5 receiving yards · DraftKings
“So I'm going to say less for Stephon Diggs,”
Stefon Diggs was held to 4 catches for 27 yards in Buffalo's 32-6 rout of the Jets, well under 77.5. (Stefon Diggs: 4 rec, 27 yds (Bills 32, Jets 6))