Analyst · 2-2 on settled picks
3 have calculable CLV from a stated line or price. Headline rates use 0 non-flat moves with audited evidence within 15 minutes of the start; 0 primary flat observations are excluded from the beat rate.
Quote timing: 0 within 15 minutes · 0 15–60 minutes · 0 older than 60 minutes · 3 unverified. Counts include captured quotes without numeric CLV. Parlays and prediction markets are separate. Coverage and missing evidence.
“So with numbers that are provided to us by ESPN Bet, Paul, they've got Alabama's win total at 9.5. You going with more or less? I am going with more, and I know exactly what happened last year in Kalen DeBoer's first season,”
11-4 — Alabama finished the 2025 season 11-4 overall (10-3 regular season, CFP first-round win over Oklahoma, Rose Bowl loss to Indiana), clearing the 9.5-win over.
“this morning. So Paul, let me start with you. Quinn Ewers, quarterback Texas today. The number is 249 and a half passing yards against Arizona State. Are you going more or less? Greeny, I'm going less because I think Texas to win this game needs balance. They don't need Quinn Ewers being Superman. He's had a very unusual season where he's just been on fire, and then other times he cools off. So I think he'll come close to that number, but give me less.”
39-31 — Quinn Ewers threw for 322 passing yards (20-30) as Texas beat Arizona State 39-31 in 2OT; well over the 249.5 line, so the under busts. (Quinn Ewers: 322 passing yards)
“Paul, let's go to Ohio State and Oregon. The total we have is 55.5 total points. Are you going more or less in the Rose Bowl? I'm going more because, I mean, we have two of the most explosive teams in the country, arguably the two most talented teams in the country. And Greeny, I think they're going to light up the scoreboard at the old Rose Bowl where”
41-21 — Ohio State beat Oregon 41-21 in the Rose Bowl; combined 62 points clears the 55.5 total.
“And then finally, Paul, the number is 79.5 rushing yards for Trevor Etienne for Georgia against Notre Dame. Remember, they're playing with a backup quarterback. Georgia is. You go more or less? More.”
23-10 — Trevor Etienne rushed 11 times for 38 yards in Georgia's 23-10 Sugar Bowl loss to Notre Dame, well under the 79.5-yard line. (Trevor Etienne: 38 rushing yards)