“A.J. Brown, that's why they got him. He is a big physical wide receiver, third down red zone.”
Mike Tannenbaum
Analyst · 14-13 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 5-5 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 22 settled daysPicks
30 total · 3 pending“This is going to be a really good offense. When you're really good on offense the way the Rams are going to be, that's going to give Miles Garrett a lot more at-bats in the second half to sack the quarterback that he had in Cleveland a year ago.”
“Less, significantly less.”
“We've got to go more, Greeny, and here's why.”
Caleb Williams had 212 passing + 19 rushing yards (231 combined) in the Bears' 25-24 win over the Raiders, under 249.5. (22/37, 212 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 1 INT; 2 carries, 19 rush yds)
“Yeah, I'm spelling a big season for Minnesota.”
Vikings finished 9-8 (5-game win streak to close the year), clearing the 8.5-win line. (Vikings 2025: 9-8, 3rd in NFC North, missed playoffs)
“The total on Saquon Barkley is 115 and a half rushing yards. You going more or less? I'm less, and I'm believing in Steve Spagnuolo”
PHI 40, KC 22 — Saquon Barkley: 57 rushing_yards vs under 115.5; covers. (Saquon Barkley: 57 rushing_yards)
“Josh Allen, total yards, so rushing and passing. 282.5, we go more or less. Way more.”
Josh Allen totaled 276 yards (237 passing + 39 rushing) in the AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs, falling short of the 282.5 over line. (22/34, 237 pass yds; 11 car, 39 rush yds)
“Moore, if that was for the first half, it would be an interesting conversation.”
PHI 28, LAR 22 — Saquon Barkley: 205 rushing_yards vs over 99.5; covers. (Saquon Barkley: 205 rushing_yards)
“133.5 rushing yards.”
PHI 41, DAL 7 — Saquon Barkley: 167 rushing_yards vs over 133.5; covers. (Saquon Barkley: 167 rushing_yards)
“Brian, I'm going to go way”
HOU 2, BAL 31 — Derrick Henry: 147 rushing_yards vs over 89.5; covers. (Derrick Henry: 147 rushing_yards)
“Mike T, will the Steelers' defense have more or less than three and a half sacks?”
The Steelers defense recorded 0 sacks of Patrick Mahomes on Christmas Day; Kansas City won 29-10, under the 3.5 line. (0 sacks of Mahomes)
“Way fewer.”
KC 27, HOU 19 — Patrick Mahomes: 260 passing_yards vs under 224.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 260 passing_yards)
“I'm going to go less.”
KC 19, LV 17 — Patrick Mahomes: 306 passing_yards vs under 249.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 306 passing_yards)
“Mike T, Russell Wilson total passing plus rushing yards 236.5 more or less. Kevin, it has to be more.”
Russell Wilson had 195 passing yards and 3 rushing yards (198 total) against Washington, well under the 236.5 line. (14/28, 195 pass yds, 3 rush yds on 4 car; 198 total)
“Less greedy because I was thinking copious notes during your monologue, and apparently that's Jim Brown back there”
Jackson totaled 323 passing + 40 rushing = 363 yards vs. Washington, over the 287.5 under line. (20/26, 323 pass yds, 1 TD; 40 rush yds; 363 total)
“More or less six and a half catches.”
Travis Kelce caught 9 passes in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 6.5 line the bettor took the under on. (9 rec, 93 rec yds)
“let's go to Mike T. Travis Kelsey, 61.5 receiving yards, more or less. Brady I going to go more but listening to this discussion I think he could stay in bed based on Kyle Hamilton But I think his size is actually the one neutralizing factor when you look at him against Kyle Hamilton”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Travis Kelce: 116 receiving_yards vs over 61.5; covers. (Travis Kelce: 116 receiving_yards)
“let's talk about Christian McCaffrey. Will he have more or less than 130 and a half total yards? Greeny, this one's easy. More. And the bigger the game, it's about players, not plays.”
Christian McCaffrey totaled 132 yards (90 rushing + 42 receiving) in the 49ers' NFC Championship win over Detroit, over the 130.5 line the bettor took the over on. (20 car, 90 rush yds, 2 rush TD; 4 rec, 42 rec yds)
“Tannenbaum, my next either more or less is this one. 280 and a half passing yards. Jared Goff against Tampa. Yeah, I'm going less screeny. There's no team left playing that's playing with house money more than Tampa Bay. They're going to go up there fast and loose.”
DET 31, TB 23 — Jared Goff: 287 passing_yards vs under 280.5; busts. (Jared Goff: 287 passing_yards)
“Mike T, Packers, will they score more or less than 19.5 points against San Francisco? [38:58] Less, and not really because I don't think Jordan Love will play well.”
The Packers scored 21 points in their 24-21 loss to San Francisco, over the 19.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Final: 49ers 24, Packers 21)
“And we expect another weather game in Kansas City, Mike T. Tyreek Hill going back there with the Dolphins tomorrow night. Will he have more or less than 84.5 receiving yards? Greeny, he's going to have less. I'm going to take Dee Wood's weather forecast and I'm going to raise him.”
KC 26, MIA 7 — Tyreek Hill: 62 receiving_yards vs under 84.5; covers. (Tyreek Hill: 62 receiving_yards)
“Mike Tannenbaum, I'll start with you. Chilly night, make it freezing night. Saturday in Kansas City, more or less. Patrick Mahomes, 254.5 passing yards against the Dolphins. Les, for everything you just said, it's going to be really cold. and we know that this Kansas City passing offense has struggled all season long.”
KC 26, MIA 7 — Patrick Mahomes: 262 passing_yards vs under 254.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 262 passing_yards)
“Eagles, Mike T, more or less 23.5 total points against the G-Men. Green, I'm going more.”
Giants beat Eagles 27-10, a combined 37 total points, over the 23.5 line. (Final: Giants 27, Eagles 10 (37 total))
“Mike T, let's talk about the Steeler game. Mason Rudolph, more or less one and a half touchdown passes. Brady, I'm going to go less. Look, I know this is basically a bye week for the Ravens, but John Harbaugh, there's going to be a lot of pride there.”
Mason Rudolph threw exactly 1 touchdown pass (71-yard TD to Diontae Johnson) in the Steelers' 17-10 win over Baltimore, under the 1.5 line. (Rudolph: 18/20, 152 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT)
“Mike T., next topic is Patrick Mahomes' interceptions. The number is 0.5. So the question is, will he throw an interception or won't he? He won't he. He won't. He'll be less than 0.5. And here's why. We have talked a lot about the Chiefs, but we have buried the lead.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 1 interception in the Chiefs' 20-14 loss to the Raiders, over the 0.5 line. (Mahomes: 27/44, 235 yds, 1 INT)
“Meanwhile, Tannenbaum, more or less two and a half touchdown passes for Mahomes against New England. Way more.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 2 touchdown passes in the Chiefs' 27-17 win over New England, under the 2.5 line. (Mahomes: 2 passing TDs)
“More or less 89.5 receiving yards.”
DAL 33, PHI 13 — CeeDee Lamb: 71 receiving_yards vs under 89.5; covers. (CeeDee Lamb: 71 receiving_yards)
“Mike T, let's talk about Christian McCaffrey. Will he rush for more or less than 72 and a half yards? significantly more. If there's a vulnerability on this Eagles defense, it's right down the middle. Their linebacker play has not been good, and they're injured, and I think McCaffrey exploits it.”
PHI 19, SF 42 — Christian McCaffrey: 93 rushing_yards vs over 72.5; covers. (Christian McCaffrey: 93 rushing_yards)
“Mike T, big game in Houston this weekend. More or less, 273.5 passing yards for Houston's C.J. Stroud against the Jaguars. Way more, dramatically more. Hard stop. C.J. Stroud has outplayed Trevor Lawrence this year, period. End of story.”
C.J. Stroud threw for 304 yards in Houston's 21-24 loss to Jacksonville, clearing the 273.5 line. (C.J. Stroud: 304 passing yds (Jaguars 24, Texans 21))
“Tannenbaum, more or less than 68.5 rushing yards from Christian McCaffrey against Tampa.”
SF 27, TB 14 — Christian McCaffrey: 78 rushing_yards vs over 68.5; covers. (Christian McCaffrey: 78 rushing_yards)