Joe Fortenbaugh

“Give me something on Wemby offensively. 25-plus points, high floor in this series. His worst night was 24 points, average of 27, so we're not asking him to do too much outside of what he's already been doing.”

SA 90, NY 94 — Victor Wembanyama: 19 points vs over 25; busts. (Victor Wembanyama: 19 points)

“How about Dylan Harper? Six-plus rebounds. Great price here because he's coming off his worst rebounding night of the series with just four boards. But look at the other three games. Nine boards, eight boards, six boards.”

SA 90, NY 94 — Dylan Harper: 5 rebounds vs over 6; busts. (Dylan Harper: 5 rebounds)

“And for the entire Knicks team, what's your favorite prop? Josh Hart two plus steals Nice plus money wager here for a guy who”

SA 90, NY 94 — Josh Hart: 0 steals vs over 2; busts. (Josh Hart: 0 steals)

“Lay the one and a half with Illinois. Danny Hurley, 17 and one against the spread in his last 18 tournament games.”

CONN 71, ILL 62 — Illinois Fighting Illini margin -9 vs line -1.5; busts.

“Michigan, Arizona plus the 1.5. This game comes down entirely to Michigan's three-point shooting.”

ARIZ 73, MICH 91 — Arizona Wildcats margin -18 vs line +1.5; busts.

“Totals 141 and a half. I think it goes under.”

DUKE 80, SJU 75 — Combined 155; under 141.5 busts.

“Ugly game, as Coach said earlier. I bet the under here as well.”

Duke beat St. John's 80-75 in the Sweet 16 (Mar 27, 2026); combined 155 points sailed over the 141.5 total, so the Under lost. (Duke 80, St. John's 75 (total 155 vs line 141.5))

“We'll lay the 7.5 with Purdue Greeny.”

ARIZ 79, PUR 64 — Purdue Boilermakers margin -15 vs line -7.5; busts.

“Michigan State, UConn, that's an under bet. 137.5, open 140. Under money's been coming in for good reason.”

MICH 90, ALA 77 — Combined 167; under 137.5 busts.

“We'll look to a futures play here. Houston to make the final fours plus money. Plus 115, $10 bet, returns $11.50 in profit.”

Houston lost to Illinois in the Elite Eight, failing to reach the Final Four. (Houston (No. 2 seed) eliminated by Illinois in the Elite Eight)

“We'll take the 2.5. This could be one of your surprise upsets of the day. So we're going to begin Santa Clara plus the 2.5 over Kentucky.”

UK 89, SCU 84 — Santa Clara Broncos margin -5 vs line +2.5; busts.

“Akron plus 7.5 over Texas Tech. Red Raiders are limping in both literally and figuratively.”

TTU 91, AKR 71 — Akron Zips margin -20 vs line +7.5; busts.

“And finally, Northern Iowa plus the 9.5 over St. John's. I think the Johnnies are a tad overvalued because we just saw them destroy UConn in the Big East Championship game.”

SJU 79, UNI 53 — Northern Iowa Panthers margin -26 vs line +9.5; busts.

“So we're betting over under on Siena. How many points will they score? We're going to go under 53 and a half against Duke.”

DUKE 71, SIE 65 — Combined 136; under 53.5 busts.

“Idaho we're gonna go under their number against Houston which is 56 and a half”

HOU 78, IDHO 47 — Combined 125; under 56.5 busts.

“At DraftKings right now, you can bet the Spurs to finish the regular season with the most wins in the NBA. Pays 11-1.”

Oklahoma City Thunder finished with the NBA's best regular-season record (64 wins); the Spurs finished second with 62 wins. (Spurs 62-20 (2nd in NBA); Thunder 64 wins (1st in NBA))

“You offer me 10-1 that they miss the playoffs. I'll take that bet, Greeny.”

Lakers clinched a playoff spot (4th seed in the West at 53-29) and did not miss the playoffs. (Lakers finished 53-29, No. 4 seed West; beat Rockets in Round 1 before being swept by OKC in Round 2)

“I like him over 37 and a half rushing yards, but the focus here, the better play, is that”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards vs over 37.5; busts. (Drake Maye: 37 rushing_yards)

“20.5 is the number I would play under.”

NE 13, SEA 29 — Combined 42; under 20.5 busts.

“Denver's first drive results”

Denver's opening drive ended in a touchdown (Sutton 6-yard TD catch), not a field goal. (Broncos opening drive result: touchdown, not field goal)

“On top of that let look at his teammate AJ Barner Four plus receptions Great buy low price because he had zero targets against the Niners last week Wasn even a factor in the passing game But this dude shows up in these matchups against the Rams”

AJ Barner caught only 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards in the NFC Championship, under the 3.5-reception line. (2 receptions, 13 yards on 3 targets)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown
• AJ Barner over 3.5 receptions
• Matthew Stafford longest completion 35+ yards

“Look for the Hitting the Mark featured parlay.”

AJ Barner caught just 2 passes (under the 3.5 line) in Seattle's 31-27 NFC Championship win over the Rams (Jan 25, 2026), busting the parlay even though JSN scored a TD and Stafford's 44-yard completion to Puka Nacua cleared 34.5. (Barner 2 REC; JSN 1 TD; Stafford long 44 yds)

“Drake May, 30-plus rushing yards.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Drake Maye: 10 rushing_yards vs over 29.5; busts. (Drake Maye: 10 rushing_yards)

“Blake Corum, 46-plus rushing yards.”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Blake Corum: 19 rushing_yards vs over 46.5; busts. (Blake Corum: 19 rushing_yards)

• Drake Maye over 29.5 rushing yards lost
• Blake Corum over 45.5 rushing yards closed +45.5 · CLV 0 lost
• Rome Odunze over 39.5 receiving yards closed +34.5 · CLV -5 won

“So recapping, if you like the picks, they're a parlay. [16:34] Drake May over on the rushing yards. [16:35] Coram over on the rushing yards. [16:37] Odunze over on the receiving yards. [16:39] They've parlayed them together with the DraftKings Sportsbook app. [16:42] Look for the hitting the mark featured parlay priced at plus 506 odds.”

Parlay busts: Drake Maye over 29.5 rushing yards +29.5 — lost; Blake Corum over 45.5 rushing yards +45.5 — lost; Rome Odunze over 39.5 receiving yards +39.5 — won.

“I'd lay the eight and a half with Indiana.”

IU 27, MIA 21 — Indiana Hoosiers margin +6 vs line -8.5; busts.

“I think we played the over.”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Combined 37; over 48.5 busts.

“I'd look to laying the three and a half with the Rams.”

CHI 17, LAR 20 — Los Angeles Rams margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.

“Under 45 and a half is the best bet.”

DEN 33, BUF 30 — Combined 63; under 45.5 busts.

“Game pick is Houston plus three.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Houston Texans margin -12 vs line +3; busts.

“Best bet is under 40 and a half.”

NE 28, HOU 16 — Combined 44; under 40.5 busts.

“We'll go ahead and play Oklahoma on the money line here.”

OU 24, ALA 34 — Oklahoma Sooners lost; moneyline busts.

“Miami versus the Aggies What your best bet Laying the three and a half with Texas A”

TA&M 3, MIA 10 — Texas A&M Aggies margin -7 vs line -3.5; busts.

“I take the Raiders plus the 11.5. We're asking the Eagles to not only win, but to win by margin. It's not something they do.”

PHI 31, LV 0 — Las Vegas Raiders margin -31 vs line +11.5; busts.

“How about the Browns and Bears in frigid Chicago? I'll take Cleveland plus the 7.5. This is what we call a sandwich spot for the Bears.”

CHI 31, CLE 3 — Cleveland Browns margin -28 vs line +7.5; busts.

“Next, NFL pick, Steelers-Ravens. What do we like? Ravens minus five and a half.”

BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.

“And then how about the big game at Lambeau Field, Bears and Packers? This is an under bet, 44 and a half.”

GB 28, CHI 21 — Combined 49; under 44.5 busts.

“on the Cowboys next week against Minnesota, where they're minus 6.5.”

DAL 26, MIN 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line -6.5; busts.

“Joe Fortinball, Packers, a six-and-a-half-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook. What are you thinking? I think the best bet overall here is to go with the under.”

No total stated on air (only the -6.5 spread was mentioned); used the closing total of 44.5. Packers beat Bears 28-21 (49 combined points), over the total. (Packers 28, Bears 21 (49 total))

“Joe, best bet. Ravens minus the five and a half. Ten days to get ready for the game. Should be able to run.”

BAL 22, PIT 27 — Baltimore Ravens margin -5 vs line -5.5; busts.

“You lay the 6.5 against Minnesota last week. It was 7.5 going into the game. Most people see that as just a one-point dip. It's not.”

DAL 26, MIN 34 — Dallas Cowboys margin -8 vs line -6.5; busts.

“Next, we go to Cooper Flagg. What are we looking at with him? Under 17.5 points.”

DAL 118, MIA 108 — Cooper Flagg: 22 points vs under 17.5; busts. (Cooper Flagg: 22 points)

• Karl-Anthony Towns over 11.5 rebounds closed +12.5 · CLV +1 won
• Cooper Flagg under 17.5 points closed +18.5 · CLV -1 lost
• Over 235.5 total points closed +238.5 · CLV +3 won

“Those are Joe's picks, and if you like them, they're a parlay. At the DraftKings Sportsbook app, look for the over or under featured parlay. It's priced at plus 541 odds.”

Parlay busts: Karl-Anthony Towns over 11.5 rebounds +11.5 — won; Cooper Flagg under 17.5 points +17.5 — lost; Over 235.5 total points +235.5 — won.

• Jalen Hurts over 212.5 passing yards closed +210.5 · CLV -2
• Caleb Williams under 1.5 passing touchdowns
• Saquon Barkley under 78.5 rushing yards closed +78.5 · CLV 0

“All right, so if you like those picks, they're a parlay. We've put them together on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app. Look for the more or less featured parlay on the homepage and in the Parlay Lounge.”

Hurts (230 yds) and Barkley (56 yds) both hit their legs, but Caleb Williams threw 2 passing TDs, going over the 1.5 line and sinking the parlay. (Hurts 230 pass yds; Caleb Williams 2 pass TD; Barkley 56 rush yds)

“And it could mean more passing yards for Jared Goff. His number is 242.5. Which way do we go? That I would actually look to less.”

DET 24, GB 31 — Jared Goff: 256 passing_yards vs under 242.5; busts. (Jared Goff: 256 passing_yards)

• Jordan Love over 1.5 passing touchdowns pending
• Jameer Gibbs under 114.5 total yards pending
• Jared Goff under 242.5 passing yards closed +241.5 · CLV +1 lost

“If you like these picks, they're a parlay. Right now, that you just heard from Joe, we've parlayed them together on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app.”

Parlay busts: Jordan Love over 1.5 passing touchdowns +1.5 — manual; Jameer Gibbs under 114.5 total yards +114.5 — manual; Jared Goff under 242.5 passing yards +242.5 — lost.

“One and a half passing touchdowns is his total. We go more or less. We're going to go less here. This number isn't as easy to eclipse as some people think.”

Daniel Jones threw 2 passing touchdowns vs. Kansas City, over the 1.5 line (bet was under). (2 passing TDs (to Michael Pittman Jr. and Andrew Ogletree) in 23-20 loss to Chiefs)

“His rushing total, 91 and a half yards. This is where we play the more. Workhorse running back, number one in the NFL in rushing attempts per game,”

KC 23, IND 20 — Jonathan Taylor: 58 rushing_yards vs over 91.5; busts. (Jonathan Taylor: 58 rushing_yards)

“262.5 passing yards for Patrick Mahomes. More or less? Less. Only three of ten quarterbacks have done this to the Bronco defense this year.”

DEN 22, KC 19 — Patrick Mahomes: 276 passing_yards vs under 262.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 276 passing_yards)

“Four and a half catches for Travis Kelsey, more or less? Less. Denver's defense is allowing about 4.1 receptions per game to opposing tight ends this year.”

Travis Kelce caught 9 passes in the Chiefs' 22-19 loss to the Broncos, over 4.5. (9 receptions, 91 yds, 1 TD)

“His number on passing yards is 275. What do you think? We're going to go more.”

BUF 28, KC 21 — Patrick Mahomes: 250 passing_yards vs over 275.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 250 passing_yards)

“And how about Josh Allen? One and a half passing touchdowns is the prop. Yeah, you'll notice the theme here more.”

Josh Allen threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Bills' 28-21 win over the Chiefs, under 1.5 (he added 2 rushing TDs). (23/26, 273 pass yds, 1 pass TD; 2 rush TD)

“We're going to go with the Texas Longhorns. The number's getting away from this year. It's now up to three and a half, so this has got to be a smaller wager.”

TEX 34, VAN 31 — Texas Longhorns margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.

“His total is 204 and a half passing yards. What do you think? We'll play more.”

Eagles beat the Giants 38-20 (Oct 26, 2025, Week 8); Jalen Hurts threw for only 179 yards, well under the 204.5 line. (Hurts: 15/20, 179 yds, 4 TD (PHI 38, NYG 20))

“Combined yards, so passing and rushing for Jackson Dart, 240 and a half. This is more as well.”

Jaxson Dart had 193 passing + 17 rushing yards (210 combined) in the Giants-Eagles game, under 240.5. (14/24, 193 pass yds, 1 pass TD; 6 carries, 17 rush yds, 1 rush TD)

“His total is 80 and a half yards. Where do we go? Less.”

Saquon Barkley ran for 150 yards on 14 carries in the Eagles' 38-20 win over the Giants, blowing well past the 80.5 under. (Barkley: 14 car, 150 yds, 1 rush TD (PHI 38, NYG 20))

“Number one, Saints plus four and a half over the Buccaneers”

Buccaneers routed the Saints 23-3 (MNF, Oct 27, 2025); New Orleans lost by 20, failing to cover +4.5. (Final: Buccaneers 23, Saints 3)

“That's where the Baltimore Ravens come in. Plus 130 to win the division is the best price you've had all year.”

The Pittsburgh Steelers won the AFC North in 2025 (clinching with a win over Baltimore in the finale), not the Ravens. (Steelers won AFC North; Ravens did not)

“His total is 61.5 receiving yards. What do you think? Going more, Patrick Mahomes is going to want to get him involved”

KC 31, LV 0 — Rashee Rice: 42 receiving_yards vs over 61.5; busts. (Rashee Rice: 42 receiving_yards)

“His total is 55.5 rushing yards this weekend, more or less. We're going less.”

Cam Skattebo rushed for 60 yards (16 carries) against Denver, over the 55.5 line, so the under loses. (Skattebo 16 car, 60 rush yds)

“That struggling Eagles offense, 209.5 passing yards more or less. This is less.”

MIN 22, PHI 28 — Jalen Hurts: 326 passing_yards vs under 209.5; busts. (Jalen Hurts: 326 passing_yards)

“This is where you buy in on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Everyone's checking out on them now. You're going to get them at home, extra rest, three and a half points.”

This Packers-at-Steelers matchup only occurred once in 2025, on Oct. 26 (Week 8) — Pittsburgh had no Week 7 home game (they played at Cincinnati on Oct. 16). Green Bay won 35-25, so the Steelers lost outright by 10, failing to cover +3.5. (Packers 35, Steelers 25 (Steelers +3.5 fails))

“Under seven and a half runs, Seattle and Toronto. It's been an offensive explosion the last few games. Market's readjusted. Now we take advantage by going the other way.”

SEA 6, TOR 2 — Combined 8; under 7.5 busts.

“We're going to go less”

Jared Goff threw 2 passing touchdowns in the Lions' 30-17 loss to the Chiefs, over 1.5. (203 pass yds, 2 pass TD)

“This is going to be a more.”

KC 30, DET 17 — Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing_yards vs over 260.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 257 passing_yards)

• Jared Goff under 1.5 passing touchdowns
• Jahmyr Gibbs under 69.5 rushing yards
• Patrick Mahomes over 260.5 passing yards

“there were parlay on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app”

Parlay loses on two legs: Jared Goff threw 2 passing TDs (over the 1.5 under) and Patrick Mahomes passed for 257 yards (short of the 260.5 over); Jahmyr Gibbs's 65 rushing yards did clear his 69.5 under leg, but it's not enough to save the parlay. (Goff 2 pass TD (loss); Gibbs 65 rush yds (win); Mahomes 257 pass yds (loss))

“Anything short of the key number of three, we're playing Baltimore here.”

KC 37, BAL 20 — Baltimore Ravens margin -17 vs line -2.5; busts.

“We'll lay the six and a half.”

DAL 40, GB 40 — Green Bay Packers margin +0 vs line -6.5; busts.

“And now that it's down to two and a half, I would play Georgia.”

UGA 21, ALA 24 — Georgia Bulldogs margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I like LSU plus the point and a half.”

MISS 24, LSU 19 — LSU Tigers margin -5 vs line +1.5; busts.

“Penn State minus a three and a half.”

PSU 24, ORE 30 — Penn State Nittany Lions margin -6 vs line -3.5; busts.

“Tennessee plus 4.5 against Indianapolis.”

TEN 20, IND 41 — Tennessee Titans margin -21 vs line +4.5; busts.

“Let's start with Dak Prescott's total, 264.5 passing yards.”

CHI 31, DAL 14 — Dak Prescott: 251 passing_yards vs over 264.5; busts. (Dak Prescott: 251 passing_yards)

“More, but it feels so easy.”

CHI 31, DAL 14 — Combined 45; over 50.5 busts.

• Dak Prescott over 264.5 passing yards
• Caleb Williams over 1.5 passing touchdowns
• Over 50.5

“All right, if you agree with Joe's picks, we've made them into a parlay for Cowboys-Bears.”

Bears beat Cowboys 31-14 (45 combined points). Dak Prescott threw for only 251 yards (under 264.5) and the game total stayed under 50.5, sinking the parlay despite Caleb Williams' 4 TD passes hitting his leg. (Prescott 251 pass yds (1 TD, 2 INT); C. Williams 298 pass yds, 4 TD; final Bears 31, Cowboys 14 (45 total, under 50.5).)

“Rams, because it's about the number three-and-a-half.”

Eagles beat Rams 33-26 (Jordan Davis blocked-FG return TD as time expired). Rams lost by 7, failing to cover +3.5. (Final: Eagles 33, Rams 26.)

“Play Cincinnati.”

MIN 48, CIN 10 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -38 vs line +2.5; busts.

“We'll lay the seven and a half with Oklahoma, but it's a smaller wager because we move through the key number of seven.”

OU 24, AUB 17 — Oklahoma Sooners margin +7 vs line -7.5; busts.

“We'll take the Gators”

MIA 26, FLA 7 — Florida Gators margin -19 vs line +9.5; busts.

“Going Rams, we'll take the points.”

Eagles beat Rams 33-26 (Jordan Davis blocked-FG return TD as time expired). Rams lost by 7, failing to cover +3.5. (Final: Eagles 33, Rams 26.)

• Jared Goff over 249.5 passing yards closed +246.5 · CLV -3 won
• Saquon Barkley under 88.5 rushing yards closed +86.5 · CLV +2 won
• George Pickens under 53.5 receiving yards lost

“They're on ESPN Bet Sportsbook right now at plus 541.”

Parlay busts: Jared Goff over 249.5 passing yards +249.5 — won; Saquon Barkley under 88.5 rushing yards +88.5 — won; George Pickens under 53.5 receiving yards +53.5 — lost.

“We going to buy low on the Gators getting more than a touchdown at plus 7”

LSU 20, FLA 10 — Florida Gators margin -10 vs line +7; busts.

“We're going to play Georgia minus the 3.5.”

TENN 41, UGA 44 — Georgia Bulldogs margin +3 vs line -3.5; busts.

“We'll take Kansas City plus the point and a half.”

KC 17, PHI 20 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -3 vs line +1.5; busts.

• Patrick Mahomes under 243.5 passing yards closed +253.5 · CLV -10
• Travis Kelce under 48.5 receiving yards closed +50.5 · CLV -2
• Justin Herbert under 1.5 touchdown passes

“So to recap Joe is going Mahomes passing Kelsey receiving and Herbert touchdowns under”

All three unders missed in Chargers' 27-21 win over Chiefs in Sao Paulo: Mahomes threw for 258 yards (line 243.5) and Herbert threw 3 TD passes (line 1.5), both exceeding their lines. (Mahomes 258 pass yds; Herbert 3 pass TD)

“and bet over 7.5 wins.”

Cowboys finished 7-9-1, under the 7.5-win line. (Cowboys 2025: 7-9-1, missed playoffs)

“More.”

Clemson went 7-5 in the regular season (7-6 with bowl loss), well under the 9.5-win line. (Clemson 2025: 7-5 regular season, lost Pinstripe Bowl 10-22 to Penn State)

“but the Sixers are 11-1 to win the Eastern Conference.”

The Philadelphia 76ers did not win the 2025-26 Eastern Conference; they were swept by the New York Knicks in the conference semifinals, and the Knicks went on to win the East and the 2026 NBA Finals. (Knicks swept 76ers in East semis; Knicks won East, then beat Spurs 4-1 in Finals)

“The unders eight and a half.”

PIT 9, NYM 1 — Combined 10; under 8.5 busts.

“Under three and a half points, under one and a half rebounds.”

IND 108, OKC 91 — Tyrese Haliburton: 14 points vs under 3.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 14 points)

“Cowboys over seven and a half wins is something I can get behind.”

Dallas Cowboys finished the 2025 season 7-9-1 = 7 wins (a tie is not a win for total-wins settlement); over 7.5 needs 8+, so the over lost. (Cowboys finished 7-9-1 (2nd in NFC East))

“More.”

IND 108, OKC 91 — Bennedict Mathurin: 2 points vs over 11.5; busts. (Bennedict Mathurin: 2 points)

“That would be a more.”

IND 104, OKC 111 — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 pra vs over 47.5; busts. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 38 pra)

“This is less.”

IND 104, OKC 111 — Tyrese Haliburton: 18 points vs under 17.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 18 points)

“When it comes to the game itself, let's go with Oklahoma City minus the 9.5 in that game.”

OKC 110, IND 111 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -1 vs line -9.5; busts.

“That's why we play the under.”

OKC 110, IND 111 — Tyrese Haliburton: 30 pra vs under 27.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 30 pra)

“More, because the opportunities will be there.”

OKC 110, IND 111 — Pascal Siakam: 1 threes vs over 1.5; busts. (Pascal Siakam: 1 threes)

“I would lay the big number.”

OKC 110, IND 111 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -1 vs line -9.5; busts.

“I would look at Oakley C minus two and a half games.”

Oklahoma City Thunder won the NBA Finals over the Indiana Pacers 4-3 (Game 7), a series margin of only 1 game, short of the 2.5-game cover. (Thunder def. Pacers 4-3 (Game 7: OKC 103, IND 91))

“Give me the Panthers at minus 105.”

Edmonton beat Florida 4-3 in overtime in Stanley Cup Final Game 1 (June 4, 2025) on a Draisaitl power-play winner. (Oilers 4, Panthers 3 (OT))

“I saw him at plus 550.”

Buffalo Bills did not win the AFC; they lost to the Denver Broncos 33-30 in the Divisional Round, and the Broncos lost the AFC Championship to the New England Patriots. (Bills eliminated in Divisional Round, Jan 17, 2026 (lost 33-30 to Denver))

“Take out your pitching wedge. Swing it easy. Oklahoma City minus three and a half.”

MIN 143, OKC 101 — Oklahoma City Thunder margin -42 vs line -3.5; busts.

“Carl Anthony Towns over 23 points”

NY 109, IND 114 — Karl-Anthony Towns: 20 points vs over 23; busts. (Karl-Anthony Towns: 20 points)

“Big total. I'd still play the over here.”

NY 109, IND 114 — Combined 223; over 225.5 busts.

“Tyrese Halliburton to win Eastern Conference Finals MVP is minus 120.”

Pascal Siakam won 2025 Eastern Conference Finals MVP as the Pacers beat the Knicks in 6 games; Haliburton did not win it. (ECF MVP: Pascal Siakam (31 pts in Game 6 clincher))

“Drew Holiday over four and a half.”

NY 119, BOS 81 — Jrue Holiday: 4 rebounds vs over 4.5; busts. (Jrue Holiday: 4 rebounds)

“We go more.”

Giants finished 2025 season 4-13, under the 5.5 line. (4-13 regular season record)

“I go less because there two realities here right Reality one”

Steelers finished 2025 season 10-7, over the 8.5 line. (10-7 regular season record)

“I like Colin Morikawa to win it. Not a huge surprise there. 14 to one. Last three trips here have all been top tens.”

Rory McIlroy won the 2025 Masters; Collin Morikawa finished T14, so the outright lost.

“Men's side, Saturday night, best bet, Florida-Auburn. Auburn plus the two and a half.”

AUB 73, FLA 79 — Auburn Tigers margin -6 vs line +2.5; busts.

“On the women's side, best bet, Texas, South Carolina. Low scoring game, under 124.5.”

South Carolina beat Texas 74-57 in the Women's Final Four; combined 131 points sailed well over the 124.5 total. (Final: South Carolina 74, Texas 57 (131 total))

“And then finally tonight, Connecticut and UCLA. As great as UConn has been this season, 7.5 is too many points”

UConn routed UCLA 85-51 in the Women's Final Four, a 34-point margin that blew well past UCLA +7.5. (Final: UConn 85, UCLA 51)

“Tom Izzo, Spartans, three-and-a-half-point favorites. Joe, where are you looking here? Laying the points with Sparty for two key reasons.”

AUB 78, MICH 65 — Michigan Wolverines margin -13 vs line -3.5; busts.

“Michigan State forward Jackson Kohler over 6.5 rebounds. Now, we already talked about how much Ole Miss struggles on the glass. Kohler's averaging 7.5 rebounds per game this season”

Jaxon Kohler recorded just 2 rebounds (0 points, 18 minutes) in Michigan State's 73-70 Sweet 16 win over Ole Miss -- well under the 6.5 line. (2 REB, 0 PTS, 18 MIN)

“I'm going to shrink this to the first half, opening 20 minutes to go under 61.5 points”

HOU 62, PUR 60 — Combined 122; under 61.5 busts.

“Of course, the Spartans, three and a half point favorite tonight. Who ya got? Michigan State minus the points.”

AUB 78, MICH 65 — Michigan Wolverines margin -13 vs line -3.5; busts.

“Joe, who you got there? I like Kentucky plus the four and a half here.”

TENN 78, UK 65 — Kentucky Wildcats margin -13 vs line +4.5; busts.

“Who you got there? Michigan plus the 8.5 or 9. Smaller bet because Auburn could erupt at any moment.”

AUB 78, MICH 65 — Michigan Wolverines margin -13 vs line +8.5; busts.

“Right now, ESPN bet is the Yankees at plus 170 to miss the playoffs. Joe, what do you think? I'd go ahead and bet that.”

Yankees made the 2025 playoffs (94-68, won Wild Card Series over Boston before losing to Toronto in the ALDS), so they did not miss the postseason. (Yankees finished 94-68, lost ALDS to Blue Jays 3-1)

“Blake Snell to lead Major League Baseball in strikeouts is priced at 16 to 1. I like that opportunity there, all right?”

Garrett Crochet led MLB in strikeouts in 2025 (255 K), not Blake Snell. (2025 MLB strikeout leader: Garrett Crochet, 255 K)

“The Tide are favored by 5.5. Joe, which team do you like and why? I'll take the Cougs plus the points here.”

ALA 113, BYU 88 — BYU Cougars margin -25 vs line +5.5; busts.

“Yeah, the Arizona team total is 72.5, so this is a bet on how many points Arizona will score, over or under 72.5. I'd go under.”

DUKE 100, ARIZ 93 — Combined 193; under 72.5 busts.

“He also has Derek Queen, by the way, under 17.5 points. ESPN bet today, 2 to 3 p.m.”

Derik Queen actually played for Maryland (not Duke/Arizona as tagged) and scored 27 points in Maryland's 87-71 Sweet 16 loss to Florida on March 27, 2025 -- well over the 17.5 line, so the 'under' lost. (27 PTS (Maryland vs Florida, Mar 27 2025))

“Texas A&M is favored by seven and a half points. Yale won a 13 versus four game last year. Which way are you going? I'm going to go with Yale here plus the points.”

TA&M 80, YALE 71 — Yale Bulldogs margin -9 vs line +7.5; busts.

“The total is set at 154.5. Joe, what do you like in this game? Money's been flowing on the over. We're following the money over 154.5.”

PUR 75, HPU 63 — Combined 138; over 154.5 busts.

“Joe, are you thinking upset? Hold on for a second here, Greeny. I'm getting some breaking news. Hey, Schefter, according to sources, Michigan going down in this one, my friend. Brutal spot for your Wolverines.”

MICH 68, UCSD 65 — UC San Diego Tritons lost; moneyline busts.

“I'd look to the Tar Heels plus the 11.5. Rivalry game at home.”

UNC 69, DUKE 82 — North Carolina Tar Heels margin -13 vs line +11.5; busts.

“Clippers, Lakers, what are you looking at? I would lay the four and a half with the Clippers here.”

LAL 106, LAC 102 — LA Clippers margin -4 vs line -4.5; busts.

“We're going to lay the points with the Grizzlies, which is not going to make anyone around here happy at all. [34:44] But if you remember, at the Garden on January 27th, the Knicks get throttled or throttled the Grizz by about 37. [34:50] A little bit of payback tonight. [34:51] Keep in mind, big defensive struggles for the Knicks. [34:54] And on top of that they are a dog of four or more tonight Four times this season the Knicks have been a dog of four or more In those games they are 0 losing by an average of 20 points per game [35:05] We'll lean into the trend. [35:06] We'll play the Grizzlies tonight.”

MEM 113, NY 114 — Memphis Grizzlies margin -1 vs line -4; busts.

“We'll take the Celtics minus two and a half. I think it's a cheap price.”

BOS 116, CLE 123 — Boston Celtics margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I am on the Celtics tonight. I think it's a buy low at minus two, minus two and a half because we just saw them get run out of the gym by the Pistons.”

BOS 116, CLE 123 — Boston Celtics margin -7 vs line -2.5; busts.

“If you wanna have some action, this is fun. You lay a little juice, but it's Harrison Butcher of the Chiefs over one and a half made field goals. I think you're laying, like, minus one seventy.”

Harrison Butker made zero field goals in Super Bowl LIX as the Chiefs scored only touchdowns, so over 1.5 made field goals lost.

“How many passes will Patrick Mahomes complete in this game? The prop is set at 23.5. We're going to bet the over.”

Patrick Mahomes completed 21 passes in Super Bowl LIX (Eagles won 40-22), missing the 23.5 over line. (21/32, 257 yds, 3 pass TD, 2 INT)

“So I would take Brown 69.5 receiving yards over, 125.5 over.”

PHI 40, KC 22 — A.J. Brown: 43 receiving_yards vs over 125.5; busts. (A.J. Brown: 43 receiving_yards)

“49 and a half yards.”

BUF 27, BAL 25 — Lamar Jackson: 39 rushing_yards vs over 49.5; busts. (Lamar Jackson: 39 rushing_yards)

“under 55.5 total points.”

DET 31, WSH 45 — Combined 76; under 55.5 busts.

“And apply it all together and go under 51.5 total points.”

BUF 27, BAL 25 — Combined 52; under 51.5 busts.

“Another lower-scoring game, under 43-and-a-half.”

PHI 28, LAR 22 — Combined 50; under 43.5 busts.

“Baltimore over Buffalo.”

BUF 27, BAL 25 — Baltimore Ravens lost; moneyline busts.

“if you want to pile on top, 25 and a half.”

PHI 28, LAR 22 — Combined 50; under 25.5 busts.

“Texans Chargers under 42.5 points.”

HOU 32, LAC 12 — Combined 44; under 42.5 busts.

“the wink wink play will be the Texas team total. It's 23 and a half points. So we're betting just on how many points Texas scores, and we're going under 23 and a half points.”

TEX 14, OSU 28 — Combined 42; under 23.5 busts.

“This is going to be an under 46.5.”

PSU 24, ND 27 — Combined 51; under 46.5 busts.

“I like Minnesota plus the points.”

DET 31, MIN 9 — Minnesota Vikings margin -22 vs line +2.5; busts.

“Denver plus three and a half is the bet for a couple key reasons.”

CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“You want a bonus pick Bo Nix over 224 passing yards He should feast against this defense”

CIN 30, DEN 24 — Bo Nix: 219 passing_yards vs over 224; busts. (Bo Nix: 219 passing_yards)

“We'll go ahead and take the nine and a half for the Jets.”

BUF 40, NYJ 14 — New York Jets margin -26 vs line +9.5; busts.

“Packers as the favorite, minus 3.5, plus 150.”

MIN 27, GB 25 — Green Bay Packers margin -2 vs line -3.5; busts.

“I'll take the three and a half with Denver in this matchup.”

CIN 30, DEN 24 — Denver Broncos margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“We're betting Colorado to lead at the half, but we're betting BYU to win the full game.”

BYU led 20-0 at halftime (Colorado did not lead) and went on to win the Alamo Bowl 36-14; the Colorado-to-lead-at-half leg of the wager failed. (Halftime: BYU 20, Colorado 0. Final: BYU 36, Colorado 14)

“So let's go under 44.5 total points.”

BAL 34, PIT 17 — Combined 51; under 44.5 busts.

“Under 46.5 is the play.”

OSU 42, TENN 17 — Combined 59; under 46.5 busts.

“Philadelphia covers the three and a half.”

WSH 36, PHI 33 — Philadelphia Eagles margin -3 vs line -3.5; busts.

“We like the Texans in the first half.”

KC 27, HOU 19 — Houston Texans margin -8 vs line +2.5; busts.

“so we're going to play the Jets in this situation.”

NYJ 9, LAR 19 — New York Jets margin -10 vs line +3; busts.

“Clemson's team total, which means we're betting on how many points Clemson scores. The number is 19 and a half. We're betting under Clemson to score under 19 and a half points.”

TEX 38, CLEM 24 — Combined 62; under 19.5 busts.

“We're going to play the Panthers minus the three.”

CAR 14, DAL 30 — Carolina Panthers margin -16 vs line -3; busts.

“I would lay the 2.5 for the Lions over the Bills.”

DET 42, BUF 48 — Detroit Lions margin -6 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I would take the Giants.”

Saquon Barkley rushed for an NFL-leading 2,005 yards with the Eagles in 2024, far more than the entire Giants team's rushing total, so the Giants did not out-rush him. (Barkley (Eagles): 2,005 rush yds vs Giants (team): ~1,783 rush yds)

“I think this is the buy low spot on Kansas City at a price of minus four.”

KC 19, LAC 17 — Kansas City Chiefs margin +2 vs line -4; busts.

“I'd start by laying the two and a half with Texas.”

TEX 19, UGA 22 — Texas Longhorns margin -3 vs line -2.5; busts.

“I'd also go over 49.5.”

TEX 19, UGA 22 — Combined 41; over 49.5 busts.

“Just go ahead and lay it with Ohio State over Michigan.”

OSU 10, MICH 13 — Ohio State Buckeyes margin -3 vs line -21; busts.

“First half in this game, the total is 23 and a half. We're going to bet the under.”

LAR 20, PHI 37 — Combined 57; under 23.5 busts.

“Cincinnati is a favorite over Pittsburgh minus one and a half I make that bet on Cincinnati”

CIN 38, PIT 44 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -6 vs line -1.5; busts.

“we take San Francisco plus the three here I think it a good buy low spot on the Niners”

GB 38, SF 10 — San Francisco 49ers margin -28 vs line +3; busts.

“I'm going to play under 52”

OSU 38, IU 15 — Combined 53; under 52.5 busts.

“I like the Chiefs. I would take the points.”

BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +2; busts.

“What is your best bet, Chiefs Bill Sunday? Isolate the second half here. Chiefs plus one and a half.”

BUF 30, KC 21 — Kansas City Chiefs margin -9 vs line +1.5; busts.

“What are you playing here in Bama LSU primetime on ABC Saturday night? I like LSU, but I got to get the three, okay?”

LSU 13, ALA 42 — LSU Tigers margin -29 vs line +3; busts.

“what's your best bet on Kirk Cousins? Under one and a half rushing attempts.”

Kirk Cousins had 4 rushing attempts for the Falcons against Dallas, exceeding the 1.5 line. (4 car, -11 rush yds)

“What is your best bet on the point spread I do I take them plus the three and a half I”

ATL 27, DAL 21 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +3.5; busts.

“LSU and Texas A&M, what is your favorite bet in that game? I agree with Feinbaum. I play LSU.”

TA&M 38, LSU 23 — LSU Tigers lost; moneyline busts.

“Missouri-Bama, what do you like there? Under 51.5 total points.”

TA&M 38, LSU 23 — Combined 61; under 51.5 busts.

“I like Cincinnati Greeny, but it's got to be two and a half, not three.”

CIN 17, PHI 37 — Cincinnati Bengals margin -20 vs line +2.5; busts.

“It would be the Cowboys here at plus four and a half.”

SF 30, DAL 24 — Dallas Cowboys margin -6 vs line +4.5; busts.

“Let's play LSU. LSU money flooded the market yesterday.”

TA&M 38, LSU 23 — LSU Tigers lost; moneyline busts.

“Let's take a shot on the MVP market. Let's go with Teoscar Hernandez at 25-1.”

Freddie Freeman (Dodgers) was named 2024 World Series MVP, not Teoscar Hernandez. (Freddie Freeman: 4 HR, 12 RBI in 5-game World Series)

“Best bet is to go over 56.5 points here, Greeny. Texas defense is overvalued. Number one in the country in scoring DS. They haven't played anybody yet.”

TEX 15, UGA 30 — Combined 45; over 56.5 busts.

“Passing yards over 258 and a half. If we see this as a high-scoring game, our props should correlate with that, and that's what this does.”

TEX 15, UGA 30 — Quinn Ewers: 211 passing_yards vs over 258.5; busts. (Quinn Ewers: 211 passing_yards)

“His longest completion prop is 40 and a half yards. I would bet the over. Tennessee's defense has been getting gashed the last few weeks.”

Milroe did not complete a single pass over 20 yards in Alabama's 24-17 loss at Tennessee, under the 40.5-yard longest-completion line. (25/42, 239 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT; longest completion under 20 yds)

“Their team totals 26 and a half. That means how many points will they score? It has nothing to do with Bama. I'd bet under 26.5 points for Tennessee.”

TENN 24, ALA 17 — Combined 41; under 26.5 busts.

“I would lean to Bama here. You're going on the road. You've had some problems with the defense, but Tennessee has been very inconsistent with their quarterback play the last three weeks, and I don't know if they have the firepower to engage in a shootout.”

TENN 24, ALA 17 — Alabama Crimson Tide margin -7 vs line -3; busts.

“We're gonna go local. We're gonna go UConn in college football. We're gonna lay a big number at 17 against Temple.”

WASH 27, MICH 17 — Washington Huskies margin +10 vs line -17; busts.

“game number one. Georgia Southern minus three and a half over Ohio. Game opened Ohio minus two, nothing but Georgia Southern money.”

OHIO 41, GASO 21 — Georgia Southern Eagles margin -20 vs line -3.5; busts.

“New Mexico State minus three and a half over Fresno. Two teams headed in opposite directions.”

FRES 37, NMSU 10 — New Mexico State Aggies margin -27 vs line -3.5; busts.