Mike Greenberg

“And that's why I'm taking the Texans with the points here. And I understand the injury to Joe Mixon gave me a great deal of pause. But eight and a half points, I'll give you a number.”

KC 23-14 HOU — Kansas City Chiefs beat Houston Texans 23-14 in the AFC Divisional round; Texans' margin of -9 fails to cover the +8.5 spread (CBS Sports box score).

“All right, I'm going the opposite direction on Commander's Bucks. I'm going to take the over. I think they could go over 50-and-a-half in the first half. I watched both these quarterbacks play. Baker Mayfield has been on a mission. He was great in the playoffs last year. Washington's defense is not great. I think that Jaden Daniels will put numbers up in his first playoff opportunity. I'll take the over on the Commanders and the Bucs.”

WSH 23-20 TB — Washington Commanders beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 in the NFC Wild Card game; combined 43 points is under the 50.5 total (CBS Sports box score).

“I agree, and that's why I think the Chargers are going to win 17-14 and thus cover the two-and-a-half.”

HOU 32-12 LAC — Houston Texans beat Los Angeles Chargers 32-12 in the AFC Wild Card game; Chargers' margin of -20 fails to cover the +2.5 spread (CBS Sports box score).

“I'm giving the points in the matchup between the Ravens and the Steelers as well. Baltimore minus three.”

PIT 18, BAL 16 — Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 18-16 on Nov. 17, 2024; the Ravens lost outright, missing the -3 spread (ESPN box score).

• Buffalo Bills (giving the points) closed -2.5 · CLV +0.5 won
• Baltimore Ravens (giving the points) closed -3 · CLV 0 lost
• Philadelphia Eagles (giving the points) pending

“and to begin it, I'm going to give a special edition of Seeing Green. So it's starting to feel like the holiday season, right? So I am in a giving mood. So as we pick the three monster games of the weekend against the spread, courtesy of our friends at ESPN Bet, I am giving and I'm giving and I'm giving some more. Let's start with the Bills and the Chiefs. I'm giving the points. We made our picks earlier today. I like the Bills minus the two in this game. I just feel like if you're going to find a spot where Kansas City is finally going to lose, they're not going to go 17-0, and I don't think they're going to get to 15 or 16 either. This feels like a logical place for it. Bills are hot. Allen plays well against this team. I like the Bills at home giving the two points. I'm giving the points in the matchup between the Ravens and the Steelers as well. Baltimore minus three. Listen, Mike Tomlin is the coach of the year for what he has done. But this is a step up in class. The schedule is going an entirely different direction now for the Steelers. The Ravens are by far the best team they've played. Their defense, I think, isn't enough to handle Baltimore here. I like the Ravens on a long week giving the three points. And then I'm giving the points tonight with the Eagles as well. Same idea. The Commanders, they've had an unbelievable season. and maybe a little bit of a mini buy here and another buy for Jaden Daniels will help him get a little energy back as the season goes on But he looks like he hitting a little bit of a rookie wall His rookie wall is still better than 99 of the rookies in history But I like the Eagles in this spot tonight a lot So I'm giving, I'm giving, and I'm giving some more. If you like those picks, go to ESPN Bet. We have a special seeing green parlay. The odds, if you're willing to give the points on the three big games, have been boosted up to plus 575. We even gave you a better number for a couple of the spreads. So go to ESPN Bet. Download the ESPN Bet app right now. My parlay is called Seeing Green.”

Parlay busts: Bills -2 covered (BUF 30, KC 21); Ravens -3 missed outright, losing 18-16 to Pittsburgh; Eagles -4 covered (PHI 26, WAS 18); the parlay already failed on the Ravens leg regardless of the Eagles result (ESPN box scores).

• Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 passing touchdowns pending
• Aaron Rodgers over 274.5 passing yards lost
• Jets ML closed -400 · CLV 0¢ lost

“And this week I taking Rodgers with at least two passing touchdowns at least 275 passing yards and the Jets to beat the Broncos. You see we've boosted it to plus 650.”

10-9 — Parlay busts: Rodgers threw 0 passing TDs (under 1.5) and 225 passing yards (under 274.5) in Denver's 10-9 win over the Jets, and the Jets ML lost as Denver won (ESPN box score/recap). (Aaron Rodgers: 24/42, 225 pass yds, 0 TD)

“the total on the Jets is nine and a half wins. Are you going more or less? Well, I'm glad you asked me that. The answer is way more.”

Jets finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 9.5 season win-total line, so the over selection lost (ESPN standings). (NYJ 2024: 5-12)

“I'm doing the same with Luka Doncic. Again, Wendy does not make these picks for us as he is covering the series. But I believe Luka Doncic will go over 31.5.”

BOS 107, DAL 89 — Luka Doncic scored 30 points as the Mavericks lost to the Celtics 89-107 in NBA Finals Game 1, missing the over 31.5 (ESPN box score). (Luka Doncic: 30 points)

“The total on Tyrese Haliburton is 19.5 points, and I will definitively say more, any number of reasons”

126-110 — Tyrese Haliburton scored 10 points in Indiana's 110-126 Game 2 loss to Boston, missing the 19.5 over (ESPN box score). (Tyrese Haliburton: 10 points)