Analyst · 8-11 on settled picks
“Greeny's got a special prop for today's MLB action. 30 home runs across the entire slate of games to cash this ticket. We've got it boosted at a plus 150 at ESPN Bet Sportsbook.”
MLB's 2025 Opening Day slate (14 games) produced roughly 39 home runs league-wide, over the 30 line. (~39 total HR across all Opening Day games (incl. Orioles 6, White Sox 4, Dodgers 4, Mariners 4))
“I'm going to take the over on Commander's Lions.”
DET 31, WSH 45 — Combined 76; over 55.5 covers.
“And that's why I'm taking the Texans with the points here.”
KC 23, HOU 14 — Houston Texans margin -9 vs line +8.5; busts.
“I'll take the over on the Commanders and the Bucs.”
TB 20, WSH 23 — Combined 43; over 50.5 busts.
“minus the four and a half at home against Green Bay on Sunday,”
PHI 22, GB 10 — Philadelphia Eagles margin +12 vs line -4.5; covers.
“and thus cover the two-and-a-half.”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Los Angeles Chargers margin -20 vs line +2.5; busts.
“I taking the Eagles the Lions the Bills and the Cardinals to all score at least three touchdowns in their game”
All four Week 15 teams scored 3+ touchdowns: Eagles (4 TDs, beat Steelers 27-13), Bills and Lions (6-7 TDs apiece in a 48-42 shootout), and Cardinals (3 TDs, beat Patriots 30-17). (Eagles 4 TD; Bills ~6 TD; Lions ~7 TD; Cardinals 3 TD)
“I have a seeing green parlay available on ESPN Bet right now. I've got the Lions this week, the Commanders, and the Cardinals.”
Two of the three legs failed: Washington (~10.5-pt favorite) lost outright to Dallas 34-26, and Arizona (~1.5-pt favorite) lost outright to Seattle 16-6; only Detroit (-7) covered, beating Indianapolis 24-6. Parlay lost. (Lions 24-6 W (cover); Commanders 26-34 L; Cardinals 6-16 L)
“Let's start with the Bills and the Chiefs. I'm giving the points.”
BUF 30, KC 21 — Buffalo Bills margin +9 vs line -2; covers.
“I'm giving the points in the matchup between the Ravens and the Steelers as well. Baltimore minus three.”
PIT 18, BAL 16 — Baltimore Ravens margin -2 vs line -3; busts.
“And then I'm giving the points tonight with the Eagles as well.”
Eagles were about 4.5-point favorites and beat the Commanders 26-18 (by 8), covering the spread. (Final: Eagles 26, Commanders 18 (Eagles -4.5))
“If you like those picks, go to ESPN Bet. We have a special seeing green parlay. The odds, if you're willing to give the points on the three big games, have been boosted up to plus 575.”
Parlay busts: Buffalo Bills -2 -2 — won; Baltimore Ravens -3 -3 — lost; Philadelphia Eagles (giving the points) — manual.
“In celebration of ESPN Bet launching in New York today, I am back with another Aaron Rodgers odds boost”
Parlay busts: Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 passing touchdowns +1.5 — manual; Aaron Rodgers over 274.5 passing yards +274.5 — lost; Jets ML — lost.
“right this minute, the offensive rookie of the year is Malik Neighbors.”
NYG 15, DAL 20 — Malik Nabers: 12 receptions vs over 6.5; covers. (Malik Nabers: 12 receptions)
“the total on the Jets is nine and a half wins. Are you going more or less? Well, I'm glad you asked me that. The answer is way more.”
Jets finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, far under the 9.5 wins line — the over selection lost. (NYJ 2024: 5-12)
“if you agree with me and with Ryan Clark, who actually said it first yesterday, we've got a get-up special for you on ESPN Bet right now. The Packers, to finish as the number one seed in the NFC.”
Green Bay Packers finished 11-6 but were the NFC's 6th/Wild Card seed, not the #1 seed (Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles had better records/tiebreakers atop the NFC). (Packers finished as a Wild Card seed, not #1)
“I'm doing the same with Luka Doncic. Again, Wendy does not make these picks for us as he is covering the series. But I believe Luka Doncic will go over 31.5.”
BOS 107, DAL 89 — Luka Doncic: 30 points vs over 31.5; busts. (Luka Doncic: 30 points)
“The total on Tyrese Halliburton is 19.5 points, and I will definitively say more, any number of reasons”
BOS 126, IND 110 — Tyrese Haliburton: 10 points vs over 19.5; busts. (Tyrese Haliburton: 10 points)
“Again, my special seeing green tomorrow is the Ravens minus the 10.”
BAL 34, HOU 10 — Baltimore Ravens margin +24 vs line -10; covers.