“Let's do a game of more or less in February. Damian, Woody, we start with you. Steelers won 10 games last season, first year with Mike McCarthy at the helm. Win total, we don't know who the quarterback is. Eight and a half wins, more or less. Say less.”
Damien Woody
Analyst · 8-14 on settled picks
Bankroll
Last 10: 3-7 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 18 settled daysWhere the picks cash
record by league and market · ROI + color appear at ≥5 decided picks (smaller samples are noise)| League | prop | futures | parlay | moneyline | spread | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 5-8-27% | 3-3-5% | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8-14-31% |
Picks
23 total · 1 pending- Aaron Rodgers 34+ pass attempts
- C.J. Stroud 20+ completions
- Kenneth Gainwell 66+ rushing + receiving yards
“Give me one more. Let's round out the far lay. One more hitting the mark. Yeah, I'm going to go to the MVP of the Pittsburgh Steelers offense, Kenneth Gainwell, 66 plus rushing and receiving yards. He's been the MVP of that offense. He has been in valuable to Aaron Rodgers, the outlay type of guy, the rushing attempts. So I think he's going to get a lot of work in this game against the Houston Texans. If you like those picks, they are a parlay. Rodgers, 34 more pass attempts. Stroud, at least 20 completions. Gainwell, 66 total yards. They're a parlay on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for hitting the mark featured parlay price at plus 455 odds.”
HOU 30, PIT 6 — In the Texans' 30-6 AFC Wild Card win over the Steelers, Aaron Rodgers had only 33 pass attempts (under 34) and Kenneth Gainwell managed just 46 rush+rec yards (under 66), busting the parlay; C.J. Stroud's 21 completions did clear 20 (ESPN box score). (Rodgers 17/33, 146 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT; Stroud 21/32, 250 yds, 1 TD; Gainwell 6 car, 20 rush yds + 4 rec, 26 rec yds = 46 total)
“Wood, we've got Aaron Rodgers. His total is 212.5 passing yards. You going over or under? I'm going under. I think last week was an aberration, you know, when it comes to Aaron Rodgers.”
15-28 — Aaron Rodgers threw for 224 yards (23/27) in Pittsburgh's 28-15 win over Miami, over the 212.5 under line. (Aaron Rodgers: 23/27, 224 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT)
“DK Metcalf, 54.5 receiving yards, over or under. I'm going to go over. Listen, hell, they don't really have much anything else in the receiving game.”
15-28 — DK Metcalf caught 3 passes for 55 receiving yards in Pittsburgh's 28-15 win over Miami, over the 54.5 line. (DK Metcalf: 3 rec, 55 receiving yards)
“All right, here we go. We got a really good game tonight, and we're going to pick it as only we can. Attention, danger, Will Robinson. and Danny, watch the eyes. We got Lions Ravens. Ravens a four and a half point favorite at all. Who wins? D would smash the loser. Oh! Wow. That's a big boy hit. That's a big boy hit. I got the Ravens. Why do they win? Jekyll and Haas, Lions on the road, Baltimore at home in these situations, they usually play really well against teams like the Lions so I'm going with Baltimore.”
Lions 38, Ravens 30 — The Baltimore Ravens lost 38-30 to the Detroit Lions, so the Ravens moneyline loses (ESPN box score).
“D. Wood, the number is one and a half touchdown passes for Baker against Houston. Do you go more or less? I'm going less. I'm so nervous about this, but they're playing a really, really good Houston-Texas defense with arguably the best secondary in football. So I'm going to go less with Baker Mayfield.”
Baker Mayfield threw 2 passing TDs (25/38, 215 yds) in Tampa Bay's 20-19 win over Houston, going over the 1.5 line, so the under pick lost (ESPN box score). (Mayfield: 25/38, 215 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT)
“Buccaneers-Texans tonight. We have two games to do. Tampa is a two-and-a-half point favorite tonight. Smash the losing helmet. Oh! Wow! There it is. Yes yes So you have Tampa tonight Yeah I like Tampa Listen they going up against you know one of the best defense in the league but I think Baker Mayfield and company they find a way to win You see the picks up on the screen”
TB 20-HOU 19 — Tampa Bay beat Houston 20-19, a 1-point margin that falls short of the -2.5 spread, so the Buccaneers spread pick lost (ESPN box score).
“In the meantime, D-Wood on the other side. One-and-a-half touchdown passes for Dak. Where you going? One more.”
PHI 24, DAL 20 — Dak Prescott threw 0 touchdown passes (21/34, 188 yds) in the Cowboys' 24-20 Week 1 loss to Philadelphia on Sept 4, 2025, under 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 21/34, 188 yds, 0 TD)
“D-Wood, we have the Super Bowl champion Eagles at 11 and a half wins. Are you going more or less? I want more.”
Eagles finished the 2025 NFL regular season 11-6, under the 11.5 win total (needed 12+ wins to cash the over). (Eagles finished 11-6)
“Okay, Damian, let's talk Tua Tagovailoa. Passing TDs, one and a half, more or less. I'm going to go more.”
GB 30, MIA 17 — Tua Tagovailoa threw 2 passing touchdowns (37/46, 365 yds) in the Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay, over the 1.5 line. (Tua Tagovailoa: 2 passing TD)
“let's go to your old team, the Lions. They set the number at 10.5. You go more or less? I'm going to go more.”
Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 10.5 season win-total line, so the over selection won (ESPN standings). (DET 2024: 15-2)
“We'll see the Bears tonight. D. Wood, their total this year is 8.5 wins. Are you going more or less? I struggle with this one. I'm going to go less.”
The Chicago Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 win total (ESPN standings). (CHI 2024: 5-12)
“And then, D, how about Green Bay? The number is 9.5 for the Packers. More or less? Yeah, I'm going to go more.”
The Green Bay Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, over the 9.5 win total (ESPN standings). (GB 2024: 11-6)
“D. Wood, the total on the Cowboys is 10.3 wins this season. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, because I think the schedule is favorable for the Cowboys.”
The Dallas Cowboys finished the 2024 regular season 7-10, falling short of the over 10.3 season win total (ESPN schedule/standings). (7-10 record)
“let's go, D. Wood, to Bo Nix, who was the last of those first-round quarterbacks. more or less 17 and a half touchdown passes in Denver. Yeah, I'm going to go with Les.”
Bo Nix threw 29 passing touchdowns in his 2024 rookie season, well over the 17.5 line; the under bet busts (ESPN stats). (Bo Nix 2024: 29 passing TDs)
“Meanwhile, D. Wood, Brock Purdy, we saw him run it a little bit last week. More or less 12.5 rushing yards. Oh, come on, man. This is going to be more.”
25-22 — Brock Purdy rushed 3 times for 12 yards in Super Bowl LVIII (Chiefs won 25-22 OT), under the 12.5-yard line, so the over bet busts (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 3 att, 12 rushing yards)
“A D. Wood, Travis Kelsey, more or less six and a half catches. Well, if the answer with Mahomes is always more, I'm going more here. I'm going more with Travis.”
25-22 — Travis Kelce caught 9 passes in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 6.5-reception line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Travis Kelce: 9 receptions)
“How about the end zone shots, D. Wood? Mahomes more or less one and a half passing touchdowns. I want to go more here. Listen, Mahomes is playing his best ball at the right time.”
KC 25-SF 22 — Patrick Mahomes threw 2 touchdown passes in the Chiefs' 25-22 OT win over San Francisco in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 1.5 line the bettor took the over on. (Patrick Mahomes: 333 passing yards, 2 TD)
“Let us start Saturday night in San Francisco. More or less two-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jordan Love against the 49ers. More or more. You're talking about a guy. You're talking about a guy and Jordan Love in the second half of the season. Name me a quarterback that's playing better than him.”
24-21 — Jordan Love threw 2 touchdown passes (21/34, 194 yds, 2 INT) as San Francisco beat Green Bay 24-21, under the 2.5-TD over the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 21/34, 194 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 2 INT)
“Let's do some more or less here, guys. D. Wood, Josh Allen, more or less 232.5 passing yards. what do you think? I want to go more here.”
27-24 — Josh Allen passed for 186 yards as Kansas City beat Buffalo 27-24, under the 232.5-yard over the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 186 pass yds)
“D. Wood, let's go to Buffalo. Josh Allen on what's supposed to be a weather game. more or less than 259.5 total yards. I'm going to go less because you already pointed out that we're expecting inclement weather up in Buffalo with the wind being a primary factor.”
31-17 — Josh Allen totaled 277 yards (203 passing + 74 rushing) in Buffalo's 31-17 wild-card win over Pittsburgh, over the 259.5-yard under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (Josh Allen: 21/30, 203 pass yds, 3 pass TD; 8 car, 74 rush yds, 1 rush TD)
“C.J. Stroud against that good Cleveland defense, more or less one-and-a-half touchdown passes. I'm going fewer. I'm going fewer right here against that Browns defense, that number-one-ranked Browns defense.”
45-14 — C.J. Stroud threw 3 touchdown passes (16/21, 274 yds) in Houston's 45-14 rout of Cleveland, over the 1.5-TD under the bettor took (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 16/21, 274 pass yds, 3 pass TD)
“D Wood more or less 113 yards from scrimmage for Christian McCaffrey I going to go more Now that the 49ers are whole again”
31-13 — Christian McCaffrey had 114 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards (139 scrimmage yards) in San Francisco's 31-13 Thanksgiving win over Seattle, clearing the 113 line (ESPN). (Christian McCaffrey: 114 rush yds + 25 rec yds = 139 scrimmage yards)