Analyst · 6-7 on settled picks
“This is right on the line for me, but I'm going to go over.”
WSH 23, DAL 30 — Dak Prescott: 307 passing_yards vs over 274.5; covers. (Dak Prescott: 307 passing_yards)
“I going under here and this is no indictment on Gibbs If I Brian Flores and you sitting in that defensive room if you stop Gibbs you have stopped the Detroit offense this season And so I looking at him going hey we going to stop Gibbs”
Jahmyr Gibbs totaled only 28 rushing+receiving yards (25 rush + 3 rec) vs. Minnesota, well under the 117.5 line. (9 car, 25 yds rush; 3 rec, 3 yds — 28 total in 27-24 loss to Vikings)
“I'm going over here in a strong way.”
Bo Nix threw only 1 passing touchdown (plus a rushing TD) in Denver's 20-13 win over Kansas City, staying under the 1.5 line (bet was over). (182 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 1 INT; 42 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD)
“If you like these plays, we parlayed them together.”
Christmas Day 3-leg parlay: Dak Prescott went over 274.5 pass yds (307), and Jahmyr Gibbs went under 117.5 yards from scrimmage (41 rush + 23 rec = 64), but Bo Nix threw only 1 passing TD against the 1.5 line, so the parlay lost. (Prescott 307 pass yds (over); Nix 1 pass TD (under 1.5, leg lost); Gibbs 64 scrimmage yds (under))
“Jeff, one-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jalen Hurts, more or less? I'm going more for the exact same reason that Lou is talking about.”
Jalen Hurts threw 2 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, clearing the 1.5 over line. (221 pass yds, 2 pass TD)
“I'm going to go less”
HOU 2, BAL 31 — C.J. Stroud: 185 passing_yards vs under 249.5; covers. (C.J. Stroud: 185 passing_yards)
“I'm going more for Lamar.”
Lamar Jackson totaled 255 yards (168 passing + 87 rushing) on Christmas Day vs Houston, under the 263.5 line. (10/15, 168 yds pass, 2 TD; 87 yds rush, 1 TD)
“So, Jeff, 271.5 passing yards for Patrick Mahomes.”
PIT 10, KC 29 — Patrick Mahomes: 320 passing_yards vs under 271.5; busts. (Patrick Mahomes: 320 passing_yards)
“One and a half passing touchdowns for Russell Wilson, more or less.”
Russell Wilson threw 0 passing touchdowns (1 rushing TD) in the Christmas Day loss to Kansas City, under the 1.5 line. (23/37, 205 yds, 0 passing TD, 1 INT)
“Brock Purdy, more or less 243.5 passing yards.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Brock Purdy: 255 passing_yards vs over 243.5; covers. (Brock Purdy: 255 passing_yards)
“More or less, here's a number, 12.5 rushing yards. [15:44] I'm going more here.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Brock Purdy: 12 rushing_yards vs over 12.5; busts. (Brock Purdy: 12 rushing_yards)
“Jeff, Patrick Mahomes, more or less 248.5 passing yards on Sunday. I'm going under here. I think it's going to be a very efficient game for the Kansas City Chiefs. They're going to have to run Pacheco quite a bit.”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Patrick Mahomes: 241 passing_yards vs under 248.5; covers. (Patrick Mahomes: 241 passing_yards)
“Jeffrey, more or less. Jordan Love, two and a half touchdown passes Monday night against the Giants. It's a big number, but I'm going more. I mean, listen, when you're playing the Giants, I feel like you're going to get a lot of opportunities.”
Jordan Love threw only 1 touchdown pass (to Malik Heath) in the Packers' 24-22 loss to the Giants, under the 2.5 line. (Love: 1 passing TD)