Jeff Saturday

Analyst · 6-7 on settled picks

Record
6-7
Cash %
46.2%
Net units
-1.55u
ROI
-11.9%

Bankroll

Last 10: 5-5 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 7 settled days
-3-2-102024Apr '24Jul '24Oct '242025Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25-1.55u
-202024Jul '242025Jul '25-2u

Picks

13 total
Status
NFL prop
won
Dak Prescott over 274.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +274.5 · CLV 0
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders — NFL Week 17 · Get Up, 2025-12-25 · ·

“Time for a segment we call Over Under. It's brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook. Jeff. Zach Prescott. 274 and a half passing yards over under. This is right on the line for me, but I'm going to go over. I think they're going to – what scares me is that they pull them because they've got a big lead. That's the only thing that scares me because I like this matchup. I think Pickens and Lamb both eat. I think Ferguson will have a big day. So, I'm going over on that 274 and a half.”

DAL 30, WSH 23 — Dak Prescott threw for 307 yards (19-of-37) with 2 TDs as the Cowboys beat the Commanders 30-23 on Christmas Day, clearing the 274.5 over (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott 19/37, 307 passing yards, 2 TD)

NFL prop
won
Jahmyr Gibbs under 117.5 rushing + receiving yards · DraftKings
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings — NFL Week 17 · Get Up, 2025-12-25 · ·

“Okay, Jeffrey, Jahmyr Gibbs, 117 and a half rushing yards and receiving combined over under. I going under here and this is no indictment on Gibbs If I Brian Flores and you sitting in that defensive room if you stop Gibbs you have stopped the Detroit offense this season And so I looking at him going hey we going to stop Gibbs We'll make St. Brown, who Mike T wants to trade, beat us. He's a nobody. But stop Gibbs. So I'm going to say under because I think that will be where Flores puts his direction.”

MIN 23, DET 10 — Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 64 rush+rec yards (17 carries for 41 yards, 3 catches for 23 yards) in the Vikings' 23-10 win over the Lions, well under the 117.5 line (ESPN box score). (Gibbs 17 car, 41 rush yds; 3 rec, 23 rec yds — 64 total)

NFL prop
lost
Bo Nix over 1.5 passing touchdowns · DraftKings
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs — NFL Week 17 · Get Up, 2025-12-25 · ·

“Okay, how about this one? Bo Nix, one and a half passing TDs over or under. I'm going over. And again, this has nothing to do with the Chiefs defense, who I think are legit, and they will play with professional pride. This has everything to do with their offense not being able to move the ball and him getting touch after touch after touch and being able to put two tuds on the board. I'm going over here in a strong way. Okay, let's recap. So we're going with the over on Dak Prescott passing yards, Bo Nix touchdowns, the under on Jermaine Gibbs total yards.”

DEN 20, KC 13 — Bo Nix threw only 1 passing touchdown (26/38, 182 yds, 1 INT) plus a rushing TD as the Broncos beat the Chiefs 20-13, staying under the 1.5 passing-TD line (ESPN box score). (Bo Nix 26/38, 182 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 1 INT; 9 car, 42 rush yds, 1 rush TD)

NFL prop
won
Jalen Hurts over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs — Super Bowl LIX · Get Up, 2025-02-06 · ·

“Jeff, one-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jalen Hurts, more or less? I'm going more for the exact same reason that Lou is talking about.”

Jalen Hurts threw 2 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX (221 pass yds), clearing the 1.5 over line (ESPN box score). (Hurts: 221 pass yds, 2 pass TD)

NFL prop
won
C.J. Stroud Under 249.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +247.5 · CLV +2
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans — Christmas Day · Get Up, 2024-12-25 · ·

“showdown. Jeff, 249 and a half passing yards for C.J. Stroud, more or less. I'm going to go less”

HOU 2, BAL 31 — C.J. Stroud threw for just 185 yards (17/31, 0 TD, 1 INT) in the Christmas Day loss to Baltimore, under the 249.5 line (ESPN box score). (C.J. Stroud: 185 passing yards (17/31, 0 TD, 1 INT))

NFL prop
lost
Lamar Jackson Over 263.5 total yards · ESPN Bet
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans — Christmas Day · Get Up, 2024-12-25 · ·

“Jeff, back to the air. 263 and a half total yards for Lamar Jackson, you think, more or less. I'm going One more here. I'm going to go the opposite of my team. I think that the Texans are going to have to just sell out to stop the run to make sure this two-headed monster of Henry and Lamar can't beat them. Make Lamar beat them and that offense try to be explosive. I'm going more for Lamar.”

HOU 2, BAL 31 — Lamar Jackson totaled 255 yards (168 passing on 10/15 with 2 TD, plus 87 rushing with 1 TD) on Christmas Day vs Houston, under the 263.5 line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 168 passing yds (10/15, 2 TD) + 87 rushing yds (1 TD) = 255 total)

NFL prop
lost
Patrick Mahomes under 271.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +257.5 · CLV +14
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers — Christmas Day · Get Up, 2024-12-25 · ·

“So, Jeff, 271.5 passing yards for Patrick Mahomes. Are we talking more or are we talking less? I'm going less here.”

KC 29, PIT 10 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 320 yards (29/38, 3 TD) on Christmas Day vs Pittsburgh, over the 271.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 320 passing yards (29/38, 3 TD))

NFL prop
lost
Russell Wilson over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers — Christmas Day · Get Up, 2024-12-25 · ·

“One and a half passing touchdowns for Russell Wilson, more or less. I was going to go less, but then I heard Mike T. talk bad about Russell Wilson, and then Chris Jones decided he's not going to be able to go. I'm going more.”

KC 29, PIT 10 — Russell Wilson threw for 205 yards (23/37) with 0 passing touchdowns and 1 INT on Christmas Day vs Kansas City (he added 1 rushing TD, which doesn't count for a passing-TD prop), under the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Russell Wilson: 23/37, 205 yds, 0 passing TD, 1 INT (1 rushing TD))

NFL prop
won
Brock Purdy over 243.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +247.5 · CLV +4
San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs — Super Bowl LVIII · Get Up, 2024-02-07 · ·

“Brock Purdy, more or less 243.5 passing yards. I'm going to go over here.”

25-22 — Brock Purdy threw for 255 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, over the 243.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 255 passing yards)

NFL prop
lost
Christian McCaffrey over 89.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +91.5 · CLV +2
San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs — Super Bowl 58 · Get Up, 2024-02-06 · ·

“Christian McCaffrey, more or less than 89.5 rushing yards. I'm going more, and it better be more.”

25-22 — Christian McCaffrey rushed for 80 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 89.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing yards)

NFL prop
lost
Brock Purdy over 12.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +13 · CLV +0.5
Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers — Super Bowl LVIII · Get Up, 2024-02-06 · ·

“And then, Jeff, his counterpart is Brock Purdy. More or less, here's a number, 12.5 rushing yards. I'm going more here.”

25-22 — Brock Purdy rushed for 12 yards in Super Bowl LVIII, under the 12.5-yard line the bettor took the over on (ESPN box score). (Brock Purdy: 12 rushing yards)

NFL prop
won
Patrick Mahomes under 248.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +241.5 · CLV +7
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs — AFC Championship · Get Up, 2024-01-24 · ·

“Jeff, Patrick Mahomes, more or less 248.5 passing yards on Sunday. I'm going under here. I think it's going to be a very efficient game for the Kansas City Chiefs. They're going to have to run Pacheco quite a bit.”

BAL 10-KC 17 — Patrick Mahomes threw for 241 passing yards in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC Championship win over Baltimore, under the 248.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Patrick Mahomes: 241 passing yards, 1 TD)

NFL prop
lost
Jordan Love over 2.5 touchdown passes · ESPN Bet
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants — Monday Night Football · Get Up, 2023-12-06 · ·

“Jeffrey, more or less. Jordan Love, two and a half touchdown passes Monday night against the Giants. It's a big number, but I'm going more. I mean, listen, when you're playing the Giants, I feel like you're going to get a lot of opportunities.”

NYG 24, GB 22 — Jordan Love threw 1 touchdown pass in the Packers' 24-22 loss to the Giants, under the 2.5-TD line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 1 passing TD)

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