Dan Orlovsky

Analyst · 28-35 on settled picks

Record
28-35
Cash %
44.4%
Net units
-9.55u
ROI
-15.2%
Beat the close
33.3%
the line moved with the pick in 8 of 24 moves (1 flat excluded)
Avg CLV
+0.16 pts
vs the closing line · spreads, totals & props (25)
At closing prices
-3.9u
vs -3.9u at the quoted numbers · 23 re-gradeable picks

Bankroll

Last 10: 6-4 Net units over time, 1 unit staked per pick · 39 settled days
-10-502024Apr '24Jul '24Oct '242025Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Rolling ROI · last 50 picks-5%-9.55u
-10-502024Jul '242025Jul '25Rolling ROI · last 50 picks-5%-10u

Picks

63 total
Status
Market
NFL prop
won
Baker Mayfield over 1.5 passing touchdowns · DraftKings
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Get Up, 2025-12-11 · ·

“Danny, the one-and-a-half touchdown passes is the total for Baker Mayfield. Do we go over or under? I'm going to go over.”

29-28 — Baker Mayfield threw 2 passing touchdowns (19/34, 277 yds) in Tampa Bay's 28-29 loss to Atlanta, clearing the over 1.5 line. (Baker Mayfield: 19/34, 277 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT)

NFL prop
won
Bijan Robinson over 74.5 rushing yards · DraftKings closed +73.5 · CLV -1
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Get Up, 2025-12-11 · ·

“And on the other side, Danny, 74 and a half rushing yards for Bijan. I'm going to say over every time this number is 74 and a half for Bijan Robinson.”

29-28 — Bijan Robinson rushed for 93 yards (19 carries) in Atlanta's 29-28 win over Tampa Bay, over the 74.5 line. (Bijan Robinson: 19 car, 93 rushing yards)

NFL prop
won
Drake Maye over 245.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +246.5 · CLV +1
New York Giants at New England Patriots · Get Up, 2025-12-01 · ·

“Dallas too Chicago going to get in The Cowboys need a lot of help to get in We see Meanwhile tonight we got the Giants and the Patriots on Monday Night Football Dan let turn to our DraftKings sportsbook over as we look ahead to the game tonight The over on Drake Maye passing yards is 245.5 yards.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — Drake Maye threw for 282 passing yards in New England's 33-15 win over New York, clearing the 245.5 line (ESPN box score). (Drake Maye: 282 passing yards)

NFL prop
lost
TreVeyon Henderson under 65.5 rushing yards · DraftKings closed +66.5 · CLV -1
New York Giants at New England Patriots · Get Up, 2025-12-01 · ·

“Over under TreVeyon Henderson, 65.5 rushing yards.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — TreVeyon Henderson rushed for 67 yards in New England's 33-15 win over New York, over the 65.5 line (bet was under) (ESPN box score). (TreVeyon Henderson: 67 rushing yards)

NFL prop
lost
Stefon Diggs over 50.5 receiving yards · DraftKings closed +49.5 · CLV -1
New York Giants at New England Patriots · Get Up, 2025-12-01 · ·

“And then Stefon Diggs, 50.5 receiving yards, over or under?”

NE 33, NYG 15 — Stefon Diggs caught for 26 receiving yards in New England's 33-15 win over New York, well under the 50.5 line (ESPN box score). (Stefon Diggs: 26 receiving yards)

NFL parlay
lost
Featured Over/Under parlay: Drake Maye over 245.5 passing yards, TreVeyon Henderson under 65.5 rushing yards, Stefon Diggs over 50.5 receiving yards · DraftKings
New York Giants at New England Patriots · Get Up, 2025-12-01 · ·
  • Drake Maye over 245.5 passing yards closed +246.5 · CLV +1 won
  • TreVeyon Henderson under 65.5 rushing yards closed +66.5 · CLV -1 lost
  • Stefon Diggs over 50.5 receiving yards closed +49.5 · CLV -1 lost

“So if you like those picks, they're a parlay right now on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for the over or under featured parlay on the homepage.”

NE 33, NYG 15 — Parlay busts: Drake Maye over 245.5 passing yards won (282 yds), TreVeyon Henderson under 65.5 rushing yards lost (67 yds), Stefon Diggs over 50.5 receiving yards lost (26 yds), all in New England's 33-15 win over New York (ESPN box score).

NFL prop
lost
Josh Allen under 261.5 combined passing and rushing yards · ESPN Bet
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-11-20 · ·

“They don run the ball at all That a lot of RPOs that become passes Yeah Andy was talking about that the other day All right it fascinating You just touched on tonight Tonight is not an easy spot for Josh and the Bills Let's do more or less. Brought to you by ESPN Bet Sportsbook. It's all on that game. Dan, 261.5 total yards. Rushing and passing for Josh tonight. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less. This is a ridiculous defense that he is going against. He struggled last year against this defense on the road. without Dalton Kincaid and this defensive line for Houston being able to hunt, I think Josh has to play wildly efficient, but I don't think it's this dominant statistical game.”

19-23 — Josh Allen had 253 passing + 20 rushing yards (273 combined) in the Bills' 19-23 loss to the Texans; busts under 261.5. (Josh Allen: 253 pass yds, 20 rush yds (273 combined))

NFL prop
won
James Cook over 93.5 combined rushing and receiving yards · ESPN Bet
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-11-20 · ·

“James Cook tonight, 93.5 is his total rushing plus receiving, more or less. I'm going to say more, and this has got to be the focal point of the offense.”

19-23 — James Cook had 116 rushing + 13 receiving yards (129 combined) for Buffalo in the Bills' 19-23 loss to Houston; clears over 93.5. (James Cook: 116 rush yds, 13 rec yds (129 combined))

NFL prop
won
Will Anderson over 0.5 sacks · ESPN Bet
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-11-20 · ·

“So his total is .5 sacks. So will he have a sack or not more or less? I'm going to say he's going to get one.”

19-23 — Will Anderson Jr. recorded 2.5 sacks in the Texans' 23-19 win over Buffalo; clears over 0.5. (Will Anderson Jr.: 2.5 sacks)

NFL prop
won
Drake Maye over 234.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +235 · CLV +0.5
New England Patriots at New York Jets — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-11-13 · ·

“234 and a half passing yards for Drake Maye tonight against the Jets. More or less? I'm going to say more.”

27-14 — Drake Maye threw for 281 yards as the Patriots beat the Jets 27-14 on TNF; clears over 234.5 passing yards. (Drake Maye: 281 passing yards)

NFL prop
lost
Drake Maye over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
New England Patriots at New York Jets — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-11-13 · ·

“Drake Maye one and a half touchdown passes tonight throwing the ball I going to say more”

27-14 — Drake Maye threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Patriots' 27-14 win over the Jets; falls short of over 1.5 passing TDs. (Drake Maye: 1 pass TD)

NFL prop
won
Drake Maye under 12.5 yards on longest rush · ESPN Bet
New England Patriots at New York Jets — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-11-13 · ·

“All right, Dan, last one. 12 and a half rushing yards for May. His longest rush. Can you go 12 and a half yards? That longest individual run, 12 and a half, I'm saying less. You know, I think that because of the way the matchups are for this team,”

27-14 — Drake Maye's longest rush went for 4 yards (2 net rushing yards) in the Patriots' 27-14 win over the Jets; stays under 12.5. (Drake Maye: 2 rushing yards, longest rush 4 yards)

NFL prop
lost
Bo Nix over 216.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +220.5 · CLV +4
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos · Get Up, 2025-11-06 · ·

“The Broncos and their quarterback, Bo Nix. His total is 216.5 passing yards. Denver this weekend, which way do we go? I'm going to say more”

DEN 10, LV 7 — Bo Nix threw for 150 passing yards in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders, under 216.5 (ESPN box score). (Bo Nix: 16/28, 150 pass yds)

NFL prop
lost
Brock Bowers over 67.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +68.5 · CLV +1
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos · Get Up, 2025-11-06 · ·

“How about Bowers? 67 and a half more receiving more every game”

DEN 10, LV 7 — Brock Bowers caught 1 pass for 31 yards in the Broncos' 10-7 win over the Raiders, under 67.5 (ESPN box score). (Brock Bowers: 1 rec, 31 yds)

NFL prop
lost
Lamar Jackson over 272.5 combined passing and rushing yards · ESPN Bet
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-10-30 · ·

“The number on Lamar Jackson, who will be back, 272.5 combined passing and rushing. Lamar, what do we think? Yeah, I'm going to say more.”

BAL 28, MIA 6 — Lamar Jackson totaled 204 passing + 14 rushing yards (218 combined) in the Ravens' 28-6 win over the Dolphins, under 272.5 (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 204 pass yds + 14 rush yds = 218 combined)

NFL prop
lost
Tua Tagovailoa over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-10-30 · ·

“One and a half touchdown passes Tua. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”

BAL 28, MIA 6 — Tua Tagovailoa threw 0 passing touchdowns in the Dolphins' 28-6 loss to the Ravens, under 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Tua Tagovailoa: 0 passing TD)

NFL prop
won
Derrick Henry over 90.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +89 · CLV -1.5
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-10-30 · ·

“And then Rex said last week they need to dehydrate Derrick Henry. 90 and a half rushing yards is his number for tonight. What do you think? Yeah, once again, I'm going to say more.”

BAL 28, MIA 6 — Derrick Henry rushed for 119 yards in the Ravens' 28-6 win over the Dolphins, over 90.5 (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 119 rushing yds)

NFL prop
won
Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-10-16 · ·

“Dan, Aaron Rodgers, more or less one and a half passing touchdown. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”

CIN 33, PIT 31 — Aaron Rodgers threw 4 passing TDs (23/34, 249 yds, 2 INT) in the Steelers' 33-31 loss to the Bengals, clearing over 1.5 (ESPN box score). (Rodgers 23/34, 249 pass yds, 4 pass TD, 2 INT)

NFL prop
won
Ja'Marr Chase over 76.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +75.5 · CLV -1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals — Thursday Night Football · Get Up, 2025-10-16 · ·

“and his total is 76.5 receiving yards. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”

CIN 33, PIT 31 — Ja'Marr Chase caught 16 passes for 161 receiving yards (1 TD) in Cincinnati's 33-31 win over Pittsburgh, clearing over 76.5 (ESPN box score). (Chase 16 rec, 161 receiving yds, 1 TD)

NFL prop
won
Jalen Hurts over 198.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +196.5 · CLV -2
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants — TNF · Get Up, 2025-10-09 · ·

“Dan, we're going to do an all-eagles edition as they play the Giants tonight. Jalen Hurts passing yards, 198 and a half. What do you think? More. And I'm saying more mainly because if not,”

PHI 17-NYG 34 — Jalen Hurts threw for 283 passing yards (24/33) in the Giants' 34-17 win over the Eagles, over 198.5 (ESPN box score). (Jalen Hurts: 283 passing yards)

NFL prop
won
A.J. Brown over 66.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +65.5 · CLV -1
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants — TNF · Get Up, 2025-10-09 · ·

“But one of those playmakers is A.J. Brown. His number is 66.5 receiving yards. Rinse and repeat. I'm going more for the same reasons.”

PHI 17-NYG 34 — A.J. Brown caught 6 passes for 80 receiving yards in the Giants' 34-17 win over the Eagles, over 66.5 (ESPN box score). (A.J. Brown: 80 receiving yards)

NFL prop
lost
Saquon Barkley over 87.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +87 · CLV -0.5
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants — TNF · Get Up, 2025-10-09 · ·

“And then how about Saquon, 87 and a half rushing yards. Go all in, Danny. More. Yeah. More. More.”

PHI 17-NYG 34 — Saquon Barkley rushed 12 times for 58 yards in the Giants' 34-17 win over the Eagles, under 87.5 (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 58 rushing yards)

NFL prop
won
Matthew Stafford over 234.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +235 · CLV +0.5
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers — TNF · Get Up, 2025-10-02 · ·

“We've got Rams and 49ers tonight. The number on Matthew Stafford, 234 and a half passing yards. Yeah, I'm going to take more.”

LAR 23-SF 26 — Matthew Stafford threw for 389 passing yards (30/47, 3 TD, 0 INT) in San Francisco's 26-23 OT win over the Rams, well over 234.5 (ESPN box score). (Matthew Stafford: 389 passing yards)

NFL prop
lost
Puka Nacua over 94.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +95.5 · CLV +1
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers — TNF · Get Up, 2025-10-02 · ·

“Well, the number on Nakua is 94.5 receiving yards, which is a very high total for a receiver. Which way do you go? I would go more.”

LAR 23-SF 26 — Puka Nacua caught 10 passes for 85 receiving yards in San Francisco's 26-23 OT win over the Rams, under 94.5 (ESPN box score). (Puka Nacua: 85 receiving yards)

NFL prop
won
Davante Adams over 4.5 receptions · ESPN Bet
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers — TNF · Get Up, 2025-10-02 · ·

“How about his teammate, Davante Adams? His number is four and a half catches. Do we go more or less? Yeah, I'm going to go more.”

LAR 23-SF 26 — Davante Adams caught 5 passes for 88 yards in San Francisco's 26-23 OT win over the Rams, over 4.5 receptions (ESPN box score). (Davante Adams: 5 receptions, 88 receiving yards)

NFL prop
won
Kyler Murray under 244.5 total yards (passing + rushing) · ESPN Bet
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks · Get Up, 2025-09-25 · ·

“Dan, more or less. Kyler Murray, total yards. So passing plus rushing, the number is 244.5. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less.”

Kyler Murray totaled 200 passing + 41 rushing yards (241 combined) in the Cardinals' 23-20 loss to the Seahawks, under the 244.5 line (ESPN box score). (Kyler Murray: 200 pass yds, 41 rush yds (241 combined))

NFL prop
lost
Sam Darnold over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks · Get Up, 2025-09-25 · ·

“How about Darnold? One and a half passing touchdowns tonight, more or less. I'm going to say more.”

Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20 — Sam Darnold threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Seahawks' 23-20 win over the Cardinals, under the 1.5-touchdown line (ESPN box score). (Sam Darnold: 1 pass TD)

NFL prop
lost
Marvin Harrison Jr. under 49.5 receiving yards · ESPN Bet closed +48.5 · CLV +1
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks · Get Up, 2025-09-25 · ·

“Speaking of killing your fantasy teams, can we get Marvin Harrison Jr. going, please? His number is 49.5 receiving yards tonight. Which way do we go, Dan? I think I'm going less or under.”

Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20 — Marvin Harrison Jr. caught for 66 receiving yards in the Cardinals' 23-20 loss to the Seahawks, over the 49.5-yard under line (ESPN box score). (Marvin Harrison Jr.: 66 receiving yds)

NFL prop
won
Lamar Jackson over 280 combined rushing and passing yards · ESPN Bet
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens — MNF · Get Up, 2025-09-22 · ·

“We have Lamar Jackson going over 280 rushing and passing yards combined”

Lamar Jackson totaled 288 passing + 35 rushing yards (323 combined) in the Ravens' 38-30 loss to the Lions, clearing the 280 line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 288 pass yds, 35 rush yds (323 combined))

NFL prop
lost
Derrick Henry over 87.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +85.5 · CLV -2
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens — MNF · Get Up, 2025-09-22 · ·

“We have Derrick Henry going over 87.5 rushing yards.”

Lions 38, Ravens 30 — Derrick Henry rushed for only 50 yards in the Ravens' 38-30 loss to the Lions, well under the 87.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Derrick Henry: 50 rush yds)

NFL prop
lost
Jared Goff over 261.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +260.5 · CLV -1
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens — MNF · Get Up, 2025-09-22 · ·

“We have Jared Goff over 261.5 passing yards.”

Lions 38, Ravens 30 — Jared Goff threw for 202 yards in the Lions' 38-30 win over the Ravens, under the 261.5-yard line (ESPN box score). (Jared Goff: 202 pass yds)

NFL parlay
lost
Lamar Jackson over 280 combined yards + Derrick Henry over 87.5 rush yds + Jared Goff over 261.5 pass yds (+571) · ESPN Bet
More or Less parlay: Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, Jared Goff props · Get Up, 2025-09-22 · ·
  • Lamar Jackson over 280 combined rushing and passing yards
  • Derrick Henry over 87.5 rushing yards
  • Jared Goff over 261.5 passing yards

“If all those hit, we've turned it into an ESPN Bet Sportsbook parlay at plus 571.”

Lions 38, Ravens 30 — In the Lions' 38-30 win over the Ravens, Lamar Jackson's 323 combined yards cleared 280, but Derrick Henry (50 rush yds) and Jared Goff (202 pass yds) both missed their lines, so the 3-leg parlay loses (ESPN box score). (Jackson 288 pass/35 rush (323 total); Henry 50 rush yds; Goff 202 pass yds)

NFL prop
lost
Josh Allen over 269.5 combined passing + rushing yards · ESPN Bet
Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen combined passing and rushing yards prop · Get Up, 2025-09-18 · ·

“We're going over on all three of these, on Josh Allen passing and rushing yards. The total is 269.5.”

BUF 31-MIA 21 — Josh Allen had 213 passing yards and 25 rushing yards (238 combined) in Buffalo's 31-21 Thursday night win over Miami, under the 269.5 line, so the over pick lost (ESPN box score). (Allen: 213 pass yds, 25 rush yds (238 combined))

NFL prop
won
Tua Tagovailoa over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Miami Dolphins — Tua Tagovailoa passing touchdowns prop · Get Up, 2025-09-18 · ·

“Tua, two passing touchdowns. So 1.5 is the number. He's going with two.”

BUF 31-MIA 21 — Tua Tagovailoa threw 2 passing touchdowns in Miami's 21-31 loss to Buffalo on Thursday night, clearing the 1.5 line, so the over pick won (ESPN box score). (Tua: 2 passing TD)

NFL parlay
lost
Jordan Love over 1.5 touchdown passes + Josh Jacobs under 77.5 rushing yards + Jaden Daniels over 276.5 total yards (+447) · ESPN Bet
Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers — NFL Week 2 (Thursday Night Football) · Get Up, 2025-09-11 · ·
  • Jordan Love over 1.5 touchdown passes pending
  • Josh Jacobs under 77.5 rushing yards closed +78 · CLV -0.5 lost
  • Jaden Daniels over 276.5 total yards pending

“Dan, Jordan Love, tonight, one-and-a-half touchdown passes. You go more or less. I'm going to say more. Washington defensively wants to play man coverage. Jordan Love going to throw the football down the field in their play action game. While Jalen Hurts is very good at doing it, I think Jordan Love is equally, if not better, throwing the ball downfield. So I'm going to go Jordan Love more. Dan, 77.5 rushing yards is the number for Josh Jacobs. Are you going more or less? I'm going to say less, and that's because I think you're going to be aggressive throwing the football if you're Green Bay. I think that the Washington commanders want to put bodies at the line of scrimmage. They want to trust their man coverage. And I think Josh will be stymied a little bit. And Jordan throwing the ball downfield will be the main story. And so then we get to Jaden. And that's 276 and a half total yards. So that's passing plus rushing yards. You're going more. So to recap, we're going to go with Love, two passing touchdowns. Jacobs, under 78 rushing yards. And Daniels, more than 276 total yards. That's a parlay right now on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 447.”

Jordan Love threw 2 TD passes (over 1.5, won), Josh Jacobs rushed for 84 yards (over the 77.5 under line, lost), and Jayden Daniels totaled 217 passing+rushing yards (under the 276.5 over line, lost) in Green Bay's 27-18 win over Washington on Sept 11, 2025; the parlay busts on the Jacobs and Daniels legs (ESPN box score). (Love 2 pass TD; Jacobs 84 rush yds; Daniels 217 total yds)

NFL prop
lost
Caleb Williams over 219.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +218.5 · CLV -1
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears — Monday Night Football, NFL Week 1 · Get Up, 2025-09-08 · ·

“Tonight, we get Caleb Williams. Dan, the total on his passing yards is 219 and a half. You go more or less? I'm going to go more.”

Caleb Williams passed for 210 yards (21-of-35) in the Vikings' 27-24 win over the Bears on Sept 8, 2025, short of the 219.5-yard line; the over lost (ESPN box score). (Caleb Williams 210 passing yards)

NFL parlay
lost
Saquon Barkley over 100 rushing yards + George Pickens 5+ receptions + Dak Prescott under 2 touchdown passes (+707) · ESPN Bet
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 1 · Get Up, 2025-09-04 · ·
  • Saquon Barkley over 100 rushing yards closed +97.5 · CLV -2.5 lost
  • George Pickens over 4.5 receptions closed +4.5 · CLV 0 lost
  • Dak Prescott under 2 touchdown passes pending

“Our picks tonight from Dan Orlovsky. He's got Saquon Barkley over 100 rushing yards. George Pickens to catch at least five passes. And Dak Prescott to be held under two touchdowns. If you like those plays, we parlayed them together on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook. at plus 707.”

PHI 24, DAL 20 — Parlay busts on two legs in the Eagles' 24-20 Week 1 win over Dallas on Sept 4, 2025: Saquon Barkley rushed for 60 yards (under 100, leg lost) and George Pickens caught 3 passes (under 4.5, leg lost); Dak Prescott's 0 TD passes cleared under 2 (leg won), but the parlay needs all three legs to win (ESPN box score). (Barkley 60 rush yds; Pickens 3 rec; Prescott 0 TD)

NFL prop
won
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs — Super Bowl LIX · Get Up, 2025-02-07 · ·

“And then, Dan, how about Mr. Mahomes? The total is one and a half passing touchdowns more or less I going to say more Now this is an elite Philadelphia defense specifically down in the red zone”

Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Mahomes: 21/32, 257 yds, 3 pass TD, 2 INT)

NFL prop
lost
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs — AFC Championship · Get Up, 2025-01-23 · ·

“Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns. Dan, one and a half. Is the over-under going more or less? Come on, I'm going more.”

KC 32, BUF 29 — Patrick Mahomes threw 1 passing touchdown (18/26, 245 yards) in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, missing the over 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 18/26, 245 pass yds, 1 pass TD)

NFL total
lost
Over 56.5 total points · ESPN Bet closed +56.5 · CLV 0
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — Week 18, NFC #1 seed on the line · Get Up, 2025-01-02 · ·

“Dan, we'll start with you. The total is 56.5 points. Are you going more or less? I'm going more. This is two of the hottest offenses in the NFL, two of the hottest quarterbacks in the NFL.”

31-9 — Lions beat Vikings 31-9 in Week 18; combined 40 points falls short of the 56.5 total.

NFL prop
lost
Sam Darnold over 274.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +294.5 · CLV +20
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — Week 18, NFC #1 seed on the line · Get Up, 2025-01-02 · ·

“And then how about the other side, Danny? Sam Darnold, same number, 274.5. More. I mean, this Lions defense in the last five or six weeks is one of the, if not the worst defenses in the NFL.”

31-9 — Sam Darnold threw for 166 passing yards in Minnesota's 31-9 Week 18 loss to Detroit, well under the 274.5 line. (Sam Darnold: 166 passing yards)

NFL prop
won
Saquon Barkley Over 99.5 rushing yards · ESPN Bet closed +98.5 · CLV -1
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders · Get Up, 2024-12-19 · ·

“99 and a half rushing yards is the total for Saquon against Washington. You go more or less? More.”

WSH 36, PHI 33 — Saquon Barkley ran for 150 yards on 29 carries with 2 touchdowns vs Washington on Dec 22, 2024, over the 99.5 line (ESPN box score). (Saquon Barkley: 150 rushing yards (29 car), 2 TD)

NFL prop
won
Jahmyr Gibbs Under 90.5 total yards from scrimmage · ESPN Bet
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions — Thursday Night Football, Week 14 · Get Up, 2024-12-05 · ·

“Orlovsky, I'm coming to you. Jameer Gibbs tonight, total yards from skimmage, rushing plus receiving 90.5. Which way do we go? I'm going to go less.”

DET 34, GB 31 — Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 73 scrimmage yards (15 car, 43 rush yds; 6 rec, 30 rec yds) in Detroit's 34-31 walk-off win over Green Bay, under the 90.5 line. (Jahmyr Gibbs: 15 car, 43 rush yds; 6 rec, 30 rec yds (73 total))

NFL prop
won
Russell Wilson under 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns — Thursday Night Football, Week 12 · Get Up, 2024-11-21 · ·

“Russell Wilson passing touchdowns tonight. One and a half. More or less? I think less.”

Russell Wilson threw 1 passing touchdown (21/28, 270 yds) in the Steelers' 24-19 loss to the Browns on TNF, staying under the 1.5 line (ESPN game recap). (21/28, 270 yds, 1 pass TD)

NFL prop
lost
Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs — Week 11 · Get Up, 2024-11-14 · ·

“The number on Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns is one and a half. You going more or less? I'm going less.”

BUF 30, KC 21 — Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing touchdowns (23/33, 196 yards) in Buffalo's 30-21 win over Kansas City, exceeding the under-1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Patrick Mahomes: 23/33, 196 yds, 3 pass TD)

NFL prop
won
Lamar Jackson over 3.5 total touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens — Week 10 (Thursday Night Football) · Get Up, 2024-11-07 · ·

“And then Dan Lamar, more or less, three and a half total touchdowns. I immediately dislike Harry this morning because of his answer. I'm going more. This Cincinnati defense has struggled with basically everything. I think tonight's winner is the first one to get to 40. I think the Baltimore Ravens will offensively get close to that, mainly because of the guy who's the leading MVP candidate, Lamar Jackson, through the air, through the ground.”

BAL 35, CIN 34 — Lamar Jackson threw 4 passing touchdowns (25/33, 290 yards) with no rushing touchdowns in Baltimore's 35-34 win over Cincinnati, clearing the 3.5 total-touchdown line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 4 pass TD, 0 rush TD (4 total TD))

NFL prop
won
Jayden Daniels over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Washington Commanders at New York Giants — Week 9 · Get Up, 2024-10-31 · ·

“Arlovsky, next. One and a half touchdown passes is the number for Jayden Daniels against the Giants. You're going more or less? Yeah, every time I hear more or less, I think of that song like, whoa, more or less, I ripped the... Sorry. Okay, Dan. I'm going to say more.”

Washington 27, New York 22 — Jayden Daniels threw 2 passing touchdowns in Washington's 27-22 win over the Giants, over the 1.5 line (ESPN box score). (Jayden Daniels: 15/22, 209 yds, 2 pass TD)

NFL prop
won
Lamar Jackson over 263.5 total yards (rushing + passing) · ESPN Bet
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns — Week 8 · Get Up, 2024-10-24 · ·

“Dan Lamar Jackson's number is 263 and a half Total yards rushing and passing, more or less? Many more. He averages 317, I'm saying more.”

CLE 29, BAL 24 — Jackson passed for 289 yards and rushed for 46 (335 total) in Baltimore's 29-24 loss to Cleveland, over the 263.5 total-yards line. (Lamar Jackson: 23/38, 289 pass yds; 8 car, 46 rush yds; 335 total)

NFL prop
won
Jalen Hurts under 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants — NFL Week 7 · Get Up, 2024-10-17 · ·

“One-and-a-half touchdown passes for Jalen Hurts is the number. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less.”

PHI 28, NYG 3 — Hurts threw just 1 passing touchdown (41-yard TD to A.J. Brown), adding 2 rushing TDs, in Philadelphia's 28-3 win over the Giants, under the 1.5 passing-TD line. (Jalen Hurts: 10/14, 114 pass yds, 1 pass TD, 2 rush TD)

NFL prop
lost
Drake Maye under 0.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Houston Texans at New England Patriots — NFL Week 6 (Drake Maye's first career start) · Get Up, 2024-10-10 · ·

“Dan, the more or less, basically the question is, is he going to throw a touchdown pass here, more or less? No, I'm going to say because, one, this pass protection unit for the New England Patriots is the worst in the NFL. Their leading pass catcher, Hunter Henry, is 180 yards. That would be like 68 in the NFL. Pop Douglas right now is their most productive wide receiver in America. This Houston defense is outrageously violent and overwhelming. This is a tall task for Drake Maye's first start.”

41-21 — Maye threw 3 passing touchdowns in his first career start as Houston beat New England 41-21, over the 0.5 under line (ESPN game recap). (Drake Maye: 20/33, 243 pass yds, 3 TD, 2 INT)

NFL prop
lost
Sam Darnold over 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets — NFL Week 5 (London) · Get Up, 2024-10-03 · ·

“And then finally, Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold will face the team that drafted him third overall. That game is in London. Dan, more or less than one and a half passing touchdowns for Darnold against the Jets. Yeah, more. Greeny, they drafted him third overall, and then they did everything they can to ruin him.”

23-17 — Darnold threw 0 passing touchdowns (14/31, 179 yds, 1 INT) in Minnesota's 23-17 win over the Jets in London, under the 1.5 over line (ESPN game recap). (Sam Darnold: 14/31, 179 pass yds, 0 TD, 1 INT)

NFL prop
lost
Dak Prescott over 276.5 combined passing and rushing yards · ESPN Bet
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants — NFL Week 4 (Thursday Night Football) · Get Up, 2024-09-26 · ·

“Dak, total passing and rushing yards combined, 276 and a half. You go more or less. I'm going to say more. I do think that Dak has a good night tonight. Right now, this Giants defensive line can ruin this football game. And I do think this back end-wise, they can play some man coverage. But it's a must win, like we've talked about for the first 31 minutes of this show.”

20-15 — Prescott passed for 221 yards with -1 rushing yard (220 combined) in Dallas's 20-15 win over the Giants, under the 276.5 combined line (ESPN box score). (Dak Prescott: 221 pass yds, -1 rush yd (220 combined))

NFL prop
lost
Aaron Rodgers under 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
New York Jets at New England Patriots — NFL Week 3 (Thursday Night Football) · Get Up, 2024-09-19 · ·

“Dan, Aaron Rodgers, one and a half passing touchdowns. Are you going more or less? I'm going to say less. One, I think this is a low-scoring football game. And then two, while I was very encouraged by the offensive performance by the New York Jets in week two, this is a really good New England defense that is going to make basically everything hard on this Jets offense.”

NYJ 24, NE 3 — Aaron Rodgers threw 2 passing touchdowns in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, over the 1.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Aaron Rodgers: 27/35, 281 yds, 2 pass TD)

NFL prop
lost
Lamar Jackson under 272.5 total yards · ESPN Bet
Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 2 · Get Up, 2024-09-12 · ·

“Hey Dan Lamar Jackson this weekend 272 and a half total yards More or less I going to say less and not because this is central to Lamar but coming off of last week”

LV 26, BAL 23 — Lamar Jackson totaled 247 passing + 45 rushing = 292 yards in Baltimore's 26-23 loss to Las Vegas, over the 272.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Lamar Jackson: 21/34, 247 pass yds, 5 car, 45 rush yds (292 total))

NFL prop
lost
Jordan Love under 1.5 passing touchdowns · ESPN Bet
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 1 (Sao Paulo, Brazil) · Get Up, 2024-09-05 · ·

“Dan, if I put the number, or they have, at Jordan Love passing touchdowns, one and a half. You going more or less? I'm going to say less because of the addition of Josh Jacobs.”

PHI 34, GB 29 — Jordan Love threw 2 passing touchdowns in Green Bay's 34-29 loss to Philadelphia, over the 1.5 under line (ESPN box score). (Jordan Love: 17/34, 260 yds, 2 pass TD)

NFL futures
won
Lions over 10.5 season wins · ESPN Bet
Detroit Lions 2024 season win total (ESPN Bet) · Get Up, 2024-08-02 · ·

“Orlovsky, Lions, your old team. Ten and a half is the number, more or less. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”

The Detroit Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 10.5 win total (ESPN standings). (DET 2024: 15-2)

NFL futures
lost
49ers over 11.5 season wins · ESPN Bet
San Francisco 49ers 2024 season win total (ESPN Bet) · Get Up, 2024-07-30 · ·

“Dan, let's start in San Francisco. 11 and a half is the number on the Niners, more or less. I'm reluctantly saying more.”

The San Francisco 49ers finished the 2024 regular season 6-11, well under the 11.5 win total (ESPN standings). (SF 2024: 6-11)

NFL futures
won
Packers over 9.5 wins · ESPN Bet
Green Bay Packers 2024 season win total · Get Up, 2024-03-28 · ·

“Orlovsky, more or less nine and a half wins for the Packers this year. I'm going to say more.”

11-6 — The Packers finished the 2024 regular season 11-6, over the 9.5 win total (ESPN). (GB 2024 record: 11-6)

NFL futures
lost
Bears over 8.5 wins · ESPN Bet
Chicago Bears 2024 season win total · Get Up, 2024-03-28 · ·

“Orlovsky, Bears, eight and a half wins. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, Greeny, just because of the defense.”

5-12 — The Bears finished the 2024 regular season 5-12, well under the 8.5 win total the over bet needed (ESPN). (CHI 2024 record: 5-12)

NFL prop
lost
Lamar Jackson under 212.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +215.5 · CLV -3
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs — AFC Championship · Get Up, 2024-01-25 · ·

“Dan, Lamar Jackson. More or less 212 and a half passing yards. This is a fantastic defense for Kansas City. that he's going against. I honestly don't know the answer that I gave you guys. You said less. I'm going to say less in part because, you know, watching how Kansas City plays defense”

BAL 10-KC 17 — Lamar Jackson threw for 272 passing yards in the Ravens' 17-10 AFC Championship loss to Kansas City, over the 212.5 line the bettor took the under on. (Lamar Jackson: 272 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT)

NFL prop
lost
Lamar Jackson under 230.5 passing yards · DraftKings closed +232.5 · CLV -2
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens · Get Up, 2023-12-29 · ·

“Dan Oloski, will Lamar Jackson have more than 230.5 passing yards against the Dolphins, or will he have fewer? I'm going to say fewer. I'm going to go under. Mainly because, out of respect for this defense that the Miami Dolphins have, and the matchups, this isn't a defense that you feature wide receivers.”

MIA 19, BAL 56 — Lamar Jackson passed for 321 yards in the Ravens' 56-19 win over the Dolphins, over the 230.5 line. (Jackson: 18/21, 321 passing yds)

NFL prop
lost
Brock Purdy under 248.5 passing yards · ESPN Bet closed +253.5 · CLV -5
San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens — NFL Week 16 · Get Up, 2023-12-22 · ·

“So more or fewer than 248 and a half passing yards, Brock Purdy. Either we're doing the show in English or we're not. I'm going with fewer.”

SF 19, BAL 33 — Brock Purdy passed for 255 yards in the Ravens' 33-19 win over the 49ers, over the 248.5 line. (Purdy: 18/32, 255 passing yds)

NFL prop
won
Tyreek Hill over 77.5 receiving yards · DraftKings closed +76.5 · CLV -1
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets · Get Up, 2023-11-24 · ·

“Dan, more or less, 77.5 receiving yards for Miami's Tyreek Hill today against the Jets. I'm going to say more, a couple reasons why. I do think that they're going to take some shots down the field, but their perimeter screen game is so dynamic.”

34-13 — Tyreek Hill caught passes for 102 receiving yards in Miami's 34-13 win over the Jets, clearing the 77.5 line (ESPN box score). (Tyreek Hill: 102 receiving yards)

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