Analyst · 31-42 on settled picks
| League | prop | parlay | total | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 30-32-8% | 1-9-43% | 0-1 | 31-42-14% |
“Danny, the one-and-a-half touchdown passes is the total for Baker Mayfield. Do we go over or under? I'm going to go over.”
Baker Mayfield threw 2 passing touchdowns in Tampa Bay's 29-28 loss to Atlanta, clearing 1.5. (19/34, 277 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT)
“And on the other side, Danny, 74 and a half rushing yards for Bijan. I'm going to say over every time this number is 74 and a half for Bijan Robinson.”
TB 28, ATL 29 — Bijan Robinson: 93 rushing_yards vs over 74.5; covers. (Bijan Robinson: 93 rushing_yards)
“If you like those picks, they're a parlay. On the DraftKings Sportsbook app, look for the over or under featured parlay priced at plus 470.”
All three legs hit in Falcons 29, Buccaneers 28: Mayfield threw 2 pass TDs (over 1.5), Irving had 71 rush+rec yards (under 87.5), and Robinson rushed for 86 yards (over 74.5). (Mayfield 2 pass TD; Irving 60 rush + 11 rec = 71 yds; Bijan Robinson 86 rush yds)
“The over on Drake May passing yards is 245.5 yards. Drake May, go over or under? I'm going to go over.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Drake Maye: 282 passing_yards vs over 245.5; covers. (Drake Maye: 282 passing_yards)
“Over under Travion Henderson, 65.5 rushing yards. I'm going to go under. I just talked about that defensive line.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — TreVeyon Henderson: 67 rushing_yards vs under 65.5; busts. (TreVeyon Henderson: 67 rushing_yards)
“And then Stefan Diggs, 50.5 receiving yards, over or under? Yeah, over. And you could take this to the bank.”
NE 33, NYG 15 — Stefon Diggs: 26 receiving_yards vs over 50.5; busts. (Stefon Diggs: 26 receiving_yards)
“So if you like those picks, they're a parlay right now on the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Look for the over or under featured parlay on the homepage.”
Parlay busts: Drake Maye over 245.5 passing yards +245.5 — won; TreVeyon Henderson under 65.5 rushing yards +65.5 — lost; Stefon Diggs over 50.5 receiving yards +50.5 — lost.
“Dan, 261.5 total yards. Rushing and passing for Josh tonight. Which way do we go? I'm going to say less.”
Josh Allen had 253 passing + 20 rushing yards (273 combined) in the Bills' 23-19 loss to the Texans, over 261.5. (253 pass yds, 0 pass TD; 20 rush yds)
“James Cook tonight, 93.5 is his total rushing plus receiving, more or less. I'm going to say more, and this has got to be the focal point of the offense.”
James Cook had 129 combined rushing and receiving yards for Buffalo vs. Houston (23-19 Texans win), clearing 93.5. (129 scrimmage yards (rush+rec), including a 45-yard rushing TD)
“So his total is .5 sacks. So will he have a sack or not more or less? I'm going to say he's going to get one.”
Will Anderson Jr. recorded 2.5 sacks vs. Buffalo, clearing 0.5. (2.5 sacks, including a 51.7-yard pursuit sack of Josh Allen)
“234 and a half passing yards for Drake May tonight against the Jets. More or less? I'm going to say more.”
NE 27, NYJ 14 — Drake Maye: 281 passing_yards vs over 234.5; covers. (Drake Maye: 281 passing_yards)
“Drake May one and a half touchdown passes tonight throwing the ball I going to say more”
Drake Maye threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Patriots' 27-14 win over the Jets, under 1.5. (25/34, 281 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
“That longest individual run, 12 and a half, I'm saying less”
NE 27, NYJ 14 — Drake Maye: 2 rushing_yards vs under 12.5; covers. (Drake Maye: 2 rushing_yards)
“His total is 216.5 passing yards. Denver this weekend, which way do we go? I'm going to say more”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Bo Nix: 150 passing_yards vs over 216.5; busts. (Bo Nix: 150 passing_yards)
“How about Bowers? 67 and a half more receiving more every game”
DEN 10, LV 7 — Brock Bowers: 31 receiving_yards vs over 67.5; busts. (Brock Bowers: 31 receiving_yards)
“The number on Lamar Jackson, who will be back, 272.5 combined passing and rushing. Lamar, what do we think? Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
Lamar Jackson had 204 passing + 14 rushing yards (218 combined) in the Ravens' 28-6 win over the Dolphins, under 272.5. (18/23, 204 pass yds, 4 pass TD; 5 carries, 14 rush yds)
“One and a half touchdown passes Tua. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
Tua Tagovailoa threw 0 passing touchdowns in the Dolphins' 28-6 loss to the Ravens, under 1.5. (25/40, 261 pass yds, 0 pass TD, 1 INT)
“90 and a half rushing yards is his number for tonight. What do you think? Yeah, once again, I'm going to say more.”
MIA 6, BAL 28 — Derrick Henry: 119 rushing_yards vs over 90.5; covers. (Derrick Henry: 119 rushing_yards)
“Dan, Aaron Rodgers, more or less one and a half passing touchdown. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
Aaron Rodgers threw 4 passing touchdowns in the Steelers' 33-31 loss to the Bengals, over 1.5. (22/32, 244 pass yds, 4 pass TD, 2 INT)
“and his total is 76.5 receiving yards. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
CIN 33, PIT 31 — Ja'Marr Chase: 161 receiving_yards vs over 76.5; covers. (Ja'Marr Chase: 161 receiving_yards)
“And I'm saying more mainly because if not,”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — Jalen Hurts: 283 passing_yards vs over 198.5; covers. (Jalen Hurts: 283 passing_yards)
“I'm going more for the same reasons.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — A.J. Brown: 80 receiving_yards vs over 66.5; covers. (A.J. Brown: 80 receiving_yards)
“More.”
NYG 34, PHI 17 — Saquon Barkley: 58 rushing_yards vs over 87.5; busts. (Saquon Barkley: 58 rushing_yards)
“If you like those plays, it's a parlay on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 427.”
Parlay loses: Saquon Barkley managed only 58 rushing yards, well short of the 87.5 line, even though Jalen Hurts (283 pass yds) and A.J. Brown (80 rec yds, on 6 catches) both cleared their numbers. (Hurts 283 pass yds (win); Brown 80 rec yds (win); Barkley 58 rush yds (loss))
“Yeah, I'm going to take more.”
LAR 23, SF 26 — Matthew Stafford: 389 passing_yards vs over 234.5; covers. (Matthew Stafford: 389 passing_yards)
“I would go more.”
LAR 23, SF 26 — Puka Nacua: 85 receiving_yards vs over 94.5; busts. (Puka Nacua: 85 receiving_yards)
“Yeah, I'm going to go more.”
Davante Adams caught 5 passes in the Rams' 26-23 OT loss to the 49ers, over 4.5. (5 receptions (11 targets), 88 yds)
“You go to the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app and if you like that parlay the odds are now plus 309”
Matthew Stafford threw for 389 yards (well over 234.5), but Puka Nacua's 85 receiving yards fell short of the 94.5 line in the 49ers' 26-23 win over the Rams — parlay lost. (Stafford: 389 pass yds. Nacua: 85 rec yds. Final: 49ers 26, Rams 23.)
“I'm going to say less.”
Kyler Murray had 200 passing + 41 rushing yards (241 combined) in the Cardinals' 23-20 loss to the Seahawks, under 244.5. (27/41, 200 pass yds, 2 pass TD, 2 INT; 5 carries, 41 rush yds)
“I'm going to say more.”
Sam Darnold threw only 1 passing touchdown in the Seahawks' 23-20 win over the Cardinals, under 1.5. (18/26, 242 pass yds, 1 pass TD)
“I think I'm going less or under.”
ARI 20, SEA 23 — Marvin Harrison Jr.: 66 receiving_yards vs under 49.5; busts. (Marvin Harrison Jr.: 66 receiving_yards)
“They're a parlay on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 671.”
Seahawks beat Cardinals 23-20. Kyler Murray's 241 combined yards stayed under 244.5 (that leg hit), but Sam Darnold threw only 1 TD pass (needed 2+) and Marvin Harrison Jr. went for 66 yards (over the 49.5 under) — two legs missed, parlay lost. (Murray 200 pass/41 rush (241 total); Darnold 1 pass TD; Harrison Jr. 66 rec yds.)
“We have Lamar Jackson going over 280 rushing and passing yards combined”
Lamar Jackson had 288 passing + 35 rushing yards (323 combined) in the Ravens' 38-30 loss to the Lions, over 280. (21/27, 288 pass yds, 3 pass TD; 35 rush yds)
“We have Derek Henry going over 87.5 rushing yards.”
BAL 30, DET 38 — Derrick Henry: 50 rushing_yards vs over 87.5; busts. (Derrick Henry: 50 rushing_yards)
“We have Jared Goff over 261.5 passing yards.”
BAL 30, DET 38 — Jared Goff: 202 passing_yards vs over 261.5; busts. (Jared Goff: 202 passing_yards)
“If all those hit, we've turned it into an ESPN Bet Sportsbook parlay at plus 571.”
Lions beat Ravens 38-30. Lamar Jackson's 323 combined yards (288 pass + 35 rush) cleared 280, but Derrick Henry managed only 50 rush yards (needed 87.5+) and Jared Goff threw for just 202 (needed 261.5+) — two of three legs missed. (Jackson 288 pass/35 rush (323 total); Henry 50 rush yds; Goff 202 pass yds.)
“We're going over on all three of these, on Josh Allen passing and rushing yards.”
Josh Allen had 213 passing + 25 rushing = 238 combined yards in Buffalo's 31-21 Thursday night win over Miami, under 269.5. (Allen TNF (9/18): 22/28, 213 pass yds, 3 TD, 25 rush yds (238 combined))
“So 1.5 is the number.”
Tua Tagovailoa threw 2 passing touchdowns in Miami's loss to Buffalo, clearing the 1.5 line. (Tua TNF (9/18): 2 passing TD)
“And Tyreek Hill going over on the receiving yards”
No number stated on air; used closing receiving-yards prop line of ~65.5 for the Thursday night Dolphins-Bills game. Hill caught 5 passes for 49 yards, well under the line. (Tyreek Hill: 5 rec, 49 yds, 1 TD (Bills 31, Dolphins 21))
“If you like those plays they a parlay together on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 435”
This 'More or Less' parlay previewed that night's Bills-Dolphins TNF game. Josh Allen totaled 238 combined yards (213 passing + 25 rushing), well short of the 269.5 combined line, which alone sinks the parlay regardless of the other legs (Tua did clear 1.5 pass TDs with 2). (Josh Allen: 213 pass + 25 rush = 238 combined yds; Tua: 2 pass TD)
“That's a parlay right now on the ESPN Bet Sportsbook app at plus 447.”
Parlay busts: Jordan Love over 1.5 touchdown passes +1.5 — manual; Josh Jacobs under 77.5 rushing yards +77.5 — lost; Jaden Daniels over 276.5 total yards +276.5 — manual.
“So let's recap because we're making that a parlay for you on ESPN Bet Sportsbook.”
Parlay busts: Caleb Williams over 219.5 passing yards +219.5 — lost; JJ McCarthy under 1.5 touchdown passes +1.5 — manual; Justin Jefferson over 79.5 receiving yards +79.5 — lost.
“Our picks tonight from Dan Orlovsky.”
Parlay busts: Saquon Barkley over 100 rushing yards +100 — lost; George Pickens over 4.5 receptions +4.5 — lost; Dak Prescott under 2 touchdown passes +2 — manual.
“The total is one and a half passing touchdowns more or less I going to say more Now this is an elite Philadelphia defense specifically down in the red zone”
Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing touchdowns in Super Bowl LIX, over the 1.5 line. (Mahomes: 21/32, 257 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT)
“Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns. Dan, one and a half. Is the over-under going more or less? Come on, I'm going more.”
Patrick Mahomes threw just 1 passing touchdown in the Chiefs' 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills, missing the 1.5 over line. (18/26, 245 yds, 1 pass TD)
“I'll go less here, and the main reason is because Houston Texans already average about 201 on the season,”
HOU 32, LAC 12 — Justin Herbert: 242 passing_yards vs under 224.5; busts. (Justin Herbert: 242 passing_yards)
“I'm going more.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Combined 40; over 56.5 busts.
“Sam Darnold, same number, 274.5.”
DET 31, MIN 9 — Sam Darnold: 166 passing_yards vs over 274.5; busts. (Sam Darnold: 166 passing_yards)
“More.”
WSH 36, PHI 33 — Saquon Barkley: 150 rushing_yards vs over 99.5; covers. (Saquon Barkley: 150 rushing_yards)
“I'm going to go less.”
Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 73 scrimmage yards (43 rushing + 30 receiving) in Detroit's 34-31 win over Green Bay, under the 90.5 line. (15 car, 43 yds rush; 6 rec, 30 yds)
“Russell Wilson passing touchdowns tonight. One and a half. More or less? I think less.”
Russell Wilson threw 1 passing touchdown in the Steelers' 24-19 loss to the Browns, staying under the 1.5 line. (21/28, 270 yds, 1 pass TD)
“The number on Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns is one and a half. You going more or less? I'm going less.”
Patrick Mahomes threw 3 passing touchdowns in the Chiefs' 30-21 loss to the Bills, exceeding the under-1.5 line. (23/33, 196 yds, 3 pass TD, 2 INT)
“And then Dan Lamar, more or less, three and a half total touchdowns. I immediately dislike Harry this morning because of his answer. I'm going more.”
Lamar Jackson threw 4 passing touchdowns alone (Ravens beat Bengals 35-34), already clearing the 3.5 total-touchdown line before counting any rushing scores. (4 pass TD)
“One and a half touchdown passes is the number for Jaden Daniels against the Giants. You're going more or less?”
Jayden Daniels threw 2 passing touchdowns (both to Terry McLaurin) in Washington's 27-22 win over the Giants, clearing the 1.5 line. (15/22, 209 yds, 2 pass TD)
“Dan Lamar Jackson's number is 263 and a half Total yards rushing and passing, more or less? Many more. He averages 317, I'm saying more.”
Jackson totaled 289 passing + 46 rushing = 335 yards in Cleveland's 29-24 upset of Baltimore, over 263.5. (23/38, 289 pass yds, 2 TD; 8 car, 46 rush yds; 335 total)
“I'm going to say less. One, because I think this Giants defensive secondary is playing really good football. And then two, I think ego's a good thing. I think Saquon has one. I think Saquon scores multiple touchdowns in this football game.”
Hurts threw only 1 passing TD (41-yard to A.J. Brown) in Philadelphia's 28-3 win over the Giants; his other two scores were rushing sneaks — under the 1.5 line. (10/14, 114 pass yds, 1 pass TD; 2 rushing TD)
“This Houston defense is outrageously violent and overwhelming. This is a tall task for Drake May's first start.”
Maye threw 3 passing touchdowns in his first career start vs. Houston, over the 0.5 under line. (20/33, 243 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT)
“Yeah, more. Greeny, they drafted him third overall, and then they did everything they can to ruin him”
Darnold threw 0 passing touchdowns in Minnesota's 23-17 win over the Jets in London — his only TD-less game of the season — under the 1.5 over line. (14/31, 179 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT)
“I'm going to say more. I do think that Dak has a good night tonight. Right now, this Giants defensive line can ruin this football game. And I do think this back end-wise, they can play some man coverage. But it's a must win”
Prescott had 221 passing yards and -1 rushing yard (220 combined) in Dallas's 20-15 win over the Giants, under 276.5. (22/27, 221 pass yds, 2 TD; 2 car, -1 rush yd)
“I'm going to say less. One, I think this is a low-scoring football game. And then two, while I was very encouraged by the offensive performance by the New York Jets in week two, this is a really good New England defense that is going to make basically everything hard on this Jets offense.”
Rodgers threw 2 passing TDs (to Wilson and Lazard) in the Jets' 24-3 win over New England, over the 1.5 under line. (27/35, 281 yds, 2 TD)
“going to say less and not because this is central to Lamar but coming off of last week I think there's going to be even a hyper-focus on can this offense figure out a way to implement Derrick Henry just a little bit more”
Lamar Jackson totaled 292 yards from scrimmage (247 passing + 45 rushing) against the Raiders, over the 272.5 line. (21/34, 247 pass yds, 45 rush yds (292 total))
“I'm going to say less because of the addition of Josh Jacobs. I still think that Jordan Love is going to have a big-time football game and create a lot of chunk passes. But down in the red zone, Matt LaFleur loves to get in some of these RPO situations and lean into handing the football off.”
Jordan Love threw 2 passing touchdowns against the Eagles, over the 1.5 line. (17/34, 260 yds, 2 pass TD)
“Orlovsky, Lions, your old team. Ten and a half is the number, more or less. Yeah, I'm going to say more.”
Lions finished the 2024 regular season 15-2, clearing the 10.5 wins line. (DET 2024: 15-2)
“Dan, let's start in San Francisco. 11 and a half is the number on the Niners, more or less. I'm reluctantly saying more.”
San Francisco 49ers finished the 2024 season 6-11, well under the 11.5 win total. (6-11 record)
“Orlovsky, more or less nine and a half wins for the Packers this year. I'm going to say more.”
The Packers finished the 2024 season 11-6, over the 9.5 win total the bettor took the over on. (2024 season: 11-6, lost Wild Card to Philadelphia)
“And Orlovsky, every single person on the show today went less on the Cowboys. Ten and a half wins”
Cowboys finished the 2024 season 7-10, under 10.5 wins. (DAL 2024 record: 7-10)
“Orlovsky, Bears, eight and a half wins. You going more or less? I'm going to go more, Greeny, just because of the defense.”
Bears finished the 2024 season 5-12, under 8.5 wins. (CHI 2024 record: 5-12)
“Christian McCaffrey, more or less than 89.5 rushing yards. I'm going more, and it better be more.”
KC 25, SF 22 — Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing_yards vs over 89.5; busts. (Christian McCaffrey: 80 rushing_yards)
“will he have more or fewer than 69 and a half receiving yards i gotta go with more we've been talking about it he's the number one option for them in the passing game”
KC 25, SF 22 — Travis Kelce: 93 receiving_yards vs over 69.5; covers. (Travis Kelce: 93 receiving_yards)
“Dan, Lamar Jackson. More or less 212 and a half passing yards. This is a fantastic defense for Kansas City. that he's going against. I honestly don't know the answer that I gave you guys. You said less. I'm going to say less in part because, you know, watching how Kansas City plays defense”
BAL 10, KC 17 — Lamar Jackson: 272 passing_yards vs under 212.5; busts. (Lamar Jackson: 272 passing_yards)
“Dan Oloski, will Lamar Jackson have more than 230.5 passing yards against the Dolphins, or will he have fewer? I'm going to say fewer. I'm going to go under. Mainly because, out of respect for this defense that the Miami Dolphins have, and the matchups, this isn't a defense that you feature wide receivers.”
BAL 56, MIA 19 — Lamar Jackson: 321 passing_yards vs under 230.5; busts. (Lamar Jackson: 321 passing_yards)
“So more or fewer than 248 and a half passing yards, Brock Purdy. Either we're doing the show in English or we're not. I'm going with fewer.”
SF 19, BAL 33 — Brock Purdy: 255 passing_yards vs under 248.5; busts. (Brock Purdy: 255 passing_yards)
“Dan, more or less, 77.5 receiving yards for Miami's Tyreek Hill today against the Jets. I'm going to say more, a couple reasons why. I do think that they're going to take some shots down the field, but their perimeter screen game is so dynamic.”
NYJ 13, MIA 34 — Tyreek Hill: 102 receiving_yards vs over 77.5; covers. (Tyreek Hill: 102 receiving_yards)